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The Dragon
15 Sep 14 20:46
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Date Joined: 12 Mar 05
| Topic/replies: 2,909 | Blogger: The Dragon's blog
Hi guys

This thread will start this weekend.

4th year of stats and analysis now . so should be good!!!
Will post Top rated and Value tips with analysis for the selections 8-) . Lets hope it goes well
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Report The Dragon August 11, 2018 10:44 AM BST
sly go 9/4 for relegation
Report Rugbyleaguer August 11, 2018 10:46 AM BST
Cheers Dragon and Good luck with all your bets

I have also done a few ante-post bets, I won't bore everyone with them all but by far my favourite one is the reverse forecast between Man City and Liverpool, so as long as they both finish in the top 2 at the end of the season I win. I honestly can't see anyone else challenging them this year, there are so many question marks and weaknesses in the teams below them. I have put one of my biggest bets ever on this at 2/1 it should in my mind be Evens and I think I would still do it at that price.
Report The Dragon August 11, 2018 10:47 AM BST
trawling through the racing post this morning a lot of tipsters have put up crawley to beat stevenage at 7/5
Report The Dragon August 11, 2018 10:49 AM BST
good luck with that rl , looks a good bet . would be intersted in your other antepost bets as you always seem to pull a decent one out of the bagCool
Report colupaul August 11, 2018 10:55 AM BST
Friday's Premiership opener failed to live up to expectations for me from a betting perspective... nothing today bar looking at anytime goalscorers at Colchester once teams announced... on the ante-post side of things I've had a play in the relegation markets... Southampton & Brighton x QPR x Shrewsbury & Walsall...
Report colupaul August 11, 2018 10:57 AM BST
Hold on... replace Brighton with Huddersfield... Crazy
Report The Dragon August 11, 2018 11:02 AM BST
good racing at Ascot today . I was unlucky with POETS SOCIETY at GOODwood when just beaten by Seniority last time out . Has   same weight and distance today and at 9/1 looks an ew cert . Done ew and win bet

Koeman looks good in the 2.15 so ew double on them as well as singles
Report onthehoy August 11, 2018 11:03 AM BST
Good luck all for the new season, a few small bets today for me to follow during the day after I have watched the Toon beat Spurs :-)


Bournemouth 1.9
Middlesbrough 1.7
Colchester 2.0

Blackburn 2.4
Stoke 2.2
Swansea 2.3
Plymouth 2.62


Singles on the above + the following bets

Bournemouth/Middlesbrough @ 3.24
Colchester/Blackburn @ 4.8
Blackburn/Swansea @ 5.52

Bournemouth/Blackburn/Plymouth @ 12.02
Report The Dragon August 11, 2018 11:06 AM BST
good luck oth good to have you back on the thread ... youi still in Thailand?
Report colupaul August 11, 2018 11:11 AM BST
I backed Poets Society at Gooders on both it starts... this Shergar Cup meeting has its place in the calendar but not a betting medium for me... having said that George Margarson has one running there and two at Newmarket... I'll be backing them three each-way for a bit of interest...

Good luck backing Colchester today OTH... would like to see a home win but I'd be on the draw if I was playing...
Report onthehoy August 11, 2018 11:23 AM BST
Aye, still in Thailand and ready to enjoy another football season
Are you enjoying the easy life now?  more time to find winning bets Grin

I was hoping to place a few bets on each league this season but have only ended up with:
Stoke or Boro to win Championship and QPR for relegation.
I might place a few more later, after a few games. Maybe I should check out some of the earlier posts on this thread for some ideas.
Report The Dragon August 11, 2018 11:31 AM BST
Yes went part time a few months back but not as yet enjoyed the benefit of it should do in September so a lot more time for studying the form. Been a great Summer in the uk weather wise.

ive also done Boro antepopst

good luck with your bets and i look forwards to your postsas the season progressess

off out for lunch with friends today so wont be around later
Report dr . atkins August 11, 2018 11:58 AM BST
nap of the weekend man city and if anyone likes taking short prices then fulham v c.palace and arsenal v man city btts double
Report Rugbyleaguer August 11, 2018 12:02 PM BST
Yes had a v good ante post last year with Wolves being the best of the lot at 14/1 for the Championship, Bolton to get relegated would have won me a lot until they decided to score 2 goals in the last 5 minutes of the season to save themselves, but can't complain as made a good chunk overall.

OK Dragon as like last year ill post them all up including stakes and let's come back see how I do at the end of the year, this is a full list with stakes.

Liverpool and Man City reverse forecast £1000 at 2/1

Newcastle to get relegated £200 at 11/2

Fleetwood to win division 33/1 £40 E.W

Derby top 6 at 9/4 £240

Oldham to finish bottom of division 16/1 £70

Bolton to finish bottom 11/2 £100

Reading Relegate 4/1 £200

Q.P.R to be relegated 5/1 £200

Hull to be relegated 5/1 £200

Blackpool to be relegated 7/2 £400

Lincoln to win division 7/1 £150

Milton Keynes to win division 6/1 £150

Fulham on Premier league handicap +45 12/1 £50

Wolves on handicap +36 16/1 £50

That's it as far as I can remember total stake £3190 Returns?
Report badjoe August 11, 2018 12:10 PM BST
Tottenham @ 11/10
Newcastle v Tottenham - Winner

Kilmarnock @ 23/20
Livingston v Kilmarnock - Winner

Yes @ 3/4
Hearts v Celtic - Both Teams To Score


Done Treble @ 6.9

GL All
Report The Dragon August 11, 2018 12:17 PM BST
thanks RL I am sure you will collect on some of those.

