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RyanWe
11 Feb 16 23:12
Joined:
Date Joined: 13 Apr 07
| Topic/replies: 32,130 | Blogger: RyanWe's blog
Friday

Always On The Run - 2.05 at Kempton - 6/1 with a few books, 7.2 on betfair

Missed the party a bit here, too busy crying over more odds on in running losers, but the show must goes on. Someone else pointed this horse out to me (TheSecret), absolutely loved this horse's first run for Tom George on New Year's Eve. It was his first run over fences, crazy fresh, too keen, but jumped like a bunny. I really think this horse is going to be a lot better over fences, and although he's bred to stay 3 miles, I do think dropping to 16f is the right thing to do if you're not going to put him in a hood. He ran such a nice race at Warwick, and it doesn't look like much was expected, because he was sent off at 12/1 - whether that was because of fitness, or doubts about the ground, I'm not sure, but he'll be getting some better ground tomorrow, and these other trainers have all been doing so well with these ex McCain horses, that I wouldn't expect this to be any different.

Hopefully.. Just blast him from the front, catch me if you can, a bit like when they had Stellar Notion, Nacarat etc etc they love their front runners at Kempton.

Saturday

Modus in the Betfair hurdle - Currently 11.0 on betfair

He's only top price 7/1 with the books at the moment, sure to drift out with them if he stays at this price, but this whole reaction of Bazza picking that Mullins horse is way over the top.

Where do I start with Modus?

2nd in the Champion bumper last season, had Yanworth behind him in 4th, and the rest. A fine 3rd in the Punchestown bumper too.

Both of these runs were achieved with a pretty average trainer in Robert Stephens, sorry Stevo.

JP buys him, whacks him with Nicholls. Wins easily on his first two starts, but throws a bad one in when last seen on heavy ground. Not that it was terrible, but it was still disappointing. It wouldn't come as a surprise to hear that the stable strike rate was 10% in December, something rarely seen for the champion trainer.

The stable are flying again now though, 33%. Even the horses losing are running crackers.

He's got a mark of 139, which looks lenient to me. He beat Charmix off levels pretty cosily, and I know that horse has improved for stepping up in trip but the handicapper thinks he's 145 rated. Charmix beat Emerging Force by 38 lengths, and we saw him win a handicap off 129 today. I know Emerging Force might of ran below par that day, and he probably improved for the step up in trip too today, but there is just so many horses that Modus has beat that make him look a horse who could turn out to be top class.

I suppose there is question marks over the horse on heavy ground, we don't know if that's what we are going to get yet. A dry day tomorrow, and it might chuck it down on Saturday, but at least it will be sloppy ground, not tacky.

I think the horse is miles better than his mark of 139. I know other horses are probably chucked in too, but I feel like there is a lot more to come.
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Report PHS October 30, 2017 8:39 PM GMT
No more bold on the titles until BF fix the bold icon.
Report madhatters October 30, 2017 8:47 PM GMT
Need a brain tracker
Must pay more attention Grin
Report REDROB October 30, 2017 8:52 PM GMT
Bold Bold Bold Bold Bold . just be patient PHS, wait for the page to fully load, then it appears in its correct form again.
Report RozelKid October 31, 2017 12:42 AM GMT
3.05 Bangor: MARLAIS 25/1 EW BOG

I do believe this one has ability and is still unexposed over this trip and ground. I do expect this Marlias to get a win this year over a 20f+ trips in the right class of race - even if tomorrow is not the day - so a good one to have in any book imo.

Was considering whether to back this one lto but decided not to at the last minute - was running very well until the the horse made a serious mistake at the 2nd last hurdle and nearly unseated the rider.

I was surprised by the tactics lto which  clearly didn't work out with making the pace in that ground - especially with going off like a scolded cat 3 furlongs out

Being stepped up to 19f tomorrow with what i think will be good/firm going - Marlais's best performance so far was at this  trip and going  in October last year in a class 5 when splitting a Tom George runner called Cuirassier Dempire now rated 118+ and the McPherson trained Hey Bill . Hey Bill then went on to win his next race in November last year by 10 Lengths- 

I just think this one is worth another go at this distance , trip , and off bottom weight of 10s4lbs with the Jockeys allowance.

Will be interesting to see if they hold him up at the back early on or if they try and make the pace again - they choose the latter then i think he has no chance. But if held up i think he may have a good chance of getting in the money if powering home like he did at Worcester last year.
Report RozelKid October 31, 2017 1:44 PM GMT
Ryan - you remember that Dixon trained Shadow Blue? Its running in the 2.20 Chepstow - its about 25/1
Report PHS October 31, 2017 4:54 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Bertie Moon    14:00    Nottingham    Appleby, M    Pearce, Mrs Lydia

Shees Lucky    17:55    Kempton    Mulholland, N P    Johnston, M
Wannabe Like You    18:25    Kempton    Watson, Archie    Haggas, W J
Calvinist    18:55    Kempton    Carr, Mrs R A    Williams, Ian
Yamarhaba Malayeen     19:25    Kempton    Bell, M L W    Crisford, Simon

Really Super    14:10    Fakenham    Murphy, Amy    Beckett, R M
Mirzam     14:10    Fakenham    Symonds, Tom    Channon, M R
Cubswin     14:10    Fakenham    King, N B    Charlton, R
Enjoy Responsibly     15:40    Fakenham    Sherwood, O    Thomas, Sam
Kaloci     16:10    Fakenham    Edmunds, Stuart    Bishop, K
Snatchitback    13:50    Taunton    Scudamore, M J    Symonds, Tom
Report RyanWe October 31, 2017 5:30 PM GMT
Yeah, I saw it run well again RK - just wish it was with a better yard.
Report RyanWe October 31, 2017 5:30 PM GMT
Yeah, I saw it run well again RK - just wish it was with a better yard.
Report RyanWe October 31, 2017 5:30 PM GMT
Yeah, I saw it run well again RK - just wish it was with a better yard.
Report RyanWe October 31, 2017 5:32 PM GMT
Talking of switchers, this Bertie Moon in the 2.00 at Nottingham - well worth a go.
Report RyanWe October 31, 2017 5:33 PM GMT
Says 9/1 on OLBG btw, but it's really delayed, played at 7/1-15/2, currently 7/1
Report RyanWe October 31, 2017 5:45 PM GMT
I'm sure PHS et al can give a lot more detail on Michael Appleby's stats for horses from another yard.

