New Posts For Thread: Stats and Trendshttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/30469541/stats-and-trendsApologies if this is on the Forum anywhere else but I couldn't see it but can anyone post up the stats and trends to look out for in the Grand National. I remember using them to good effect last year to narrow down the field. I'm sure more than me woGood stuff DHB - To follow up my incidence/occurrence point below, what would be interesting to see would be the "strike rate" for Group 1 - Runners that had won over 2 - 2.5 miles AND also won over 3m+ vsGroup 2 - Runners that had just won over 3https://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/30469541/stats-and-trends?post_id=544155421#544155421Good stuff DHB - To follow up my incidence/occurrence point below, what would be interesting to see would be the "strike rate" for Group 1 - Runners that had won over 2 - 2.5 miles AND also won over 3m+ vsGroup 2 - Runners that had just won over 3Wed, 01 Apr 2015 07:43:01 -0500Last five winners 10 or 11 years of age.....not sure what to make of that one.https://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/30469541/stats-and-trends?post_id=544155395#544155395Last five winners 10 or 11 years of age.....not sure what to make of that one.Wed, 01 Apr 2015 07:40:15 -0500Just to add that 6/15 won a chase at 16f-17f.https://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/30469541/stats-and-trends?post_id=544155371#544155371Just to add that 6/15 won a chase at 16f-17f.Wed, 01 Apr 2015 07:37:10 -050015/22 won a 16f-20f chase. One won a 21f chase. Three others finished second in a 16f-20f chase. Ones who didn't were Silver Birch, Numbersixvalverde (second at 22f) and Royal Athlete. Silver Birch won a 20f hurdle but never ran in any chase below 3mhttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/30469541/stats-and-trends?post_id=544155337#54415533715/22 won a 16f-20f chase. One won a 21f chase. Three others finished second in a 16f-20f chase. Ones who didn't were Silver Birch, Numbersixvalverde (second at 22f) and Royal Athlete. Silver Birch won a 20f hurdle but never ran in any chase below 3mWed, 01 Apr 2015 07:34:55 -0500"Six out of every four people don't understand statistics" I do like this kind of retro-fit statistical analysis. barry's post below illustrates this perfectly. "I dont know but it can't be important" I paraphrase of course but - It could be that ifhttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/30469541/stats-and-trends?post_id=544154811#544154811"Six out of every four people don't understand statistics" I do like this kind of retro-fit statistical analysis. barry's post below illustrates this perfectly. "I dont know but it can't be important" I paraphrase of course but - It could be that ifWed, 01 Apr 2015 06:29:20 -0500Nearly every horse runs over 2 miles or 2 miles 4 furlongs starting their career . only a handful go on to be out and out stayers good enough to win a Grand Nationalhttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/30469541/stats-and-trends?post_id=544154735#544154735Nearly every horse runs over 2 miles or 2 miles 4 furlongs starting their career . only a handful go on to be out and out stayers good enough to win a Grand NationalWed, 01 Apr 2015 06:19:38 -05002m to 2m4 i reckon last 15 winners havehttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/30469541/stats-and-trends?post_id=544154607#5441546072m to 2m4 i reckon last 15 winners haveWed, 01 Apr 2015 05:59:29 -0500does not matter in the slightest what the horse has performed like under 3 miles in my opinion . Every National winner since 1971 won a chase over 3 miles . how many of them won a chase at 2 miles i would not know but hazard a guess of very fewhttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/30469541/stats-and-trends?post_id=544154547#544154547does not matter in the slightest what the horse has performed like under 3 miles in my opinion . Every National winner since 1971 won a chase over 3 miles . how many of them won a chase at 2 miles i would not know but hazard a guess of very fewWed, 01 Apr 2015 05:50:06 -0500Just pointing out AE a speed horse.Using Red Rum is silly because he was a trend smasher.https://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/30469541/stats-and-trends?post_id=544154537#544154537Just pointing out AE a speed horse.Using Red Rum is silly because he was a trend smasher.Wed, 01 Apr 2015 05:47:38 -0500won over 5f barry, well a dead heat!!https://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/30469541/stats-and-trends?post_id=544154523#544154523won over 5f barry, well a dead heat!!Wed, 01 Apr 2015 05:43:49 -0500