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secong coming.
24 Nov 10 01:00
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Date Joined: 31 Aug 07
| Topic/replies: 4,091 | Blogger: secong coming.'s blog
whats goin on .............z a bit touchy and used his clout? (massive bf turnover)

i wonder whether he pays pc?

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Replies: 145
By:
secong coming.
When: 24 Nov 10 01:16
kfc feel free to post your thoughts please. it was just warming up imo and i tend to be on your side
By:
laythefave
When: 24 Nov 10 01:27
I think that this comes back to the limitations that we need to place on ourselves when making accusations about anyone. Don't worry, I've been as guilty as others of doing it, but even if we have incontrovertible evidence, we still have to be very careful what we write.
By:
secong coming.
When: 24 Nov 10 01:38
ltf

i dont think accusations were flung just the facts.....zr gets rebates i am led to believe ,if its all above board whats the problem?

all the scabs should be made show what gives in respect of rebates.....shaving dividends now and again, its possible? who looks at them?
...and heres the biggie ROUNDING , why does the tab be able to do it yet coles or woolies charge 1.71 not 1.80 (the reverse of scab behavour)
By:
laythefave
When: 24 Nov 10 01:41
I think it had more to do with the VITAB stuff, Secong.

As far as rebates go, I'm with you. They are a public Company beholden to their shareholders, Tabcorp. And they should be forced to make full disclosure as to who gets kickbacks, how much those kickbacks cost, why they pay kickbacks, and who qualifies to get a kickback. I.E. How much do you have to T/over to get one.
By:
secong coming.
When: 24 Nov 10 01:51
yeah dj the argument about rounding doesnt stack up when fixed odds is doing exactly the opposite, shame we have incompetant state govt to enforce a change
they will argue the total take is 16% year round (incl rounding???) and have cheap takeouts on some races but doesnt hold water for the other 37689 races per year

ltf i think the t/o must be 30M to get 6%??? just a rumour
possible and kfc was seeming that zr gets more as t/o isnt a problen
By:
laythefave
When: 24 Nov 10 01:52
Respective Governments of all persuasions have allowed them to get away with it.

Before the new Victorian Government, whoever it may be, grants the next wagering license, they should have it written into the agreement that divis will be paid to the nearest 5 cents.

I bet they don't do it.
By:
laythefave
When: 24 Nov 10 01:53
thanks for that info, Secong.Grin
By:
secong coming.
When: 24 Nov 10 01:53
why not to the cent as in their own fixed odds!! idiots will only see t/o go UP if they took the blinkers off
By:
Back High Lay Low
When: 24 Nov 10 02:14
Perhaps they could round up for next 30 years to pay back the money they've taken Laugh
By:
jfc
When: 24 Nov 10 02:17
There's very little that I'm in a position to add.

I understand that Betfair (and other forums) could be liable for any defamation issues that may arise.

Therefore I strive to always confine myself to what is on the public record and what is in the public interest. Even though that material might ruffle feathers.

And I continually provide links to allow verification of my position.

However it appears that anyone here can report material as inappropriate. Whereupon the escalator of Betfair hierarchy reaches those decision makers unfamiliar with the contextual complexities.

Defamation lawyers confronted with this might instantly simply conclude it is inappropriate to use an emotive word like "fraud".

But were these lawyers aware of the context? That that word was unambiguously used in the Burbridge Report. Considering that this was a report commissioned by the ACT and led by prominent Sydney barrister Richard Burbridge, I fail to see how Betfair could get into trouble from references to that material.