I don't do many, but always looking at the bigger yards getting one from a smaller yard.

Lydia Pearce is the previous trainer - 2 from 53 this season 4% - Appleby hasn't exactly set the world alight this season with 6 from 72 - but still seems to do well with horses from other yards
- Big Country (Charles O'Brien - 75 to 100)
- Hello Babe (Jonjo O'Neil - 77 to 95)
- Hakam (Charles Hill - 81 to 95)

Etc Etc
Report RyanWe October 31, 2017 5:47 PM GMT
He's down to a mark of 73, and won over this CD off 75 last August.

He's not exactly set the world alight since, ran OK in May. He just looks like a horse who could really benefit from a change of scenery.
Report RyanWe November 1, 2017 7:16 AM GMT
Lady Of Longstone in the 4.20 at Taunton - 12/1 generally

"This mare keeps dropping down in the ratings, and every time you think today could be the day, well I'm hoping today is. Since December she's fallen from 125 to 102. With a few glimmers of promise here and there.

I liked her 4th at Toxxy in August, just doesn't stay much further than 24f, but ran well for a long way over the 26.5f trip, dropping to 4th come the finish. They tried 20f LTO, but went off far too quick to try and compensate for the drop in trip. At 10 years old now, fast approaching 11, I do think the 24f will see her in a better light.

The Pipe horses seem to be running quite well these past few days, so hopefully the horses are in better health too, as he has been quiet this summer."
Report woodmanchester November 1, 2017 1:24 PM GMT
Notts
Monaadhil

Taunt
Copperfacejack

Fake
Myplaceatmidnight
Report woodmanchester November 1, 2017 1:33 PM GMT
Good start, 7/2
Report woodmanchester November 1, 2017 1:55 PM GMT
Make that 9/2 (BOG!) Laugh
Report PHS November 1, 2017 4:22 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Spin Top    20:30    Chelmsford City    Muir, W R    Tuite, Joseph
Sir Harry Collins     21:00    Chelmsford City    Appleby, M    Spencer, Richard
Sammys Choice    21:00    Chelmsford City    Jenkins, J R    Burgoyne, P

Gris De Pron     13:00    Sedgefield    Hogarth, H P    Greenall, Oliver
Blunder Buss     13:30    Sedgefield    Grant, C    Doyle, Miss Elizabeth
Sweet Shirleen     14:35    Sedgefield    Evans, H J    Mullins, Ms Margaret
Rock Of Leon    15:10    Sedgefield    Kirby, P A    Hawke, N J
Camillas Wish     15:10    Sedgefield    Hammond, Micky    Ford, R
Clock On Tom    14:15    Stratford    Leavy, B D    Quinn, Denis P
Bisoubisou    15:20    Stratford    Murphy, Olly    Skelton, Daniel
Report PHS November 1, 2017 4:28 PM GMT

Nov 1, 2017 -- 2:16AM, RyanWe wrote:


Lady Of Longstone in the 4.20 at Taunton - 12/1 generally"This mare keeps dropping down in the ratings, and every time you think today could be the day, well I'm hoping today is. Since December she's fallen from 125 to 102. With a few glimmers of promise here and there. I liked her 4th at Toxxy in August, just doesn't stay much further than 24f, but ran well for a long way over the 26.5f trip, dropping to 4th come the finish. They tried 20f LTO, but went off far too quick to try and compensate for the drop in trip. At 10 years old now, fast approaching 11, I do think the 24f will see her in a better light. The Pipe horses seem to be running quite well these past few days, so hopefully the horses are in better health too, as he has been quiet this summer."


went 1.31

Report RyanWe November 1, 2017 4:54 PM GMT
Painful, and that's just the amount of time it takes me to post this message Cry
Report RyanWe November 1, 2017 4:56 PM GMT
Betfair, just sort out this god damn forum so it doesn't take 20 minutes to post something - It's outrageous I tell yas Devil
Report woodmanchester November 1, 2017 5:34 PM GMT
Are you sure it's not your 'puter Ryan? Clear the cache and re-boot

Brace. 5/2 Copperface to go with Monaadhil. Midnight ducked
Report PHS November 1, 2017 6:26 PM GMT
I'm sure Ryan will have already thought of that!

Are you running any Ad Blockers Ryan? Are you using any Chrome extensions that may be affecting the forum?
Report DAN1974 November 1, 2017 10:22 PM GMT
Unlucky today Ryan keep em coming!
Report RozelKid November 2, 2017 10:00 AM GMT
6.25 Chelmsford: COOKIE RING 33/1 ew BOG

This one is a recent switcher - had its first run for Kristin Stubbs on the 21/10/17. Its a C&D Winner running off a lowly mark of 45 - a mark it won of in January last year at Kempton.

Was a bit on Money around for it last time - just think the 33/1 is too big...even in this crap race



3.30 Lingfield: OLYMPIC LEGEND 16/1 EW BOG


Think this one is interesting - tongue strap and cheekpieces , Jockey Booking , and its  still lightly raced whilst at the same time teh hcapper relenting  - back up to 10f and i think its worth a go.


