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Lies, DamnLies, and Statistics
05 Nov 09 07:02
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Date Joined: 13 Jan 05
| Topic/replies: 4,890 | Blogger: Lies, DamnLies, and Statistics's blog
start at sandown - keen on allen chang to LAW from box 7 - doesn't look to be too much pace here

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Replies: 153
By:
Kye
When: 05 Nov 09 07:05
Same here Lies
By:
Lies, DamnLies, and Statistics
When: 05 Nov 09 07:07
couldn't cross

p.s. i think daisy had a quiet word with the admiral on the home turn...

:0
By:
PA for PM
When: 05 Nov 09 07:07
Daisy was $1.04 after 50 yards..another BDC for you Lies
By:
Lies, DamnLies, and Statistics
When: 05 Nov 09 07:08
something along the lines of... 'don't worry, i won't go past you..."

:_|
By:
Kye
When: 05 Nov 09 07:09
That worked out well (even tho i lost).

I couldnt decide b/w 2 & 7. Went with 7 instead of backing both. Spewing half way through race as Daisy looked home but glad she wasnt interested.
By:
Lies, DamnLies, and Statistics
When: 05 Nov 09 07:11
pretty keen on beer time at angle - down a mile in class...
By:
Lies, DamnLies, and Statistics
When: 05 Nov 09 07:11
ps. what's a BDC??
By:
PA for PM
When: 05 Nov 09 07:11
Rob Camilleri..Nice enough bloke, but has a head that could strike fear into 1 million viewers imo
By:
PA for PM
When: 05 Nov 09 07:12
Big Daddy Cool
By:
Kye
When: 05 Nov 09 07:12
Lies i dont agree with you on main race. On last week runs & box draw them pink is a moral. However i will accept that Cindeen Selby can improve on last weeks effort & Flash of Light is v unreliable
By:
Lies, DamnLies, and Statistics
When: 05 Nov 09 07:14
ah, you have a long memory pa - don't think i've mentioned bdc since i got back - so long that i forgot!

yeah, fol is well drawn....but is she up to the class?
By:
PA for PM
When: 05 Nov 09 07:15
My advice is take the 1.90 Azure Allegro in Lismore Cup..boxed moral (unless Banzai misses kick badly and finds rail right behind out)
By:
Lies, DamnLies, and Statistics
When: 05 Nov 09 07:18
fell in.....little boom!!

^ already got 2.10 in a double with cindeen shelby at 2.50...

here's hoping
By:
PA for PM
When: 05 Nov 09 07:20
well done Lies..i didn't bet, thought you got nabbed for sure (didn't wait for result).

anyone else see Manual Bale getting a fly down the outside at Sandown
By:
Lies, DamnLies, and Statistics
When: 05 Nov 09 07:21
speaking of BDC, curwen walker in the next at sandown - only had 2 runs since his miraculous 2nd in the traralgon cup, drops a mile in class....can he chase?? i'm on

8 has a huge motor, but it's been a while since he's done anything..clearly the one to beat at his best
By:
Lies, DamnLies, and Statistics
When: 05 Nov 09 07:22
^^ yes, but if that happens it sets it up for 6 or 8, imo
By:
Kye
When: 05 Nov 09 07:23
Manuel is hard to catch. Needs to jump & avoid pink. i having small bet on 2 but he needs to come out a little better. Tough race.
By:
PA for PM
When: 05 Nov 09 07:26
right about the 6 unfortunately Lies
By:
Kye
When: 05 Nov 09 07:28
Wd Lies you're off to a good start
By:
PA for PM
When: 05 Nov 09 07:29
sorry..thought you were on 8...lol wd (i guess...sob, sob)
By:
PA for PM
When: 05 Nov 09 07:31
Anyone that snares the winner of Angle 2 should get a bonus stubbie holder.
6 months ago i woulda declared Grand Rule, not sure he's going that well but deserves to start fav (i just don't want to back)
I'd rather back 4 at odds and hope it pings/LAW
By:
Kye
When: 05 Nov 09 07:35
What did the hunnies tip?

V v small in 3 at Hobart but just guessing
By:
PA for PM
When: 05 Nov 09 07:36
i'm a dope for not laying evens..hasn't won since noah was a boy
By:
Lies, DamnLies, and Statistics
When: 05 Nov 09 07:36
velocity force was very ordinary last week, and i can't have her at even money

spader ran his best race for ages on monday - box 1 doesn't really suit but solid e/w chance, imo
By:
Kye
When: 05 Nov 09 07:40
Surfing madam has a future & should win if it avoids early trouble. Saver on red. 2 has pace & should be put in quin
By:
PA for PM
When: 05 Nov 09 07:42
Nice work Kye...you saved me there..was going to lay it, didn't back it but changed lay to 4 instead
By:
Kye
When: 05 Nov 09 07:44
i probably took unders compared to tote price but i did rate it at even money. Had a few lengths on field & only needed a little bit of luck
By:
PA for PM
When: 05 Nov 09 07:45
Vel Force was always going to get smashed by Royal Nelson...GRV favour boxed draw?? lol, was an obvious lay at from that box
By:
Lies, DamnLies, and Statistics
When: 05 Nov 09 07:47
wd kye

wandy queen has a bit of pace and meets an ordinary lot at angle
pure bitter down in class looks the danger
By:
Kye
When: 05 Nov 09 07:48
T Brett only has two runners & both drawn box 5. Makes you wonder!
By:
PA for PM
When: 05 Nov 09 07:51
Lismore, horrible race, mostly out of forom chasers or dogs not favoured at 420m.
The 2 dogs that specialise at the trip are 7 and 8
7 - I've never, ever been a fan, pinged from the red at Casino last Fri but better suited wide
8 - pacy wide runner, honest but can't run hot time.

The rest
Bogie Gem, has been out of form, should start fav but if can't win this not sure where they go. I'd rather go against
Perfect Phantom, could be the value, old stager, finishes hard, better suited further but if can hold the rails early will run on hard

Not betting
By:
PA for PM
When: 05 Nov 09 07:52
and i think Draks' sister might've seen better days but gets her chance
By:
PA for PM
When: 05 Nov 09 07:54
Bogie was boxed to win, but i've seen it struggle when shoulda won many times.
By:
Kye
When: 05 Nov 09 07:55
Nice summary PA. i nearly followed & took the 2.20 fixed the place on the pink

Red runs off at Hobart. I'm hoping it might handle this track better that Lonny. v small win bet
By:
PA for PM
When: 05 Nov 09 07:58
didn't think Simply chased the other night Kye but hope you are right
By:
PA for PM
When: 05 Nov 09 07:59
You are a freak to pick it was the track at Lonny....That is fantastic analysys, did you watch the video a few times???
By:
Lies, DamnLies, and Statistics
When: 05 Nov 09 08:01
shadow boxer comes off a grp 2 placing to this non-chasers benefit....1&8 are both by BDC...can't see him losing

no idea about placings - depends what is in the mood
By:
Lies, DamnLies, and Statistics
When: 05 Nov 09 08:02
ps. wd again kye....i couldn't have had him from box 1!!
By:
Kye
When: 05 Nov 09 08:02
i did PA. At first i thought it turned head but i think it just didnt handle that turn (which is pretty hard for young dogs)

Albion is hard. Backing 2 but i hope it misses slightly & red pings. If so it should rail though at winning post & then lead rest of trip. Bit short tho
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