New Posts For Thread: RSA Stats say Grands Crus won't win if he goes for ithttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28967769/rsa-stats-say-grands-crus-wont-win-if-he-goes-for-itMost interesting stat I read about was all of the last 48 runners have ran in the same calendar year prior to the festival. That stat would rule Grands Crus out. Although it would be hard to believe the fact he last ran boxing day would rule him out.Time For Rupert last year ... it is becoming the kiss of death for a novice it being talked up for a Gold Cup.https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28967769/rsa-stats-say-grands-crus-wont-win-if-he-goes-for-it?post_id=517591131#517591131Time For Rupert last year ... it is becoming the kiss of death for a novice it being talked up for a Gold Cup.Thu, 15 Mar 2012 23:29:17 -0500We get this cr@p every year and they end up winning nowt every time.https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28967769/rsa-stats-say-grands-crus-wont-win-if-he-goes-for-it?post_id=517590765#517590765We get this cr@p every year and they end up winning nowt every time.Thu, 15 Mar 2012 23:03:45 -0500The stats don't liehttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28967769/rsa-stats-say-grands-crus-wont-win-if-he-goes-for-it?post_id=517518791#517518791The stats don't lieWed, 14 Mar 2012 09:53:20 -0500I remember when Motjeu's didnt get up the hill Come on we can do better than a calender year stathttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28967769/rsa-stats-say-grands-crus-wont-win-if-he-goes-for-it?post_id=517183933#517183933I remember when Motjeu's didnt get up the hill Come on we can do better than a calender year statMon, 05 Mar 2012 09:57:21 -0600useful thieveshttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28967769/rsa-stats-say-grands-crus-wont-win-if-he-goes-for-it?post_id=517183031#517183031useful thievesMon, 05 Mar 2012 09:29:00 -0600Applying narrow trends race by race isn't for me to be honest, however many years they apply to. I have a cut off point for absence fro the track for all the top non-handicaps at the festival which is 84 days. Would eliminate Quevega every year buthttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28967769/rsa-stats-say-grands-crus-wont-win-if-he-goes-for-it?post_id=517182935#517182935Applying narrow trends race by race isn't for me to be honest, however many years they apply to. I have a cut off point for absence fro the track for all the top non-handicaps at the festival which is 84 days. Would eliminate Quevega every year butMon, 05 Mar 2012 09:24:42 -0600My missus is a blonde and I can confirm that a blonde is definitely slower than a red head!https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28967769/rsa-stats-say-grands-crus-wont-win-if-he-goes-for-it?post_id=517182071#517182071My missus is a blonde and I can confirm that a blonde is definitely slower than a red head!Mon, 05 Mar 2012 08:57:26 -0600I'm not arguing a case for Grand Crus, I'm simply pointing out the stat has no statistical merit.https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28967769/rsa-stats-say-grands-crus-wont-win-if-he-goes-for-it?post_id=517180339#517180339I'm not arguing a case for Grand Crus, I'm simply pointing out the stat has no statistical merit.Mon, 05 Mar 2012 07:58:20 -0600For example 6 of the last 10 years had all the horses with chances racing in the calendar year, so how can these races give any info on horses who hadn't raced in the year. Think of it as in, are blond people faster than red heads? If you have 10 blohttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28967769/rsa-stats-say-grands-crus-wont-win-if-he-goes-for-it?post_id=517180303#517180303For example 6 of the last 10 years had all the horses with chances racing in the calendar year, so how can these races give any info on horses who hadn't raced in the year. Think of it as in, are blond people faster than red heads? If you have 10 bloMon, 05 Mar 2012 07:57:01 -0600Yeah but its last 48 years mate, not 10. Then there is the Feltham statThen, I believe, there is the stat that says it has had 2 seasons over hurdles and they don't win this either.Then there is the non-stat that Ruby Walsh and Barry Geraghty, to namhttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28967769/rsa-stats-say-grands-crus-wont-win-if-he-goes-for-it?post_id=517180237#517180237Yeah but its last 48 years mate, not 10. Then there is the Feltham statThen, I believe, there is the stat that says it has had 2 seasons over hurdles and they don't win this either.Then there is the non-stat that Ruby Walsh and Barry Geraghty, to namMon, 05 Mar 2012 07:54:57 -0600