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Knowledge and inside information is power
HELLO, good afternoon & welcome to my latest instalment of punting advice. You'll notice that I've not been blogging as much lately. This is largely due to Grouse Season being in full swing and my penchant for getting out in the cold and doing a bit of shooting. I do of course love a bit of roast grouse in the autumn too, served with bacon, blackberries and roast pumpkin in a rich garlic suace. Fills the belly and keeps the vampires away at a stroke. What's not to like?

I digress.

P is for points
All betting banks are composed of points, which are effectively a substitute for money, but simplified into 1-100, regardless of how much or little your bets are. Betting bank points are, therefore, percentage points and when a tipster recommends you place one point on a particular bet he means that you should stake one per cent of your betting bank i.e. the total amount of money you’re prepared to risk at any given time.
For example, you decide to put away £50 for a spot of betting fun and you read in a paper that one of the experts believes Manchester United will definitely win at Inter Milan. This coincides with your thoughts on the coming match and his reasoning mirrors yours. He reckons you should risk two points on United. This translates into £1 of your hard-earned (i.e. each of your ‘points’ is worth 50p).
If you had put away a betting bank of £200, for example, then a two-pointer would be worth £4. Obviously, if the bet wins, say it was quoted at 2/1 (3.0 decimal) then your return would be £12 including your original £4 stake, thus increasing your betting bank to £208. Your next bet would be a proportion of your £208 betting bank, so a one-pointer would be £2.08, a two-pointer £4.16 and so on. It's a breeze, as John Kettley might have once said.

P is also for Paper trading
One of the greatest weapons in any better’s armoury is the paper trade. What this means is that rather going in head-first, all guns blazing and throwing your hard-earned away on stuff you know little or nothing about, you decide upon what you would have bet on, then sit back and wait for the results. Note down on a spreadsheet who or what you placed your bet on and why, then see how much you would have won and lost. Note down how the events panned out and make references to anything you may not have taken account of, such as a star player being missing from one of the teams, a particular tactic one of the teams applied or factors such as historical form, disciplinary records and the like.
It is only after a successful run of paper trading that you should start putting the same techniques into action in real life. By paper trading a system first you’re guaranteed to not only save money but also make more when you’ve honed your system, ready to put it into action in the real world. Paper trading can actually be almost as much fun as the real thing. Don’t, whatever you do, paper trade with Her Majesty’s bank notes. That’s strictly the domain of a mug punter. Use Monopoly money. See how quickly you win or lose, then have a quick game of Monopoly. You don’t have to spend all your life betting. In fact, if you bet better you could quite conceivably give up after a few years and enjoy your winnings.

P is also for Professional Punting
You don’t have to be a professional punter to make a steady income out of betting, however, just a good one who knows his sure things from his no-hopers. Another old adage which applies beautifully to betting is “The steady drip fills the bucket.”
Greedy, unsuccessful mug punters will back long-shots and multiples time and time again in the hope they can win a large amount of money quickly. As you can see by the faces and the fashion sense of punters who frequent bookmakers, this isn’t a technique that ever works.

See you all soon - I'm off for a shoot.

Good luck and happy punting!
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SORRY it's been such a while, followers, but my shrapnel wound was playing up so badly I had to cut off my own leg. That wouldn't have been so bad, but the blood made an awful mess on the Axminster. Mrs69 wasn't too HP at all and if it hadn't been for the quick thinking on the part of my latest butler, Kevin 'The Gerbil' Klijsters, who recommended a thick foam of six parts Vanish to one part water, I fear my marriage might have been over. He applied the solution while I applied the tourniquet & Mrs69 went off in the huff.

I digress.