3.40 Sedgefield : MT BETTY 33/1  EW BOG

Irish raider trained by Peter Croke on midweek Sedgefield meeting -  I cant resist at the price - step up in trip might now suit and has won over this trip in the past
Report PHS November 2, 2017 10:18 AM GMT
That Cookie Ring is actually rated 42, running off 46 today because a) 45 is the minimum rating b) 8-7 is the min weight for that race (so has to run off 46 rather than 45).
Report RozelKid November 2, 2017 11:04 AM GMT
Thanks for the correction PHS

I also made a mistake - its not a C&d winner - only a course winner
Report PHS November 2, 2017 4:25 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Acker Bilk     18:45    Newcastle    Dalgleish, Keith    Lanigan, D R
Ideal Candy     19:15    Newcastle    Tutty, Mrs K J    Crook, A
Madrinho     19:45    Newcastle    Butler, John    Bycroft, N
Interlink     19:45    Newcastle    Fife, Mrs Marjorie    Appleby, M
Celerity     20:45    Newcastle    Williamson, Mrs L    Evans, P D

Dragon Khan     14:10    Uttoxeter    Gasson, Mrs Rosemary    Oshea, J G M
Randy Pike     15:45    Wetherby    Easterby, T D    Richards, N G
Jammin Masters     15:45    Wetherby    Greatrex, W J    Walsh, T M
Report PHS November 2, 2017 6:26 PM GMT
Cookie Ring 9 from 15 in the place marketPlain. 90 from 180 in the win.
Report PHS November 2, 2017 6:30 PM GMT
^6.6 TBP near the off.
Report RozelKid November 3, 2017 11:31 AM GMT

Oct 17, 2017 -- 5:45AM, RozelKid wrote:


3.40 Worcester: CORRIE LOCH 50/1 EW BOG 20/1 was too short last night - 50/1 is now too big imo.The typical kind of horse that Symonds gets from trainers like Henderson and Alan King - I wouldnt say its totally without a chance and a no hoper - its lightly raced and should not be the total rag.Not exactly sure if the rating of 100 is fair on its hcap debut on what he has done so far in his last 2 runs  - its probably more based on the runs he gave for Alan King and the proximity of a couple of his runs to horses now running off marks of 120+.I like this Jockey James Davies - proper Job Jockey. This trainer/jockey combo have been fruitful for some big priced winners since Symonds started training - 11 winners from 94 rides over 5 years. 12% Strike Rate - also  8 x 2nd places /    12 x 3rd places    / 11 x 4th places  Hoping for a place .


going in again today at 80/1 ew 2.10 Uttoxeter

Report PHS November 3, 2017 5:06 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Toriano    13:45    Newmarket     Littmoden, N P    Eustace, J M P
Maifalki     13:45    Newmarket     Ward, Jason    Walford, Mark
Bravo Zolo     15:30    Newmarket     Appleby, Charlie    Noseda, J
Medburn Dream    16:00    Newmarket     Hedger, P R    Henderson, P
Able Jack    16:00    Newmarket     Williams, S C    Balding, A M

Color Force     15:25    Newcastle    Kubler, Daniel    Kelleway, Miss Gay
Magistral    17:30    Newcastle    Perratt, Miss L A    Smith, R Michael
Mercers Row    18:35    Newcastle    Todhunter, M    Herrington,M

American Gigolo    12:40    Ascot    Fry, Harry    Mann, C J
Hermanus     12:25    Ayr    Ewart, J P L    Dalgleish, Keith
The Cobbler Swayne     13:00    Ayr    Robson, Miss P    Russell, Miss Lucinda V
Onderun     13:00    Ayr    Bewley, G T    Lavelle, Miss E C
Imperial Prince     14:10    Ayr    Duncan, I A    Thomson, A M
Archive     14:45    Ayr    Ellison, B    Bromhead, Henry De
Hooves The Daddy     12:55    Wetherby    Smith, Mrs S J    Mullins, J W
Shantou Flyer     15:15    Wetherby    Hobson, Richard    Curtis, Miss Rebecca
Report PHS November 3, 2017 7:35 PM GMT
Done the Fife switcher Interlink ew 20/1 in the 19:45 tonight.
Report PHS November 3, 2017 7:50 PM GMT
Ran terrible (last); maybe something wrong with it.
Report foxcovert November 4, 2017 11:19 AM GMT
Emerging Force 3:35 Asc goes well fresh imvho
Report PHS November 4, 2017 4:34 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Hargam     13:30    Carlisle    Quinn, J J    Henderson, N J
Topper Thornton     14:30    Carlisle    Hales, A M    McBratney, C A
Burning Heat     13:45    Huntingdon    Quinn, Denis P    Moubarak, Mohamed
Report PHS November 5, 2017 4:36 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Roll Of The Dice     13:40    Plumpton    Moore, G L    Skelton, Daniel
King Vince    13:40    Plumpton    Snowden, Jamie    Kittow, W S
Flosboy Sam    13:40    Plumpton    Tizzard, C L    Walford, Robert
Posh Totty    16:10    Plumpton    Barber, Jack    Price, R J
Merrion Row     13:00    Southwell    Bosley, M R    Rothwell, P J
Chirico Vallis     14:00    Southwell    Mulholland, N P    Elliott, Gordon
Breeze Along    14:00    Southwell    Thomas, Sam    Gardner, Mrs S
Wolfslair     15:00    Southwell    Thompson, D W    Elliott, Gordon
Report PHS November 6, 2017 10:16 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Servo     13:20    Redcar    Siddall, Miss L C    Swinbank, G A
Pantomime     14:55    Redcar    Menzies, Rebecca    OBrien, Charles
Rajapur    15:25    Redcar    Thompson, D W    Kirby, P A

