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SecondComing
14 Sep 12 14:10
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Date Joined: 30 Jul 12
| Topic/replies: 6,259 | Blogger: SecondComing's blog
it does work you just can't be reckless and back every fav in every race, you have to have some sort of selection process, which I do, I will post the selection before each day, it's up to you guys to apply martingale correctly - I use a spreadsheet

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Replies: 242
By:
SecondComing
When: 14 Sep 12 14:21
15/9

Track          Race #   Time    Selection

Rosehill    2    120    ARINOSA
Doomben            3    150    ATTICA
Rosehill    3    200    COUP ACCLAIM
Morphettville    3    210    SNIP 'N' RUN
Moonee Valley    5    300    GOLDEN ARCHER
Rosehill    7    440    STOUT HEARTED
Morphettville    7    450    EL MAGICO
Carnarvon    4    457    MAKE US HAPPY
Belmont            6    600    PEGGIE'S DREAM
By:
SecondComing
When: 14 Sep 12 14:30
also on days like mon/tue/thurs/fri you can expect there not to be many selections if any, this is a long term approach and does involve maximum discipline
By:
spyvspy27
When: 14 Sep 12 14:54
What is your cut off point Mr 2nd?
By:
CrazySnake
When: 14 Sep 12 15:15
I dont know the martingale system Sad
By:
spyvspy27
When: 14 Sep 12 15:28
The normal martingale is primarily used on even money bets such as red or black on roulette etc
its basically a double up bet until you win, when you do, you're 1 unit up, would be infallible if there were no house limit.

What Mr 2nd is doing is a variation on it, of which there many
By:
CrazySnake
When: 14 Sep 12 15:36
Hmmmm, ok then I am familiar with it, just not by that name.
Actually, I also employed a variation on it at the casinos when I was younger. 1, 2 then 6 units when the same even money shot had hit 5 times running. Did pretty well with that one for a while, it may surprise you to know.
Shelved it when I watched the display get it clearly wrong and post the wrong winning number on several occasions.
By:
spyvspy27
When: 14 Sep 12 15:37
Whats wrong with you keeping track of the winning numbers yourself
By:
CrazySnake
When: 14 Sep 12 15:47
I was working 4 tables at once because 5 in a row of anything was somewhat rare. A lot of standing around.
By:
spyvspy27
When: 14 Sep 12 15:50
Misread your post Laugh
By:
spyvspy27
When: 14 Sep 12 15:54
But even 1 table will produce 5 even money pops continuously, not necessarily 5 reds or 5 blacks, but lets say 5 spins result in R,R,B,R,B, you just bet that the next 5 won't be a repeat of the previous, so your 1st bet would B, if missed, then B again, if missed then R, if missed then B, then R if that missed, that way you do as many spins as you like
By:
spyvspy27
When: 14 Sep 12 16:11
You are thinking about it aren't you Mr Snake/
By:
SecondComing
When: 14 Sep 12 21:43
staking plan is as follows:

when bank doubles, withdraw original bank, there on after whenever the back doubles again withdraw 33% of bank

no bet if any selection is less then even money, I am using 15 different betting systems (the selections are all done at the click of a button using software) all of which have a strike rate of around 40% on their own  merit but don't all show profit short term, you don't need to be a wiz to realize anything with a strike rate of 40% using a method like martingale, there's a good chance it will go well, considering my staking plan can take up to 10 losses in a row before a wipe
By:
bettingforfun
When: 14 Sep 12 22:05
GL today second, I started the martingale system today aswell as you no :)

Lets hope it works ,
By:
whoopi
When: 14 Sep 12 22:39
problem with the system is that it requires a lack of emotion that most people can't achieve.
By:
whoopi
When: 14 Sep 12 22:40
but very interesting thread nonetheless
By:
SecondComing
When: 15 Sep 12 00:05
I am using a $500 starting bank, I will post bets as things unfold :)
By:
megsy
When: 15 Sep 12 00:24
sounds interesting SC...will definately give it a try.
By:
Dark....Target
When: 15 Sep 12 00:33
Martingale does work, the maths behind it are irrefutable.

