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11 Feb 16 22:12
Date Joined: 13 Apr 07
| Topic/replies: 32,130 | Blogger: RyanWe's blog

Always On The Run - 2.05 at Kempton - 6/1 with a few books, 7.2 on betfair

Missed the party a bit here, too busy crying over more odds on in running losers, but the show must goes on. Someone else pointed this horse out to me (TheSecret), absolutely loved this horse's first run for Tom George on New Year's Eve. It was his first run over fences, crazy fresh, too keen, but jumped like a bunny. I really think this horse is going to be a lot better over fences, and although he's bred to stay 3 miles, I do think dropping to 16f is the right thing to do if you're not going to put him in a hood. He ran such a nice race at Warwick, and it doesn't look like much was expected, because he was sent off at 12/1 - whether that was because of fitness, or doubts about the ground, I'm not sure, but he'll be getting some better ground tomorrow, and these other trainers have all been doing so well with these ex McCain horses, that I wouldn't expect this to be any different.

Hopefully.. Just blast him from the front, catch me if you can, a bit like when they had Stellar Notion, Nacarat etc etc they love their front runners at Kempton.


Modus in the Betfair hurdle - Currently 11.0 on betfair

He's only top price 7/1 with the books at the moment, sure to drift out with them if he stays at this price, but this whole reaction of Bazza picking that Mullins horse is way over the top.

Where do I start with Modus?

2nd in the Champion bumper last season, had Yanworth behind him in 4th, and the rest. A fine 3rd in the Punchestown bumper too.

Both of these runs were achieved with a pretty average trainer in Robert Stephens, sorry Stevo.

JP buys him, whacks him with Nicholls. Wins easily on his first two starts, but throws a bad one in when last seen on heavy ground. Not that it was terrible, but it was still disappointing. It wouldn't come as a surprise to hear that the stable strike rate was 10% in December, something rarely seen for the champion trainer.

The stable are flying again now though, 33%. Even the horses losing are running crackers.

He's got a mark of 139, which looks lenient to me. He beat Charmix off levels pretty cosily, and I know that horse has improved for stepping up in trip but the handicapper thinks he's 145 rated. Charmix beat Emerging Force by 38 lengths, and we saw him win a handicap off 129 today. I know Emerging Force might of ran below par that day, and he probably improved for the step up in trip too today, but there is just so many horses that Modus has beat that make him look a horse who could turn out to be top class.

I suppose there is question marks over the horse on heavy ground, we don't know if that's what we are going to get yet. A dry day tomorrow, and it might chuck it down on Saturday, but at least it will be sloppy ground, not tacky.

I think the horse is miles better than his mark of 139. I know other horses are probably chucked in too, but I feel like there is a lot more to come.
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Report PHS February 20, 2018 4:29 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Allegiant     18:15    Kempton    Williams, S C    Charlton, R
Frenzified    19:45    Kempton    Fellowes, Charlie    Cumani, L M
Azari    19:45    Kempton    Dunn, Mrs Alex    Dascombe, Tom
Tundra    20:15    Kempton    Carson, Anthony    Varian, Roger
Mutarakez     16:50    Newcastle    Carr, Mrs R A    Meehan, B J
Traveller     17:25    Newcastle    Brittain, Antony    Hills, Charles

Veiled Secret     14:15    Doncaster    Dennis, David    Prescott, Sir Mark
Oscar Bravo     14:15    Doncaster    George, T R    Dalton, Heather
Ilewin Geez    14:15    Doncaster    Mann, C J    Moore, G L
Helf     14:15    Doncaster    Greenall, Oliver    Hannon , Richard
Work Du Breteau     14:50    Doncaster    Skelton, Daniel    Reed, W T
Ballyben     14:50    Doncaster    Jefferson, Ruth    Jefferson, J M
Ballynagour     15:20    Doncaster    Williams, Ian    Pipe, D E
Kilfinichen Bay     15:55    Doncaster    Hutsby, F A    Longsdon, C E
Hard Station     15:55    Doncaster    Bandey, R J    OKeeffe, J P
Pearl Of The West     13:50    Ludlow    McConnell, John C    Fahy, P A
Baratineur     15:00    Ludlow    Bishop, K    Hawker, Richard
Report PHS February 21, 2018 7:21 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
The Night King    18:30    Chelmsford City    Quinn, M    Channon, M R
The Lacemaker    19:00    Chelmsford City    Dwyer, C A    Dunlop, E A L
Cobalty Isle     14:35    Southwell    Dalgleish, Keith    Candy, H
Precious Silk     15:10    Southwell    Lloyd-Beavis, Miss N    Santos, Jose
Courteous Crown    15:10    Southwell    Evans, P D    Hannon , Richard

Dude Alert     13:50    Huntingdon    Hoad, M R    Moore, G L
Brecon Hill     14:20    Huntingdon    Humphrey, Mrs S J    Haynes, Sally
Garde Forestier     15:30    Huntingdon    Mullins, J W    Whittaker, C R
King Spirit     16:40    Huntingdon    Lacey, T    Powell, B G
Steps And Stairs     14:10    Sedgefield    Oliver, Henry    ONeill, Jonjo
Nautical Twilight    16:30    Sedgefield    Jefferson, Ruth    Jefferson, J M
Ajabindejaw     16:30    Sedgefield    Hammond, Micky    Gibney, Thomas
Report PHS February 22, 2018 10:21 AM GMT
20:00 Maratha 11/1
Report PHS February 22, 2018 10:26 AM GMT
^Ran a cracking race when 2nd to Mount Tahan (much stronger race than today's) albeit he was getting a stone, then ran a stinker last time. I'm hopeful that he'll go at least as well at Chelms.

