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mr meagi
09 Apr 18 21:28
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Date Joined: 18 May 06
| Topic/replies: 1,012 | Blogger: mr meagi's blog
Is it me or is Dustin ' a bull in a china shop' here? Two missed cuts..with average rounds +76..(admittedly, a long time ago),can he really be called a fav? Do you disagree?

GLTA!Cool
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Replies: 82
By:
therhino
When: 09 Apr 18 22:47
He is only playing because he is now sponsored by RBC. I doubt there is a course that suits him less on the whole tour than Harbour Town.
By:
dukeofpuke
When: 10 Apr 18 00:49
looking at how palmer thinks cameron smith, webb simpson, he often picks patrick cantlay (but why)he may go for Ollie Schniederjans and Emiliano Grillo
By:
Lady Margaret
When: 10 Apr 18 16:34
Is Donald playing? Usually finishes in the Top Five here doesn't he?
By:
mr meagi
When: 10 Apr 18 18:22
Donald is in there at around  50's,LM ...put a 1 in front of it and I might be interested ....I do agree with you....'the place should be called after him'.

Me....I'm all in this week with the last of my Masters Winnings.Blush

Tom Hoge 430.00 €2.00  €858.00
Satoshi Kodaira 480.00 €2.00  €958.00


They will probably go bigger tomorrow but I've lost the will to care.

Tip for this Week: Hossler Top 40  13/8 SB

GLTA!Cool
By:
Hank Hill
When: 10 Apr 18 19:44
The H's for me this week. Hoffmesiter, Harman and Hadwin. It would be rude not to include Luke with his astonishing record here, and DJ is easy enough to leave alone at that price around here.
By:
THEMONEYSHOT
When: 11 Apr 18 10:33
Sweaty sock: Russell Knox to do the business Cool
By:
ulf lundell
When: 11 Apr 18 10:41
Agree with DJ, mr meagi.

Just the two bets for me; DJ to miss the cut @ 7.5 & Kizzire E/W @ 100/1.
By:
therhino
When: 11 Apr 18 10:51
The DJ miss cut is bit of value. Where did you get that?

I've laid him top 20.
By:
ulf lundell
When: 11 Apr 18 12:03
Unibet, was allowed 300... - but it’s still there.
By:
mr meagi
When: 11 Apr 18 14:47
Stat Attack!

(SCRAMBLING FROM 20-30 YARDS)

2018/Hoge/Baddley/Gay/Bozzelli/Hadwin.................
2017/Haas/Gomez/Donald/Bryan/Na/Schniederjans..........
2016/Baddley/Garrigus/Curran/Garrigus/Choi......

Let's consider this 'eclectic mix'... Can I get 2 into Top 20, or 4 into Top 40?....Close in scrambling appears everywhere here even scrambling from 10 Yards and Sand Saves(Luke is king at this). What do you think? I wouldn't back them with your money...oops! I put two euro on Hoge already.Blush

GLTA!
By:
mengmeng
When: 11 Apr 18 15:05
ok in a way its the obvious pick going by bookies and form/world number 1 etc ,on the other hand this course and his past form on it make terrible reading so totally understand the laying of Dustin...However that was a long time ago when he was all about the Driver and his chipping was one of the worst around. He is a different player now and tho he wouldnt choose to play here i am sure he wants to play well and the sponsers will be wanting that and also not many of the big names/regular winners are here so im going for Dustin to leave the course form behind and win this week.

so 2 points win Dustbin
By:
mr meagi
When: 11 Apr 18 15:14
Hi mengmeng,
I am a huge admirer of your betting strategy in general and you get it correct more times than not....but wouldn't Casey or Kuchar be more obvious plays for you this week?  The points you make about Dustin are correct but I can see him being 'confined', especially off the tee. It's a game of opinions and GLLove
By:
mengmeng
When: 11 Apr 18 15:23
thanks for that mr meagi, and my other selections looked at were Cameron Smith,Hadwin,Casey and Kuchar. Casey doesnt win enough and cant be trusted, Sort of the same with Kuchar tho i was very close to choosing him and have done alot in the past, Hadwin is hometown boy i think and Smith is got everything apart from real life experience going for him and i wouldnt be surpriswed if any of those win, or even if Luke Donald wins. I just feel that if this was at a different course Dustin would be trading about 3/1 or 4/1 and the fact he is double that price based on very old form and the type of course which has merit but he is a totally different player now and i think he will just wedge and birdie putt basically on every hole and will just be too good for the rest of the pack. @4/1 i would have left him and went for split on Smith and Kuchar but at 9/1 i have to go with Johnson
By:
Hank Hill
When: 11 Apr 18 18:47
Hadwin out - moving the stake between Smith and Cantlay now.
By:
DickTurpin
When: 11 Apr 18 18:58
RBC Picks :-