Tis Wonderful     16:45    Kempton    Gray, C J    Cox, C G
Seek The Fair Land    16:45    Kempton    Steele, Daniel    Carter, Lee
Dark Alliance     18:45    Kempton    Loughnane, Daniel Mark    Keatley, Adrian Paul
Spirit Of Belle    19:15    Kempton    Cole, P F I    Evans, P D
Sunshineandbubbles    15:15    Wolverhampton    Candlish, Jennie    Loughnane, Daniel Mark
Beast    16:20    Wolverhampton    Farrelly, Johnny    Carter, Lee

Beyond Supremacy     13:00    Exeter    Barber, Jack    Bailey, K C
Slaying The Dragon     13:30    Exeter    Hill, M    Tinkler, N
Pack It In     13:30    Exeter    Dunn, Mrs Alex    Meehan, B J
Vibrato Valtat     14:00    Exeter    Lavelle, Miss E C    Nicholls, P F
All Kings     15:35    Exeter    Buckler, R H    Fry, Harry
Dunns River     16:10    Exeter    Barber, Jack    Fry, Harry
Bahumbug    16:10    Exeter    Plessis, Miss J Du    Mullins, J W
Report RozelKid November 6, 2017 11:34 PM GMT
2.10 Wolverhampton: Major Assault 33/1 EW BOG

Think this lightly raced ex clive cox 4yo one is worth a speculative ew interest over 7f in this class 6.
Report RozelKid November 6, 2017 11:41 PM GMT
Paul Hanagan mounts

Think these 2 mounts are worth an interest - singles and doubles - preference for Rock Island Line


15:45 Wolverhampton: Rock Island Line 12/1 -
15:15 Wolverhampton: Petit Filous 14/1 -
Report PHS November 7, 2017 5:02 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Fly Vinnie     12:45    Musselburgh    Whillans, A C    Thomson, A M
Pc Dixon    13:50    Musselburgh    Thompson, V    Channon, M R
My Jamaican Guy     13:50    Musselburgh    Jardine, I    Given, J G
Vercingetorix     15:00    Musselburgh    Jardine, I    Griffin, Patrick
Kings Wharf     15:00    Musselburgh    Thomson, A M    Cromwell, Gavin Patrick
California Soul     15:00    Musselburgh    Dobbin, Mrs R    Hogan, Denis Gerard
Sonnetist    15:55    Nottingham    Evans, P D    Hannon , Richard

Our Kim     19:10    Kempton    Butler, John    Moubarak, Mohamed
Last Word    20:10    Kempton    Tuite, Joseph    Lanigan, D R

Gabriel Archer     13:25    Chepstow    Dunn, Mrs Alex    Bromhead, Henry De
Snatchitback    14:35    Chepstow    Scudamore, M J    Symonds, Tom
Court Duty     16:15    Chepstow    Flint, J L    Curtis, Miss Rebecca
Chief Sittingbull    16:15    Chepstow    Mulholland, N P    Lavelle, Miss E C
Report Cork Langer November 7, 2017 5:16 PM GMT
wd RK especially as you voiced favour for RIL, nice winner
Report PHS November 7, 2017 8:52 PM GMT
Yes, VWD RKCool
Report PHS November 7, 2017 9:00 PM GMT
There was a 33/1 winner in the switchers today,

Rajapur    15:25    Redcar    Thompson, D W    Kirby, P A

but not a hint from the trainers record.
Report RozelKid November 7, 2017 9:32 PM GMT

Oct 19, 2017 -- 1:51PM, RozelKid wrote:


17:25 Redcar: Dream Free 12/1 EW BOG - Think this one has a great chance if trying to make all - has gone from the front on a couple of runs this year at Thirsk and Doncaster over 11.5f/12f - running of a mark of 55 now and back to 10f on turf.16:55 Redcar: Rock Island Line EW BOG 25/1 - Same stable and lightly raced - had a run in a class 5 at Redcar in August off a mark of 62  - just got going too late imo - then had a run over 12f at Newcastle where it was running very well until 2f out . Into a class 6 here running of a mark of 58,  back on the Turf at Redcar,  over 10f . Not confident but willing to have an interest at the price.


it got backed into 6/1  from 25s last time out - had to back it again.

Report the wire November 7, 2017 10:08 PM GMT
Lush Life 17.40 Kempton

In keeping with the title thread this is a guess, based only on her being a half-sister to the very useful Laddies Poker Two who made a winning debut over 7f at Kempton.
Report RozelKid November 8, 2017 8:40 AM GMT
6.40 Kempton : Point In Time 80/1 EW BOG - im speculating upon a set of data i have - small ew interest


8.10 Kempton: Dynamic Girl 14/1 ew bog -  willing to give this one a go based upon its run in September when coming 3rd over 7f in testing conditions at Leicester - came a running on 3rd to horses who are rated closer to 65-70.

It was only this time last year that DG was running off a mark of 72
Report RozelKid November 8, 2017 8:51 AM GMT
7.10 Scarlett Thrush 18/1 ew BOG: This is another one that i cant be too serious about - i will however speculate on  the new 1m4f trip , and low rated competition,  potentially allowing this to improve on prior placings

This one was with Marco Botti in July -  only had 2 runs for the Irish Trainer.
Report PHS November 8, 2017 10:29 AM GMT
You'll be a couple of hours too late if you wait till 6.40 RKGrin
Report PHS November 8, 2017 10:32 AM GMT
For anyone that follows the switchers and pays any attention to the order (Flat-AW-NH), here's today's restated;

Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Sonnetist    15:55    Nottingham    Evans, P D    Hannon , Richard

Our Kim     19:10    Kempton    Butler, John    Moubarak, Mohamed
Last Word    20:10    Kempton    Tuite, Joseph    Lanigan, D R

