Charlie boy had his race ended in the straddie at the home turn Henry ... forget the run

Charlie boy also beat srikandi home the start before

do their hidden tendons change race by race ... or is it just another piece in the jigsaw puzzle ?

It's a fair assumption that you'd be splitting hairs to separate many of those running in a G1 Stradbroke, isn't it? Ffs

do their hidden tendons change race by race

Definitely can change ..most definitely.....depend on the training prior to the run....tendons strengthen (or weaken) depending on exercise regime....why physiotherapist etc recommend certain exercises to strengthen knees etc...

Same as excess fat on the horse ...

Hence no rationale in cross referencing  runs weeks apart

so we now have form from what a horse has done in the past ... we now have rear muscle depth/strength & blood counts ... we now have changing hidden tendons ... and of course changing trainer/jockey behaviour

... all this to contend with before the race begins

and we somehow think CH7 will make it all better for us   

ok henry I see it now 

exercises for tendons

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_fJaS7c2xQA

It IS the bog-snorkellers convention.

What did you expect?

Another huge day on the track for punters.                                         

Spread sheets up later this evening, I hope.


Cancelled out 4 races of the 9 on a big card (96%-95% and one 97%-96% with multiple horses), but those races still found

the Winners, Quinella, Trifecta’s and Pick 4, ON THE TOP LINE, if you had to bet, great results.


That left us with 5 suggested betting races of 98% - 97% on top in short numbers.

·                  3 Top horses won, other two ran 2nds at good place odds, which made big exotics.

·                  One 1st included a $10 winner; last to first on turn, and potential Group 1 horse, exciting stuff, just like @ Pakenham ( No 5 last               to 1st @ $15) with   Quinella,  Trifectas and a Gimme Pick 4 of $1,000 there to be taken.   

                   Last race 11/98% - 3,97% single stand outs,  then rest….12-11-7-3;     

                   Rover field one strategy, in Pick 4 for $150 and pick up 10% of $23,000 ($2,300) dividend, or $1500 for 100% of 

                   Pick 4 of $23,000



For what I do, this gig is hard yakka for an old man and if you decide to sit back and do stats for 12 months on who, why when and how, well it may all be too late.

It’s tough days, 3-4 times a week, rating over 400 horses, 20 hours driving and all the communications and summaries required.


Theirs no one else after me, unless you are around for another 400 years.


“Near Real Time Punting, at its best”

jim ... if you're picking up $1500 a day like you did yesterday ... hire yourself a driver (for $200 a day)

... plenty would grab at the chance ...

and maybe slip a tenner on the winner for your staff member as well ... to sweeten the pot

think outside the square ... you don't have to kill yourself with all this driving around

The dog fight in racing.



If a racing fan, you would have to come from another planet if you were not up to date with all the problems facing

Victorian broadcasting.



All I can say is that Victoria is replicating USA broadcasting rights, where each club have their own broadcastings

of their race day meetings.



Sounds good, only thing is USA racing is going backwards; big time and each club show the horses for 15 – 20 minutes

before the race, no adds, yet poor prize monies, poor ratings, punters are staying away from tracks and turnover is dying, why?



So let’s not think that is all honkey dory and start clapping hands and giving out high fives as we will

probably see similar board casting PLUS throw in hundreds of ads.


It is not an easy problem to fix.

I have rated about 40 fav.s; some odds on who are not the fittest in the race or are
surrounded by as fit horses, most get beat.


... what percentage of the faves did you find got beaten of the ones you assessed Jim ... 50%, 90% ????

If they're free......put them up on here, please.

Google- betfair forum, log in, post. A few simple keystokes -Simples

Like this

Seym R2

1 5 9 - 98

2 8 10 - 97

3 4 6 7 - 95

Why study the form and waste so much time?

I study no form guides, speed maps, videos, trials, tipsters, I just walk onto a race track and rate fittest horses

for punters and send out my MMS'S, 30 years experience.



    ·         When you see multiple horses on 96/95%, stay out or go wide, as even lot.
    ·         Get your betting strategies right and 97% upwards perform great, it is all out of my control how fit the horses present.
    ·         Sometimes horse/s will be missing, because too late in the yard, use you own strategies to include in  your exotic bets, I have to send.
    ·         Numbers in each line are not in selections, but in order when they come in the yard, each line is equal.
    ·         A % sign is how fit the favourite is, note and can help your strategies.


Is forum guide study just one big myth?

Jim

Forum's on fire

Yeah, " the arson squad is still investigating"

henryluca
I will consider a sign up latter in the week (when I have time)

... does it take a long time to sign up henry ?

Thebas-

does it take a long time to sign up

Beats me ...anticipate 20-30 mins ...but dont know....

Currently working through MP (USA) (Prisle D cancelled) (why not..cant waste the chocolates) ...then meetings this afternoon GC ...then Brisbane tomorrow.... .....

I am one for reading terms and conditions (on all documents)

Whilst answering questions isn't Jim's forte, I'll have a shot...

1. Why is the term "spreadsheet" used and why is a spreadsheet necessary...there are no calculations/totals required?

2. Aren't you just using a "table" or "grid" to put "2" numbers above "3" numbers above "4" numbers?

and now it's $6 per meeting ... formerly $50 per meeting??

Evening Betfair members.

Bookies bet %, Punters bet a No. who wins?  %Win

Good evening punters, another big winning today on 97% plus rated horses, as like on Wednesday.

Amazing stats of favourites on 96% fit with others around it is still showing up; losing.


I would say over 100 races with fav. @ 96% or less fit fav, with others around it; are losing  95%  of the time.

There is no better system than this to keep getting overs.


Last two days called 9 favourites on 96% fit with plenty breathing down around them and guess what; all have lost!

Who lost today because not fit enough:


1.    Sister Close  $2.40                       lost
2.    Yangon $2.40 early                        lost
3.    Duck Dynasty, well tried  @  $2.40        lost
4.    I’m The Goodes @  $3.20                   lost
5.    Violet Snow  @ 3.20 early                 lost
6.    Ten Goals  @ $3.20                        lost


Nailed my two races with 97% rated horses, with winners, Quinella, exactors, trifectas and big pick 4’s, totally nearly $1800 for short bets.

We are winning consistently 8/10 – or 9/10 meetings, nice.

Jim