New Posts For Thread: Why you should throw away all National stats except one!https://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/29844817/why-you-should-throw-away-all-national-stats-except-oneSince WW2 every single winner was aged 8-12. In the last 25 runnings every horse placed in the first 4 was also in that age range (6,7,13and 14yo are 0win and 0place from 83 runners). Beyond that there is no age advantage that I can see! Wins-runsDoesn't mean they can't win, most of them have just been badly handicapped.https://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/29844817/why-you-should-throw-away-all-national-stats-except-one?post_id=531036739#531036739Doesn't mean they can't win, most of them have just been badly handicapped.Sat, 06 Apr 2013 06:38:38 -0500agree they run well, thieves, but they don't winhttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/29844817/why-you-should-throw-away-all-national-stats-except-one?post_id=531035679#531035679agree they run well, thieves, but they don't winSat, 06 Apr 2013 05:38:41 -0500Jockeys are something I give no more than a glance to to be honest Srich, they are something that the crowd over factor into prices so not a variable of great interest to me. Moloney has a fine record in the race by my reckoning, nursing an inexperihttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/29844817/why-you-should-throw-away-all-national-stats-except-one?post_id=531035177#531035177Jockeys are something I give no more than a glance to to be honest Srich, they are something that the crowd over factor into prices so not a variable of great interest to me. Moloney has a fine record in the race by my reckoning, nursing an inexperiSat, 06 Apr 2013 04:59:47 -0500Laws of physics and history of the race say otherwise pedrobob, lots of horses run well with big weights, effect is nothing like 10xhttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/29844817/why-you-should-throw-away-all-national-stats-except-one?post_id=531035111#531035111Laws of physics and history of the race say otherwise pedrobob, lots of horses run well with big weights, effect is nothing like 10xSat, 06 Apr 2013 04:52:44 -0500Thread says age doesn't matter basically, other than the extremes, also weight carried doesn't matter just whether well handicapped or not.Would disagree with the "weight carried doesn't matter angle. Every pound over around 11-05 / 06 is crippling ihttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/29844817/why-you-should-throw-away-all-national-stats-except-one?post_id=531035065#531035065Thread says age doesn't matter basically, other than the extremes, also weight carried doesn't matter just whether well handicapped or not.Would disagree with the "weight carried doesn't matter angle. Every pound over around 11-05 / 06 is crippling iSat, 06 Apr 2013 04:47:19 -0500Cappa Bleu has a jockey on board with an awful Aintree record, btw.https://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/29844817/why-you-should-throw-away-all-national-stats-except-one?post_id=531034075#531034075Cappa Bleu has a jockey on board with an awful Aintree record, btw.Sat, 06 Apr 2013 03:07:53 -0500Ok adding Cappa Bleu to my shortlist, if I give him half a run for each point to point and half a win for each ptp win he would have the equivalent of 12 runs 4 wins. His run at Ascot last time reads really well and I just watched it and can see himhttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/29844817/why-you-should-throw-away-all-national-stats-except-one?post_id=531031231#531031231Ok adding Cappa Bleu to my shortlist, if I give him half a run for each point to point and half a win for each ptp win he would have the equivalent of 12 runs 4 wins. His run at Ascot last time reads really well and I just watched it and can see himFri, 05 Apr 2013 21:58:20 -0500Yes I left Gullible Gordon in as second reserve by accident instead of Mortimers Cross, neither were remotely on my radar so wasn't relevant to me :) I wasn't up at 6am, am not in the UK :)Thread says age doesn't matter basically, other than the exthttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/29844817/why-you-should-throw-away-all-national-stats-except-one?post_id=531014933#531014933Yes I left Gullible Gordon in as second reserve by accident instead of Mortimers Cross, neither were remotely on my radar so wasn't relevant to me :) I wasn't up at 6am, am not in the UK :)Thread says age doesn't matter basically, other than the extFri, 05 Apr 2013 11:56:38 -0500Was tempted to say this thread is slightly misguided !!but only because I think you may have said it on another thread,lol.So I wont,instead ill just say I think you have been up to many hours,posting at 6 am ???.Quote "of those 17, 4 fail the experihttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/29844817/why-you-should-throw-away-all-national-stats-except-one?post_id=531012767#531012767Was tempted to say this thread is slightly misguided !!but only because I think you may have said it on another thread,lol.So I wont,instead ill just say I think you have been up to many hours,posting at 6 am ???.Quote "of those 17, 4 fail the experiFri, 05 Apr 2013 10:41:26 -0500I'm willing to use point to points to help overlook up his low number of runs but not to count them as wins for this purpose. He is probably the safest place bet in the race but can't see him winning.https://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/29844817/why-you-should-throw-away-all-national-stats-except-one?post_id=531010099#531010099I'm willing to use point to points to help overlook up his low number of runs but not to count them as wins for this purpose. He is probably the safest place bet in the race but can't see him winning.Fri, 05 Apr 2013 09:22:19 -0500