Gabriel Archer     13:25    Chepstow    Dunn, Mrs Alex    Bromhead, Henry De
Snatchitback    14:35    Chepstow    Scudamore, M J    Symonds, Tom
Court Duty     16:15    Chepstow    Flint, J L    Curtis, Miss Rebecca
Chief Sittingbull    16:15    Chepstow    Mulholland, N P    Lavelle, Miss E C
Fly Vinnie     12:45    Musselburgh    Whillans, A C    Thomson, A M
Pc Dixon    13:50    Musselburgh    Thompson, V    Channon, M R
My Jamaican Guy     13:50    Musselburgh    Jardine, I    Given, J G
Vercingetorix     15:00    Musselburgh    Jardine, I    Griffin, Patrick
Kings Wharf     15:00    Musselburgh    Thomson, A M    Cromwell, Gavin Patrick
California Soul     15:00    Musselburgh    Dobbin, Mrs R    Hogan, Denis Gerard
Report RozelKid November 8, 2017 12:18 PM GMT

Nov 8, 2017 -- 4:29AM, PHS wrote:


You'll be a couple of hours too late if you wait till 6.40 RK


indeed i would be - cheers PHS

4.40 Kempton : Point In Time 80/1 EW BOG - Not 6.40

Report PHS November 8, 2017 4:29 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Little Chunk     14:20    Ludlow    Bailey, K C    Greatrex, W J
Allbarnone    14:20    Ludlow    Hanmer, G D    Kinsey, W R
Sackfullofdreams     15:30    Ludlow    Hammond, Mike    OGrady, E J
The Lady Rules    13:00    Market Rasen    Walford, Mark    Gansera-Leveque, Mrs Ilka
Tower Of Allen     15:10    Market Rasen    Hales, A M    Henderson, N J

Mother of Dragons     17:15    Chelmsford City    McEntee, P S    Tuite, Joseph
Spikes Princess     20:15    Chelmsford City    Barr, Brian    Nicholls, Adrian
Report REDROB November 8, 2017 5:44 PM GMT
TY the wire, much needed, VWD
Report Cork Langer November 8, 2017 5:46 PM GMT
wd the wire a fine spot
Report PHS November 8, 2017 5:49 PM GMT
VWD the wireCool. Great price. Alas, unlike Rob, I was not on!
Report the wire November 8, 2017 5:54 PM GMT
Thanks very much.  Just thought it might be worth a go as those that had run looked beatable, although you never know how much they might improve for the run.   First time I've dared put one on this thread.

The late drift on here boosted the profits.
Report RozelKid November 8, 2017 5:57 PM GMT
WD the wire - I was on - cheers
Report PHS November 8, 2017 6:36 PM GMT
WD RKCool
Report madhatters November 9, 2017 4:00 PM GMT
3-3 Rob Grin
Report REDROB November 9, 2017 4:02 PM GMT
Ya must've backed that one mad ? everything was  puurrfect !
Report REDROB November 9, 2017 4:03 PM GMT
14 into 8 pre-race.
Report madhatters November 9, 2017 4:07 PM GMT
Got that one
Cheersy

Altho fave went short IR to worry me Grin
Report REDROB November 9, 2017 4:16 PM GMT
Tidal was always travelling better.
Report PHS November 9, 2017 9:12 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Planetaria     19:15    Newcastle    Camacho, Miss J A    Weymes, J R
Escape Clause     19:15    Newcastle    Tuer, Grant    Harrington, Mrs John
Little Jo    19:45    Newcastle    Ellison, B    Grant, C
Inshaa    20:45    Newcastle    West, S G    Herrington,M

Diese Des Bieffes     15:00    Fontwell    Henderson, N J    Skelton, Daniel
Highway Star     16:00    Fontwell    Humphrey, Mrs S J    Henderson, N J
War Joey     13:10    Hexham    Hamilton, Mrs A    Kirby, P A
Silk Or Scarlet     13:10    Hexham    Alexander, N W    Fitzgerald, T J
Black Art    13:10    Hexham    Smith, Mrs S J    Lavelle, Miss E C
Storm Warning     13:40    Hexham    Reed, W T    Greatrex, W J
Baracalu     13:40    Hexham    Kirby, P A    Thomson, A M
Ronn The Conn     14:10    Hexham    Menzies, Rebecca    Grant, C
Jump For Dough     14:10    Hexham    Russell, Miss Lucinda V    Odoherty, William Joseph
Padleyourowncanoe    12:50    Warwick    Tizzard, C L    Loughnane, Daniel Mark
Pacofilha    12:50    Warwick    Flint, J L    Cole, P F I
Anif     12:50    Warwick    Auvray, Jean-Rene    Hills, Charles
Neetside     15:50    Warwick    Dennis, David    Dennis, T W
Cadeauxs Fire    15:50    Warwick    Longsdon, C E    King, A
Report PHS November 10, 2017 9:21 AM GMT

Nov 2, 2017 -- 5:00AM, RozelKid wrote:


6.25 Chelmsford: COOKIE RING 33/1 ew BOGThis one is a recent switcher - had its first run for Kristin Stubbs on the 21/10/17. Its a C&D Winner running off a lowly mark of 45 - a mark it won of in January last year at Kempton.Was a bit on Money around for it last time - just think the 33/1 is too big...even in this crap race 3.30 Lingfield: OLYMPIC LEGEND 16/1 EW BOGThink this one is interesting - tongue strap and cheekpieces , Jockey Booking , and its  still lightly raced whilst at the same time teh hcapper relenting  - back up to 10f and i think its worth a go.3.40 Sedgefield : MT BETTY 33/1  EW BOG Irish raider trained by Peter Croke on midweek Sedgefield meeting -  I cant resist at the price - step up in trip might now suit and has won over this trip in the past


Hugh's put your Cookie Ring up today RK.