O is for Odds
Odds are the chances you have of winning, according to the bookmaker, i.e. the person or organisation ‘laying’ the bet. Yes, there’s a fair chance you already know this, but like any skill you need to have a solid understanding of the fundamentals.
For example, an outsider might be quoted at 15/1 or 16.0 (‘high’ odds) depending on whether you prefer fractional or decimal. In this instance, you’d put a quid on and get £16 back, including your original stake of £1. Alternatively, the odds may 1/5 or 0.2 (‘low’ odds/ ‘odds on’) depending on whether you prefer fractional or decimal (put a quid on and get £1.20 back, including your original stake).
In a nutshell, the bigger the odds i.e. 15/1 is fifteen times ‘bigger’ than evens (1/1 or 2.0 decimal), the lower your probability is of winning, and vice versa.
Nearly all online bookmakers these days offer odds in both formats, so you can’t go wrong - unless of course you’re a bit of a chump/mug punter. Below is a hypothetical example of how odds are presented in different ways and what they actually mean.

Example: Blackpool v Yeovil Town (football)

    Decimal    Fractional
1 (home): Blackpool    1.40    2/5
X (draw)    3.75    11/4
2 (away): Yeovil Town    5.00    4/1

Here are some calculations made with the two odds formats, made with a hypothetical stake of £20 on Blackpool to win.

It is important to distinguish between the total payout, which is added to your betting account after a win, and your profit, which is the payout minus your original stake.

Example A: Blackpool to beat Yeovil Town (home win)

Home:      Stake x odds
£20 x 1.40 or 2/5      Payout of £28 inc original stake (profit of £8) 

Example B: The draw

Draw:      Stake x odds
£20 x 3.75 or 11/4    Payout of £75 inc original stake (profit of £55) 

Example C: Yeovil Town to beat Blackpool (away win)

Away:      Stake x odds
£20 x 5.0 or 4/1    Payout of £100 inc original stake (profit of £80) 

Never let the odds influence your bet. By all means take the best odds available to you once you’ve chosen your market by a quick reference check on www.oddshecker.com or similar, but never place a bet just because the odds look tasty. This is one of the fastest ways you can part with your cash, for it never to be seen again. By betting purely because the odds look substantial, you’ll have to trust to luck time and time again. Better betters make their own luck. Practise makes perfect. Look before you leap, in other words. Remember, with everything else in life, if the odds look too good to be true, they probably are. Find out why the selection you were looking at has such high odds – it might be because the bet is an in-running bet and the team/player is already losing or possibly the team you’d selected might be only picking a half-strength side or even the team isn’t the team you thought it was! Some of the foreign football leagues are absolute murder for having similar-sounding team names. Seems such an obvious point to make, but it’s true. Every other team in Turkey seems to end in ‘spor’ for example.

O is also for Online Betting
The one and only drawback about betting online is that your computer doesn’t have a cash dispenser, so that any profits you withdraw have to hang around in cyberspace for a few days before they magically appear in your bank account. The opposite applies to deposits. Once you click that ‘confirm’ button, your money leaves your bank account quicker than a Jamaican sprinter.
Other than that, betting online or via your mobile phone is an absolute joy compared to betting anywhere else. You’re in complete control, you can see each and every market updated live and you don’t have to suffer anyone smelling of booze, plop and B.O. trying to tell you that you ‘should have done the forecast’ (go into any high street bookmakers and there’s a fair chance some scruffy loser will be on hand to offer you his advice.

Not only are there many and varied online bookmakers offering appealing free money match bets, there are also plenty of websites happy to help you with your punting and offering free tips. These are not necessarily worth following, but can help you make an informed choice of what to back, lay or leave well alone. There is a list of some of the best online bookmakers elsewhere in the book, but one essential addition to your favourites list is the site www.oddschecker.com – a handy area for price comparisons on just about every event worth looking at, easily navigable and equipped with useful additions such as a Dutching Calculator, Hedging Calculator and Bet Settler. More on these later. You’ll often get to the point where you’re ready to make your bet, but need to know where the best odds are. Oddschecker tells you this in an instant. Very handy. There’s no point in staying loyal to one particular online bookmaker as odds vary between each site and each event. They can be compared with supermarkets in this respect. Although it’s nice and easy to do all your shopping in one supermarket, can you really put your hand on heart and say that not one single item could have been bought cheaper elsewhere? Unlike supermarket shopping, however, you don’t have to traipse around carrying your bags. Your next bet is never more than a click away!
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HELLO, good evening and welcome to my latest blog. I’ve been keeping my powder dry for quite some time now and for good reason. You never know when you’ll need to ignite it. To this end, I have some explosive tips for you all this evening ahead of the famine of football they like to call the Johnston’s Paint Trophy and the Carling Cup respectively. After spectacularly derailing myself the last time out tipping an odds-on chance, my new strategy is to only back evens or better shots. Let me qualify that last statement. I’ll still be making selections of all prices privately but I’m aware that not all of you have enormous betting banks so evens or better tips will be the only ones I’ll be posting henceforth.