W Simpson @32
R Moore @55
K Chappell @75
B Hossler @100

GL everyone...........
By:
mr meagi
When: 11 Apr 18 19:03
Hadwin out, Thanks, Hank,....SB knew that yesterday and suspended him in betting...it took a long time to filter to the other firms?Confused
By:
mr meagi
When: 11 Apr 18 19:26
'Humboldt Broncos bus crash'...this may have impacted on Adam Hadwin's focus for the Heritage..and that is just a guess.Sad
By:
EUGENE KRABS
When: 11 Apr 18 21:30
I think DJ will be desperate to get back in the winners enclosure after a quiet time and if he gets off to a reasonable start the tournament will get his full attention.I agree with Meng that it's all about the price and 9/1 against this ordinary line up is worth chancing.
By:
mr meagi
When: 11 Apr 18 22:15
There is some serious value knocking around on The Exchange at the moment.

Brice Garnett 340 €3.50  €1,186.50

11th here in 2015/a winner this year/ Total Driving 28th/34th in from 225-275(only a handful of attempts)/even better from closer/27th scrambling under 10 yds/90.24% inside 10'Wow!

Worth a punt for pennies.Cool

'ps: 177th from the sand'
By:
mr meagi
When: 11 Apr 18 23:04
The guy with the skill set for this place is Schauffele, but his value as a bet is limited...I prefer to go long and often..

Brandon Harkins 360 €3.00  €1,077.00 Happy

See you all tomorrow and I wish you all luck in what should be a fascinating little tournament...the jacket for the winner looks like...Shocked
By:
mr meagi
When: 11 Apr 18 23:09
Summary ..not bad value for less than a tenner
Back
Bill Haas220.00 €2.00  €438.00
Brice Garnett340.00 €3.50  €1,186.50
Brandon Harkins360.00 €3.00  €1,077.00
Tom Hoge430.00 €2.00  €858.00
Satoshi Kodaira480.00 €2.00  €958.00
€12.50
Lay
Bill Haas200.00 €2.00  €398.00
Satoshi Kodaira333.70 €2.00  €665.40
€4.00

Happy
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 11 Apr 18 23:18
Hadwin has backed out due to a personal matter, saying "No injury. Nothing that will affect schedule moving forward", opening a spot for first alternate Sam Ryder.
By:
mengmeng
When: 11 Apr 18 23:18
just read the following on a golf siteabout dustin playing today..

A popular theory about Johnson's absence was his length off the tee and strength made him a bad fit for architect Pete Dye's narrow fairways and small greens. One of the PGA Tour's tightest courses puts a premium on shot location versus 350-yard drives.

But Johnson proved that theory wrong with birdies on 10 of the last 17 holes in Wednesday's pro-am.

so i hope there is more of that going on tomorrow
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 11 Apr 18 23:20
In 2015, Troy Merritt carded a back-nine 7-under 28 during the second round, topping the previous record on that nine by one stroke (Jeff Maggert/2006, Steve Flesch/2001, Chris Perry/2000, Brad Faxon/1997). The only other 28 at the RBC Heritage occurred on the front nine (Craig Barlow in 2003).

THE LOCALS...
A native and resident Kevin Kisner – from Aiken, South Carolina, and former University of Georgia Bulldog, is making his fourth start at the RBC Heritage (MC-2011, T38-2014 and P2-2015 where he only made three bogeys, including zero on the weekend, before falling to Jim Furyk in the first of four playoff losses that season. Kisner is in search of his third PGA TOUR victory (2015 RSM Classic down the coast at St. Simons & 2017  Dean & DeLuca Invitational) and revenge for 2015. T28th at The Masters.

Wild Willy McGirt from Lumberton in North Carolina, resides in Boiling Springs so this is a home game for him. Willy attended Wofford College (Spartanburg, S.C.) is making his EIGHT RBC Heritage start (MC-2011, MC-2012, T88-2013, T9-2014, T31-2015, and 9th & 3rd last two years). Hits tons of fairways, greens and makes putts as he excels on shorter tracks. More than half of his rounds (14 of 22) are under par here in seven tries. 2016 Memorial Winner.