Report RozelKid November 10, 2017 9:57 AM GMT
On at 20s last night - fingers are crossed!
Report RozelKid November 10, 2017 9:59 AM GMT
Who is Hugh?
Report RozelKid November 10, 2017 10:01 AM GMT
oh - Hugh Taylor on ATR - and there was me thinking it was smart money shortening it to 9/1.
Report PHS November 10, 2017 5:07 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Siege Of Boston     13:35    Doncaster    Griffiths, D C    Butler, John

Tael O Gold    18:50    Wolverhampton    Egerton, Lucinda    Smith, R Michael

Going Gold     16:00    Aintree    Hobson, Richard    Curtis, Miss Rebecca
Petapenko    12:50    Kelso    Robson, Miss P    McCain Jnr, D
Wind Of Hope     13:25    Kelso    Whillans, A C    Brown, Alan J
Dimple     14:00    Kelso    Jardine, I    Slattery, Andrew
Azert De Coeur     14:35    Kelso    Menzies, Rebecca    Williams, Miss Venetia
Solstice Twilight    16:10    Wincanton    Honeyball, A J    Froud, H C
Report RozelKid November 10, 2017 8:59 PM GMT
4th place - so frustrating with how bunch up the first 4 finished.
Report RozelKid November 10, 2017 11:32 PM GMT
3.45 Kelso: FORTYSHADESOFBAY 14/1 ew BOG -

Irish debutant on a Saturday afternoon at Kelso, in a NHF race - i do like my guessing.
Report Cork Langer November 11, 2017 12:21 AM GMT
The November H'cap will not interest everyone and given connections are McManus/O'Neill/Berry, more will think no thanks, but the lightly raced Minotaur Doncaster 3.15 to my eyes has run better than its two recent races suggest, at Leicester the gelding was never really put in the race and at Ponty where it started favourite, it went out like a light, the extreme distance of 2m2f proving to be beyond him.
The shorter distance tomorrow and likely strong pace on soft ground, with cheekpieces applied to aid concentration, will hopefully enable Berry to deliver his mount late and wide, the PP offer of 33/1 paying six places has convinced me to give it a go.
Report PHS November 11, 2017 4:29 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Dark Invader     14:00    Ffos Las    Williams, Evan    Nicholls, P F
Vicenzo Mio     12:45    Sandown    Gordon, C    Nicholls, P F
Lord Marmaduke    13:50    Sandown    Webber, P R    Crisford, Simon
Stolberg     14:55    Sandown    Williams, D L    McNamara, A J
The Butcher Said     16:00    Sandown    Greatrex, W J    Mullins, Emmet
Miss Malarky     16:00    Sandown    Jewell, Mrs L C    Grissell, Mrs D M
Report PHS November 12, 2017 6:07 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Red Flute    15:20    Southwell    Appleby, M    Quinn, Denis P
Monsieur Jamie    15:20    Southwell    Ellam, Clare    Jenkins, J R

Le Drapeau     13:00    Carlisle    Smith, Mrs S J    Sherwood, O
Chateau Chinon     13:30    Carlisle    Menzies, Rebecca    Skelton, Daniel
Emma Beag     14:05    Carlisle    Brooke, Julia    Doyle, Miss Elizabeth
Ashkoul     12:50    Kempton    Skelton, Daniel    Appleby, M
The Blue Bomber    16:00    Kempton    Fryer, Miss C    Channon, M R
Kalaskadesemilley    16:00    Kempton    Farrelly, Johnny    Smith, Martin
Report PHS November 13, 2017 7:45 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Xhale     15:10    Huntingdon    Williams, Ian    Bailey, Mrs Caroline
Ulva Ferry     13:20    Lingfield    Gordon, C    Skelton, Daniel
Lake Field     13:50    Lingfield    Bailey, K C    Barry, J R
Keep To The Beat    14:20    Lingfield    Phelan, P M    Ryan, K A
Away For Slates     15:20    Lingfield    Skelton, Daniel    Dalgleish, Keith
Carqalin     15:50    Lingfield    Bailey, K C    Pipe, D E
Report RozelKid November 13, 2017 9:26 PM GMT
1.50 Lingfield : TZAR DE L'ELFE 33/1 EW BOG

I do like the Doctor's runner in here too  GREYED A - I would have backed both at level stakes but i have missed the 9/1 that was available earlier on ....so now only a saver at 5/1.

This 7yo maiden TZAR DE L'ELFE  does intrigues me so i am going to speculate that the drop back in trip and reverting back to fences may eek out enough improvement to grab a place at least. It has been trained by some french trainer called E Denel for most of its racing life and then had 3 runs for Emma Carberry in 2016 which was much of the same form.

It by will be interesting to see how he goes after those 3 hurdles runs this year - i think its going to be closer to heavy ground at Lingfield tomorrow which should suit - a possible change of tactics maybe could see them trying to run them into the ground by attempting to make all.

Not going crazy though - just an ew interest for me. The trainer has a 9/4 fav later on the card so could be a going day for them.
Report PHS November 14, 2017 1:59 PM GMT
Very Good RK. 50/1 placerCool 16 BFSP
Report RozelKid November 14, 2017 2:28 PM GMT
It fluffed the 2nd last and i was cursing ....but stayed on well enough  - managed to get 24/1 for a place mid morning. BF Sportsbook were offering 100/1 for about 5 minutes at midday
Report PHS November 14, 2017 4:29 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Royal Salute    13:35    Ayr    Bewley, G T    Honeyball, A J
Chicoria     13:35    Ayr    Davidson, Tristan    Daly, H D
Grandads Horse    15:10    Ayr    Candlish, Jennie    Longsdon, C E
Frozon    14:20    Bangor    Bethell, Harriet    Ellison, B
Character Onesie     14:20    Bangor    McCain Jnr, D    Fahey, R A
Steel Helmet     15:20    Bangor    Bethell, Harriet    Ellison, B
Snookered     15:20    Bangor    Ellison, B    Fahey, R A
Cold Shoulder    15:20    Bangor    Symonds, Tom    Balding, A M
Beach Break    15:20    Bangor    McCain Jnr, D    Beckett, R M
Jepeck     14:00    Exeter    Woollacott, R M    Woollacott, Mrs Kayley
Llancillo Lord     15:00    Exeter    Walford, Robert    Mullins, Thomas
Eddies Pearl     15:35    Exeter    Forsey, B    Griffin, Eoin
Report RozelKid November 14, 2017 6:42 PM GMT
There is a Tom Symonds sale on tomorrow at Bangor & Exeter - Write up with reasoning later

3.20 Bangor: Cold Shoulder 16/1 EW BOG 

3.35 Exeter: Royal Claret 12/1 EW BOG

EW Double too.
Report RozelKid November 15, 2017 2:14 AM GMT
I follow the stable and expect to land one at big prices with some of their runners leading up to Christmas - he has a few unexposed runners entered over the next few days which may have my money on - he has 5 entries tomorrow.