I've also had savers on Maestro Mac 8.2 and Cpt Pugwash 13 (now 7.4), basically opposing the market, with Nonios, Thaqaffa and Shamrokh all too short imo. Only 0.5pt risked inc the savers, so not a confident bet.
Report PHS February 22, 2018 10:27 AM GMT
11/1 went quickly but still 10's with C
Report PHS February 22, 2018 4:42 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Miniature Daffodil     14:10    Lingfield    Evans, P D    Williams, Christian
Krazy Paving    14:45    Lingfield    Murphy, Olly    Murphy, Anabel K
Alaska     15:20    Lingfield    Bradley, J M    Kirk, S
Silent Echo    15:50    Lingfield    Hedger, P R    Charlton, R
Mr Frankie    17:00    Lingfield    Brotherton, R    Wintle, A
Filudo     18:15    Wolverhampton    Fell, Roger    Elliott, Gordon
Tuff Love     19:15    Wolverhampton    Levins, J F    Lyons, G M
Roman De Brut     19:15    Wolverhampton    Furtado, Ivan    Quinn, Denis P
Bouclier     19:15    Wolverhampton    Unett, J W    Easterby, M W
Ruby Gates     19:45    Wolverhampton    Butler, John    OBrien, Joseph Patrick
Super Florence     20:15    Wolverhampton    Jardine, I    Houghton, Eve Johnson
Precious Silk     20:15    Wolverhampton    Lloyd-Beavis, Miss N    Santos, Jose
Mutabaahy     20:15    Wolverhampton    Brittain, Antony    Dunlop, E A L

Ten Times Better     15:40    Exeter    Sheppard, M    Fahy, P A
Jepeck     16:50    Exeter    Woollacott, Mrs Kayley    Woollacott, R M
Zamalight    14:25    Warwick    Murphy, Olly    Perrett, Mrs A J
Max Liebermann     14:25    Warwick    Ryan, J    OBrien, A P
Eolian    14:25    Warwick    Murphy, Olly    Balding, A M
Report Pinza February 23, 2018 1:44 PM GMT
Working on 3 year Database and my top score method






7.45 DOSE
Report pumphol. February 23, 2018 2:29 PM GMT
Nice start Pinza Cool

Noble Deed for me in the next
Report PHS February 23, 2018 4:28 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Carouse     13:30    Lingfield    Osborne, J A    Balding, A M
Khalidi    15:15    Lingfield    Cox, C G    Gosden, J H M
Napping    17:45    Wolverhampton    Murphy, Olly    Murphy, Anabel K
Krazy Paving    17:45    Wolverhampton    Murphy, Olly    Murphy, Anabel K
Sterling Silva     18:15    Wolverhampton    Haslam, B M R    Hannon , Richard
Navajo Grey     18:45    Wolverhampton    Brisland, Robyn    Appleby, M
Nafaayes     18:45    Wolverhampton    Auvray, Jean-Rene    Hills, Charles
Carp Kid     19:45    Wolverhampton    Flint, J L    Osborne, J A
Ronnie The Rooster    20:15    Wolverhampton    Eyre, J L    Barron, T D
World Of Good    20:45    Wolverhampton    Murphy, Olly    Murphy, Anabel K
Three Cs     20:45    Wolverhampton    Wintle, A    Dennis, David
Jai Hanuman     21:15    Wolverhampton    Wigham, M    Durack, S
Emperor Bob     21:15    Wolverhampton    Fahey, Peter    McKenna, P J

Lets Sway    13:55    Chepstow    Barfoot-Saunt, Mrs Tracey    Murphy, Amy
Kasperenko    14:25    Kempton    Powell, B G    Lanigan, D R
Bid Adieu     14:25    Kempton    Williams, Miss Venetia    Cooper, Thomas
Scarlet Dragon    15:00    Kempton    King, A    Houghton, Eve Johnson
Humphrey Bogart     15:00    Kempton    Henderson, N J    Hannon , Richard
Carntop    15:00    Kempton    Snowden, Jamie    Beckett, R M
Kelka    14:10    Newcastle    Jefferson, Ruth    Jefferson, J M
Report Pinza February 24, 2018 1:14 PM GMT
Thanks Pump. Not a bad day with ew multiples.
365 were offering me four times stake output after first one went in.

Todays Database pointers

Carouse 1.30 Linga (not keen on these novice races)

Orva 2.05 Linga, (Royal birth has won similar race previously)

Winter Derby is difficult. Either Utmost or Khalidi could stop O'Brien's Clear Skies

3.50; This race is not for oldies so stick to age 4-6 range
GORING or CHEVALLIER looking at database. Both come up with plenty of wins at this grade
Report madhatters February 24, 2018 1:49 PM GMT
The wagon keeps rolling on Rob Grin
Take a leap of faith today
Report REDROB February 24, 2018 2:31 PM GMT
Yeah, but yesterdays was the most expensive purchase price for one of sams that I've seen mad' , and todays cost a grand more Happy , but such an obscure trainr/stable, your probably right, but I was obliged to. Actually fancy Tizzards in same race.
Report REDROB February 24, 2018 2:33 PM GMT
or Fergals
Report PHS February 24, 2018 5:31 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Norman The Red    15:20    Fontwell    Long, J E    Butler, P
Letbeso     16:25    Fontwell    Lawther, Mrs K    Bowen, P
Gowanauthat     16:25    Fontwell    Nimmo, Miss F    Mann, C J
Hit The Highway     16:55    Fontwell    Gordon, C    Smyly, G R I
Sun Cloud     15:35    Southwell    Jefferson, Ruth    Jefferson, J M
Cruising Bye    16:35    Southwell    Bowen, P    Hanmer, G D
Report RozelKid February 24, 2018 7:58 PM GMT
2.30 Southwell: CHAMPION CHASE 12/1 EW BOG

Been gradually coming down in the weights - Just had the 2 runs for M Bosley since joining from the Kim Bailey yard . Thought it was going to open up at 6-7/1 and was going to leave it at that price - but the 12/1 BOG is reasonable imo to give the Olly Murphy fav a race if fit and ready

The class 4 he ran in last time was a lot better than this one - Jockey James Best travels to Southwell for his only ride. CC has shown snippets of some ability around Southwell last year for Kim Bailey but he was clearly too high in the hcap when over those hurdles.

