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FLAT RACING

AUG 17TH 2017

17 Aug 17 14:19
Todays picks

3.40 BEV; SEVILLA
5.10 BEV; GOLCONDA PRINCE
5.40 BEV; BIGBADBOY

5.50 YARM; HOPE IS HIGH
6.30 YARM; BUCKLAND BEAU
8.00 YARM; CAMINO
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2017 WEDNESDAY AUG 16TH

17 Aug 17 14:10
Trying out Another system!!!!
Comprehensive method but shows 357 wins from 871 races 2016/17
Still work to do - Track,Distance and Months breakdown but age and grade done so far.

2.10 BEV; TAIL OF TAILS non runner
3.10 BEV; MISS MO BROWN BEAR unpl
3.40 BEV; TALENT SCOUT [b]WON 9/4[/b]
4.10 BEV; ALEXANDER unpl
4.30 BEV YENSIR  2nd
5.45 BEV FUJIN   2nd

SALISBURY
1.50 STRATEGIST UNPL
2.20 ROGUE WON (WON 5/2)
2.50 DANDY FLAME UNPL
3.50 PLAYFUL SOUND UNPL

Strangely enough the selections match Top Rating in 7 of the 10 selections.

2 winners & 2 seconds

Needs more analysis
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ROYAL ASCOT Day 5

24 Jun 17 09:33

A bit low key today.
The maths exercise has taken it's toll, but well worth it with profit of £318 over the last 4 days.

Saturday Bets

Thomas Hobson @ 5/2
Normandy Barriere @ 14/1
Dartmouth @ 2/1
Central Square @ 15/2

Yankee, 11 bets * £1.00  E/W


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ROYAL ASCOT DAY 4

24 Jun 17 08:57
2.25 ALBANY G3 2yo Fills
Not a race for me due to lack of races, but  ALPHA CENTAUR1 comes out top due to 2 wins from 2 races over distance. (2nd)

3.05 KING EDWARD G2 3yo's
PERMIAN (8+(top) in 11 races . Top Career rating, 7+ (top) on turf runs and 2nd highest rating in race (WON)

BEST SOLUTION (2+) in 10 races. 2nd in career rating, 4+ on turf runs and Top rating in race.

Permian comes out best with 3 tops (total Score 163.5) compared to Best Solution having one (total score 153.5).

3.40 G1 3yo's
BLUE POINT (8+) in 7 races, Joint 2nd in career rating, 8+ on turf runs, 8+ over distance & 3rd rated in race (3rd)

CARAVAGGIO (10+ top) in 5 races (unbeaten), Joint 2nd career rating,8+ over turf, 6+ over distance. 2nd rated. (WON)

HARRY ANGEL (4+) in 4 races, Top career rating, 4+ over turf, 4+ over dist, Top Rated. (2nd)

Harry Angel is let down by lack of Course win in 2 runs at track, whilst other two both won their single race runs there.
It's a very close call between other two but Blue Point total score is 198.5 and Caravaggio has 196.5
On the basis value in prices it is worth going with Blue Point.

4.20 3yo fills G1

WINTER score 178.5  (WON)
DABYAH score 159
hydrangea score 141
La Corenel score 70
Precieuse score 164.5
Roly Poly score 144.5
Tomyris score 145.5

5.00 Queen's Vase 3yo G2

The 3 earmarked are way ahead of rest  (all unplcd)
DESERT SKYLINE 140
TIME TO STUDY 136.5
FIERCE IMPACT 129.5


5.35 DUKE OF EDINBURGH HCP  (all unplcd)
CAPE COVA 159.5
SOLDIER IN ACTION 157
WAGIDOR 154







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ROYAL ASCOT Day 3

22 Jun 17 20:22
As the previous posts (last week) showed 3yo+ & 4yo+ definitely favours the ratings.

Royal Ascot has been good for me so far but the races/age reads
2yo NIL from 3
3yo 2 wins from 3 races
3yo+/4yo+ 5 wins from 6 races

ASCOT BETS day 1
Ribchester @ 6/5
Brother Bear @ 11/2
Marsha @ 7/2
Barney Roy @ 5/2
Thomas Hobson @ 6/1
Declarationofpeace @ 5/2
Heinz, 57 bets * £0.25 £14.25 £58.24
--------
Ribchester @ 6/5
Brother Bear @ 11/2
Declarationofpeace @ 5/2
Lady Aurelia @ 4/1
Yorkidding @ 16/1
Barney Roy @ 5/2
Heinz, 57 bets * £0.25

Day 2
Le Brivido @ 11/4
Qemah @ 2/1
Jack Hobbs @ 3/1
Tabarrak @ 25/1 (placed)
Tisbutadream @ 16/1 (placed)
Super Yankee, 26 bets * £0.25 E/W £13.00 £32.40

