Jan 9, 2018 -- 1:16PM, Charlie wrote:
Depends on what you mean by a system. If it's something like bet every favourite at odds of 1.5 or less then no. If you mean something like I've studied this game for eight hours, looked at all the relevant stats, know the team and players well and have decided the odds are wrong then yes.
I don't doubt that it's possible and the dream lives on.
It's more about playing a numbers game, percentages imo.
Feb 17, 2018 -- 4:59PM, crystalhunt wrote:
Some of us have been on here a long time traicue and seen and heard it all. The place used to be buzzing with systems, theories, and epic failures. Nothing I can remember endures and some people have gone to their rest, their hopes dashed of finding the holy grail. I'm sure many did make a living and still do, but they didn't share it on here so good luck in your quest. If it pays off, don't tell anyone.
completely agree, Id go so far as to say no one consistently makes long term profit on football simply betting these days, ... too many variables and too much randomness for 22 players and dodgy officials but there will always be a new generation trying the impossible
Jan 8, 2018 -- 11:08AM, DFCIRONMAN wrote:
"most popular sport to bet on"...........Why is that?We believe we know about football and or egos take over......Trouble is football is hard to know when teams/players are going to have an "off day".Another factor that makes it difficult to rely on players playing "intelligent" football is many players are pretty stupid in what they do......for example :-1. Unable to cross ball past the near post from wing position. 2. Unable to use both feet to kick ball........and they delay moves to get ball onto their "stronger" foot, allowing defenders to get back into defensive positions.3. Forwards who hit ball straight at keepers....repetitively, instead of learning to hit ball into corner of goal.......AWAY FROM KEEPER!4. Forwards who header ball repeatedly OVER THE BAR and don't header ball awy from keeper into corner of goal........not at keepers.5. Players showing no technical skill in striking ball at goal and no awareness where goal is!Players appear not to work on their skills necessary to be called a footballer.They rather spend time on their tattoosCoaches who presumably want defenders to pass ball sideways or backwards, rather than improving skill in passing ball forward . This sideways passing etc allows their opponents TIME to get into defensive positions Rather a stupid way to play "football"! Horse racing is a more reliable sport than football!
And then there's the ref. He/she could have a stinker also.
As for the opening post and lack of discussion;
If someone HAS figured it out they're hardly likely to shout it for the rooftops I think.
Jun 12, 2018 -- 5:20PM, roadrunner46 wrote:
apparently the best betting systems for football revolve around the draws, you need to collect all the results from all the leagues in europe for last few years and devise a betting backing/laying strategyfrom the statistical data you gather. it helps if you are very good with computers.goodluck
I would, respectfully of course, disagree with the researching and gathering data. For most cowboy racing tipsters their get-out is that " history is no guarantee of the future ". I'd go along with that. It's all about the now imo and trying to read games. Team-sheets? Of course, that might be of some use. But I'd stick how a game appears to be going and yes, that go down the toilet as well. And current form, that has to be a consideration but that is only temporary isn't it.
Jun 26, 2018 -- 8:58AM, trebor wrote:
Risking a million a year is not the same as turning over a million a year, turning over a million a year you would probably never have more than a few hundred at risk at any one time.
You just need to have plan that works. Seemples.
Jun 30, 2018 -- 5:11PM, nathanrh wrote:
trebor.3% is a massively lucrative proposition over the long term and on here it is relatively easy to turnover a large amount of money.Of course in a relatively short period of time or sequence of bets one can show an ROI many times better than my hypothetical 3%, but the more you play the more likely it is you mean revert to your actual true edge, and that is the rub ultimately, the more you play, the more you need to play (earning a living) the more likely you approach that true figure and that leads me on neatly to the point below.....On a sport such as mainstream football, those 3% edges (likely much higher because of BF's commission) definitely don't exist. If you could avoid the commission that edge would be 6-8%.....that would be a virtual license to print money and there would still be a reasonable statistical probability you could go bust along the way.I'm not saying you can't make it pay but being ignorant to the resources you are up against makes me seriously question the likelihood of someone being a long term winner ;-).Gl.
I wouldn't necessarily go along with your suggestion that " the more you play the more you need to play. "
I would respectfully suggest that with experience that a pro gains, he, or she, cuts their plays to an absolute minimum but ups the ante. No?
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