Thankfully a university study has been made about these developments, and more informed debate would ensue if some studied that study.


http://www.vanuatu.usp.ac.fj/sol_adobe_documents/usp%20only/Vanuatu/Fossen.pdf
By:
Thebas
When: 24 Nov 10 04:26
i'm neither with you or 'agin' you jfc ... history is a fascination of mine ... tho the fossen report seems more to suggest a social issue rather than a legal issue ?

i did find it interesting & humerous on page 5 ... where the vanuatu finance minister was referd to ... his name being ... willy jimmy ... which is a current horse racing in the guy walter stable in sydney lol
By:
needawinner
When: 24 Nov 10 04:28
Willy jimmy is owned by.... very interesting Laugh
By:
secong coming.
When: 27 Apr 11 01:31
i still wonder if he pays pc?
By:
manikato
When: 24 Dec 11 11:20
Taxman targets the king of punters Zeljko Ranogajec

    by: Brendan Cormick and Cameron Stewart
    From: The Australian
    December 24, 2011 12:00AM

Zeljko Ranogajec enjoying a walk around Balmoral in Sydney. Picture: Craig Greenhill Source: The Australian

AUSTRALIA'S biggest gambler, a reclusive maths wiz who bets more than $1 billion each year, is being examined by the Australian Taxation Office.

Tasmanian-born Zeljko Ranogajec accounts for between 6 and 8 per cent of Tabcorp's $10bn Australian betting turnover and is said by experts to be the world's biggest punter.

Now, the mysterious son of Croatian immigrants faces an ATO audit, according to his business partner and fellow gambler David Walsh.

Ranogajec recently helped fund Walsh's dream of building Hobart's newest tourist drawcard, the $70 million Museum of Old and New Art and Walsh says he feels deeply indebted to his former university colleague.

"He is being audited (by the tax office) at the moment but I am sure it will turn out amicably," Walsh tells The Weekend Australian.

"Does he owe them money? I suspect he reckons he doesn't and they reckon he does."

Walsh says he and Ranogajec have discussed the audit, which he says is due to be completed by next September.

"The assumption that he owes them money depends on the assumption that gambling is taxable and that has never happened in Australia," Walsh says.

"At this stage no gambler in Australian history has ever been taxable."

The Weekend Australian understands that the ATO has asked Ranogajec for financial records going back seven years. Ranogajec, who is in Europe with his wife and daughter, did not respond to questions from The Weekend Australian and the ATO declined to comment, citing privacy provisions.

A man never spotted at racetracks or casinos, Ranogajec defies the image of the traditional flamboyant punter from the rich history of Australian thoroughbred racing. They wore expensive suits, had flash cars and dined at the best restaurants. They had names like "Hollywood" George Edser, the "Prince of Punters" Perc Galea, the "Filipino Fireball" Felipe Ysmael and Eddie "The Fireman" Birchley.

Ego drove them and, for some, was their downfall.

Not so Ranogajec. He has been dubbed the "Loch Ness Monster", simply because he is so rarely seen. Rivalled on the world stage only by a couple of Hong Kong's betting syndicates, he is the exact opposite of his punting rivals.

He is reclusive, loathes media attention and demands discretion from his employees and information and service providers.

He and his wife, Shelley Wilson, own properties across Australia including a $20m, 2000sq m waterfront property on two blocks at Sydney's Balmoral Beach.

Ranogajec is also believed to use the pseudonym John Wilson.

He has never granted an interview and has been nominated by racing websites as probably the world's biggest punter. A senior wagering source estimated the man known among the gambling elite simply by his Christian name, invests as much as $3bn across numerous international markets where pari mutuel (tote) systems operate, including the US, France, Britain and Hong Kong.

Besides horse racing, he bets on sport, lotteries and the stockmarket. Ranogajec has spent millions of dollars trying to find a legal way to "beat" lotto and has studied the stockmarket, looking for behavioural patterns and ways to manipulate share prices to his advantage under certain conditions.

In Australia, he bets on every thoroughbred race. There is no racing on Good Friday or Christmas Day, though you can bet a major race meeting in Japan tomorrow will not have escaped his attention.

Hundreds of bets are queued up in the TAB system and are placed in the final seconds as horses fill the barrier stalls, so that opportunistic betters cannot follow the money as the odds tumble. Win and place bets may fit into his repertoire, but the big money is in the exotics - trifectas (1st, 2nd, 3rd), quartets (the first four placegetters) and quaddies (the winners of four nominated races). These types of bets offer big pools and opportunities for big payouts.

