New Posts For Thread: Long Term Betting Strategieshttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/29781281/long-term-betting-strategiesFollowing a couple of conversations recently I thought I would post a few of my long term betting strategies and ask you to post yours. Hopefully you will get the gist from a few of the examples below. Some are 'empirical' and just based on experiencnever back trainers out of form going in to it, they will have had few winners to test water in last 14 days.and more important dont just look see many winners they had ,look at all there last runners see if there anything you fancied and run belowhttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/29781281/long-term-betting-strategies?post_id=529318507#529318507never back trainers out of form going in to it, they will have had few winners to test water in last 14 days.and more important dont just look see many winners they had ,look at all there last runners see if there anything you fancied and run belowSun, 24 Feb 2013 12:53:08 -0600Stats or trends are something i rarely use as a punter. If u use them say as a way of eliminating contenders, a narrowing of the field then fair enough. They will always be broken by design though, u must be aware of that. The main issue i have withhttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/29781281/long-term-betting-strategies?post_id=529281685#529281685Stats or trends are something i rarely use as a punter. If u use them say as a way of eliminating contenders, a narrowing of the field then fair enough. They will always be broken by design though, u must be aware of that. The main issue i have withSat, 23 Feb 2013 06:45:18 -0600I think the one problem with these trends-based approaches is that it's too easy to assume people going against one would make level stakes losses because they would always do the same.For example, the thread about Dynaste and the RSA has sparked a lhttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/29781281/long-term-betting-strategies?post_id=529270969#529270969I think the one problem with these trends-based approaches is that it's too easy to assume people going against one would make level stakes losses because they would always do the same.For example, the thread about Dynaste and the RSA has sparked a lFri, 22 Feb 2013 17:03:52 -0600thou shalt not preach, would be my best piece of advice to anyone as regards betting strategy.https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/29781281/long-term-betting-strategies?post_id=529270839#529270839thou shalt not preach, would be my best piece of advice to anyone as regards betting strategy.Fri, 22 Feb 2013 16:58:37 -0600Champion hurdle: only 6-8 yr olds. not the supreme winner, but placed horses considered World hurdle: never 5yos. never 10yr +, RSA: never the feltham winner, but like horses that place in that race for the festival. look for horses rated 130 - 145https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/29781281/long-term-betting-strategies?post_id=529269205#529269205Champion hurdle: only 6-8 yr olds. not the supreme winner, but placed horses considered World hurdle: never 5yos. never 10yr +, RSA: never the feltham winner, but like horses that place in that race for the festival. look for horses rated 130 - 145Fri, 22 Feb 2013 15:59:33 -0600Aren't Paul Jones' stats free already on ATR website?https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/29781281/long-term-betting-strategies?post_id=529252635#529252635Aren't Paul Jones' stats free already on ATR website?Fri, 22 Feb 2013 06:58:15 -0600budd I certainly agree about having more than 1 in a race, dreadful when you fancy a couple and you go for one and the other comes in.https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/29781281/long-term-betting-strategies?post_id=529252337#529252337budd I certainly agree about having more than 1 in a race, dreadful when you fancy a couple and you go for one and the other comes in.Fri, 22 Feb 2013 06:41:59 -0600You're not wasting your time it's a good debate and some of us may learn something. Paul Jones book arrives early next week and since I have been getting that book 2007 I have had better Cheltenham, but because it has the top horses going I often havhttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/29781281/long-term-betting-strategies?post_id=529252309#529252309You're not wasting your time it's a good debate and some of us may learn something. Paul Jones book arrives early next week and since I have been getting that book 2007 I have had better Cheltenham, but because it has the top horses going I often havFri, 22 Feb 2013 06:40:16 -0600When it comes to Cheltenham always be aware that the unexpected can happen at anytime.Be open minded and treat ever horse in every race on its own merit.Irrespective of age,jockey,trainer. If it goes in the ground,distance looks ok and is in good forhttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/29781281/long-term-betting-strategies?post_id=529252263#529252263When it comes to Cheltenham always be aware that the unexpected can happen at anytime.Be open minded and treat ever horse in every race on its own merit.Irrespective of age,jockey,trainer. If it goes in the ground,distance looks ok and is in good forFri, 22 Feb 2013 06:37:07 -0600Surely not wasting your time if you've sparked lively debate, not much fun if we all just said "Spot on, judo, that's horse racing sorted, let's move on to football"https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/29781281/long-term-betting-strategies?post_id=529251721#529251721Surely not wasting your time if you've sparked lively debate, not much fun if we all just said "Spot on, judo, that's horse racing sorted, let's move on to football"Fri, 22 Feb 2013 05:54:40 -0600