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djwebby
21 Aug 15 04:17
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Date Joined: 06 Mar 07
| Topic/replies: 3,894 | Blogger: djwebby's blog
Please add to the list; i'm tired at the moment.
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By:
Mike-lfc
When: 21 Aug 15 10:35
Dimitrov
By:
Mike-lfc
When: 21 Aug 15 10:35
odds im not sure
By:
djwebby
When: 21 Aug 15 14:01
Cmon guys, we need odds and matches so we have it for future reference.
By:
mouse trap
When: 21 Aug 15 15:02
The Czech choking masterclass in the last two weeks

Karolina Pliskova
1.01 vs MLB, R1 @ Toronto [choked 6-3, 5-2*]
1.02 vs JJ @ Cinci [choked 6-2, 3-6, 5*-2]

Lucie Safarova
1.01 vs Gavrilova, R2 @ Toronto [choked 6-4, 5*-4 30:0]

Barbora Strycova
1.01 vs Lepchenko, R1 @ Cinci [choked 6-2, 5*-4 40:0]

Tomas Berdych vs. Donald Young gubbed some 1.0x in Montreal as well.

One week earlier
Nicole Vaidisova
1.01 vs. Martina Borecka, R3 @ Sobota/Rokietnica ITF [choked 6-1, 3*-0]
By:
wisewords
When: 21 Aug 15 15:39
Last night:

Dimitrov
1.04 v Murray, R4 Cinci
1.04 set 2 winner

Azarenka
1.05 v Pav, R4 Cinci

Nadal
1.06 v Lopez, R4 Cinci
By:
mouse trap
When: 22 Aug 15 23:41
Robson 1.03
By:
wisewords
When: 22 Aug 15 23:45
Glatch 1.07 (v Chipmunk @ NH qualies)
By:
nofx
When: 23 Aug 15 17:33
so we are catering to mugs now?
By:
lurka
When: 24 Aug 15 09:18
Good thread. Any chance we can put down amounts traded too?
By:
SIR_Bond
When: 24 Aug 15 13:25
James Ward last night

1 set up

3 - 1

and

4- 2 up in the second

gubbed
By:
palacegatetouch
When: 24 Aug 15 16:32
1.07 jared don against sam sloth last night!!! i think only for about a couple of k
By:
Darlo Bantam
When: 25 Aug 15 00:24
For balance, can we have a list of those that don't get busted.
By:
wisewords
When: 25 Aug 15 02:40
haven't been around much today, but Duckworth 1.05 against Tiafoe. anyone else been trading today have any to add?
By:
djwebby
When: 25 Aug 15 03:10
Darlo Bantam 25 Aug 15 00:24 Joined: 27 Mar 07 | Topic/replies: 23,823 | Blogger: Darlo Bantam's blog
For balance, can we have a list of those that don't get busted.




Do you mean you want to include those that don't serve out but go on to win anyway   Confused
By:
djwebby
When: 25 Aug 15 03:12
Govortsova 1.08 v Savchuk; New Haven R1. She choked a set and an early break.
By:
djwebby
When: 25 Aug 15 03:38
Hercog 1.06 v Ka Pliskova; New Haven R1; She choked a set and a break.
By:
Darlo Bantam
When: 25 Aug 15 18:02

Aug 24, 2015 -- 9:10PM, djwebby wrote:


Darlo Bantam 25 Aug 15 00:24 Joined: 27 Mar 07 | Topic/replies: 23,823 | Blogger: Darlo Bantam's blogFor balance, can we have a list of those that don't get busted.Do you mean you want to include those that don't serve out but go on to win anyway   


I was playing Devil's advocate so it was something of a flippant question. But yes, the data is essentially meaningless, if it doesn't include every short odds short that wins anyway.

By:
lurka
When: 26 Aug 15 11:50
Simon hit 1.02 last night and lost to Bedene, soory can't remember how much was traded. Agree with Darlo but eventually it might give people a better idea of which players are more prone to huge chokes
By:
SIR_Bond
When: 26 Aug 15 23:13
Simon last night was a big one
By:
SIR_Bond
When: 26 Aug 15 23:14
1.02 Gubbed here yesterday also

Schwartzman D. (Arg)    2    4    7    7              
    Andujar-Alba P. (Esp) (12)    1    6    5    5              
Match time:    2:30    0:50    0:51    0:49
By:
Darlo Bantam
When: 26 Aug 15 23:57
but eventually it might give people a better idea of which players are more prone to huge chokes

To be fair that much is very true. I'd cautiously start the list with Sam Querrey.
By:
djwebby
When: 27 Aug 15 18:22
Darlo Bantam 25 Aug 15 18:02 Joined: 27 Mar 07 | Topic/replies: 23,839 | Blogger: Darlo Bantam's blog
Aug 25, 2015 -- 3:10AM, djwebby wrote:

Darlo Bantam 25 Aug 15 00:24 Joined: 27 Mar 07 | Topic/replies: 23,823 | Blogger: Darlo Bantam's blogFor balance, can we have a list of those that don't get busted.Do you mean you want to include those that don't serve out but go on to win anyway   

I was playing Devil's advocate so it was something of a flippant question. But yes, the data is essentially meaningless, if it doesn't include every short odds short that wins anyway




No, this data might be meaningless to you but for those of us who like to take advantage of an opportunity or players that are prone to chokes then this data is a pretty good.  I'm a trader; I don't care who wins and I don't try to make those predictions either but there is much to be gained for me if someone is serving for a match and gets broken regularly or tends to lose serve once they are a break and set up.
By:
Wallflower
When: 27 Aug 15 19:13
....Pliskova not even trying - seems disappointed when she wins a pointShocked
By:
djwebby
When: 27 Aug 15 23:41
Pablo Carreno-Busta busted 1.02/1.03 for just under 100K v Herbert Pierre Hughes Winston Salem; Carreno- Busta served for the match at 5-4 in the second and lost it from there.
By:
lurka
When: 28 Aug 15 00:03
bootiful
By:
djwebby
When: 28 Aug 15 00:29
Nicolas Almagro busted 1.05 at 10K in Us Open Qualies Round 2 v Clezar
By:
Darlo Bantam
When: 28 Aug 15 00:49

Aug 27, 2015 -- 12:22PM, djwebby wrote:


Darlo Bantam 25 Aug 15 18:02 Joined: 27 Mar 07 | Topic/replies: 23,839 | Blogger: Darlo Bantam's blogAug 25, 2015 -- 3:10AM, djwebby wrote:Darlo Bantam 25 Aug 15 00:24 Joined: 27 Mar 07 | Topic/replies: 23,823 | Blogger: Darlo Bantam's blogFor balance, can we have a list of those that don't get busted.Do you mean you want to include those that don't serve out but go on to win anyway   I was playing Devil's advocate so it was something of a flippant question. But yes, the data is essentially meaningless, if it doesn't include every short odds short that wins anywayNo, this data might be meaningless to you but for those of us who like to take advantage of an opportunity or players that are prone to chokes then this data is a pretty good.  I'm a trader; I don't care who wins and I don't try to make those predictions either but there is much to be gained for me if someone is serving for a match and gets broken regularly or tends to lose serve once they are a break and set up.


Fair enough. I conceded that point above. But you still need the full balance; if you want to find players who regularly bust low odds you still can't just do so in isolation without potentially seeing how many times they win at low odds.

By:
djwebby
When: 28 Aug 15 20:58
Shvedova 1.01 busted v Mrdeza, Us Open Qualies Round 3.   Choked serving for the match multiple times.
By:
mouse trap
When: 28 Aug 15 21:00
^ and failed to convert 3 MPs, one on serve in the 2nd set TB. Mrdeza needed just one MP to get her W.
By:
djwebby
When: 28 Aug 15 21:41
Kyle Edmund 1.02/1.03 busted v Y Nishioka; failed to serve the match out in the third set.  US Open Qualies, Round 3.
By:
djwebby
When: 28 Aug 15 21:55
Steve Johnson busted 1.01/1.02 for just under 200K, lots more under 1.05 v Herbert Pierre Hughes Winston Salem; He was a set and 2 breaks up.
By:
djwebby
When: 28 Aug 15 21:56
Semi Finals.   ^^^^
By:
bb66
When: 29 Aug 15 00:37
Johnson never was double break up, Herbert broke back for 3-2* in 2nd
By:
djwebby
When: 31 Aug 15 19:28
Niskikori 1.01 gubbed, 6 figures under 1.05 v Benedict Paire US Open Round 1.
By:
Roger The Butler
When: 31 Aug 15 19:30
Nishi****i
By:
SIR_Bond
When: 31 Aug 15 20:13
1.01    £288        £159
1.02    £21        £38,782
1.03    £15        £100,387
1.04    £11        £39,277
1.05    £2        £58,822
1.06            £50,002
1.07            £37,737
1.08            £26,260
1.09    £8        £41,100
1.1            £35,642
1.11            £53,271
1.12            £74,297
1.13            £42,267
1.14            £61,499
1.15            £56,181
1.16            £18,082
1.17            £3,107
1.18            £17,079
1.19            £10,829
1.20    £56        £4,567
1.21            £3,550
1.22    £20        £1,041
1.23            £3,024


JJ just now Jankovice
By:
djwebby
When: 31 Aug 15 20:32
JJ V Dodin, US Open Round 1   ^^^^^^
By:
djwebby
When: 01 Sep 15 18:25
Begu 1.02 v Govortsova; US Open Round 1.
By:
Biffo2010
When: 01 Sep 15 19:51
Donald young hit 500 v Simon!
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