Two middling defences (you won't sell me on the Packers' run D - check the schedule) against the hottest offensive hands in football is a mouthwatering prospect and if Rodgers can overcome the injuries Green Bay are carrying on that side of the ball, it'll be nothing short of a miracle.
Atlanta to win, Green Bay to cover.
Pick: Green Bay +6 @ 1.91
Pick: Anytime TD Jared Cook @ 2.5
I revealed my Super Bowl pick on this blog on the 25th September last year (yeah, my full and exciting life means I have time to look it up) and I'm going to stay with the Steelers here.
Bell has to have a HUGE game against a tough run defense and the Steelers' ball hogging, opportunistic defense has to make some plays, but I'm hoping a fit Roethlisberger will take advantage of a Patriots team intent on keying on Bell, thus freeing up Brown deep.
My reservations? It's Brady, it's Belichick, it's Blount, it's Ben on the road. It's a road that, in truth, I'm travelling in hope rather than expectation.
Pick: Steelers +6 @ 2
Pick: LeVeon Bell Over 112.5 Rushing yards @ 1.91
Pick: Tom Brady Under 285.5 Passing yards @ 1.85
Only one team in football history has given more points in this round.
However, Houston has a very capable defense (put the Texans in your notebook for next year when they get key players back on both sides of the ball) and Lamar Miller and DeAndre Hopkins can make some plays.
The Pats will win, but I can't give anyone over 15 points, even with Brock Osweiler under centre.
Capping the Giants has been a nightmare ever since Archie told the Chargers to lay off in 2004. His boy Eli can be anyone on any given day, including a Super Bowl winner.
The Giants have gone into Lambeau and stuck it to the favourite Green Bay before and this is a decent spot for them with the Packers cobbling together a secondary that has struggled all season. The problem is, Manning has looked average at best this year and Dom Capers has pushed Eli in the past.
Aaron Rodgers is playing out of his mind, and the Giants need to contain him in the pocket, otherwise they run the risk he'll put numbers up on the ground - he torched Detroit last week. The New York secondary is the toughest Rodgers will have seen and he'll need to be at his elusive, and accurate best; Ty Montgomery has to show up.
I have my reservations, but I expect the Pack to have too much.
As my devoted reader knows, I got on the Steelers preseason to go all the way and they're likely to put up a ton of points at Heinz Field with three of the most potent offensive threats in football suiting up, but giving this many points is a stretch, even with Matt Moore under centre.
Don't get too involved, because the Steelers may put a prison beat down on the fins, but I'll take the points and the Over.
Pick: Dolphins +11.5 @ 2.05
Pick: Over 46.5 @ 1.95
I remember once meeting an old guy in Vegas who told me, "Son, never forget that in post season football you're only one hit away from disaster" and he was only parking my car! He was right though, and so I give you ...
Connor Cook (probably) versus Brock Osweiler. Jeez.