Okay, let’s see what we’ve got tonight in that terribly unglamorous competition that was originally, laughably, invented to give clubs an opportunity to boost revenue. Expect to see more stewards, police and pies than spectators at most of tonight’s fixtures, my followers. It’s a shame there’s no unders/overs markets on the crowd sizes this evening as my money would be going straight on the unders markets for a guaranteed ROI.
Swindon are due a result soon, having stuck to ‘trying to play football’ (How I hate that expression – what else should football teams try to play? Kabaddi?) under new manager Paolo Di Canio and should spring a surprise against a weakened Southampton tonight at a very tasty, and way too high, 5.6.

Similarly, poor old Leyton Orient like to keep the ball on the floor at all times, but have struggled to score all season. A funereal Brisbane Road plays host to Bristol Rovers tonight, with even the fans who bought apartments in the four corners of the ground in all probability choosing to draw their curtains. Last season, however, the ‘O’s got some fine results in front of sparse gatherings (their sub-1,000 attendances barely deserving of the word ‘crowd’), so get on at evens. Rovers, a division below, posted an altogether uninspiring 0-0 at home against lowly Hereford on Saturday so don’t expect them to put up much of a fight.

The overall message tonight, my loyal followers, is never underestimate the power of home advantage in cup matches, regardless of recent league form.

Good luck & happy punting!

Remember: never feel sorry for the person or people who’ve matched your bet. It’s their own daft fault.
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HELLO, good morning & welcome to my latest blog. I know it's been a while since my last, but I got called up for a freelance freedom fighting mission the other week which culminated in me copping for a load of shrapnel in my left eye. I've spent the last few days trying all sorts to cure it - extra strong acne tablets, baby shampoo, liquorice, the lot, without much success. I look as if I've been punched by a Transformer.

I digress. I have a lovely 1.49 shot for you tonight in the Carling Cup to continue my 1.1-2.0 challenge. You may remember my 1.1, 1.2. and 1.3 all coming in (Monfils, Wade & Newton respectively) and I have just as much faith in this one. It's Ipswich to beat Northampton in the Carling Cup this evening. Get on the Tractor Boys asap as they're at a very tasty 1.49 at the moment and this price is certain to contract before the kick-off. The Portman Road outfit got off to a splendid start in the Championship on Saturday, winning 3-0 away at Bristol City, while Northampton (two divisions below) played out a 0-0 bore draw at home to milk-drinkers Accrington Stanley.

Good luck & happy punting.

Remember: A steady drip fills the bucket
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HELLO, good morning and welcome to my blog. I hope it reaches you all well.

The first bet as part of my own personal 1.1-2.0 challenge was on tennis player Gael Monfils in the Mercedes Cup. He hammered Victor Hanescu at a tidy, no hassle price of 1.16 and this represented the first rung of the 1.1-2.0 ladder of riches.

Bet number two, which was in the region of 1.2, came in comfortably during Sunday's World Matchplay Darts where James Wade mullered Jamie Caven 10-0.

Selection number three comes tonight at the Empress Ballroom, Blackpool, where Wes Newton faces Justin Pipe in the second round of the World Matchplay Darts. Get on Newton at 1.31 before his price shrinks even more for another winner & the third successful rung of the ten-step ladder to riches.

Good luck & happy punting!

Remember: Pro-rata it up & look at how much you can earn from consistent punting
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HELLO, good evening and welcome to my blog. I hope it reaches you all well.