More hopeful ... than overly confident.
Report madhatters February 25, 2018 3:28 PM GMT
You gotta have hope RK
Report RozelKid February 25, 2018 3:52 PM GMT

Feb 25, 2018 -- 9:28AM, madhatters wrote:

You gotta have hope RKWD

Great ride by Alan Johns on the winner - even when James Best pulled alongside you could tell that Johns had more horse underneath him.

2 Weeks to Cheltenham ! time is flying.

Report Diff-rent February 25, 2018 4:17 PM GMT
Chateauneuf Du Pap 4.15 big win lay.

Horse brought to go fencing lay accordingly today in my opinion.
Report PHS February 25, 2018 5:41 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Marble Statue    13:55    Lingfield    Murphy, Amy    Beckett, R M
Arabian Oasis    19:15    Wolverhampton    McJannet, Luke    Herrington,M

Notwhatiam     16:20    Ayr    Keatley, Adrian Paul    McNamara, R P
Theatre Rouge     15:00    Plumpton    Mulholland, N P    Hobbs, P J
Fizzlestix     16:40    Plumpton    Gordon, C    Skelton, Daniel
Perfect Moment     17:15    Plumpton    Roberts, M J    Cantillon, D E
Report PHS February 25, 2018 5:42 PM GMT
Placer RKWink
Report RozelKid February 25, 2018 8:12 PM GMT
Cheers PHS

2.00 Plumpton: DREAM BAIE 11/1 EW BOG

Tough race to really have any strong opinion on - but I think there is some scope for this one to possibly show some improvement because of several mitigating factors that hold weight with me .

I also dont believe the Henderson Joint fav should be as short as he is in the betting

Dream Baie is a lightly raced Ex Joseph O'Brien 5yo gelding who transferred to the Roberts yard after only 2 runs-  has since had a wind Operation after just one run for the Roberts here at Plumpton in a novice hurdle.

Trainer Michael Roberts has a decent record around Plumpton , and so does Josh Moore. I actually think the Jockey booking is quite eye catching.

Concerns- They could be just giving this one a spin with a long term plan to run in hcaps....therefore I'm not really sure if he represents value at the current 11/1 available. In my experience they are a yard who like their big priced winners.

Josh Moore has alot of experience around here at Plumpton and  could just be carrying out a fact finding mission for the trainer.

Conclusion -If it badly drifts in the morning then i will know my fate - it might pay to just wait to see what happens throughout mid morning. Thats the price i will pay to speculate on this one at BOG tonight - I will keep it in my notebook even if its a poor show tomorrow. Id be confident get a return sometime this year.

I did the same thing with this yard in January 2016 with a horse called Saucysioux - after 3 runs Roberts ran it in a 6 runner Maiden Hurdle around here and it won easy by 8 lengths  40/1 - its now with the Olly Murphy yard .
Report PHS February 26, 2018 4:45 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Chorus Of Lies    14:45    Chelmsford City    Dunn, Mrs Alex    Waggott, Miss Tracy
Fethiye Boy    16:15    Chelmsford City    Loughnane, Daniel Mark    Harris, R A
Equally Fast    14:00    Lingfield    Harris, R A    Hiatt, P W
Excellent World     16:30    Lingfield    Channon, M R    Coyle, Tony
Thatsthewaytodoit     17:00    Lingfield    Furtado, Ivan    Loughnane, Daniel Mark

Stipulate    14:40    Catterick    England, Sam    Ellison, B
Report Pinza February 26, 2018 5:01 PM GMT
Sprint race with lowest number of runners (6). The last 6 similar races at track had 8,9,11,11,11,13 runners.

Tropics has been in good form winning two of his 9 wins and a 2nd since November but tackles a higher grade here.
10yo runners rarely win at this class (36 runners have failed)
and Tropics is the only one to land a win (class 3) in 9-11 age range out of 65 runners at class 2 & 3 hcp (since 2016)

Age for these races at Wolver and other AW tracks, over sprints, favours 4,5, & 6yo

Atletico came 2nd here last time out and runs a futher furlong today and id C&D winner
Reckless Endeavour won similar race at Linga LTO

Apart from Reckless Endeavour (24) previous AW winners had 15  to 21 races prior to their win

This highlights REFLECTOR as possible winner as it is the range with 18 runs
Tom Dascombe sent Kachy to Linga in Janurary to win similar race.
Report RozelKid February 26, 2018 6:09 PM GMT
Dream Baie disappointing Sad

The weather is bound to cause havoc this week

Good luck with REFLECTOR , Pinza.
Report PHS February 26, 2018 8:21 PM GMT
WD PinzaCool
Report Pinza February 26, 2018 8:26 PM GMT
Thanks Guys
Richard Kingscote  gave it a great ride.
Report pumphol. February 26, 2018 9:10 PM GMT
Nice work Pinza Cool
Report Pinza February 27, 2018 9:14 AM GMT
Thanks Pump
I see you had a win also yesterday.
Report RozelKid February 27, 2018 10:41 AM GMT
WD Pinza
Report Pinza February 27, 2018 12:59 PM GMT
Going with my favourite jockey again
No time to research but SF (strongly fancied) in both newspapers
and top spot plus top rated.
The combination of data is favourable in hcp's at this track

Report Pinza February 27, 2018 1:04 PM GMT
Todays favourable data for multiples bet