At the major carnivals, when there is a lot of "mug money" wagered by uninformed and once-a-year punters, the rewards for Ranogajec are at their highest. A source at One Tote Tasmania said a file detailing his betting activities one Melbourne Cup Day was "an inch thick".

Betting on horses is not a perfect science. When champion mare Makybe Diva was preparing to win an unprecedented third Melbourne Cup in 2005, Ranogajec bet against her, laying her over an extended period leading up to the morning of the race. Trainer Lee Freedman threatened not to start Makybe Diva if the track was presented like a bitumen road. The Victoria Racing Club's ground staff watered the track enough to ensure it would remain forgiving in the warm conditions.

Makybe Diva duly ran and won. Ranogajec endured a loss that amounted to double figures with six zeroes on the end.

He has been known to diversify his gambling to include even scratch-and-win tickets. One anecdote relates to a company, keen to market a new theme with their scratchy tickets, getting in touch with Ranogajec. It was explained that a portion of the tickets had been sold, though tens of thousands remained and nobody had come forward with the major prize winning ticket and therefore it must be in the remainder.

Ranogajec bought them and paid someone to scratch the opaque covering off all the tickets. At the end of the exercise, it became evident that the winning ticket had been sold to a customer at a shop, who had discarded it, not realising it was a winner.

One bookmaking identity said Ranogajec could walk through Melbourne's Bourke Street Mall and nobody would recognise him or look at him twice.

He is known to bookmakers but is too big and too frequently successful for them to entertain his business.

He is responsible for more than $650m, or 8 per cent, of the annual turnover from Victorian and NSW-rooted company Tabcorp. That figure does not include Tote Tasmania, which is soon to be absorbed into Tatts' betting pools, with which he also conducts business and which control TAB betting in Queensland, South Australia and the Northern Territory.

Wagering outlets have courted Ranogajec with rebates of between 6 and 10 per cent on his turnover. He is betting exchange Betfair's biggest antipodean client, thought to be responsible for a third of the company's Australian operations.

Racing stewards have had, on rare occasions, the need to query his betting activities, but have never had suspicion of corrupt activity. In fact, they say he appears to have no connection with jockeys or trainers. The only thing that got him into strife punting was his cardcounting ability, which, although not illegal, saw him barred from gambling on blackjack tables at every casino in Australia.

One steward said his panel queried wagers on a horse to lose on Betfair, but Ranogajec produced proof that he had backed the same horse to win with TAB. The dividends were such that no matter whether the horse won or lost, Ranogajec had more than covered his outlay.

The 49-year-old has amassed his personal wealth from gambling, accelerated by a $7.5m Keno jackpot. He was a formidable blackjack player and began to accumulate his fortune at Wrest Point Casino. He joined forces with Walsh and two others at the University of Tasmania to develop the gambling empire. One of them died when accidentally run over by a car. Walsh is the only member of the group that remains involved with Ranogajec.

The key to Ranogajec's success is often said to be a slender profit margin. Another industry figure, who did not wish to be named, says: "If anybody tells you that you can't win on the punt, he (Ranogajec) is proof that you can."

Working on an annual turnover said to be $1bn, he grosses $10m for every 1 per cent of profit. One high-profile individual engaged an actuary to replicate Ranogajec's model, but to no avail and he eventually gave up.

Speaking to The Weekend Australian, one close observer of Ranogajec's business yesterday debunked that theory, saying that, with attractive rebates, it was possible to break even on a series of bets and profit close to 10 per cent with the rebate alone. When he gets a race "right" the profit can be as high as 15 per cent.

Walsh says he has been mates with Ranogajec for more than 30 years.

"I met him at Wrest Point which was then Australia's only casino," he says. "We weren't particularly serious about gambling. The casino was quite near the university and it was a fun thing to do. It was very much a recreational pastime."

