New Posts For Thread: Grand National Stats and Trends analysishttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/27379937/grand-national-stats-and-trends-analysisas i always do for big races i've had a go at applying a set of statistics to each of the runners for this years national. here are the statistics i have used:Aged 8-12 (63/63)Finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd in a race that season (22/22)Carried 11st 1lb orVery good post.May i suggest you try the Cambridgeshire on the flat,another unique race.I have results going back to '68 and b4,interesting on the breeding side [people fall into the trap of betting horses with mile pedigree]and since '82 certain stahttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/27379937/grand-national-stats-and-trends-analysis?post_id=492243693#492243693Very good post.May i suggest you try the Cambridgeshire on the flat,another unique race.I have results going back to '68 and b4,interesting on the breeding side [people fall into the trap of betting horses with mile pedigree]and since '82 certain staMon, 11 Apr 2011 20:01:20 -0500Just add my tuppence, a really good thread and thanks for putting the spadework in, be nice if this could be put up a couple of months before to assist ante-post wise. Top drawer. Thank you.https://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/27379937/grand-national-stats-and-trends-analysis?post_id=492166361#492166361Just add my tuppence, a really good thread and thanks for putting the spadework in, be nice if this could be put up a couple of months before to assist ante-post wise. Top drawer. Thank you.Mon, 11 Apr 2011 05:56:44 -0500no problem great when it pays off!https://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/27379937/grand-national-stats-and-trends-analysis?post_id=492063693#492063693no problem great when it pays off!Sun, 10 Apr 2011 06:13:45 -0500Many thanks BigBen. I know nothing about horses so come to this forum every year for trends analysis. Had a tenner on Ballabriggs and also a £2 forecast of Ballabriggs and Oscar Time. Never had a big win on the National before and could hardly speakhttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/27379937/grand-national-stats-and-trends-analysis?post_id=492058789#492058789Many thanks BigBen. I know nothing about horses so come to this forum every year for trends analysis. Had a tenner on Ballabriggs and also a £2 forecast of Ballabriggs and Oscar Time. Never had a big win on the National before and could hardly speakSun, 10 Apr 2011 04:27:41 -0500Good stuff. Doing the same next year for us, bigben? You do the combination 'casts, Notlob? Happy days if so.https://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/27379937/grand-national-stats-and-trends-analysis?post_id=492054745#492054745Good stuff. Doing the same next year for us, bigben? You do the combination 'casts, Notlob? Happy days if so.Sun, 10 Apr 2011 02:36:57 -0500Thanks very much for the analysis....am very grateful you took a lot of the work out of it for those of us who like stats, and nailed the winner. Excellent stuff and much appreciated.https://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/27379937/grand-national-stats-and-trends-analysis?post_id=491988477#491988477Thanks very much for the analysis....am very grateful you took a lot of the work out of it for those of us who like stats, and nailed the winner. Excellent stuff and much appreciated.Sat, 09 Apr 2011 11:44:23 -0500Another interesting pointer is that since 1998 at least British horses (with the exception of Red Marauder in that dodgey race) had all produced or equalled their best RPR in the year of the race. The exceptions are the Irish trained horses Hedgehunthttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/27379937/grand-national-stats-and-trends-analysis?post_id=491701549#491701549Another interesting pointer is that since 1998 at least British horses (with the exception of Red Marauder in that dodgey race) had all produced or equalled their best RPR in the year of the race. The exceptions are the Irish trained horses HedgehuntThu, 07 Apr 2011 07:55:21 -0500^ i always think older horses ie 10/11 have a decent record if they are irish bred, frenchies have poor record overall,and the weight stat is becoming outdated, but thats due to the going being good, when we get a wet race then its time to look at thhttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/27379937/grand-national-stats-and-trends-analysis?post_id=491698357#491698357^ i always think older horses ie 10/11 have a decent record if they are irish bred, frenchies have poor record overall,and the weight stat is becoming outdated, but thats due to the going being good, when we get a wet race then its time to look at thThu, 07 Apr 2011 07:18:13 -0500dunno about State of Play ticking all the boxesIt's 11 years old and the way I would analyse the stats would be to reccommend laying every horse that is not 9 or 10https://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/27379937/grand-national-stats-and-trends-analysis?post_id=491696117#491696117dunno about State of Play ticking all the boxesIt's 11 years old and the way I would analyse the stats would be to reccommend laying every horse that is not 9 or 10Thu, 07 Apr 2011 06:49:39 -0500This is always one of my favourite threads of the year. There always seems to be a difference of opinion as to which Stats/Trends have the greatest significance. It appears clear that over the last few years the "weight" stat is not as important as ihttps://community.betfair.com/aintree2011/go/thread/view/121613/27379937/grand-national-stats-and-trends-analysis?post_id=491688641#491688641This is always one of my favourite threads of the year. There always seems to be a difference of opinion as to which Stats/Trends have the greatest significance. It appears clear that over the last few years the "weight" stat is not as important as iThu, 07 Apr 2011 04:43:34 -0500