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value bet
19 Dec 18 19:26
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Date Joined: 12 Feb 03
| Topic/replies: 7,508 | Blogger: value bet's blog
Good evening punters, we started on only 1-2 fittest selectins live on course at Caulfield for nice profits.

How it unfolded.

•    Race 1   Tips 5-9  Results 5-9 Winner $1.80, 9 $3.20 place. Quinella $12.60, Exacta $14.20
•    Race 2.  Tips 7-3 Results 7-5-4-3 Winner $3.10
•    Race 3.  Tips 11-1 Half Bet called, 1 3rd @ $4.00
•    Race 4. Tips 4-5, 4 second at $1.40
•    Race 5. Tips 2-3, results 3-2, Winner $2.70, 2 paid $1.80, Quinella and Exacta returned $15.30
•    Race 6. Tips 3-8, Half Bet called, 000
•    Race 7. Tips 2-4, results 4-2, Winner $3.60, Quinella and exacta returned $25.50, 2 paid $2.10 a place
•    Race 8. Tips 1-5, No bet. Results 12-5-1 with both 5-1 paying big place dividends.

Summary:

•    I liked 5 races, 1st fittest won or placed in the 5/5 races, exotics returned a huge $67.60 (Spent $15) Profit of $52.50 or 350%)

•    Fittest horse a place looks a good bet and never missed in the races I liked. 100% strike rate and ran in 7/8 races.


The Edge:

I get a 2nd look at fitness plus I can see the different quality in the runners.

Maybe Saturday again.


Note:

I send out emails and SMS to members, we have Saturday racing, Wednesday and twilight races and all members want different times.

You have to reply please for me to put you on and not after 3-4 races, saying where are my tips? Thank You

Regards

James
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Report value bet December 22, 2018 9:51 PM GMT
100/1 Fitness Tip gets up.

Good morning punters,  hard work yesterday live on-course at Flemington and here are the highlights 1-2 tips only.

•    Red Choux’s       3rd at 100/1 and pays $20 place and opens up $14,000 in massive exotics.
•    Penny To Sell    Wins at $13 / $3.80 a place
•    Quinella +. 1-2 finish    My Pendant $3.30 / Notation $31.00
•    O’Tauto           2nds  $2.50 place
•    Lycurgus          2nd $1.90
•    Berisha           3rd $2.00
•    Fallen Empire     Wins at $3.40 / $1.45
•    Cash Affair        2nd $1.80 exotics here returned $20
•    Order of Command   Wins $2.20 / $1.30
•    Haunted            3rd at $1.45 place.

Our 1st fittest horse a place now looks like this:

W/W/W/W/L/W/W/W/W/L/L/W/W/W/W/L/L

19 Place bets fittest horse – 14 win  - 74% strike rate.

Unable to do races most of this week, back soon and many thanks and have a safe and merry Xmas.

Regards

James
Report value bet December 29, 2018 4:18 PM GMT
100% Club Fitness strikes gold 1st up.

Good morning members, a great days fitness tipping 1-2 horses only for profits yesterday and a full report later tonight.

•    Our new 100% Club Fitness struck gold during the day with 1 100% fitness tip and that was Alizee winning in a cake walk
and paying nicely on $2.90 x $1.30.

•    Bet $2 and return $4.20 so a 220% ROI.

•    Our 1st fittest tips would have to be running at 85% place strike rate and maybe our 1-2 fittest tips over 90% place strike rate,
with many both running in the money.

•    I have been on course and off course lately and it sure sharpen your eye up again by doing both venues.

•    I tipped a $6 winner on top and the 12 (2nd fittest  @ $20) running 4th, this made over a $20,000 in exotic collected, nice.

At this stage LIVE ONCOURSE at Sandown on Wednesday.

More later.

Regards

James
Report value bet December 29, 2018 9:31 PM GMT
Will advise New Year’s Day racing -  Sandown Live on-course Wednesday.

Summary live fitness ratings Saturday 29th December 2018. NO FORM STUDY.

These are fitter horses maybe you should have bet on: Welcome to new members.

This is how our betting card unfolded, we passed on several races and these are the horses I posted in 1-2 fitness.

Moonee Valley

Winner   1st tip    Yes Yes Yes                                 $1.85 - $1.18
Winner   1st tip    Mahis Angel                                 $1.70 place
Winner   1st tip    Crack The Code                              $3.40 - $1.60
Winner   1st tip    Crimson Tears                               $1.60
Winner   1st tip    Al Galayel                                  $2.70 - $1.30
Winner   1st tip    Ashlor                                      $3.50 - $1.50
Winner 2nd Tip   Oceanex                                        $2.20 - $1.30
Winner 2nd tip     Masculino                                    $1.35 place
Winner 2nd tip    Thermal Current                               $2.10 place


Randwick

Winner 1st tip    Ori On Fire                                   $4.90 - $1.95    (2-12 tipped. Results 2-4-13-12 paid $20,000)
Winner  1st tip   Sweet Deal                                    $2.00 place
Winner  1st tip   Island Missile                                $3.30 place
Winner 1st tip (100%)  Alizee                                   $2.90 - $1.30  (100% Club fitness good thing wins)
Winner 1st tip   Tip Top                                        $3.60 - $1.55
Winner 1st tip  Kapajack                                        $1.55 place
Winner 2nd tip  Deprive                                         $1.80 - $1.16

Doomben

Winner   2nd tip  Brains                                         $11.70 - $2.70




Missed:       
1.    Valley                   1st – 2nd tips      Symphonette and   Sora         
2.    Randwick                 1st tip  Taniko                                    4th
3.    Doomben                  1st tip  Ignite the light       

We were on the ball.

15 tips / 1st tip - 12 were placed:  80% place strike rate – 83% place strike rate over all. Then 2nd tips also performed.

Regards

James
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