Walsh says they enjoyed gambling as a hobby and, using the logic of probability, they began to prove that they could win.

"The confluence of enjoying gambling and being able to win meant we did more of it," he says. "It's what I still do today and it takes up the majority of my time.

"The difference between winning and losing is knife-edged. It can be a tiny percentage, so it is an interesting thing to try to figure out that percentage.

"There is nothing particularly profound about this. We've been successful but the rules are simple and there are a million books that tell you how to do it. You just need to know what the odds are."

Walsh says that Ranogajec has never had a run-in with the law over his gambling.

"And there is absolutely no reason why he should have," he says. "The way we gamble is completely at a stand off from the event."

Walsh says the industry is "better off" for the money that people such as Ranogajec pump into it.

The Weekend Australian visited Ranogajec's double-fronted property in Mosman. A neighbour said they had never seen him there. A tenant in another Mosman property belonging to the Ranogajecs had not heard of him. Ranogajec's wife is the landlord.

A lavish home on Coronation Avenue, Mosman - possibly the Ranogajecs' primary residence - was bought for $5.96m in a dispersal of assets of Brad Cooper, a central figure in the HIH scandal.

Level 3, 495 Harris Street in Sydney's Ultimo - the building that houses Tabcorp's NSW regional office - is the registered address of some of Ranogajec's businesses, including Minefield Investments, Paziti Holdings and Razson Pty Ltd.

According to one insider who spoke to The Weekend Australian, Ranogajec has left Australia to live in England. He says the move allows the mega-punter to better control his global operation from a central location.

Walsh confirms Ranogajec is in Europe with his family "looking for betting opportunities".

'He won't be back for awhile," he says.

Additional reporting: Anthony Klan
By:
Flat White
When: 28 Dec 11 05:48
This will be a good test for the government to work out a win/win. The alterntaive would be for the great man to live on a tax haven Island and taking his millions with him, not to mention the hundreds of Australian job that he is resposible for.
By:
Barney The Bot Slayer
When: 28 Dec 11 06:53
I think the rounding down money goes into JACKPOTS, but not sure.

they used to keep it,

Years ago (25+)the vic Gov made an election promise to pay to nearest 5 cents,'


When they were quizzed on their failure to do so, The minister spoke of Droughts and fires, etc etc
By:
jfc
When: 11 Feb 12 06:37
http://www.afr.com/p/national/the_gambler_GwoSmf5IXaVFjmpyYXNu9J

I had to buy a physical AFR.

Contains some of the material that Betfair removed from here.

It quantifies Tote Tasmania kickbacks as 10.5% !
By:
Thebas
When: 11 Feb 12 06:51
better than bank interest

if he can add up and we know he can .. then it's a no loss guarantee ..

does it mention a turnover figure ?
By:
littlegypt
When: 11 Feb 12 07:03
was talking to a friend who runs a quite busy NSW TAB in a regional area. He claims if your turn over enough money at a TAB branch(im assuming at least approx $300-$500,000 per year-though he didnt mention figures )you can arrange a rebate between TAB manager and the TAB itself(the TAB does not advertise it though)
By:
jfc
When: 11 Feb 12 07:04
Turnover not mentioned.

$45 million Tote Tasmania kickbacks to all beneficiaries last year.

Zeljko indirectly quoted saying ATO trying to slug him for $900 million for last 10 years!
By:
Thebas
When: 11 Feb 12 07:07
cheers jfc ... ta
By:
eight ball
When: 11 Feb 12 10:16
'The' Syndicate won approx $360,000 on BC today.

Outlay Approx $4.2m.
By:
earlycrow
When: 11 Feb 12 10:49
8ball where do you get your information from

Jfc the link don't work
By:
Lets Elope
When: 11 Feb 12 11:14
Dear English imbeciles
Our stayers race over shorter distances before stepping up in distance further into their preparation as our training puts more speed into them early in their preps as a rule which is why you can often see our quality stayers and middle distance horses charging home over 1200m or 1400m first up and winning or running places over those unsuitable journeys.