Other notes...
Webb Simpson lost in a playoff to Graeme McDowell in a stiff breeze in 2013, so he’s proven he can handle tough conditions. Played the weekend here his last seven times and also has a pair of T-14s to show (11th last year ,66,51,2nd,52,14,14,mc 2009). Hitting the greens are rarely the problem so he should have plenty of birdie looks this week.
Canadian Graham Delaet's record here 14,mc,mc,44 & 64.
Wesley Bryan on debut.
UNLukey Donald record reads 2, 2,15,2,3,37,2,3 & 2 AGAIN in 2009. 

Catch Me ifyoucan • April 17, 2017 12:16 AM BST
Wesley Bryan wins his first TOUR title at RBC Heritage at Harbour Town Golf Links, HILTON HEAD ISLAND, S.C. The 27-year-old Bryan tapped in for par on the closing hole to make the former trick-shot artist the first South Carolinian to win the state's lone PGA TOUR event.
Bryan rallied from four-shots down Sunday to win his home state tournament, closing with a 4-under 67 for a one-stroke victory over Luke Donald (unbelievably second AGAIN - his fifth second-place finish here since 2009).
Bryan, a South Carolina native who played college golf for the Gamecocks, moved into contention with four consecutive birdies on the front nine. He took the lead with a birdie on the 15th hole and finished at 13-under 271. Bryan earned $1.17 million, a TOUR exemption through the 2018-19 season and a spot in the 2018 Masters.
23-year-old Ollie Schniederjans, Patrick Cantlay and William McGirt tied for third, two strokes behind Bryan.
Bryan was largely known as a YouTube sensation, he and brother George IV, another Gamecocks golfer, pulling off often unbelievable trick shots -- like chipping the ball 20 yards to a waiting Bryan brother to belt away before it hits the ground. There were no tricks to Wesley Bryan's round this time, the first to win at Harbour Town in his first try since Boo Weekley won the first of his two straight RBC Heritages in 2007.

Report Catch Me ifyoucan • April 19, 2017 9:20 PM BST
Beat poor Luke Donald - this was his 12th Heritage and seventh top-3 finish in his last nine tries. The runner-up is his fifth in the event and second straight, chasing T2 last year where he was the 54-hole leader by one and closed in even-par 71, while Branden Grace shot 66 to beat him by two.
In 2014, Donald was the 54-hole leader (by two) and closed with 2-under 69, but lost by one to Matt Kuchar, who raced by 64.
In 2011, Donald again was the 54-hole leader (by one) and closed in 1-under 70, eventually losing in a 2-man playoff to Brandt Snedeker, who fired a final-round 64.
This rare odyssey of finishing second so many times in the same tournament began with the 2009 playing but that T2 probably didn’t feel quite as empty as he – and the rest of the field – had no chance. sundogmonkey,  note that Brian Gay won that one by 10 shots and is the most recent golfer to win a TOUR event by 10 or more strokes.Devil
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 11 Apr 18 23:22
RBC Heritage 50th opening ceremony, founder's spirit plays through the rain
Rain forces 2018 RBC Heritage opening ceremony indoors. It was a lot quieter, but spirits still high as past champions present include Hale Irwin, Graham Marsh and Wesley Bryan.
Read more here: http://www.islandpacket.com/sports/#storylink=cpy
Devil
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 11 Apr 18 23:23
TEN players (11 times) have won the RBC Heritage with four rounds in the 60s, including Nick Faldo (1984), Payne Stewart (1989), Hale Irwin (1994), Loren Roberts (1996), Nick Price (1997), Davis Love III (1992, 1998, 2003), Boo Weekley (2007), Brian Gay (2009), Jim Furyk (2010) & Wesley Bryan (2017).

35 players have posted four rounds in the 60s at the RBC Heritage, with six players performing the feat in 2015 (Kevin Kisner, Troy Merritt, Matt Kuchar, Louis Oosthuizen, Morgan Hoffmann, Bo Van Pelt ) and last year 3 players (Winner Wesley Bryan & Ollie Schniederjans & Wild Willy McGirt).
Nick Price holds the event record with nine straight sub-70 rounds.