The first bet as part of my own personal 1.1-2.0 challenge was on tennis player Gael Monfils in the Mercedes Cup. He hammered Victor Hanescu at a tidy, no hassle price of 1.16 and this represented the first rung of the 1.1-2.0 ladder of riches.

Bet number two, which was in the region of 1.2, came in comfortably during yesterday (Sunday)'s World Matchplay Darts where James Wade mullered Jamie Caven 10-0.

I'm currently scouring the sporting markets for bet number three, which will of course be circa 1.3. I'll duly post it in plenty of time for you all to get involved. Congrats to those of you who have so far benefitted from the first two selections.

Good luck & happy punting.

Remember: All good things come to those who wait
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HELLO, good afternoon and welcome to my blog. You may remember that my first bet as part of my own personal 1.1-2.0 challenge was on tennis player Gael Monfils in the Mercedes Cup. He romped home against Victor Hanescu at a tidy, no hassle price of 1.16 and this represented the first rung of the 1.1-2.0 ladder of fame and fortune.

Bet number two, which will be in the region of 1.2, is now available for you all to get a piece of, ladies and gentlemen. It comes in tomorrow’s (Sunday) World Matchplay Darts in the Wade/Caven match. Wade will make short work of this one and is justifiably hovering around the 1.21 mark right now. Get involved in order to complete the second part of the 1.1-2.0 challenge.

Good luck & happy punting.

Remember: darts for darts sake, money for God’s sake
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HELLO, good evening and welcome to my latest blog. Now-defunct red top News of the World recently announced Blackpool as the new holiday destination of choice for stay-at-home UK tourists in the face of the increasing strength of the Euro. While this will be great news for visitors from the Netherlands and other parts of the Eurozone heading to the Empress Ballroom, a similar power shift is occurring in the darts world. Phil’ The Power’ Taylor has looked more vulnerable on the oche in the last six months than he has for over a decade and the chances of a non-Englishman (particularly if you count assimilated Aussie Paul Nicholson in their number) taking the World Matchplay title on July 24 are much higher than this time last year.

The 18th World Matchplay tournament takes place from July 16-24, with a £400,000 purse as 32 of the world’s best players battle for the lucrative £100,000 title, which has been won 11 times by Taylor. ‘The Power’ is the current holder of the title and, predictably, the favourite, with in-form Scot Gary Anderson the second favourite, closely followed by James ‘The Machine’ Wade.

As for round one, expect most of the big guns to cruise through, although there’s value to be had if you look hard enough for it. Alternatively, simply read the next few sentences and follow the advice within.

Bronzed Adonis Steve Beaton can give Terry Jenkins a run for his money – and not just on the facial hair front. Alan Tabern, meanwhile, is fearless enough to give Vincent van der Voort a fright and Denis Ovens has been cooking on gas lately and will fancy his chances of upsetting Ronnie Baxter. Finally, depending on which Colin Lloyd turns up, John Henderson is more than capable of springing a surprise. The big Scot has already hit a nine darter in competitive play this year at Derby and would love to make a mockery of his lowly PDC ranking of 83.

Good luck and happy punting!

Remember: It’s trebles for show, doubles for dough
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HELLO, good afternoon & welcome to my blog. Just a quick update on the 1.1-2.0 challenge for you all. Gael Monfils came through his tennis match earlier safe & sound for a nice, easy 16 per cent ROI. Congrats to everyone who followed the tip. A recommendation in the region of 1.2 will follow later this week as we move through the gears up to 2.0.

Good luck & happy punting!

Remember: she who slags off successful systems stays skint
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HELLO, good morning and welcome to my blog. My first bet as part of my own personal 1.1-2.0 challenge is on tennis player Gael Monfils in the Mercedes Cup. He’s currently 4-2 up in the first set against Victor Hanescu and should have more than enough in his top drawer to cruise through into the next round. His price at the time of writing is 1.16 and this represents the first rung of the 1.1-2.0 ladder of fame and fortune. Get involved, followers, for some easy cash. Bet number two, which will be in the region of 1.2, will follow later this week.

Good luck & happy punting.

Remember: money talks, bullsh!t walks
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