DAY 3 BETS
Havana Grey @ 7/1
Orderofthegarter @ 13/2 (placed)
Mori @ 5/2 (placed)
Order Of St George @ 1/1 (placed)
Afaak @ 16/1
Drochaid @ 14/1 (placed)
Heinz, 57 bets * £0.50 E/W
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Qualifiers;
2.10 RIO RONALD0 (WON)5/2 fv DH / THE BIG LAD reserve
2.20 THEODORICO BH (UNPL)
2.35 KHAMAARY CH fill (2nd) Evens fv
2.55 SPARK PLUG (A) UNPL
3.10 DESERT LAW BH   UNPL
3.30 EKHITIYAAR BH (3YO) UNPL
4.10 MAMNOON FH  3RD 9/4 fv
4.40 KNOCKOUT BLOW (2YO CM)UNPL
4.55 MY GIRL MAISE FH NON RUNNER
5.00 BRISTOL MISSILE (Mdn) (WON) Evens fv
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Todays Qualifiers
2yo's
1.50 SOSIAN 2nd 4/1 Cnov
2.00 GLACEON 3rd 4/5 fv Enov
5.55 KLOSTERS WON 11/10 fv Dnov
6.05 ROYAL HOUSEHOLD WON 5/6 fv Dnov

3YO'S
5.25 DOMINATING WON 7/4fv EH
7.10 EYNHALLOW 3rd 5/4 fv CH
7.40 ROAD TO DUBAI 2nd 13/8 fv DH
8.45 COOL TEAM UNPL 8/11 fv mdn

4YO+
2.20 YORK; BURGUILLOS 2nd 4/1 CH
3.30 YORK; SUN LOVER 2nd 11/2 CH
3.45 SAND; SHAGIAH WON 11/8 fv CH
4.05 YORK; SAINTED NON RUNNER
5.15 YORK; OPPOSITION (APP)WON 5/2 fv DH
8.05 CHEP; FRANK BRIDGE NON RUNNER
8.35 CHEP; BONJOUR STEVE NON RUNNER
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NO BETs Today
all selections are priced 5/2 AND Lower
Will update tomorrow.

The Qualifiers were.
2yo's
1.30 ROGUE  7/4fv UNPL
1.40 KIT MARLOW 15/8 Fv 3rd
2.00 MUTAKTIF 4/7 Fv 2nd



3YO'S
2.30 HIGHWAY ONE (Mdn Fill) UNPL
3.05 TALAAYEB Listed fills 4/7fv UNPL
4.50 BRIMHAM ROCKS (EH) 11/8 fv UNPL


4YO+

3.20 ESCALATING (Non Runner)

3.55 ARCTIC ANGEL 6/4fv UNPL
5.20 THE MAJOR (amateur) WON 13/8 fv
6.05 LUGANO WON Evens FV
8.10 GULF OF POETS WON 7/2 fv

Review: The 4yo+ came good with 3 wins from 4 races

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Todays Qualifiers.

2YO
YARM 2.10; ONE MINUTE (Enov) (Odds On) 2nd 1/3Fav
HAMIL 6.25; TOUGH REMEDY (Enov) (Odds On) 3rd 8/13 fav

3YO
YARM 3.10: DAIRA PRINCE (EH) WON 2/1fv
HAYD 3.30: MUTARABBY (Mdn) 2nd 2/1 jt fv
HAYD 4.00: RELY ON ME (DH) UNPL 3/1 fv
HAYD 5.00: UAE KING (Mdn) WON 6/5 fv
HAMIL 8.25 INTENSE ROMANCE (DH) UNPL


4YO+
YARM 3.40 ROBBIE ROO ROO (FH) 2ND 4/1 fav
YARM 4.10 HACKNEY ROAD (EH fill) 3rd 11/4
HAYD 4.30 MUTADAFFEQ (CH) 2nd 9/4
HAMIL 5.55 TANGO SKY (FH amat) UNPL
HAMIL 6.55 YENSIR (FH) 2ND 10/3fv


Multiple Bets
Total Stake: £11.50
Pot. Win: £1,572.03

Total Stake: £24.80
Pot.  Win: £75,110.53

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Todays qualifiers
2YO'S
2.00 SALISBURY: INITIATIVE WON 6/5 Fv
2.15 YARMOUTH: TIVOLI   NR (WD)
2.30 SALISBURY: AQUADABRA  3RD 7/2
8.20 LINGA: ELIZABETH BENNET WON 13/8 fv

3YO'S
4.15 YARMOUTH: PERMANENT (Fclassified) UNPL
5.50 LINGA; SPORTING TIMES (Emdn) WON 15/8

3YO+
4.00 SALIS: BILLESDON BESS (CH fill) WON 4/1
7.20 LINGA; AKAVIT (EH) WON 7/4 fv
7.50 LINGA; NAGS WAG (Seller) WON 11/8 fv

Decided to play today - larger fields than yesterday
Total Stake: £12.10
Pot. Win: £4,897.26

Return £127.94
Profit £115.84
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