Walk In The Sun 3
Smiley Bagel 6
Miss Milla B 5
Outlaw Torn 1
Tellovoi 3
Gala Celebration 5
Eurato 5
Report PHS February 27, 2018 4:32 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Maydale    17:45    Newcastle    Davies, J J    Teague, C J
River Rule    19:15    Newcastle    Carroll, A W    Williams, S C
Griffin Street    19:45    Newcastle    Whillans, A C    Jardine, I
Thecornishbarron     15:20    Wolverhampton    Sadik, A    Ryan, J
Upavon    16:25    Wolverhampton    Carroll, A W    Williams, S C
Afandem     16:25    Wolverhampton    Johnston, M    Palmer, Hugo
Report pumphol. February 27, 2018 4:46 PM GMT
I almost put up French Mix Pinza but at the time it  had been cut so as price was missed I didn't bother Cry napped it on the naps comp so not bullsh!ting, looked a d/h with yours in all honesty
Report REDROB February 27, 2018 5:38 PM GMT
I had a feeling pumpy when i saw your selection , and backed it in win and place market, but at 27, watched it drift to 44 and thought i'd chucked it away, Just need a decent priced one tomorrow to nick it from ya tomorrow now you barsteward Laugh
Report pumphol. February 27, 2018 5:51 PM GMT
Lol Rob, glad you backed it just sorry I never put it up here as a few may well have backed it, good luck for tomorrow, if you find a decent priced winner your deserve to win it.
Report Pinza February 28, 2018 8:27 AM GMT
See you are at the top after that win
Well done and good luck today
Report pumphol. February 28, 2018 8:51 AM GMT
Cheers Pinza, I do like Final Attack as well Rob, good luck with that I just hope they back it into single figures Laugh
Feels like I'm posting a day too late however.

Royal Holiday - 6.45 New 16/1

Nice draw, first time in class seven but what really catches the eye is the jockey booking of Phillip Makin, not ridden horse for two years but has ridden the horse in total  five times with three wins & a second, yep its in the veteran stage now but must have chances in this grade.
Report pumphol. February 28, 2018 8:55 AM GMT
Rozel how do you feel about Final Attack as you tipped it up last time ?
Report REDROB February 28, 2018 9:57 AM GMT
They probably will pumpy , in december I needed an 8/1 to stay up, selected one at 14, danced up, returned 15/2, went down bt 40 p.
Report pumphol. February 28, 2018 10:15 AM GMT
Shocked Sad
Report RozelKid February 28, 2018 11:19 AM GMT
On Final Attack 25s last night  - the rule 4 will hammer me though.

I cant really be confident - dropped in class yes but didn't seem to have any chance of picking them up even though Mathers was chucking the kitchen sink at it lto

Lets see if the drop in class brings any improvement.

What naps table are you chaps talking about ?
Report REDROB February 28, 2018 12:06 PM GMT
in the "your competitions" section of forum Rozel, premier league
Report REDROB February 28, 2018 12:09 PM GMT
Getting your wish pumpy, goona be single figures, Damn !
Report REDROB February 28, 2018 12:10 PM GMT
no shorter than 7/1 I hope, assumong you tip a loser Laugh
Report Pinza February 28, 2018 2:06 PM GMT
Not keen on these GH races (class 7 hcp). Just as bad as Apprentice hcp's IMO

looking at database thought Life of Luxury has a chance but also Mette has a chance.

Going with DALEYLL Wolv 2.45
Compatriot  3.50

thought about Perceived in 3.20 but King Kevin could continue a good run.
Report Pinza February 28, 2018 2:17 PM GMT
Just for record. Age of past winners in class 7 hcps

HORSE and draw    IDFF    AGE    SEX
My Bubba      9-    4     G 
Pivotal Dream      23-    4     F 
Randall's Alan    17-    7     M 
Living Leader  31-    8     G 
Secret Ltning    14-    5     M 
Monologue      4-    4     G 
Sir Jamie     6-    4     G 
Just Fab     12-    4     F 
Cookie Ring     29-    6     G 
Cookie Ring     28-    6     G 
Gone Wth Wind     17-    7     G 
Naralsaif     8-    4     F 
Ertidaad     17-    6     G 
Report Pinza February 28, 2018 2:19 PM GMT
This might be better

Report RozelKid February 28, 2018 2:23 PM GMT
well, at least it got placed. Stakes back from last two runs and out it goes off my books. Wouldn't back that Final Attack again with stolen money.
Report Pinza February 28, 2018 2:23 PM GMT
Rozel Kid
Good run from Final Attack. Well done.
Report pumphol. February 28, 2018 2:39 PM GMT
Life Of Luxury had every chance, trainer can't buy a winner sadly, Final Attack could win in this grade but your not going to get a price again for sure.
Also Like Daleyll Pinza but they are probably trying to locate its fourth leg as we speak its now 17 on the fair Crazy
Report Pinza February 28, 2018 4:07 PM GMT
Another one of those that hang at back and not in the race
Jockey trying to get a rythm without sucess.
thats the second one I've had recently!
Report PHS February 28, 2018 6:55 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Chocolate Box     19:00    Kempton    Loughnane, Daniel Mark    Cumani, L M
Runaiocht     20:30    Kempton    Earle, Simon    Burgoyne, P
Zakatal    14:20    Newcastle    Whitaker, R M    Menzies, Rebecca
Rantan     17:15    Newcastle    Midgley, P T    Barron, T D
Afandem     17:15    Newcastle    Johnston, M    Palmer, Hugo
Report PHS March 1, 2018 8:43 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Hemingway     14:30    Lingfield    Long, J E    Ryan, K A
Caramuru     14:30    Lingfield    Lloyd-Beavis, Miss N    Hannon , Richard
Ladurelli     15:35    Lingfield    Flood, D    Cole, P F I
Mitchum Swagger    16:10    Lingfield    Beckett, R M    Lanigan, D R
Oskar Denarius     13:45    Southwell    Pauling, Ben    Mason, Jennifer
Report PHS March 2, 2018 5:42 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Towerlands Park    13:45    Lingfield    Durack, S    Bell, M L W
Yensir    14:20    Lingfield    Murphy, Olly    Tuer, Grant
Jamhoori    14:20    Lingfield    Butler, P    Best, Suzi

