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Lies, DamnLies, and Statistics
05 Nov 09 07:02
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Date Joined: 13 Jan 05
| Topic/replies: 2,364 | Blogger: Lies, DamnLies, and Statistics's blog
start at sandown - keen on allen chang to LAW from box 7 - doesn't look to be too much pace here
Pause Switch to Standard View Thursday night doggies
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Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 8:22 AM GMT
Not sure how Twin Impact ran 30.19 a few starts ago...v suss kennel imo
Report Kye November 5, 2009 8:23 AM GMT
I think either 5 or 6 will win but both a bit unreliable
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 8:27 AM GMT
Reckon these will struggle to hold Arthur out..especially if 1/2 can kick up and hold outside divi
Report Kye November 5, 2009 8:28 AM GMT
I'm on the 5. Think it is drawn to cross
Report Kye November 5, 2009 8:30 AM GMT
Good race for the layers
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 8:30 AM GMT
Mine and your dogs didn't like each other.
I was on New Model last Fri at Traralgon at evens vs absolute walkers and ran near last

Roooort!!!!

How is Cosmic Rumble in the Shootout field? GRV at their best
Report Kye November 5, 2009 8:33 AM GMT
What is the shootout field? Did Queen get a run
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 8:34 AM GMT
Hanifys Force, slow beginner, will try to get as wide as possible and not much good.
Have said that..the rest look v poor

Leave me out of evens though
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 8:34 AM GMT
Turanza, Queen, Velocette, Cosmic R, Robbie T didn't say box draw
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 8:37 AM GMT
8 should lead at Angle....and be hard to beat..unless red can hold a good spot early (and that could happen as not much speed on it's outside)
I'm on the wings quin
Report Kye November 5, 2009 8:39 AM GMT
Small on ned at Hobart but if 4 crosses then he should win

No bet at Albion. 6 should lead but might need run. Just not sure 1 or 7 will avoid early trouble.
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 8:39 AM GMT
1 led..never has it led ever, was 1.01 after 2 steps
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 8:40 AM GMT
How do they let Edans Rocket keep racing?
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 8:41 AM GMT
What about She's a Penske..had won 4 from 42, then has won 3 in a row...
Wins again imo
Report Sir Punter November 5, 2009 8:42 AM GMT
hey kye, with CBET, is superodds best of nsw/vic?
Report Kye November 5, 2009 8:45 AM GMT
Supposed to be middle tote but they use some formula if there is too much difference. They make up their own rules
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 8:46 AM GMT
7 was inside 6 after 5 yards..were they in the right boxes?? it jumped to well..if jumped bad as normal and stays wide walks in
Report Kye November 5, 2009 8:47 AM GMT
Mongrels just knocked back a 100 at 7s on Irish Fantasy & then turned price down.

Never mind i backed it here & on totes.
Report Sir Punter November 5, 2009 8:48 AM GMT
i got 100 on @ 6
Report Sir Punter November 5, 2009 8:49 AM GMT
never knocked a bet back from me, but then again, they are well up on me..
Report Kye November 5, 2009 8:49 AM GMT
Wasnt going to bet but red was overs & Shes a Penske unders
Report Kye November 5, 2009 8:50 AM GMT
SP do they send your bet for approval or does it go straight on?
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 8:51 AM GMT
You should be the 7 got knocked senseless by the checks..
Report Sir Punter November 5, 2009 8:52 AM GMT
i use DRO (dynamic race odds)

3rd party software to do my corp betting.

usually says pending for a short period of time. and price change every so often but i think most of the time it is a genuine price change.
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 8:54 AM GMT
P Patch is on fire after forum rubbished him at Cranbourne
Report Lies, DamnLies, and Statistics November 5, 2009 8:54 AM GMT
will i bump the paragon patch thread again???

:_|
Report Kye November 5, 2009 8:56 AM GMT
Mine takes about 20-30sec before they decide whether to accept.

Will get to the stage they will ban or i will give up if they knock back bets like that. Why would i want to tell them i want to back a dog when they can knock me back & then back it for themselves knocking off bf & tote price.
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 8:57 AM GMT
Greyhound hunnies tipped Grand Rule and Cool In Blue
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 8:57 AM GMT
I'm on 6 and 8 at Ang
Report Lies, DamnLies, and Statistics November 5, 2009 8:57 AM GMT
i'm not all that interested in their tips pa...

