New Posts For Thread: HEY BIG SPENDER ...Gold Cup lively outsider 100/1https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28844289/hey-big-spender-gold-cup-lively-outsider-1001I have had this fella in mind for a few years now as one that could improve thru the ranks to take a part in the Gold Cup one day.No doubt this is a decent era for quality staying chasers but again today this lovely horse showed what a thouroughly smFor what its worth I would be tempted by 66s e/w on the day.https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28844289/hey-big-spender-gold-cup-lively-outsider-1001?post_id=515113087#515113087For what its worth I would be tempted by 66s e/w on the day.Mon, 16 Jan 2012 16:35:02 -0600Alwayshttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28844289/hey-big-spender-gold-cup-lively-outsider-1001?post_id=515099663#515099663AlwaysMon, 16 Jan 2012 10:49:23 -0600Right of course but you take my point - it's all about price basically.https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28844289/hey-big-spender-gold-cup-lively-outsider-1001?post_id=515099203#515099203Right of course but you take my point - it's all about price basically.Mon, 16 Jan 2012 10:38:39 -0600That's perfectly true Roger - but that's also a short route to the poor house because 100/1 shots don't come in once every 100 races (i.e. the rate of return is highly unpredictable). It's also the end of the market where the bookies make thier margihttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28844289/hey-big-spender-gold-cup-lively-outsider-1001?post_id=515096907#515096907That's perfectly true Roger - but that's also a short route to the poor house because 100/1 shots don't come in once every 100 races (i.e. the rate of return is highly unpredictable). It's also the end of the market where the bookies make thier margiMon, 16 Jan 2012 09:37:36 -0600Also, whu do people say 'he won't win?'He only has to win (theoretically)once in 100 runnings of the race for the OP to turn a profit.Like he says, good luck in spendind that £1 you make for £100 exposure for anyone actually betting 'he won't win'.https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28844289/hey-big-spender-gold-cup-lively-outsider-1001?post_id=515093771#515093771Also, whu do people say 'he won't win?'He only has to win (theoretically)once in 100 runnings of the race for the OP to turn a profit.Like he says, good luck in spendind that £1 you make for £100 exposure for anyone actually betting 'he won't win'.Mon, 16 Jan 2012 08:06:31 -0600Why do people, including the connections, think HBS wants it desperate? Am I taking a different form book to everyone else???https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28844289/hey-big-spender-gold-cup-lively-outsider-1001?post_id=515093623#515093623Why do people, including the connections, think HBS wants it desperate? Am I taking a different form book to everyone else???Mon, 16 Jan 2012 08:01:43 -0600sintonian 16 Jan 12 12:44 It only takes one or two of the main contenders to blnder badly and the race becomes wide open.and for hbs not to blunder badly...could be a problem there...could also be a problem for tizzard to get enough water out ofhttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28844289/hey-big-spender-gold-cup-lively-outsider-1001?post_id=515092701#515092701sintonian 16 Jan 12 12:44 It only takes one or two of the main contenders to blnder badly and the race becomes wide open.and for hbs not to blunder badly...could be a problem there...could also be a problem for tizzard to get enough water out ofMon, 16 Jan 2012 07:31:49 -0600OK, it's your moneyhttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28844289/hey-big-spender-gold-cup-lively-outsider-1001?post_id=515091573#515091573OK, it's your moneyMon, 16 Jan 2012 06:49:11 -0600It only takes one or two of the main contenders to blnder badly and the race becomes wide open.https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28844289/hey-big-spender-gold-cup-lively-outsider-1001?post_id=515091443#515091443It only takes one or two of the main contenders to blnder badly and the race becomes wide open.Mon, 16 Jan 2012 06:44:37 -0600Nope, I mean I'd confidently expoect him to finish in the first five! That also includes, 4th, 3rd, 2nd and, er, 1st, strontium.As you can tell, I am of the persuassion that races are run on racecourses not ratings.https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/28844289/hey-big-spender-gold-cup-lively-outsider-1001?post_id=515090489#515090489Nope, I mean I'd confidently expoect him to finish in the first five! That also includes, 4th, 3rd, 2nd and, er, 1st, strontium.As you can tell, I am of the persuassion that races are run on racecourses not ratings.Mon, 16 Jan 2012 06:12:01 -0600