New Posts For Thread: seabasshttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/29759789/seabasslooking forward to seeing him run this afternoon i thought he ran a cracker last year off 149 under a great ride from katie and hope the handicapper doesnt put him up too much when weights are announced on tuesday fits a lot of trends for a nationalSeabass is my first bet on the National this year, as he scores well on my preliminary trends analysis.https://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/29759789/seabass?post_id=529921801#529921801Seabass is my first bet on the National this year, as he scores well on my preliminary trends analysis.Sun, 17 Mar 2013 13:55:18 -0500Off a 5lb higher mark than last year i struggle to think this will be good enough and certainly wouldn't be backing it at the current prices.If ruby rode it i might change my mind however(though seems v unlikely right now).Finishes 6th imo.https://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/29759789/seabass?post_id=529341229#529341229Off a 5lb higher mark than last year i struggle to think this will be good enough and certainly wouldn't be backing it at the current prices.If ruby rode it i might change my mind however(though seems v unlikely right now).Finishes 6th imo.Mon, 25 Feb 2013 10:42:23 -0600i thought seabass ran ok looked a little fresh and got in a bit close at one or two i would hope that would have brought him on 6 weeks to get him spot onhttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/29759789/seabass?post_id=529338747#529338747i thought seabass ran ok looked a little fresh and got in a bit close at one or two i would hope that would have brought him on 6 weeks to get him spot onMon, 25 Feb 2013 09:07:26 -0600Seabass would be a worry for me now after yesterday's run.https://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/29759789/seabass?post_id=529309303#529309303Seabass would be a worry for me now after yesterday's run.Sun, 24 Feb 2013 07:01:42 -0600What are the extra 2 trends you have added in Rick?https://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/29759789/seabass?post_id=529134407#529134407What are the extra 2 trends you have added in Rick?Mon, 18 Feb 2013 07:15:59 -0600I make the list of candidates using the now 17 Mordin trends, then I look at the BHA mark they are set to run from and compare that to their lifetime highest RPR. That can of course change now that the weights are out, as it did with SHB last year sohttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/29759789/seabass?post_id=529121689#529121689I make the list of candidates using the now 17 Mordin trends, then I look at the BHA mark they are set to run from and compare that to their lifetime highest RPR. That can of course change now that the weights are out, as it did with SHB last year soSun, 17 Feb 2013 14:45:57 -0600Judorick, What do you consider as well handicapped runners? Looking at our individual ratings then comparing them with Mr.Smith's can produce some intereting results. If I wished to have a speculative pick I would concentrate on the bottom end ofhttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/29759789/seabass?post_id=529120601#529120601Judorick, What do you consider as well handicapped runners? Looking at our individual ratings then comparing them with Mr.Smith's can produce some intereting results. If I wished to have a speculative pick I would concentrate on the bottom end ofSun, 17 Feb 2013 14:06:42 -0600Indeed it is now not much more than an extremely valuable long distance handicap chase and I treat it as such. So I look for well handicapped runners with the requisite class, stamina and jumping ability. I've done my spreadsheet and there are abouthttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/29759789/seabass?post_id=529117089#529117089Indeed it is now not much more than an extremely valuable long distance handicap chase and I treat it as such. So I look for well handicapped runners with the requisite class, stamina and jumping ability. I've done my spreadsheet and there are aboutSun, 17 Feb 2013 11:54:13 -0600I think trying to find the right balance of the quality of higher weighted horses with consideration to an easier course is important. The intended runners at the top of the handicap are good horses. Crisp, L'Escargot and Red Rum they are not. At thhttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/29759789/seabass?post_id=529116385#529116385I think trying to find the right balance of the quality of higher weighted horses with consideration to an easier course is important. The intended runners at the top of the handicap are good horses. Crisp, L'Escargot and Red Rum they are not. At thSun, 17 Feb 2013 11:26:27 -0600many thanksI will work on Albertas being the topweight then. Makes a difference for those horses set to carry between 10-12 and 11-2 as to whether I include them in my betting planhttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/29759789/seabass?post_id=529112367#529112367many thanksI will work on Albertas being the topweight then. Makes a difference for those horses set to carry between 10-12 and 11-2 as to whether I include them in my betting planSun, 17 Feb 2013 09:07:26 -0600