;\
Report Sir Punter November 5, 2009 8:58 AM GMT
fuuuuk, i would go crazy if it took 30 seconds for anyone to accept my bet
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 8:58 AM GMT
Kye wanted to know..lol
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 9:00 AM GMT
Think i'll stick to laying tonight, although 8 was closeish (poor place divvies..not happy)
Report Kye November 5, 2009 9:01 AM GMT
Lies they are good lays,

i mean their tips are not very good
Report Lies, DamnLies, and Statistics November 5, 2009 9:03 AM GMT
:)
Report Kye November 5, 2009 9:04 AM GMT
Emmy gets her chance off red box. Fair ew bet
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 9:04 AM GMT
I'm typing out Lismore early as have been going well there.
This is the hottest 635m race i can remember there

2 established Brissy stars in Smart Choice and Monarchs Merlot.
vs Lee Wylies exciting up and comer Falcon Flash (11 starts, 6 wins including lightning 37.44 here at last start from box 4 in easier grade).

I'm not sure but Smart Choice is very reliable..think market should be
2's Smart Choice
9/4 Falcon Flash
7/2 Monarchs...

Monarchs might be the overs but not sure...I'm on the red if i can get over 2.8
Report Lies, DamnLies, and Statistics November 5, 2009 9:06 AM GMT
next at sandown - rituals has a bit of pace - looks a chance at big odds
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 9:08 AM GMT
Kye...Thanos won 5k to the winner race last Frid..was 1-5 wins..no metro i think...well placed by dopey
Report Kye November 5, 2009 9:10 AM GMT
I didnt like race but i laid Well Hard at 5.0
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 9:11 AM GMT
well done..i was trying to lay winner at $4 when green light went on...lol
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 9:13 AM GMT
Market a little different to mine..lol
I have to back the checks..if it pings will run a race (may struggle to hold of the red)
Report Kye November 5, 2009 9:14 AM GMT
Red should run down 2 at Lismore but too short for me
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 9:15 AM GMT
$4.90 the winner on here....i was too busy backing what i thought was big overs the red
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 9:16 AM GMT
checkes..i meant
Report Lies, DamnLies, and Statistics November 5, 2009 9:18 AM GMT
if you'd said 3 months ago that sa's best 2 ffa sprinters would be aunty vick and sparkling spear, you may have been locked up...

gotta like financial crisis to lead from the red - up in class but hard to beat, imo
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 9:20 AM GMT
Angle...
The early speed is in 1/4/5...4 has best early section but 1 could use the rails all to lead..v important what can get to lead down the back..think 1 or 5 will be leader halfway

I think the 2 dogs that will run on best are the 7 and 8...
7 appears boxed ok and might be overs..i'm on e/w and hoping it can be 4th early
8 is over 4yo but flying at the moment and been a great dog to me..always seems to be an ok price

I'm backing the run on dogs..7 with saver 8
Report Kye November 5, 2009 9:21 AM GMT
Not sure if Moose will get crossed. I'm hoping he will push through. Taking box quin 1,6 & 8 & backing 8 ew
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 9:22 AM GMT
someone keen on the 4 at Angle on BF...
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 9:24 AM GMT
someone was backing it heavy and had to take the lead..saved me a bit..
Report ziggytpunter43 November 5, 2009 9:26 AM GMT
nice race at andown with only 3 hopes.
my order is 581 so i'm gonna lay cs
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 9:27 AM GMT
another dog heavily supported (although more unmatched than matched) at under tote odds wins
Stylish Monty
Report Kye November 5, 2009 9:27 AM GMT
Gnarley Boy is overs. Was going to back red but it is unders
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 9:30 AM GMT
Funny dog Gnarley Boy..looks like a superstar at time, at other times looks like it bludges a bit
Took forever to win Novice...i rarely bet when he's in a race
Report Kye November 5, 2009 9:31 AM GMT
Sometimes he finishes like a train & other times he gives up on turn. Should have stuck with the red
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 9:34 AM GMT
Lismore..Pretty much a Cup Consolation..

7 leads by a couple of lengths at post first time on early section times, if they run "as normal"
although 1/3/4 and 8 can all close if they setlle on its back..
I'm having coins on Enforcer Fred, i think it's a hope of getting leaders back
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 9:37 AM GMT
FFS...moral beaten, had run, threw it away first turn (lost 4 lengths, beaten a head)
Got $9 for plenty
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 9:39 AM GMT
I can't decide between Cindeen and QL, staying out..hope its a hot race by all
Report Kye November 5, 2009 9:41 AM GMT
I'm on the pink
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 9:42 AM GMT
Bit stiff Kye..but she's a machine!!
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 9:44 AM GMT
Angle