Return Flight    14:40    Newcastle    Menzies, Rebecca    Skelton, Daniel
Stipulate    17:30    Newcastle    England, Sam    Ellison, B
Report PHS March 3, 2018 4:29 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Da Capo Dandy    16:55    Southwell    Ewart, J P L    Sheehan, James G
Report RozelKid March 3, 2018 6:40 PM GMT
Not much going on at the moment - anyone have anything in their crosshairs over the next few days ? or at the Cheltenham Festival?
Report PHS March 4, 2018 6:00 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Bataka    17:45    Wolverhampton    McJannet, Luke    Dunlop, H J L
Port Douglas     19:45    Wolverhampton    Cole, P F I    OBrien, A P
Kion     20:15    Wolverhampton    Osborne, J A    OCallaghan, M D
Madrinho     20:45    Wolverhampton    Carroll, A W    Butler, John

Justanother Muddle    15:10    Lingfield    Moore, G L    West, Miss Sheena
Albertos Dream    16:15    Lingfield    Lacey, T    Symonds, Tom
Hurricane Rita     17:30    Southwell    Dore, C R    Murphy, Olly
Report Pinza March 5, 2018 11:27 AM GMT
I am going with MIAMI SUNSET today
Took 16/1 but that has been reduced due to withdrawal of Energia Flavio.
Currently 11/1 with 365 and only 9/1 BF

The fact that the filly runs in a claimer after only 3 races makes it interesting, and win and a place puts it on a PLUS score in difference column

    assist        form    HORSE and draw          DIFF    AGE    SEX    career
WON    1w p0-        510x     Doc Sportello 4     0    4     G     1-0-3 
R2    1w p8-         2x18x     Miami Sunset 5    1+    4     F     1-1-3 

The above data is based on 4yo runners that only had 3 outings and takes into account the difference score based on recent runs

Below is mainly based on a win in recent runs (6 out of 8 winners)

won    assist    HORSE and draw    DIFF    AGE    SEX    career
won    1w p3    Chilworth Bell     3-    4     G     4-5-20 
    w    Hard To Handel     9-    4     G     3-5-23 
WON    1w p0-    Doc Sportello     0    4     G     1-0-3 
    1w p3    Dose             6-    4     F     1-6-15 
won    1w p4    Vroom       0    4     G     3-4-16 
won    w    Ejayteekay     7-    4     F     3-6-22 
won    1w p5    Dream Magic     6-    4     G     1-3-12 
R2    1w p8-    Miami Sunset 1+    4     F     1-1-3 
Report PHS March 5, 2018 5:05 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Ochos Rios    14:50    Southwell    Evans, P D    Mulholland, N P
Napping    15:50    Southwell    Murphy, Olly    Murphy, Anabel K
Millybond    15:50    Southwell    Griffiths, D C    Brown, D H
Iconic Figure     16:50    Southwell    Kirby, P A    Flynn, Paul W
Zone In    17:20    Southwell    Furtado, Ivan    Griffiths, D C
Report Pinza March 6, 2018 11:00 AM GMT
A few dual dual winners running today at Southwell

The elders record

won    HORSE     DIFF    AGE    SEX
fav    Captain Lars     3-    7     G 
wonShearian     23-    7     G 
fav    My Renaissance     17-    7     G 
    Jay Kay     9-    8     G 
fav 2nd    Pearl Acclaim    32-    7     G 
2nd    Kommander Kirk    12-    7     G 
    Declamation     7-    8     G 
2nd    Zaeem       19-    9     G 
wonSooqaan     18-    7     G 
R    Cousin Khee     12-    11     G 
R    Mister Music     26-    9     G 
Report Pinza March 6, 2018 11:10 AM GMT
The others up to age 6

won    HORSE and draw    AGE    SEX
2ND    Red Touch 5    4     G 
won    Moonshine Ridge    5     M 
    Rural Celebrat    5     M 
2nd    Piazon 14    5     G 
    Robbian 6    6     G 
    Essenaitch 3    4     G 
won    Start Seven 1    5     G 
    Big Amigo 3    4     G 
2nd    Fujin 8     6     G 
    Bounty Pursuit    5     G 
    Viva Verglas 4    6     G 
    Fern Owl 1    5     G 
won    Malaspina 5    5     M 
    Restive 1    4     G 
fv    Good Time Ahead    3     G 
    First Excel 1    5     G 
    Casterbridge 5    5     G 
    Mama Africa 8    4     F 
fv    Jack The Truth     4     G 
fv    Rosina 6    5     M 
fv    Sunshineandbub    5     M 
won    Something Lucky 6     G 
    Angel Palanas 4    4     G 
won    Great Return 8    5     G 
R    Avocet 6    5     M 
R    Ertidaad 6    6     G 
Report PHS March 6, 2018 7:17 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Plant Pot Power     19:40    Kempton    Hughes, Richard    Hannon , Richard
Illustrissime     19:40    Kempton    Furtado, Ivan    Coyle, Tony
Equally Fast    20:10    Kempton    Harris, R A    Hiatt, P W

