New Posts For Thread: Cheltenham 2015 Bankershttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/30425847/cheltenham-2015-bankersI'm not talking about your best bets of the festival - I'm talking the horses that are going to go off sub 2/1 and how you think they'll fareSupreme - DouvanArkle - Un De SceauxChampion Hurdle - FaugheenMares - Annie Powerchampion chase - sprinter saTo work out what % chance is implied by the odds you need to convert to decimal odds and 1 / decimal = % chance. So evens is 2.0 , 1 / 2.0 = 0.5 = 50% ie a 50:50To work out multiples it's decimal x decimal then subtract 1 to get regular odds.So Unhttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/30425847/cheltenham-2015-bankers?post_id=543313529#543313529To work out what % chance is implied by the odds you need to convert to decimal odds and 1 / decimal = % chance. So evens is 2.0 , 1 / 2.0 = 0.5 = 50% ie a 50:50To work out multiples it's decimal x decimal then subtract 1 to get regular odds.So UnWed, 28 Jan 2015 15:48:55 -0600What am sayin is I'm intent on backing him until the remaining 4/5 goes. 10/11 on the sportsbook last time I checked. Of us that are doing the same I think we got till about the 16th febhttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/30425847/cheltenham-2015-bankers?post_id=543313355#543313355What am sayin is I'm intent on backing him until the remaining 4/5 goes. 10/11 on the sportsbook last time I checked. Of us that are doing the same I think we got till about the 16th febWed, 28 Jan 2015 15:39:27 -0600I don't really know either, but if CV says 14/1 on, that's good enough for me.Do you think his SP will be about 4/6 then CV?https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/30425847/cheltenham-2015-bankers?post_id=543313141#543313141I don't really know either, but if CV says 14/1 on, that's good enough for me.Do you think his SP will be about 4/6 then CV?Wed, 28 Jan 2015 15:28:09 -0600I don't really care who's left in tbh, I've my bets on so just looking forward to seeing him on the day.https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/30425847/cheltenham-2015-bankers?post_id=543313093#543313093I don't really care who's left in tbh, I've my bets on so just looking forward to seeing him on the day.Wed, 28 Jan 2015 15:26:04 -0600Am just trying to fathom what you guys will think if my prediction proves correct and only 12-15 are left after the next forfeit stage on 17th Feb and he goes 1/2. It happened to sprinter sacre before his arklehttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/30425847/cheltenham-2015-bankers?post_id=543312965#543312965Am just trying to fathom what you guys will think if my prediction proves correct and only 12-15 are left after the next forfeit stage on 17th Feb and he goes 1/2. It happened to sprinter sacre before his arkleWed, 28 Jan 2015 15:21:27 -0600Am just trying to fathom what you guys will think if my prediction proves correct and only 12-15 are left after the next forfeit stage on 17th Feb and he goes 1/2. It happened to sprinter sacre before his arklehttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/30425847/cheltenham-2015-bankers?post_id=543312959#543312959Am just trying to fathom what you guys will think if my prediction proves correct and only 12-15 are left after the next forfeit stage on 17th Feb and he goes 1/2. It happened to sprinter sacre before his arkleWed, 28 Jan 2015 15:21:24 -0600Sorry - I was slow to catch on to the implication...I don't think he is 1/2 to get there - probably about 1/10 although I wouldn't really know...I think 4/5 is actually a VERY backable price right now because I think he is as good a banker as you canhttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/30425847/cheltenham-2015-bankers?post_id=543312857#543312857Sorry - I was slow to catch on to the implication...I don't think he is 1/2 to get there - probably about 1/10 although I wouldn't really know...I think 4/5 is actually a VERY backable price right now because I think he is as good a banker as you canWed, 28 Jan 2015 15:17:00 -06001.5 to run, are you lot mad?? That means he has a 67% chance of running in the Arkle. So it's 33% chance he won't run. So what 1/3 of all Willie Mullins horses get struck down in the 5 or 6 weeks before the festival each year!!! He's about 1.07 to Ruhttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/30425847/cheltenham-2015-bankers?post_id=543312815#5433128151.5 to run, are you lot mad?? That means he has a 67% chance of running in the Arkle. So it's 33% chance he won't run. So what 1/3 of all Willie Mullins horses get struck down in the 5 or 6 weeks before the festival each year!!! He's about 1.07 to RuWed, 28 Jan 2015 15:15:23 -0600Laying favs en masse at Cheltenham always sounds a good strategy but every now and again there is a spate of favs win at the meeting. 2003 in particular would have been disastrous (sure it was for some) when favs were pinging in all over the place, ahttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/30425847/cheltenham-2015-bankers?post_id=543312475#543312475Laying favs en masse at Cheltenham always sounds a good strategy but every now and again there is a spate of favs win at the meeting. 2003 in particular would have been disastrous (sure it was for some) when favs were pinging in all over the place, aWed, 28 Jan 2015 15:00:55 -0600If UDS is 1.5 to run, it must be worth laying a place at 1.36 (current price on left-hand side).I don't agree or disagree, but I think 1.5 is probably a fair estimate this far out.https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/30425847/cheltenham-2015-bankers?post_id=543312285#543312285If UDS is 1.5 to run, it must be worth laying a place at 1.36 (current price on left-hand side).I don't agree or disagree, but I think 1.5 is probably a fair estimate this far out.Wed, 28 Jan 2015 14:52:24 -0600