5 and 7 are v strong brothers...but 1 is boxed to LAW
I've stood 1 out with 5 and 7 in quins
Report Kye November 5, 2009 9:44 AM GMT
PA i worked on basis the Queen would find trouble. Not sure why i didnt load quin. Sometimes you dont see the obvious!
Report Kye November 5, 2009 9:45 AM GMT
No bet at Hobart. They all look drawn to bump. Akka returned to form last run but he would need to ping from draw
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 9:45 AM GMT
QL looked to jump ok, but stumbled and that was end of her as 6 wanted to get to fence
she seemed to get thru unscathed and ran on ok (just missed getting ko'd by 2 leaving str8)
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 9:46 AM GMT
Farrrrrk..not sure 1 chased...lol
Had trif in 3...no collect...lol
Report Sir Punter November 5, 2009 9:47 AM GMT
money says 8 @ hobart
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 9:51 AM GMT
I'm on Azure Allegro for plenty at Lismore at 1.90.., now 1.80 with tab
Hoping it gets in real tight to trade
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 9:54 AM GMT
into 1.75 with tab fixed
Report Kye November 5, 2009 9:55 AM GMT
Track record ALbion??
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 9:56 AM GMT
Not sure..but i've got trif for a bit
didn't have 3 or 6 for 3rd so v lucky
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 9:58 AM GMT
thanks god i was able to do some businesss.....2 a widey, cut to rails, then ran off first turn.
Hard to predict that...was gone as boxes opened
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 10:00 AM GMT
Tri at Albion payed $66
Report Kye November 5, 2009 10:00 AM GMT
Did they say the time at Albion?
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 10:01 AM GMT
I had mute on str8 away but woulda gone close....Does QL have that record as well??
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 10:02 AM GMT
I haven't been near close at Angle...and not trying this race.
Very ordinairy race (even for SA standards)
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 10:05 AM GMT
Kye..any thoughts on Yikes...(6 and 8 to cross it??)
Report Craig The Speculator November 5, 2009 10:06 AM GMT
hi guys

7 at angle i hope
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 10:07 AM GMT
Too easy CTS
Report Craig The Speculator November 5, 2009 10:08 AM GMT
dont know about that it wanted to pull up didn't it

hows the night been
Report Kye November 5, 2009 10:09 AM GMT
Not sure Yikes can cross 3. it may have peaked on its ratings last run.

I'm backing Ryans & hoping it can cross red & return to its best
Report Kye November 5, 2009 10:10 AM GMT
Weegie was good run last time but red is flying. money suggests the 2
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 10:11 AM GMT
I'm losing..resigned to a loss tonight (actually did most damage during the day)
Got a good result out of Tri at Albion and shutting up shop.

won easy, have to tack some on to outside at Angle..that's about as good as it goes CTS
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 10:16 AM GMT
That's not me pushing Yikes out..got some matched under $3, then withdrew lay monay
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 10:17 AM GMT
Got about a qtr of my lay money matched..sob, sob..
Report Kye November 5, 2009 10:18 AM GMT
Boooooooomm

Also backed Sangio but had much more on Ryans
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 10:19 AM GMT
3 has an e/w hope at Mdurah in bad race
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 10:23 AM GMT
You know its a bad race when you have a dog over 4.5 yo as a short priced fav
Senni Rob
(but can't find a dog to back..lol)...maybe 3 or 6 if you must..i'm not
Report Kye November 5, 2009 10:29 AM GMT
V small on reserve at Hobart. Fav is bit too short but otb
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 10:30 AM GMT
i took some trifs at Hobart
2-3/1-2-3/1-2-3-6-8-9..
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 10:32 AM GMT
farkk...lucky to get money back
Report tk max November 5, 2009 10:32 AM GMT
very average the reserve there hey
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 10:33 AM GMT
anyone goty the Sandown winner?? Not me
Report Kye November 5, 2009 10:33 AM GMT
I expected it to show pace. V useless

On red at Sand
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 10:35 AM GMT
got money back plus a few $$$$'s for a schooner tomorrow night
Report Sir Punter November 5, 2009 10:35 AM GMT
CBET put up 7.00 the red :0

didn't manage to get on, did you kye?
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 10:36 AM GMT
I don't bet in races including Myth Buster in the field
Report Kye November 5, 2009 10:36 AM GMT
Laid 3 at Albion & small on 7
Report Kye November 5, 2009 10:37 AM GMT
Bit lucky there. Nice place divvie!
Report PA for PM November 5, 2009 10:38 AM GMT
Nuffing Lismore for me...fav htb but way too short for me
I'm outta here, taking my loss...still in front this week
Report Kye November 5, 2009 10:40 AM GMT
Seeya

Been a good night for me as i have been losing a lot on Thursdays
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