Stylish Dancer    14:50    Catterick    Skelton, Daniel    Cumani, L M
Saint Breiz     16:20    Catterick    Walford, Mrs G B    Gray, C J
Just Cause     16:20    Catterick    Owen, J P    Morris, M F
Greensalt     16:20    Catterick    Easterby, W H    McCain Jnr, D
Battle Dust     16:20    Catterick    Rowley, Phillip    Bailey, K C
Citadel     14:40    Fontwell    Skelton, Daniel    Grissell, Mrs D M
Some Day Soon     16:40    Fontwell    Snowden, Jamie    Flynn, Patrick J
Report Pinza March 7, 2018 3:17 PM GMT
Just one dual winner out of the four at Southwell yesterday
Fortunately just the one I didn't play.
Report PHS March 7, 2018 4:27 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Amuletum    17:45    Newcastle    Chapple-Hyam, P W    Halford, M
Leeshaan     18:45    Newcastle    Bastiman, Rebecca    Tate, James
Laith Alareen    18:45    Newcastle    Furtado, Ivan    OMeara, D
Natajack    19:45    Newcastle    Bastiman, Rebecca    Fahey, R A
Majeste    20:15    Newcastle    Bastiman, Rebecca    Hannon , Richard
Skito Soldier    14:00    Southwell    Carr, Mrs R A    Burke, K R
Stuccodor     16:40    Southwell    Dore, C R    Leech, Mrs S
Ladurelli     16:40    Southwell    Flood, D    Cole, P F I

Frightened Rabbit     14:20    Carlisle    Sayer, Mrs Dianne    Corbett, Mrs Susan
Tekiblue de LOrme     16:30    Carlisle    Kirby, P A    Williams, Christian
Jimmy The Jetplane     17:00    Carlisle    Nimmo, Miss F    Bailey, K C
Kayf Tiger    14:10    Wincanton    Sheppard, M    Dickin, R
Cap St Vincent     15:45    Wincanton    Vaughan, Tim    Nicholls, P F
Report DenzilPenberthy March 7, 2018 4:35 PM GMT
What's happened to all the tipsters on here have you all given up?
Report Pinza March 7, 2018 5:00 PM GMT
Looks like it.
Pumphol is still around and I put a few up now and again.
Ryan has gone over to OLG
Report DenzilPenberthy March 7, 2018 5:03 PM GMT
I used to have the odd look in plenty knowledge kicking around
Report pumphol. March 7, 2018 5:28 PM GMT
Cant do much damage with this one

Altaira - 6.10 Kemp 33/1 generally 40/1 in a place

Altaira last ran in this Class over C & D a year back when a close second in a big field,  since then  won on turf over 10 furlongs, three poor efforts after that win but looked like it was coming back to some sort of form last time over 10 furlongs here, lowest mark since that win & only likely to trouble the judges in this class, a couple of the bookies laying first four here, traveled really well last time so a play on the fair should hopefully see it also trade lower in running just hope for a fast run race for it to figure.
Report DenzilPenberthy March 7, 2018 5:38 PM GMT
I got sick of backing him last year Pumphol
I've got a few quid on Sheer Intensity @ 20 odd and Bookmaker @ 14 ish
Sheer Intesity has had a few eyecatching runs was hoping with P J McDonald on board they might have a crack tonight at the prices.
Bookmaker will eventually come away on terms and caught the eye a bit last time but might be better at Lingfield J Gordon booked will have a chance if starting better.
Was wanting to take on the FAV after improving at Southwell but it's hard to know whether they've found the key or he's a Southwell horse.
Report i_agree_with_nick March 7, 2018 6:15 PM GMT
Backed Altaira at 60 and layed at 16 so a decent result
Report DenzilPenberthy March 7, 2018 6:17 PM GMT
Bookmaker won't get many better chances than that can't complain with 3rd
Right to take the FAV on away from Southwell
Report pumphol. March 7, 2018 6:30 PM GMT
Never went fast enough for Altaira imo, still reckon Bookmakers best chance will be over seven.
Report DenzilPenberthy March 7, 2018 6:38 PM GMT
You could be right 7f prominent from a good draw at Lingfield he just can't be trusted to come away probably why he was 20 odd on here
Report Pinza March 7, 2018 7:06 PM GMT
won    assist    TAB    form    HORSE and draw    DIFF    AGE    SEX
WON    w-w    3     421x1     Ennaadd 1(1)    3+    3     C 
    ww    2     011     Munro  5    3+    3     C 
    ww b3w    2     x1211     Desert Doctor 1    6+    3     G 
r    ww    3     6x211     Court House 3    3+    3     C 
r    w-w    5     721x1     Gronkowski 5    3+    3     C 
r    ww    6     811     Three Weeks 1    3+    3     C 

Spot the likely winner
Report Pinza March 7, 2018 7:58 PM GMT
8.10 KEMPA
top weight has a good record in this type of race

Top Weights are..

Strategic  Heights
Robben Rainbow
Awesome Allan

Strategic is a 9yo
Robben and Awesome are 4yo and the better option for me
Report Pinza March 7, 2018 8:33 PM GMT
Top weight came out well
Strategic Heights (won), Awsome Allan (3rd)
Report Pinza March 7, 2018 9:00 PM GMT
8.40 & 9.10
Last 25 races data

4yo has 10 wins
5yo 2 wins
6yo 4 wins
7yo 1 win
8yo 1 win
12yo 1 win
13yo 1 win

4yo - 3 wins that were maidens from 65 runners
4yo - 6 maidens run today

Bird For Life 1

Sanches 3
Report Pinza March 7, 2018 9:07 PM GMT
Famous Dynasty 4yo won
Bird For Life placed 3rd
Report Pinza March 7, 2018 9:10 PM GMT
Interesting that Famous Dynasty was highest weighted of 4yo's in race

Sanches has same in next race.
Report Pinza March 7, 2018 9:24 PM GMT
Sanches 2nd
Jockey took time to get out of the pack and was unlucky not to catch winner imo.

Winner was 6yo maiden!
Report Pinza March 8, 2018 1:56 PM GMT
2.30 LUATH
Report Pinza March 8, 2018 4:24 PM GMT
2.00 ALIFAX unpl
2.30 LUATH   2nd

Getting too many seconds!





8.15: BORN TO FINISH (nap)
Report RozelKid March 8, 2018 5:33 PM GMT
Ayr 2.20 - BORDER VICTOR 10/1 EW BOG

Newcastle 6.45 - CAPTAIN PEAKY 33/1 EW BOG

Newcastle 8.45 - REFLATION 25/1 EW BOG

Write up later
Report Pinza March 8, 2018 9:07 PM GMT

6.45: MONTAGUE (NB) 2nd



8.15: BORN TO FINISH (nap) 2nd

Another day of places!!

