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artixx
01 Jan 13 22:56
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Date Joined: 28 Oct 09
| Topic/replies: 79,794 | Blogger: artixx's blog
I have dallas and atlanta handicap.
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Report map January 2, 2013 3:03 AM GMT
i didnt..im wondering about clippers..anyone bet or watching that
Report map January 2, 2013 3:03 AM GMT
and what about the LA game?
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:03 AM GMT
come on knicks, OT please.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:04 AM GMT
would be lolicious
Report map January 2, 2013 3:04 AM GMT
lol
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:04 AM GMT
very unlikely though
Report map January 2, 2013 3:04 AM GMT
noone watched any of clippers game? damnit
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:05 AM GMT
HELD BALL
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:05 AM GMT
WHATEVER that means
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:05 AM GMT
missed the 3
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:05 AM GMT
YOU CLOWN
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:06 AM GMT
lost my pictures
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:06 AM GMT
Cry
Report Darlo Bantam January 2, 2013 3:07 AM GMT
My feed has frozen right at the bloody death.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:07 AM GMT
you lost knicks
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:07 AM GMT
same here, darlo
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:07 AM GMT
silly wisewords, threw away £60 profit there
Report Darlo Bantam January 2, 2013 3:07 AM GMT
I can see Portland have won from the market but my game is stuck on 13.8 seconds to go.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:08 AM GMT
by not greening out at the necessary time
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:08 AM GMT
oh well, +23.50 better than a red, eh darlo?
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:08 AM GMT
right.. MAP OF THE WORLD.. which match you wanna concentrate on?
Report Darlo Bantam January 2, 2013 3:09 AM GMT
Green is good.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:10 AM GMT
keep building the mountain, and all that
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:11 AM GMT
one day i'm gonna slam my full bank on an NBA team down 16
Report Darlo Bantam January 2, 2013 3:11 AM GMT
Like Heat last night at 6.4?
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:11 AM GMT
that day will be crazy, but i will do it.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:11 AM GMT
yes, darlo.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:12 AM GMT
not decided on a certain team or anything like that. but i smell the comeback if i watch the whole game. the commentators help alot
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:12 AM GMT
i put £20 on the heat at 6.8 last night
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:12 AM GMT
as a laugh, and it won Whoops
Report Darlo Bantam January 2, 2013 3:13 AM GMT
I keep thinking about laying a shortie on the football in a 1-0 or drawn match. For a one-off max lay, 1.0x is too short for one kick of a ball.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:13 AM GMT
Darlo, you're right. It's very possible to find these sort of lays in football betting too
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:14 AM GMT
the way i figure is if i'm willing to risk any money on something, then it must be quite likely to happen.
Report Darlo Bantam January 2, 2013 3:14 AM GMT
I had a two or three week spell where I thought "this would be the one". I did it five or six times, and each time, they lost. As a multiple (impossible I know) it would have been better odds than winning the lottery.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:15 AM GMT
i'm pretty angry with myself that i didn't manipulate my book in the 3rd there, when i could see exactly what would happen.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:16 AM GMT
i could see that the knicks would close the score up, but eventually lose. they'd blown their time outs, they were conceding too many 3's.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:16 AM GMT

Jan 1, 2013 -- 9:14PM, Darlo Bantam wrote:


I had a two or three week spell where I thought "this would be the one". I did it five or six times, and each time, they lost. As a multiple (impossible I know) it would have been better odds than winning the lottery.


was this with a multiple every time? or single bets?

Report Darlo Bantam January 2, 2013 3:19 AM GMT
I mean had I used the profit each time I'd be looking at massive odds.

There was a horse in-running at 1.01 (mind I would have laid at odds-on because of the commentator and it lost for entirely different reasons anyway)
A horse 1.20 pre-off and then 1.35 in-running.
A volleyball match (I don't even know how to play) which was 1.01
An Italian match where I was even calculating a lay at 1.04
A basketball match at 1.01

No times did I put any money on. I've just been trying to calculate in my head when to lay shorties for future use. Gutted I never once took any heed of my own inkling.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:20 AM GMT
and these all got gubbed?
Report Darlo Bantam January 2, 2013 3:21 AM GMT
Yep. They were gubbed. I was gutted.
Report Darlo Bantam January 2, 2013 3:22 AM GMT
But how on earth would I think "let's lay this 1.01 volleyball"? I didn't know the teams, didn't know the scoring, etc, etc. It was nothing more than a hunch. A very good as it transpired.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:22 AM GMT
It happens all the time. People have no patience. They just want to back o2.5 in the Man Utd match at 1.78 and become rich.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:23 AM GMT

Jan 1, 2013 -- 9:22PM, Darlo Bantam wrote:


But how on earth would I think "let's lay this 1.01 volleyball"? I didn't know the teams, didn't know the scoring, etc, etc. It was nothing more than a hunch. A very good as it transpired.