I might be backing these two a bit too soon  as they may just be going out for a run on their first run over hurdles , but at the same time its not unusual for the Symonds to have winners fto of the season. I may just play the place markets if there is a big drift.

3.20 Bangor: Cold Shoulder 16/1 EW BOG

Its rare that Symonds gets any switchers from Andrew Balding's yard - from my records the last one was in 2011 called Tweedledrum and that one had taken a few runs before it got in the money for Symonds. CS is a full brother to Tagliatelle who has won graded races for Gordon Elliot so definitely one to keep in the notebook for the next few weeks , even if he runs down the field tomorrow. 

I suppose this odds on fav for Alan King could be anything - won its only run on the AW in France.

3.35 Exeter: Royal Claret 12/1 EW BOG

Another one i am speculating with for the stable today - the form of Claret's bumper runs at the end of last year shows some real promise. I'd be wary of any big drift from the current prices available so as with Cold Shoulder I will be keeping a close eye on the markets
Report PHS November 15, 2017 8:11 AM GMT
^He seems to be much more successful with chasers than hurdlers.
Report PHS November 15, 2017 8:12 AM GMT
...with horses new to the yard that is.
Report PHS November 15, 2017 4:40 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Watching Spirits    17:25    Chelmsford City    Appleby, M    Duffield, Mrs A
Magic Pulse     18:25    Chelmsford City    Griffiths, D C    Duffield, Mrs A
Wild Acclaim     19:55    Chelmsford City    Appleby, M    Duffield, Mrs A
Syndex     19:55    Chelmsford City    Farrelly, Johnny    Lupini, Miss Natalia
Power Up    20:25    Chelmsford City    McJannet, Luke    Ingram, R
Take The High Road    14:45    Southwell    Dalgleish, Keith    Oxx, John M
Young Tom    15:20    Southwell    Smith, Mrs S J    Appleby, M
Throckley    15:20    Southwell    Dore, C R    Davies, J J
Miningrocks     15:20    Southwell    Dore, C R    Carroll, D
Masquerade Bling     15:50    Southwell    Mulholland, N P    Loughnane, Daniel Mark

Dunns River     15:00    Ludlow    Barber, Jack    Fry, Harry
Titan    16:00    Ludlow    Greenall, Oliver    Dunlop, E A L
Tamayef     16:00    Ludlow    Sheppard, M    Palmer, Hugo
Mutoondresdashorse    16:00    Ludlow    Hawke, N J    Cole, P F I
Court Out     16:10    Taunton    Snowden, Jamie    Whittington, H
Report RozelKid November 15, 2017 5:18 PM GMT
clearly schooling in public - I dont have issues with that as thats racing
Report vidou November 15, 2017 6:32 PM GMT
Think you're being very generous there RK - I would always call it cheating. Punters being taken for mugs and never any action taken.
Report RozelKid November 16, 2017 2:26 PM GMT
2.35 Taunton: SERVEONTIME 16/1 EW BOG

There are some recent formlines which i believe gives this a chance - the formines surround horses called Marias Benefit and Dently De Mee.

small interest thats all.
Report PHS November 16, 2017 4:20 PM GMT
Nice place RKCool
Report PHS November 16, 2017 4:20 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Sea of Flames    19:15    Chelmsford City    Spencer, Richard    Elsworth, D R C
Cliffs Of Capri    19:15    Chelmsford City    Osborne, J A    Crisford, Simon
Right About Now     19:45    Chelmsford City    Dwyer, C A    Mohammed, Ismail
Hard Toffee     19:45    Chelmsford City    Allan, Miss Louise    Allen, C N
Intermodal    20:15    Chelmsford City    Osborne, J A    Perrett, Mrs A J
Dream Malfunction     11:50    Lingfield    Tuite, Joseph    OBrien, Joseph Patrick
Ballesteros    12:20    Lingfield    Ingram, R    Fahey, R A
Toriano    14:00    Lingfield    Littmoden, N P    Eustace, J M P
Soghan     14:35    Lingfield    Hughes, Richard    Gosden, J H M
Mercers    15:10    Lingfield    Butler, P    Crate, Peter

Shanahans Turn     13:50    Cheltenham    Tizzard, C L    Bromhead, Henry De
Red Ochre    12:30    Newcastle    Grant, C    Quinn, J J
Fight Away Boys     13:05    Newcastle    Alexander, N W    Crow, Mrs Caroline
Bambys Boy    15:25    Newcastle    Hammond, Micky    Reveley, K G
Report RozelKid November 16, 2017 9:28 PM GMT
2.15 Newcastle: KILCULLEN LADY 20/1 EW BOG

Not been seen in 859 days -  only ever had two runs. One under rules and the other in a point which was a winning one.

Most people would leave it alone - but im not most people. Cool
Report RozelKid November 16, 2017 10:03 PM GMT
2.00 Lingfield : TORIANO 16/1 EW BOG

For a horse that only had four lifetime starts , and winning the first two of them beating horses that are currently running off mark of 93 and 103 , he is a pretty big price at 16/1.