Good Luck with yours RozelKid
Report PHS March 8, 2018 9:08 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Framley Garth     18:45    Newcastle    Mullaney, L A    Holmes, P F
Cookie Ring     19:15    Newcastle    Mullaney, L A    Stubbs, Kristin
Tihana    20:45    Newcastle    Berry, A    Murray, John
Little Nosegay     20:45    Newcastle    Berry, A    Evans, P D
Griffin Street    20:45    Newcastle    Whillans, A C    Jardine, I

Sporting Milan     14:20    Ayr    Coltherd, W S    Whittington, H
Daveron     15:50    Leicester    Price, R J    Pauling, Ben
Velvet Maker     16:20    Leicester    Christie, D M    Fleming, A
Trafalgar Rock    16:20    Leicester    Dunn, Mrs Alex    Newland, Dr R D P
Throthethatch     16:20    Leicester    Pidgeon, Miss Jennifer    Skelton, Daniel
Santas Secret     16:20    Leicester    Boxall, Miss Chloe    Sherwood, O
Mantou     16:20    Leicester    Allwood, S    Ferguson, J P
Argot    16:20    Leicester    Barlow, J R    Longsdon, C E
Aero Majestic     16:20    Leicester    Conway, Sean    Pipe, D E
Winter Lion     15:40    Sandown    OBrien, Fergal    Smith, Matthew J
Minellahalfcentury     15:40    Sandown    Harris, Claire    Nicholls, P F
Arbeo     15:40    Sandown    Grissell, Miss Rose    Grissell, Mrs D M
Report PHS March 9, 2018 4:28 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Stringybark Creek    17:45    Chelmsford City    Farrelly, Johnny    Steele, Daniel
Atlantic Jet     17:45    Chelmsford City    Loughnane, Daniel Mark    OSullivan, Eugene M
Sputnik Planum     20:45    Chelmsford City    Appleby, M    Lanigan, D R
Casima    21:15    Chelmsford City    Watson, Archie    Cox, C G
Keswick    14:40    Wolverhampton    Main, Mrs H S    Gosden, J H M
Caramuru     17:00    Wolverhampton    Lloyd-Beavis, Miss N    Hannon , Richard

Arizona Bound     14:45    Ayr    Russell, Miss Lucinda V    Goldie, J S
Phoebus Lescribaa     13:40    Hereford    OBrien, Fergal    Curtis, Miss Rebecca
Juge Et Parti     14:50    Hereford    Twiston-Davies, N A    Williams, Christian
King Kayf    15:25    Hereford    Lee, Miss Kerry    Williams, Noel
Report RozelKid March 9, 2018 8:48 PM GMT
disappointed with BORDER VICTOR - thought he was travelling with a double handful before the 2nd last

Bad day overall
Report intheknow March 9, 2018 11:23 PM GMT
Yes RK, a touch disappointing having touched just above Evens in running

If it turns out again tomorrow, then it's no easier as it's got Thursdays plot horse to beat

Might have to give up on him soon
Report intheknow March 9, 2018 11:24 PM GMT
*Wednesday's plot

I've lost the plot Laugh
Report PHS March 10, 2018 5:17 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Sugar Storm    14:20    Warwick    Keighley, M    OBrien, Fergal
Thisonetime     15:25    Warwick    Martin, Andrew J    Skelton, Daniel
Oskar Denarius     15:25    Warwick    Pauling, Ben    Mason, Jennifer
Chief Brody    16:30    Warwick    Muir, W R    Harris, Miss G
Report PHS March 10, 2018 8:58 PM GMT
Couple of AW switcher winners today;

Stringybark Creek    17:45    Chelmsford City    Farrelly, Johnny    Steele, Daniel
Sputnik Planum     20:45    Chelmsford City    Appleby, M    Lanigan, D R
Report RozelKid March 10, 2018 10:33 PM GMT

Mar 9, 2018 -- 5:24PM, intheknow wrote:

*Wednesday's plotI've lost the plot

That Irish horse "The Jam Man" was some plot  - it was 16/1 the night before it won at Catterick

Its made a 102 rated horse look like **** today - she didn't even touch him either and being hard hard held - its entered and Sedgefield and Hexham in the next few days.

Handicapper gave him a rating of 85 before his first run at Ayr on the 11th February....a poor show in that race and then the hcapper drops him another 5lb ( they must have been pissing themselves laughing ).

It then gone on to run to marks which must be at least 30lb+ when the handicapper catches up next week

Report PHS March 11, 2018 4:37 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Admissible    19:45    Chelmsford City    Eddery, Robert    Hughes, Richard

Vive Le Roi     15:00    Stratford    Carroll, A W    Longsdon, C E
Pirate Look     15:30    Stratford    Keighley, M    Botti, M
Teeton Power    16:30    Stratford    Harris, Liz    Morgan, Tommy
Strong Conviction    16:30    Stratford    Cole, James    Gardner, Mrs S
Mr Sawyer    16:30    Stratford    Jacka, K    Vaughan, Tim
Brave Jaq     16:30    Stratford    Potter, R D    Vaughan, Tim
Big Bang De Loire     16:30    Stratford    Smyly, Mrs K    Smyly, G R I
De Bene Esse     14:10    Taunton    Wintle, A    Packwood, Miss C
Blushing Red     14:40    Taunton    Lavelle, Miss E C    Dunlop, E A L
Lizzie Langton    15:10    Taunton    Tizzard, C L    Walford, Robert
Report PHS March 12, 2018 4:34 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
St Andrews     17:45    Newcastle    Boanas, Miss G    Williams, Ian
Hediddodinthe     17:45    Newcastle    Jardine, I    Guest, R C
Sulafaat     18:15    Newcastle    Teague, C J    Johnston, M
Maydale    18:45    Newcastle    Davies, J J    Teague, C J
Count Montecristo     20:15    Newcastle    Fell, Roger    Ryan, K A
Leopard     14:25    Southwell    Foster, Miss J E    Coyle, Tony
Pennsylvania Dutch    15:05    Southwell    Ryan, K A    Haggas, W J
Rantan     15:45    Southwell    Midgley, P T    Barron, T D