SUNDAY NIGHT
The third-round lead/co-leader has won 31 of 47 times at the RBC Heritage, most recently Carl Pettersson in 2012, who entered the final round one shot clear of Colt Knost. The largest final-round comeback at the RBC Heritage is nine strokes (Stewart Cink, 2004). Leading by 3 or 4 shots come Sunday means nothing on this track !
Devil
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 11 Apr 18 23:25
Catch Me ifyoucan • April 16, 2017 10:59 AM BST

1969: Arnold Palmer wins the inaugural edition of the tournament. His finishing score of 283 is still the highest for a winner in the tournament's history. "He put Harbour Town on the map" hence the second gun cannon salute this week.

1971: Future three-time U.S. Open Champion, Hale Irwin, makes Heritage his first ever PGA Tour victory. He beats Bob Lunn by one shot.
1976: Hubert Green wins by five shots over Jerry McGee. It was Green's third consecutive win in as many weeks.
1980: George Archer sets a PGA Tour record for fewest putts in a 72-hole tournament, 94. The previous mark was 99 set by Bob Menne. Kenny Knox would subsequently break Archer's record at the 1989 MCI Heritage Golf Classic.
1984: Nick Faldo wins his first PGA Tour event by one shot over Tom Kite. He is the first Englishman to win on United States soil since Tony Jacklin at the 1972 Greater Jacksonville Open.
1987: Davis Love III wins by one shot over Steve Jones. Jones had come to the 72nd hole leading by one but made a double bogey after his tee shot went out of bounds.
1990: Payne Stewart becomes the first Heritage champion to successfully defend his title. He beats Larry Mize and Steve Jones in a sudden death playoff.
1994: Hale Irwin collects his 20th overall and last PGA Tour win at Harbour Town. He wins by two shots over Greg Norman.
1998: Davis Love III becomes the first four-time Heritage winner. He wins by seven shots over Glen Day. Day would go on to win the 1999 Heritage.
2003: Davis Love III wins his fifth Heritage by defeating Woody Austin in a sudden death playoff. To get in the playoff, Love chipped in from off the green at the 72nd hole.

2005: Peter Lonard wins by two shots over Darren Clarke, Jim Furyk, Billy Andrade, and Davis Love III. Clarke was tied for the lead when teeing off on the 72nd hole, but like Steve Jones did in 1987, he hit his tee shot out of bounds and made double bogey. David Frost breaks Mark Calcavecchia's record of 93 putts in a 72-hole tournament by hitting only 92 putts.

2007 Boo Weekley chips in on the last two holes for his first ever PGA Tour victory. He wins by one shot over Ernie Els.

2010: Jim Furyk defeats Brian Davis in a sudden death playoff. On the first playoff hole, Davis calls a two-shot penalty on himself after he touched a loose impediment in a hazard with his golf club

2013: Ninety-one players make the 36-hole cut, tying a PGA Tour record. Jesper Parnevik bogeyed the 18th hole, giving Parnevik and twenty-one additional golfers entry into the third round.
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 11 Apr 18 23:26
Only six winners since 1983 - DID NOT play - in the Masters the previous week....
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 11 Apr 18 23:34
Of course this week’s champion becomes the first winner of a non-major to gain entry into the 2019 Masters, and a *plaid* jacket........even if they do look silly.
By:
mr meagi
When: 12 Apr 18 08:40
''1969: Arnold Palmer wins the inaugural edition of the tournament. His finishing score of 283 is still the highest for a winner in the tournament's history. "He put Harbour Town on the map" hence the second gun cannon salute this week.''

Birdie Fest, Shop Local, etc,etc, Catch.Love..I still think 'long' is the way to go. Speaking of A.P.

https://www.pgatour.com/players/player.29223.sam-saunders.html

Sam Saunders 300 €3.50  €1,046.50(Pulled him off the 'Birdies Stats' where Dustin is tops.) GLTA!
By:
therhino
When: 12 Apr 18 09:49
Happy to take a few swings here.

Luuuuke at 85s because why not here, to join with Kraft and Connors. Just gotta remember to hit the pink with this lot should any of em be in the mix down the stretch.
By:
Total Bosman
When: 12 Apr 18 12:38
Going to show off while he's -1 and before he tanks, got almost £50 on Keith Mitchell at 1000 when he was added to the market, absolutely crazy price on a guy coming off a 2nd and a T6.
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 12 Apr 18 20:49
SO where's the "WITHOUT KUCHAR" market - not up yet ffs
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 12 Apr 18 21:13
SABBATINI form here reads:- mc, mc, 9th, 9th, 17, 14 & 8th in 2009.

