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11 Nov 17 20:44
Date Joined: 07 Sep 15
| Topic/replies: 9,306 | Blogger: impossible123's blog
Faugheen, not been seen for almost two years, is 4/7 fav here and 'paddies'. The $64k question is...will he turn up? If so, would he win?; he lost in his 1st race back nearly two years ago. Added to the conundrum Mullins has seven others entered for this race too.
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Report impossible123 November 11, 2017 8:48 PM GMT
Will call Mullins' recent good soundbites about Faugheen bluff, and will lay accordingly. No brainer, I believe, at odds-on.
Report unclepuncle November 12, 2017 9:56 AM GMT
Given your track record I'm sure that will be music to the ears of Willie and Rich Ricci. :D
Report FELTFAIR November 12, 2017 1:16 PM GMT
Report Jb23 November 13, 2017 5:12 PM GMT
With the current entries looking like:

Willie Mullins (9) : Cilaos Emery, Faugheen, Melon, Nichols Canyon, Yorkhill, Bapaume, Lets Dance, Limini, Vroom Vroom
Jessica Harrington (1): Jezki
Thomas Mullins (1) Top Othe Ra
Gordon Elliott: (2) Apples Jade & Campeador
Colin Kidd (1) Rashaan
Joseph Murphy (1) Swamp Fox

I am working on the assumption that Willie Mullins will run a maximum of 2 Faugheen + Baupame/Cliaos Emery. I would have a slight inclination it will be Bapaume given its ownership and wanting to set a decent pace for Faugheen. I also think that Willie will probably save a couple of the mares for the Hattons grace in a couple of weeks. Thats discounted 7 of the runners (Limini, Lets Dance, Vroum Vroum Nichols, Melon, Yorkhill and the other of the affirmed mentioned.)

Here is my angle, Apples Jade wont run given she ran on Sunday and I don't think there is anyway Gordon Elliott doesn't have a runner in a 50k hurdle given his champion trainer aspirations. Campedaor has been talked off as a Champion Hurdle darkhorse (16-1 Paddy Power) so for it to have any chance in that, you would think it would have to go close in this. Its race fit, unexposed and improving 5YO who will like the ground.

Given that the race is going to cut up badly and in my opinion, likely to be a certain runner due to the connections. 6-1 Each way is a great dirty each way bet.
Report impossible123 November 13, 2017 8:49 PM GMT
I concur Elliot (Campeador 6/1) and Harrington (Jezki 9/2) will have a representation. Apart from Faugheen (8/13) and Limini (6 here but 20/1 elsewhere) the rest of Mullins' are 20/1 or more. And despite 15 entered I'd expect a max field of 8 at best.

Faugheen to run and/or win at 8/13 - similar price to Altior for the Tingle Creek - I'd lay him.
Report impossible123 November 14, 2017 5:11 PM GMT
Faugheen is amongst 8 declared. The others are stablemates Yorkhill, Nichols Canyon and Vroum Vroum Mag; Jezki, Apple's Jade, Campeador and Swamp Fox. It is interesting Mullins is fielding 4, 2 each from Ricci and Wylie, but Apple's Jade is an unlikely runner, according to Elliot.

The betting is also suggesting Yorkhill, Nichols Canyon and Vroum Vroum Mag are unlikely runners too - their prices are way too big to be considered probable runners; a probable 4 runner race,...a major disappointment, if so.
Report impossible123 November 17, 2017 1:33 PM GMT
Only 5 down to run now. And once again Wylie has withdrawn his two ie Yorkhill and Nichols Canyon, and allowed Ricci and Mullins an easier run with Faugheen and Vroum Vroum Mag; Elliot and Harrington are represented by Campeador and Jezki respectively, with Swamp Fox making it five runners.
Report impossible123 November 19, 2017 10:52 AM GMT
4 now with Vroum Vroum Mag - similar ownership to Faugheen - a late scratching. A pointless renewal, I believe, with just 4 runners, one of which has not even seen a racecourse for almost 2 years but odds-on.
Report FELTFAIR November 19, 2017 2:21 PM GMT
Hope you layed it for plenty Bungle.
Report impossible123 November 19, 2017 2:44 PM GMT
A triumphant victory by Faugheen despite the small field after nearly 2 years off the track. Champion Hurdle winner? Given he is only 9/4 fav the jury is still out, for me.
Report liberator of the oppressed November 19, 2017 4:12 PM GMT
Figgis and other speed aficionados was the time good?
Report FELTFAIR November 19, 2017 4:31 PM GMT
For an effortless victory yes.
Report sixtwosix November 19, 2017 6:14 PM GMT
Impressive win ......but none of those are even going to run in the Champion.
For the bookies to shorten him up below last years impressive winner is nonsense.
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