Horse Antepost

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06 Jun 18 22:03
Date Joined: 21 Sep 04
| Topic/replies: 27,603 | Blogger: sintonian's blog
Without Parole 3/1
Tip Two Win 6/1
US Navy Flad 6/1
Romanised 10/1
Gustav klimt 12/1
Wootton 12/1
Gabr 14/1
16/1 bar

Pretty sure Without Parole would have gone into everyone's notebook after his debut. The turn of foot he showed there was awesome, and combine that with his breeding and it's easy to see his potential. First time out this season, in his apparent prep for the Guineas, he won a minor novice event where he won easy but had to be pushed out. But his next run is puzzling in the sense it has led him to be 3/1 favourite for the SJP. That's just bonkers. He had to scramble up the Sandown straight to beat off some Listed class opposition when I was expecting something much more. He's looking like a bit of a staying miler to me and I think the 8f around the bend of Ascot will be too sharp for him. And he's yet to prove he's up to this level too.

Tip Two Win has ran in India this winter. India. If he wins fantastic story but i'd want 16/1 before backing him.

Gustav Klimt is just not good enough

US Navy Flag has G1 ability, probably, and the bend may be to his advantage rather than a straight mile. But he's still not very convincing.

For me, IF he comes over, Wootton would have as good a chance as any. He looked the dogs knuts before the nonsense French Guineas, when the jockeys were complaining about the safety of the track afterwards. He also raced so keenly, as if he'd drunk a gallon of Red Bull before the race. It's easily forgiven. At 12/1 he is worth the risk. If he runs he'll be closer to 5/1 in this  mickey mouse field.
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Report sintonian June 6, 2018 10:05 PM BST
Wootton missed the break in the Poule d'Essai and then bolted to the outside when the field got stacked up behind US Navy Flag, burning too much petrol mid-race.

"He has come out of the race really well and regained all the weight," said Godolphin's Lisa-Jane Graffard.

"Alex was very happy with his work Tuesday morning. We're looking at lots of races but the St James's Palace and the Jean Prat will certainly come into consideration."

Card and betting for the St James's Palace Stakes

In April's Prix de Fontainebleau, Wootton got the better of Poule d'Essai winner Olmedo - who is being aimed at the Qipco Prix du Jockey Club - and it is that yardstick which connections believe points the way forward.

"The Irish Guineas came a bit quickly and we've basically ruled out the Jockey Club because we're almost sure he is a miler," said Graffard.

"You just need to turn the page and move on. It wasn't a great race for a few people. The best horse on the day won and you can't take anything away from Olmedo, but we think they're very closely matched. We think Wootton would have been very close with a better trip."
Report sintonian June 6, 2018 10:06 PM BST
Just hope they run tbh. Ante-post rules etc
Report sintonian June 6, 2018 10:09 PM BST
8/1, NRNB with 365 is pretty decent.
Report Andrew in Sweden June 7, 2018 6:37 AM BST

Without Parole certainly didn't look a SJP winner at Sandown LTO, but the going was good to soft, very sticky on top, and he's a summer ground horse. He would be fine racing on the M4.

I sense you will see a different horse at Ascot (weather permitting). I actually rate him, and mentioned him on posts before, although it's early days of course. Good luck with Wootton.
Report unclepuncle June 7, 2018 1:15 PM BST
Be worried about fast ground for him  -  expect they will stay at home for the Jean Prat if it stays hot and dry.
Report sintonian June 7, 2018 4:35 PM BST
Gosden did say he hated the ground last time.
Report Sankara June 7, 2018 6:57 PM BST
The famous Indian city of Doha...
Report sintonian June 8, 2018 3:03 PM BST
Qatar Crazy
Report Deptford June 8, 2018 6:15 PM BST
Report dunlaying June 17, 2018 3:54 PM BST
Without Parole is too short a price for what he has done on the track . Wootton is value and Chilean could be the surprise package .
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