KISNER, Paddy CANTLAY (3rd last year, MC at The Masters), BRYAN & McGirt 66's (as highlighted) also to go close after decent starts
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 13 Apr 18 15:58
Players who DID NOT play (in the Masters the previous week) stat are.....(trying to make it seven winners)

LIST
KNOX
HOWELL
GRILLO
NA
CAULEY
HOSSLER
HAHN
KOKRAK
HADLEY @-6
DONALD
SNEDS
AN
OLLIE S
BADDELEY (150/1)
HAAS
MURRAY
FURYK
GLOVER
LAIRD
PIERCY
McGIRT
GAY
GARNETT
CONNERS (175/1)
GMAC
STREELMAN
SABBATINI currently 7 under with Poulter
PALMER
O'HAIR
KANG (200/1)
150/1 bar

+ 400/1 Whee Kim (@ -6) who MC here last year BUT 6th in 2016.

Horschel, Potter & Doc Redman (all MC at the Masters) are the only players at bigger prices that actually played last week. Devil
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 13 Apr 18 16:02
DUSTBIN MAKES THE CUT Devil .....and pleases the sponsors
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 13 Apr 18 16:23
2017    Wesley Bryan    United States    271    −13    1 stroke
2016    Branden Grace    South Africa    275    −9    2 strokes
2015    Jim Furyk (2)    United States    266    −18    Playoff
2014    Matt Kuchar    United States    273    −11    1 stroke
2013    Graeme McDowell    Northern Ireland    275    −9    Playoff
2012    Carl Pettersson    Sweden    270    −14    5 strokes
2011    Brandt Snedeker    United States    272    −12    Playoff
2010    Jim Furyk    United States    271    −13    Playoff
2009    Brian Gay    United States    264    −20    10 strokes
2008    Boo Weekley (2)    United States    269    −15    3 strokes
2007    Boo Weekley    United States    270    −14    1 stroke
2006    Aaron Baddeley    Australia    269    −15    1 stroke
2005    Peter Lonard    Australia    277    −7    2 strokes
2004    Stewart Cink (2)    United States    274    −10    Playoff
2003    Davis Love III (5)    United States    271    −13    Playoff
2002    Justin Leonard    United States    270    −14    1 stroke
2001    José Cóceres    Argentina    273    −11    Playoff
2000    Stewart Cink    United States    270    −14    2 strokes
1999    Glen Day    United States    274    −10    Playoff
1998    Davis Love III (4)    United States    266    −18    7 strokes
1997    Nick Price    Zimbabwe    269    −15    6 strokes
1996    Loren Roberts    United States    265    −19    3 strokes
1995    Bob Tway    United States    275    −9    Playoff
1994    Hale Irwin (3)    United States    266    −18    2 strokes
1993    David Edwards    United States    273    −11    2 strokes
1992    Davis Love III (3)    United States    269    −15    4 strokes
1991    Davis Love III (2)    United States    271    −13    2 strokes
1990    Payne Stewart (2)    United States    276    −8    Playoff
1989    Payne Stewart    United States    268    −16    5 strokes
1988    Greg Norman    Australia    271    −13    1 stroke
1987    Davis Love III    United States    271    −13    1 stroke
1986    Fuzzy Zoeller (2)    United States    276    −8    1 stroke
1985    Bernhard Langer    West Germany    273    −11    Playoff
1984    Nick Faldo    England    270    −14    1 stroke
1983    Fuzzy Zoeller    United States    275    −9    2 strokes
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 13 Apr 18 22:55
Catch Me ifyoucan • April 17, 2016 10:20 PM BST
Catch Me ifyoucan  • April 13, 2016 12:40 PM BST 
Another kid with a massive future is Bryson Dechambeau.
He posted three rounds of even par last week in his first Masters ! - he’s hardly bothered by what’s going on around him - his seventh consecutive weekend in professional events - this will be his first event as a pro after his T21 finish last week and is sure to be in the spot light again this week.
Could easily become on of my favourite golfers - love his all round style and attitude !


MC here last year, after his 4th place finish in 2016...38th in The MASTERS.
By:
mr meagi
When: 13 Apr 18 23:11
That guy Kodaira played well at the Masters,Catch and just had an amazing round today....re-loaded  on him at 200's.Surely that is a nonsense price when so close to the lead......Look at the prices ...they seem 'Bonkers' to me...What do you think...you have seen it all before...-3 up ie 40 contenders here??Confused
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