1.00 Market Rasen - It’s Obvious 9/1 each way William Hill Bet365 I m following for some time It's Obvious, sold for 85 k at the Aintree’s auctions after finishing runner up to Fitzhenry in an Irish point-to-point. Pipe’s charge ran with credit in maiden/novices contests and he is now having his handicap debut; he is stepping up big time in trip and that should suit as he stayed on one pace over inadequate 2 miles distance. Many front runners in this contest could set things up for those coming from further back and selection has been ridden with restrain so far; tongue-tie on for the first time has paid dividends for this trainer in the last 5 years.
1.20 Newbury – Doitforthevillage 7/2 Ladbrokes William Hill Coral Doitforthevillage was improving during last season starting at a handicap mark of 103 and currently rated 140 over fences after his win in class 2 event at Cheltenham. Today he’s reverting to hurdles where the 9 year-old gelding is rated only 113. I don’t know if he can be competitive enough over the smaller obstacles but 27lbs difference looks key: already a winner on soft ground Henderson’s charge is worth a bet.
1.30 Market Rasen – Morianour 4/1 Ladbrokes Paddy Power Coral Morianour was travelling like a dream 9 days ago at Fontwell chasing home the very well handicapped (our pick) De Rasher Counter: the pair were clear from Minella On Line and other horses rated around 125. Useful Mitchell Bastyan claimer is booked for his only ride on the card. If the race doesn’t come too soon Evan Williams’ charge will win today, he’s due to go up 5lbs in the ratings next Sunday, so he looks well in at current mark of 113.
3.00 Newbury – Indy Five 7/2 exchanges 3/1 Skey Bet Paddy Power and Killala Quai 12/1 Each way Bet365 Betfred I was on Indy Five last twice: the first time he was having his seasonal reappearance over hurdles but he clearly needed the run after one and a half year lay off. He made an impressive debut over the larger obstacles subsequently making it virtually all over 3 miles at Taunton. He has been hammered by the handicapper with a 12lbs raise at the weights but this horse has some very hot form in the book as he beat the 147 rated Midnight Tour over hurdles and won his point-to-point in Ireland having the better of Big River, now rated 144 for trainer Lucinda Russell. He could be still well in at the current mark of 122 with Noel Fehily booked for the job: David Dennis’ yard is still going well and I ll stick to “the Indy” another time.
At double figure odds Killala Quay takes a big drop in class having ran in some much more competitive contests than this one. Longsdon’s charge displayed an encouraging performance last time out at Doncaster against horses rated between 150 and 128 in first time blinkers. Richard Johnson’s booking suggests this race might have been the plan for the 11 year-old gelding.
3.10 Market Rasen – Farm The Rock 9/1 each way Bet365 Ladbrokes Coral Strong form in the book for Farm The Rock that improved stepping up to 2m4f when second at Wincanton: the third horse Compadre won subsequently and few horses in that race did well next time out. Katy Price’s charge was unlucky to fall last twice as both times he was travelling strongly behind the leaders poised to challenge: he’s a point winner and although still a maiden under rules he looks a chaser in the making, with a clear round he d be involved.
3.30 Newbury – Kapatana 6/5 exchanges I was waiting for Kupatana for some time, probably she needed more time than others as she makes only today her official debut under rules. Front runner in sole Irish point-to-point last March on ground with cut: that race has produced plenty of subsequent winners and she moved to Henderson’s yard for 120k. She is Nico De Bonville’s pick of trainer’s pair and looks an interesting runner for top yard.
4.05 Newbury - Baddesley Knight 5/1 each way BetVictor Bet365 Some interesting types on pedigree but the best form in the book is from Baddesley Knight that performed really well finishing so close to subsequent winners Court Liability and Solomon Grey. Tom Cannon’s charge was extremely green too in that occasion, so you can expect him to improve with that run under his belt. That race was on good ground but his sire Doyen was by Sadler's Wells and they both did not mind soft conditions.