Knight Of Noir     14:50    Cheltenham    Blake, Michael    Mulholland, N P
Jaxlight    17:10    Sedgefield    Holmes, P F    Skelton, Daniel
Report PHS March 13, 2018 4:38 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Milton Road    13:20    Southwell    Bastiman, Rebecca    Channon, M R
Philba    15:15    Southwell    Evans, P D    Lanigan, D R
Imagine If     15:15    Southwell    Fell, Roger    Lyons, G M
Rozy Boys    15:55    Southwell    Carr, Mrs R A    Barron, T D
Yorkshire Rover    17:15    Southwell    Teague, C J    Brown, D H
River Rule    20:15    Wolverhampton    Carroll, A W    Williams, S C

Volcano     17:30    Cheltenham    Twiston-Davies, N A    Williams, Christian
Pirate Look     13:45    Huntingdon    Keighley, M    Botti, M
Lungarno Palace     13:45    Huntingdon    OBrien, Fergal    Gallagher, J
Leomar     13:45    Huntingdon    Skelton, Daniel    Elliott, Gordon
Blenheim Warrior    13:45    Huntingdon    Webber, P R    Hughes, Richard
Vote Of Confidence     14:25    Huntingdon    Skelton, Daniel    Hurley, Laura
Prince Kup     15:45    Huntingdon    Skelton, Daniel    Hurley, Laura
Isle Road     16:25    Huntingdon    Riches, John    Cairns, Jason
Report PHS March 14, 2018 8:23 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Verne Castle    19:00    Chelmsford City    Wigham, M    Balding, A M
Queen In Waiting     19:00    Chelmsford City    Barron, T D    Johnston, M
Dillie Dallie     19:30    Chelmsford City    Scott, George    Spiller, Henry
Chocolate Box     20:00    Chelmsford City    Loughnane, Daniel Mark    Cumani, L M
Executive Force    20:30    Chelmsford City    Wigham, M    Haggas, W J

Thats My Rabbit     13:55    Towcester    Best, Suzi    Best, Jim
Jasani    16:35    Towcester    Teal, R A    Brown, A D
Crowded Room     17:15    Towcester    Bickers-price, Callum    Watson, R K
Millanisi Boy    17:30    Cheltenham    Woollacott, Mrs Kayley    Woollacott, R M
Marinero     17:30    Cheltenham    Christie, D M    Bromhead, Henry De
Report PHS March 15, 2018 4:36 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Shankara     13:00    Lingfield    Mitchell, N R    Simcock, D M
Rivellino    13:40    Lingfield    Osborne, J A    McGuinness, Adrian
Exchequer     13:40    Lingfield    Guest, R C    OMeara, D
Shabbah     15:00    Lingfield    Tuite, Joseph    Stoute, Sir Michael
Short Head     15:40    Lingfield    Botti, M    Haggas, W J
Zapateado    16:20    Lingfield    George, Karen    Hughes, Richard
Powerful Society     16:20    Lingfield    Ford, Richenda    Vaughan, Tim
Vigee Le Brun     17:45    Wolverhampton    OMeara, D    Williams, Olly
Lassana Angel    20:45    Wolverhampton    Gretton, T R     Charlton, R

All Set To Go     14:10    Cheltenham    Frost, Kevin    Nicholls, P F
Volnay De Thaix     16:10    Cheltenham    Morris, Stuart    Henderson, N J
Top Wood     16:10    Cheltenham    Morgan, Miss Kelly    Pipe, D E
Caid Du Berlais     16:10    Cheltenham    Loxton, Mrs Rose    Nicholls, P F
Pronounced     15:55    Fakenham    Roberts, M J    OBrien, Joseph Patrick
Bedrock    12:05    Musselburgh    Jardine, I    Skelton, Daniel
Amuse Me    13:10    Musselburgh    Egerton, Lucinda    Moffatt, James
New Granada    15:10    Musselburgh    Bewley, G T    Grant, C
Macardle     15:10    Musselburgh    Kirby, P A    Doyle, Miss Elizabeth
Report PHS March 16, 2018 7:44 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Greatest Journey    17:45    Wolverhampton    Appleby, M    Suroor, Saeed Bin
Gold Chain     18:45    Wolverhampton    Ellam, Clare    Sayer, Mrs Dianne
Caracas    18:45    Wolverhampton    Frost, Kevin    Dunlop, H J L

Soldier Of Love    17:00    Kempton    OBrien, Fergal    Pitman, M
Report PHS March 17, 2018 1:04 PM GMT
20:15 Wol

If Society Ranger is on his A game, he'll be hard to beat but if they don't go there scared before the race has run, with Paddy Bradley taking off 5lb, and hopefully wanting to make amends for taking the horse down a blind alley LTO, Satchville Flyer must have a chance tonight. With WH going a stand out 11/4 w/o Society Ranger (most going 9/4) it seems sensible to go that route rather than bet outright at 9/2 (although you lose the chance of BOG).
Report PHS March 17, 2018 4:31 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Perseid     14:05    Carlisle    Butterworth, Mrs B    Smith, Mrs S J
My Friend George    16:50    Carlisle    Humphrey, Luke    Slack, Kenneth
Milano Magic     16:50    Carlisle    Bourke, D F    Alexander, N W
Mon Eldorado     14:45    Ffos Las    Bowen, P    Williams, Christian
Al Dancer     17:30    Ffos Las    Twiston-Davies, N A    Williams, Christian
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