Not been seen for about 6 months - changed stables and first time out for Nick Littmoden.

Dont know if any of you lot remember Nick Littmoden - he stopped training some time ago but recently came back to training.

His specialty was the AW being Lingfield but mainly Wolverhampton if i remember correctly - he was banging in so many winners on the AW that it was getting ridiculous...especially at  Wolves on the fibresand every Saturday Night under the floodlights - i remember one year where he and a couple of other trainers like David Chapman and James Unett were almost farming every meeting in at wolves - and jockeys Tony Culhane and Tom McLaughlin. Anyone remember Tom Mclaughlin at Wolverhampton in those days? Bastard got me into punting every Saturday Night lol. Top AW Jock in those days
Report RozelKid November 16, 2017 10:05 PM GMT
2.00 Lingfield : TORIANO 16/1 EW BOG

For a horse that only had four lifetime starts , and winning the first two of them beating horses that are currently running off mark of 93 and 103 , he is a pretty big price at 16/1.

Not been seen for about 6 months - changed stables and first time out for Nick Littmoden.

Dont know if any of you lot remember Nick Littmoden - he stopped training some time ago but recently came back to training.

His specialty was the AW being Lingfield but mainly Wolverhampton if i remember correctly - he was banging in so many winners on the AW that it was getting ridiculous...especially at  Wolves on the fibresand every Saturday Night under the floodlights - i remember one year where he and a couple of other trainers like David Chapman and James Unett were almost farming every meeting in at wolves - and jockeys Tony Culhane and Tom McLaughlin. Anyone remember Tom Mclaughlin at Wolverhampton in those days? Bastard got me into punting every Saturday Night lol. Top AW Jock in those days
Report Cork Langer November 16, 2017 11:55 PM GMT
Had a speculative play on Sea of Flames 20/1, 19.15 Chelmsford returning to form on its first run from its new stable of Richard Spencer, the owners have been fairly lucky with their purchases over the years for a smallish outfit, and obviously someone feels there is fun and success still to be had from this 4yo gelding, who has very few miles on the clock but has looked a shade fragile during its career to date, tongue tie has been applied as well, presumably based on what connections have seen previously.

Hoping that first time up is the time to catch him...!
Report RozelKid November 17, 2017 2:31 AM GMT
I was just about to put up that Sea Of Flames , Cork. Good value imo.

I'm going for two there at Chelmsford tomorrow that Stephen Donohue rides

7.15 Sea Of Flames

8.45 Chelmsford: KOUBBA 25/1 EW BOG - banded race Crazy - pointless looking too much into the form of the field imo - Im going for this one purely on the basis , that compared to the majority of the field, its lightly raced - its also never run over this sort of trip which its clearly bred for. My least fancied choice of the day so minimal stakes for me.
Report PHS November 17, 2017 10:24 AM GMT
SoF nr
Report REDROB November 17, 2017 11:19 AM GMT
And Stevie D's other ride there tonight has been backed from 14 into 5 RK. Accurate 7-45.
Report REDROB November 17, 2017 11:22 AM GMT
^^ make that into 4 .
Report PHS November 17, 2017 5:45 PM GMT
Name    Time    Cse    To    From
Topmeup    13:00    Lingfield    Kelleway, Miss Gay    Evans, P D
Sanches    13:35    Lingfield    Naylor, Dr J R J    Crisford, Simon
Amenta     13:35    Lingfield    Berry, John    Charlton, R
Certificate    14:10    Lingfield    Dore, C R    Varian, Roger
Remember Nerja     20:15    Wolverhampton    Leavy, B D    Fahey, Jarlath P
Log Off     21:15    Wolverhampton    George, Karen    Evans, P D

Kylemore Lough    14:25    Cheltenham    Fry, Harry    Lee, Miss Kerry
Bentelimar     14:25    Cheltenham    Longsdon, C E    Barry, J R
Katara Bay    12:20    Uttoxeter    Leavy, B D    Williams, Miss Venetia
Captain Peacock    12:50    Uttoxeter    Sherwood, O    Knight, W J
Bob Ford     14:00    Uttoxeter    Newland, Dr R D P    Ralph, Alastair
Mozo    14:35    Uttoxeter    Honeyball, A J    Brennan, F J
Valgor Du Ronceray     13:05    Wetherby    Hammond, Micky    OBrien, Joseph Patrick
Cant Pay Wont Pay     14:15    Wetherby    Dobbin, Mrs R    Fahey, Mark
New Kid In Town     15:20    Wetherby    Winks, P    Mullins, W P
Report Cork Langer November 18, 2017 12:27 AM GMT
After todays non runner, having another go with a longshot trained just up the road from me in Mallow by Jim Culloty, a trainer who rarely crosses the sea unless he believes that his horse will do itself justice, the beast in question is Lake Takapuna in the 14.25 Cheltenham currently priced at 50/1 paying 5 places .

Lacks a recent run but should be fit enough and only carries a featherweight, last two runs were not as bad as the placings make it look, when 9th of 19 at Galway it didn't enjoy the best of passages and never had chance to get involved, though it did make progress from two out. At Leopardstown the time before it was in contention when making a complete mess of the last fence and being allowed to come home eased down, even so it was only beaten just over 4 lengths in 8th.
In its previous race it had won at Leopardstown beating Ball D'Arc a decent Grade 2 performer by 3 lengths into third, admittedly in receipt of 11lb, but a decent performance for a horse who was then only having its fifth run over fences.

A pointer towards its chance will be to see what weight Paddy Brennan gets down to for the ride, hopefully not more than 2lb over please Paddy....!
Report RozelKid November 18, 2017 1:21 PM GMT
disastrous day yesterday.

1 guess today - Another Tom Symonds runner and he has a pretty good record here since he started training.


3.05 Uttoxeter - VICTORIAN TEO 40/1 EW BOG -
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