I have similar 'stupid' inclinations. But notice that you also may have them for things that don't occour, but you forget about those

Report Darlo Bantam January 2, 2013 3:23 AM GMT
My own strategy is all about patience. Lots of it. Once in a while, I just want to rip it all up and lay a short price for a lot and become rich!!
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:24 AM GMT
Darlo, patience is the biggest factor to successful betting. And also NO BET.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:24 AM GMT
I used to look for a bet when there was nothing there when I was a noob.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:25 AM GMT
Thought I had to bet on everything to win alot.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:25 AM GMT
This afternoon, on the 3pm KO's, I sat there and in the end I made 2 bets in the whole time. There was about 100 games going on
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:25 AM GMT
one bet earnt me £100, and the other earnt me £25.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:26 AM GMT
considered countless others that won, and also a couple that lost too. important thing was that i took only ones that won.
Report Darlo Bantam January 2, 2013 3:27 AM GMT
I try and make as many bets as I can. I don't mind if they only make 1p sometimes. But that's why I need patience, because sometimes I need lots of small wins to add up. But I totally appreciate what you mean about not forcing a bet where one doesn't exist.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:28 AM GMT
That comes from desperation to win more green. The green will arrive in mysterious ways.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:29 AM GMT
but the day will come, and i will lay a very short price for my whole bank.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:29 AM GMT
nuggets doing a nice job here.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:30 AM GMT
market has no clue about this game, hence the little money traded on it
Report Darlo Bantam January 2, 2013 3:31 AM GMT
There was a match a few weeks ago where both teams traded 1.01 right on the buzzer. That's the time to lay a short price!!
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:34 AM GMT
Laugh
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:35 AM GMT
also in soccer, in a goalfest game, it can be 0-0 ht, and the price for under 3.5 and under 4.5 can be very short
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:35 AM GMT
lay these big, and become RICH
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:35 AM GMT
example from today: swindon v portsmouth. 0-0 ht, 0-0 until about 60 mins, 5-0 ft.
Report Darlo Bantam January 2, 2013 3:36 AM GMT
There must be some modelling which makes goal markets trade at the correct prices, but I do look at them and think the price drop is too linear.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:38 AM GMT
doesn't factor in 'collapse' though
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:39 AM GMT
as in, once the first goal goes in against them, certain teams will collapse
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:39 AM GMT
whereas other teams will harden in their resolve. it's about knowing the teams makeup / confidence / ability etc
Report Darlo Bantam January 2, 2013 3:40 AM GMT
I don't think it factors in the fact a goal is more important late on. If you're 1-0 down after 19 minutes you have 71 to score. 1-0 down after 89 minutes and you need to score. Which also leaves gaps at the other end.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:43 AM GMT
that collapse effect is huge though. a team low on confidence in a relegation dogfight will start to fall to pieces when they concede against a strong in form team late on
Report Darlo Bantam January 2, 2013 3:45 AM GMT
Yeah. I've seen it first hand a few times.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:48 AM GMT
clippers streak in big danger
Report Darlo Bantam January 2, 2013 3:50 AM GMT
Very big danger.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:56 AM GMT
think they can put together a big run?
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:57 AM GMT
even if they don't win, a run to close within 5 say?
Report Darlo Bantam January 2, 2013 3:58 AM GMT
The script would suggest so!
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 3:59 AM GMT
i got that feeling, but their shooting from far out has been pretty bad
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 4:00 AM GMT
think it's dead
Report Darlo Bantam January 2, 2013 4:00 AM GMT
Agree. This game is done now.
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 4:01 AM GMT
if they did recover, the NBA would be going on about it for ages
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 4:02 AM GMT
like OH MY GOD GREATEST COMEBACK
Report Darlo Bantam January 2, 2013 4:05 AM GMT
Game well and truly over so that's me done too.
Report map January 2, 2013 4:05 AM GMT
nothing to it
Report map January 2, 2013 4:05 AM GMT
thats why im number 1Excited
Report map January 2, 2013 4:05 AM GMT
oh wow clips getting killed
Report map January 2, 2013 4:13 AM GMT
hmm anyone watching la
Report map January 2, 2013 4:16 AM GMT
wheres everyone gone they were talking few mins back
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 4:28 AM GMT
sorry map, was away
Report map January 2, 2013 4:30 AM GMT
ah hey
Report map January 2, 2013 4:30 AM GMT
watching la?
Report wisewords January 2, 2013 4:38 AM GMT
yeah, down 4 at ht
Report map January 2, 2013 4:40 AM GMT
what to do eh any idea with that game
Report map January 2, 2013 4:40 AM GMT
spread for them with books is -4.5 so they're -8.5 for 2nd half
Report map January 2, 2013 4:41 AM GMT
total 202.5
Report map January 2, 2013 4:56 AM GMT
geez
Report map January 2, 2013 4:58 AM GMT
damn down 8
Report map January 2, 2013 5:01 AM GMT
6pt game la shooting good %
Report map January 2, 2013 5:02 AM GMT
reckon it's gonna be close till the end but LA win by 2-3
Report map January 2, 2013 5:04 AM GMT
6pt game still come on kobe
Report map January 2, 2013 5:05 AM GMT
boom 2pt game
Report map January 2, 2013 5:05 AM GMT
LAKERS LAKERS
Report map January 2, 2013 5:05 AM GMT
Excited
Report map January 2, 2013 5:43 AM GMT
damn la looks like GSM they lose
Report map January 2, 2013 5:54 AM GMT
103-99 la lose at homre by 4 sheesh
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