It is a necessity for the majority of out horses to be trained in that manner in order to get fit as we don't have the training facilities such as Newmarket where you have any number of different open gallops for miles on end, our horses are as a rule trained completely differently to the manner in which yours are trained as a result of the different training facilities and racing conditions.

Also that is the first time in her career Black caviar has run a slow overall time unlike your "legendary" frankel and guess what they still went a hell of a lot faster early today than Frankel did in it supposedly stunning performance in the Sussex when its only real opponent broke down in running.
By:
Lets Elope
When: 11 Feb 12 11:16
sorry guys wrong thread don't how that one happened.
By:
manikato
When: 11 Feb 12 11:29
The' Syndicate won approx $360,000 on BC today.

Outlay Approx $4.2m.

didn't get best tote then!!!
By:
Thebas
When: 11 Feb 12 21:56
if you count in the rebate .. they def got best tote lol
By:
wombleoz
When: 11 Feb 12 23:20
big question is - what will Tatts do??? anyone know when the sale will be complete and the pools switch over???
By:
JamesBlakesHugeArse
When: 11 Feb 12 23:52
i was offered a rebate with TAB, only on the horses though
By:
Castiron
When: 13 Feb 12 00:22
Womble

Late March, was mentioned when the sale, first became public.
By:
secong coming.
When: 13 Feb 12 00:50
nice to see this thread back on page 1....i still wonder whether the great man pays PC?
By:
jfc
When: 13 Feb 12 01:56
http://www.afr.com/p/national/the_gambler_GwoSmf5IXaVFjmpyYXNu9J
By:
gatespeed
When: 13 Feb 12 02:29
thanx for the post jfc

thought i was reading an article on goldman sach or jp morgan the way this mut operates.

hardly a 'great man' - more like someone with a bit of clout that can cannablise the industry to everyones elses detriment
By:
Thebas
When: 13 Feb 12 02:58
yes thx for the link jfc ... an interesting article for sure ... much appreciated
By:
secong coming.
When: 13 Feb 12 21:40
gatespeed you are correct great man he is not....smart yes but not great....

some great articles posted here..thanks to all...

wonder whats gunna happen when TT is taken over , chief says it wont happen......are his days numbered?
personally i dont think so....the fixed odds stuff is very lucrative and the clowns at the tab get it wrong...notice how defensive the odds have been lately......its for a reason
By:
manikato
When: 13 Feb 12 23:05
“Surprisingly, the syndicate apparently makes most of its money by placing losing bets,” he said.

is this vlandys and others argument against betfair!!!!  hilarious.
By:
Halyer
When: 14 Feb 12 04:58
I am sick to death about this rebates caper as anybody but he is only capitalising on what is around. All blame lies with the TABs and not ZK. No doubt another suitor will take over when TT merges in a couple of months. Tatts point blank refuse to pay kickbacks so WA looms as my fav

Remember as well that the guys made their millions prior to any of this rebate garbage being around so its not as if they need rebates to survive

The thing I love is the clowns at TasRacing giving themselves bonuses for increasing turnover when most of it is created by these types of punters via rebates. TT turned over $1b last year and $550k of that came from their "corporate" customers of which there are about a dozen
By:
Halyer
When: 14 Feb 12 04:59
*$550m
By:
jfc
When: 14 Feb 12 07:02
Rubbish, Halyer.

Illegal kickbacks were around in 1985 when Zeljko started so how would you know whether or not he indulged then?

The NSW PubTAB he commandeered in 1992 was solely for the effective kickback of the agency commission.

Not to mention his dealings outlined in the Burbridge Report and Hansard regarding the 1997 VITAB fraud!

Note, the reason I always mention Burbridge and Hansard in direct conjunction with the other matter, is because of an explicit directive from Betfair to me when it pulled the original Zeljko Ranogajec thread.
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