New Posts For Thread: hurricane flyhttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28882905/hurricane-flywell any idiots who havnt already backed it for chelt, ur screwed now, streets ahead of anything else, binocular been the next best obviouslyCan imagine if the races are put back to say mid April for some reason. Ch Hurdle would probably be reopened and a new book formed with The Fly opening at about 4/6 and all our earlier bigger prices out the window.https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28882905/hurricane-fly?post_id=515797981#515797981Can imagine if the races are put back to say mid April for some reason. Ch Hurdle would probably be reopened and a new book formed with The Fly opening at about 4/6 and all our earlier bigger prices out the window.Tue, 31 Jan 2012 16:26:23 -0600That was my first ever festival; talk about being chucked in the deep end!!Never forget having Silver Jaro in the County Hurdle in the last race of the festival at 50/1, and when Cousin Vinny won the bumper when it was virtually pitch black at 5:50 ihttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28882905/hurricane-fly?post_id=515790329#515790329That was my first ever festival; talk about being chucked in the deep end!!Never forget having Silver Jaro in the County Hurdle in the last race of the festival at 50/1, and when Cousin Vinny won the bumper when it was virtually pitch black at 5:50 iTue, 31 Jan 2012 13:38:08 -0600tyhttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28882905/hurricane-fly?post_id=515790293#515790293tyTue, 31 Jan 2012 13:37:19 -0600That's effectively what they did after the wind incident 3 or 4 years ago. In the further past they've run bits of the meeting in April when it's been weathered off. That was also the initial plan in the foot and mouth year.https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28882905/hurricane-fly?post_id=515790187#515790187That's effectively what they did after the wind incident 3 or 4 years ago. In the further past they've run bits of the meeting in April when it's been weathered off. That was also the initial plan in the foot and mouth year.Tue, 31 Jan 2012 13:35:02 -0600thats what they did the other year,3 years ago,or was it 4?https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28882905/hurricane-fly?post_id=515790109#515790109thats what they did the other year,3 years ago,or was it 4?Tue, 31 Jan 2012 13:33:42 -0600Quick question to knowledgeable posters - if the ground is frozen on the 13 March 2012 ( I pray to God it is not ) - what happens ? Do they pack it all in to 3 days ?????https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28882905/hurricane-fly?post_id=515789995#515789995Quick question to knowledgeable posters - if the ground is frozen on the 13 March 2012 ( I pray to God it is not ) - what happens ? Do they pack it all in to 3 days ?????Tue, 31 Jan 2012 13:31:21 -0600It is possible to work out if NRNB is value over normal AP as follows. The only advantage you get is if your horse is a Non runner . e.g CH lad NrnB price v best price Grandouet 6/1 v 7/1 this estimates an approx 17% chance of the horse not runnhttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28882905/hurricane-fly?post_id=515773723#515773723It is possible to work out if NRNB is value over normal AP as follows. The only advantage you get is if your horse is a Non runner . e.g CH lad NrnB price v best price Grandouet 6/1 v 7/1 this estimates an approx 17% chance of the horse not runnTue, 31 Jan 2012 06:47:58 -0600And he is essentially correct - just a little too rigid in what he's saying.The important point to note is that each bet must be assessed differently, and that 2/1 NRNB for the Fly against 5/2 ante-post is not such a bad deal at all, given doubts abohttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28882905/hurricane-fly?post_id=515768567#515768567And he is essentially correct - just a little too rigid in what he's saying.The important point to note is that each bet must be assessed differently, and that 2/1 NRNB for the Fly against 5/2 ante-post is not such a bad deal at all, given doubts aboTue, 31 Jan 2012 02:11:50 -0600can see where eric is coming from and it works both ways ......as an example oscars well was 25s pre pricewise tip at lads nrnb and the same price at billys normal ante post ....so no one in thier right mind would back it at billys, shirley .......huhttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28882905/hurricane-fly?post_id=515768531#515768531can see where eric is coming from and it works both ways ......as an example oscars well was 25s pre pricewise tip at lads nrnb and the same price at billys normal ante post ....so no one in thier right mind would back it at billys, shirley .......huTue, 31 Jan 2012 02:09:34 -0600Seems to me that Eric is trying to help people here,tad unfair imo to slate him for that.If you think hes wrong,fine,say thanks but no thanks,but having a go at someone who means well?https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28882905/hurricane-fly?post_id=515768287#515768287Seems to me that Eric is trying to help people here,tad unfair imo to slate him for that.If you think hes wrong,fine,say thanks but no thanks,but having a go at someone who means well?Tue, 31 Jan 2012 01:48:23 -0600