That is, if you have an unlimited bank, no ceiling on your bets, and a market that isn't effected by your waters going in it.
By:
Dark....Target
When: 15 Sep 12 00:35
* waters = wagers
By:
Thebas
When: 15 Sep 12 01:34
all the best SC for sure

and spot on D_T and spot on whoopi

everything goes along swimmingly til ... THE LONG LOSING RUN which challenges punting sanity



to paraphrase the two lads above
he who is 'emotionless' and with 'unlimited funds' & 'market access'
should not lose on the martingale machine

all who are watching here will be twiddling their thumbs i guess
to see what conduct & purpose might transpire
when an inevitable long losing run comes (might be months)


and if SC has taken out 'many banks profit' prior to that point
and can see the waves crashing towards him & quickly applys his life vest in time
he should live to fight on in new days of glory ... and withdraw many more profit banks again

and defy the gambling gods
By:
spyvspy27
When: 15 Sep 12 01:41
spyvspy27 14 Sep 12 15:28
The normal martingale is primarily used on even money bets such as red or black on roulette etc
its basically a double up bet until you win, when you do, you're 1 unit up, would be infallible if there were no house limit.

What Mr 2nd is doing is a variation on it, of which there many


I think anyone who knows the slightest thing about the martingale knows how it works and what its shortfalls are
By:
therhino
When: 15 Sep 12 01:53
Good luck SC wish you well, but tread carefully, has tragedy written all over it IMO if your going to apply it to racing. Read a lot about the Martingale a few months back and decided against, to apply it to racing I can't see how it would work long term. If it works short term then you fall in Love and logic/discipline goes out the window. No such thing as a completely emotionless punter.
By:
spyvspy27
When: 15 Sep 12 02:00
Mr Rhino, He is not playing straight martingale, he is adjusting stake depending on the odds of a horse by the look of it, he has more chance doing it that way on horses than someone playing straight martingale on roulette etc
By:
Otto_Von_Bismarck
When: 15 Sep 12 02:05
When your getting odd's,you can have a lot of Bet's in a row for not a lot of outlay.
By:
spyvspy27
When: 15 Sep 12 02:07
I do that everyday Herr Busyballs
By:
Otto_Von_Bismarck
When: 15 Sep 12 02:12
Herr Spy did you post that winner at Wyong ,before they jumped or after?,I didnt see it till after the race.You were talking to Herr Let;s at zee time unt I thought you were scticking to him Loudly Laughing.
By:
therhino
When: 15 Sep 12 02:14
I understand Spy, but I disagree it has a better chance with varied stakes applied to horses. All well and good until as posted above, the long losing streak comes, and it will come if you stay in long enough.
By:
spyvspy27
When: 15 Sep 12 02:18
After the race of course, had to stick to the normal modus operandi Laugh

Why I say it has a better chance on horses is because you can go longer than in a casino, their house limits stop you whereas on your horses its your bankroll or lack of it that can stop you
By:
therhino
When: 15 Sep 12 02:25
Which is no different essentially to lack of liquidity in a BF market or corporate bookies capping your stakes/kicking you out if your a successful winner. I still think the 'lay the draw' football system is the best betting system I have read about.
By:
Dark....Target
When: 15 Sep 12 02:26
Or, the tote pool size or how much you can actually get set for.
By:
Dark....Target
When: 15 Sep 12 02:27
If you forget about those minor details, you are on a winner Cool
By:
Otto_Von_Bismarck
When: 15 Sep 12 02:29
I zought zo Herr Schpy,Das is why I didn't Bang Boom you.Ha Ha
By:
Otto_Von_Bismarck
When: 15 Sep 12 02:34
Herr Target,when you have a big sequence running unt za next bet is a crackenspeil.If you get set very easily on here,zen you know za Jews are vorking za boards ja!!
By:
spyvspy27
When: 15 Sep 12 02:34
Still perfectly read race Herr Busyballs, I just didn't have time to post it pre race is all Laugh
By:
SecondComing
When: 15 Sep 12 03:26
I know the dangers of martingale, nobody knows about the dangers more then myself, I believe the success of martingale can only be reliant on 1 thing, that is a method which gives out consistent winners, you need consistency with this thing

which is why I have gone to measures to find methods that have 35-40% s/r

time will tell but I am supremely confident
By:
Winker
When: 15 Sep 12 04:10
Staking systems are the biggest scam in gambling. Basically if your selections wouldnt win with flat stakes betting in the long run, then no staking system can return a profit long term.
By:
SecondComing
When: 15 Sep 12 04:23
Arinosa wins Cool
By:
bettingforfun
When: 15 Sep 12 04:29
I got it at 3.00 bucks last night plus mad ea trade,

wish it was that easy all the time lol

my martingale is tanby the next
By:
spyvspy27
When: 15 Sep 12 04:31
Mr Winker, if you can price up very accurately then the kelly criterion is the perfect staking system
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