New Posts For Thread: What are the most MEANINGFUL stats of the festival iyo.https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/30216597/what-are-the-most-meaningful-stats-of-the-festival-iyoI like the RSA novice chase one .The last 50 winners have all had a prep run during the calendar year . Which unfortunately rules out my fancy , MORNING ASSEMBLY .sorry, that was SP fav on their previous start not at Cheltenham itself, doh sorryhttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/30216597/what-are-the-most-meaningful-stats-of-the-festival-iyo?post_id=538311577#538311577sorry, that was SP fav on their previous start not at Cheltenham itself, doh sorrySat, 08 Mar 2014 04:42:49 -0600judo didn't alderwood and at fishers cross start favourites last year and both won???https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/30216597/what-are-the-most-meaningful-stats-of-the-festival-iyo?post_id=538311533#538311533judo didn't alderwood and at fishers cross start favourites last year and both won???Sat, 08 Mar 2014 04:40:39 -0600Neptune: D./M. Pipe combined 36 runners, 3 placed, 0 winners since 1990RSA Chase: no horse that ran under flat rules ever won the racePrep in a handicap for a non handicap Festival race: the last 194 to try this method provided 3 winnersSince 2008, Ahttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/30216597/what-are-the-most-meaningful-stats-of-the-festival-iyo?post_id=538311431#538311431Neptune: D./M. Pipe combined 36 runners, 3 placed, 0 winners since 1990RSA Chase: no horse that ran under flat rules ever won the racePrep in a handicap for a non handicap Festival race: the last 194 to try this method provided 3 winnersSince 2008, ASat, 08 Mar 2014 04:29:15 -0600Stats are useful up to a point. Take the "must have raced in the same calendar year" stat -- if that is all it is, then 3 days for Morning Assembly is neither here nor there.It's a warning light, not a stop sign. Why did the losers not race in the sahttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/30216597/what-are-the-most-meaningful-stats-of-the-festival-iyo?post_id=538310675#538310675Stats are useful up to a point. Take the "must have raced in the same calendar year" stat -- if that is all it is, then 3 days for Morning Assembly is neither here nor there.It's a warning light, not a stop sign. Why did the losers not race in the saSat, 08 Mar 2014 02:51:20 -0600Ibrahima, I can not take the credit for that post. It was on a thread a while ago. Some trends are good but you need to look deep into them to have a realistic outcome.https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/30216597/what-are-the-most-meaningful-stats-of-the-festival-iyo?post_id=538310557#538310557Ibrahima, I can not take the credit for that post. It was on a thread a while ago. Some trends are good but you need to look deep into them to have a realistic outcome.Sat, 08 Mar 2014 02:28:18 -0600Ming_the_Merciless 08 Mar 14 07:18 Joined: 22 May 09 | Topic/replies: 2,319 | Blogger: Ming_the_Merciless's blogBest hurdler wins the Arkle..... certainly +evRate reply: | report block userYear. Winner. Highest rated hurdler2https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/30216597/what-are-the-most-meaningful-stats-of-the-festival-iyo?post_id=538310545#538310545Ming_the_Merciless 08 Mar 14 07:18 Joined: 22 May 09 | Topic/replies: 2,319 | Blogger: Ming_the_Merciless's blogBest hurdler wins the Arkle..... certainly +evRate reply: | report block userYear. Winner. Highest rated hurdler2Sat, 08 Mar 2014 02:25:36 -0600good post brandy.stats are for lazy people, each runner should be judged on form.https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/30216597/what-are-the-most-meaningful-stats-of-the-festival-iyo?post_id=538310451#538310451good post brandy.stats are for lazy people, each runner should be judged on form.Sat, 08 Mar 2014 02:05:08 -0600In the last 12 years only 9 horses have gone to post not having had a run in that calendar year. In 5 of the last 12 years every horse had run in calendar year. So there is only 7 years that had horses who fit the bill running in itOf those 9 horses,https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/30216597/what-are-the-most-meaningful-stats-of-the-festival-iyo?post_id=538310401#538310401In the last 12 years only 9 horses have gone to post not having had a run in that calendar year. In 5 of the last 12 years every horse had run in calendar year. So there is only 7 years that had horses who fit the bill running in itOf those 9 horses,Sat, 08 Mar 2014 01:42:01 -0600Best hurdler wins the Arkle..... certainly +evhttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/30216597/what-are-the-most-meaningful-stats-of-the-festival-iyo?post_id=538310357#538310357Best hurdler wins the Arkle..... certainly +evSat, 08 Mar 2014 01:18:44 -0600You may be right Zealot, but you don't know! 5% = 1/20, so 0/50 is not that much of a stretch. The 5% for the RSA could of course be more or less. Heads vs tails is 1/2, but 0/10 is not uncommon.https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/30216597/what-are-the-most-meaningful-stats-of-the-festival-iyo?post_id=538304041#538304041You may be right Zealot, but you don't know! 5% = 1/20, so 0/50 is not that much of a stretch. The 5% for the RSA could of course be more or less. Heads vs tails is 1/2, but 0/10 is not uncommon.Fri, 07 Mar 2014 14:45:46 -0600