May 10, 2018 -- 6:27PM, neill d wrote:
True, gonna have a fair cut on Gustav Klimpt first time a see an Irish Guineas antepost market, he'll probably go off 11/10 on the day with the ground exactly as he wants and hose up.
3/1 with sky bet if you have an active a/c
I'd imagine that price will go today with confirmed absence of VD. 2/1 with PP.
May 13, 2018 -- 8:03AM, neill d wrote:
I wouldn't mind him getting beaten at Newmarket at all, think the Curragh is probably his perfect tract, looks a staying kind of miler.Surprised Verbal Dexterity was never sold, wonder is he not as good as they hoped and Bolger doesn't want to sell the arabs a blatant dud as they're working closely enough together now.Saxon Warrior looks some freak, the way he crept into it effortlessly at Newmarket was one of the most impressive things I've seen in a while. Pat Keane was saying in the Eaxaminer that it was a prep, don't think there is really a bet in the Derby now, couldn't be bothered taking him on.
3/1 would seem over-priced Neil even with the normal dangers of ante-post but not the most accessible of books by any means.
It seems to be the plan according to the below quote. The second and third favs finished ahead at Newmarket but Appelby and Johnston (will they even turn up),the narrative is normally they kill their best horses early and regress if anything, then you have AOB. Although sometimes where we have seen AOB's improve dramatically from Newm to Curragh,Newm was their seasonal debut.Not the case here obv, but maybe the below quote gives the reason.Aob has managed to win this with Power and Rodderick
"US Navy Flag is likely to be joined in the Irish Guineas by stablemate Gustav Klimt. The Galileo colt could only finish sixth behind Saxon Warrior in the Newmarket Guineas and O'Brien hopes he can raise his game at the Curragh on Saturday week.
O'Brien said: "We thought he would run a better race than he did (at Newmarket), but he still ran a good race and we were very happy with him. It could have been that he ran in Leopardstown (on his reappearance) in very heavy ground and it took a bit more out of him than we thought. In the Guineas he raced a bit behind the bridle rather than the other way when he can be on it. He is very well now and his work is very good so he is going to go back to the Irish 2,000 Guineas."