The only match we have is Fleetwood and they have not made the best start

My outrights inclide

Liverpool 4/1
Boro 9/1
Millwall 70/1
Crewe 33/1
Wigan 45/1
WBA 8/1
Plymouth 25/1
Barnsley 10/1
Charlton 14/1
Exeter 25/1
Fylde 14/1
Barnet 14/1
colu 24/1
Mansfield 10/1
Morecombe to be relegated 9/4 and to finish bottom 5/1
Stockport County 6/1

Stakes vary but main bets are Baernsley, Liverpool, boro and Mansfield.

Hopefully will collect on a couple?
Report The Dragon August 11, 2018 2:40 PM BST
spuds off to a good start with an away win at newcastle
Report The Dragon August 12, 2018 11:28 AM BST
rubbish on the horses yesterday and average on the football. barnsley going well as are boroCool
Report The Dragon August 12, 2018 11:28 AM BST
fancy city today but price is poor
Report Rugbyleaguer August 12, 2018 12:02 PM BST
3 up and 3 down yesterday to make a small profit with prices, still got Southampton not to win today, the price for them winning has gone right out to nearly evens now.

Gone higher than 3.3 goals with the spread on Liverpool game, the city one prices are right for me so just a watch.
Report The Dragon August 12, 2018 12:03 PM BST
layed soton backed city
Report The Dragon August 12, 2018 5:27 PM BST
citeh easy monet made uop for poor weekendWink
Report colupaul August 13, 2018 4:42 PM BST
Mug trebs and an acca in the League Cup tomorrow... Peterborough, Barnsley, Exeter, Notts County & Tranmere... cheers...
Report The Dragon August 13, 2018 9:38 PM BST
good luck colu , dont normally back in cup games but 7/5 Barnsley looks good
Report dr . atkins August 13, 2018 10:05 PM BST
very strange betting on the mk dons v charlton in league cup 7t4 into 1.75 mk dons
Report The Dragon August 14, 2018 7:44 AM BST
yes dr i klooked at that and thought charlton were way too big but given their problems and lack of depth thought best wait and see what the teams are
Report nortons August 14, 2018 10:57 AM BST
Charlton are playing their under 23 team.
Report trilby22 August 14, 2018 12:39 PM BST
Looking at a home win double of Spartak Moscow and Fenerbahce in the Chimps Liga tonight.  Both must win to progress and are currently 2-3 & 0-1 down respectively.

No idea of line-ups, injuries, conditions etc.  Simply a must win attitude required.

4.28 on SB & 1.83 and 2.64 singly here.
Report The Dragon August 14, 2018 4:23 PM BST
cheers nortons give that one a wide berth then
Report The Dragon August 14, 2018 6:04 PM BST
had a look at the national league fixtures this evening an d their are some interesting away win prices on offer

Halifax are away to early favs salford city at just under 3/1 and could loook a bit of value.

Halifax have won all 3 games so far scoring 7 and conceding 0. Salford have yet to win a game and lost 2 out of 3. The price looks worth an early interest.

Wrexam are similiarly over privedwhen they visit Maidenhead. 7/4 looks decent for a team unbeaten with 2 wins out of three against a team who have not won with 2 losses out of 3.

Other aways tonight in the division that are worth a look are : Chesterfield 6/5, Gateshaed 11/4 and Hartlepool 9/5

Thoughts as always apprecited and good luck if you give any of them a go
Report morpteh mackem August 14, 2018 6:07 PM BST
only done an overs bet tonight, but peterborough must have a good chance at qpr .
Report The Dragon August 14, 2018 6:08 PM BST
at the weekend chesterfield are away to Salford at 9/4 which i have had some of already
Report colupaul August 14, 2018 6:56 PM BST
Had another play in the cup tonight... speculative punts on Stevenage @ 8/1 and Morecambe @ 16/1 plus a dub...
Report colupaul August 14, 2018 7:21 PM BST
Getting sucked in to the hype surrounding Colchester's solid start to the season... strong team out tonight... Cheltenham yet to score this season, Colchester yet to concede... should just lump on the away team at 17/10... instead gone for 3-0 and AUAW...
Report morpteh mackem August 14, 2018 7:22 PM BST
saw colchesters goals from saturday, looked good.
Report colupaul August 14, 2018 7:26 PM BST
Should of won by 4 or 5 by all accounts mm... Courtney Senior who scored the first is a name to look out for this season...
Report colupaul August 14, 2018 7:31 PM BST
Backed Senior to score two or more tonight @ 50/1... I've weighed out far too much for a Tuesday night in August... Laugh
Report morpteh mackem August 14, 2018 7:37 PM BST
aye, he looked a bit 'warm ' as the saying goes.
Report colupaul August 14, 2018 7:47 PM BST
Colchester 1 down first minute... LaughCry
Report morpteh mackem August 14, 2018 7:50 PM BST
bad shout with qr Sad
Report colupaul August 14, 2018 7:52 PM BST
I've backed Peterborough in my trebles tonight... I'm banking on Cheltenham scoring too early... Backed Colchester @ 4/1...
Report The Dragon August 14, 2018 7:55 PM BST
chesterfield 1 downSad
Report The Dragon August 14, 2018 8:01 PM BST
wrexham winning, chesterfield level

halifax losing
Report The Dragon August 14, 2018 8:13 PM BST
hartlepool winning after missing a pen earler
Report The Dragon August 14, 2018 8:15 PM BST
wrexham 2 up
Report The Dragon August 14, 2018 9:03 PM BST
chesterfield winning
Report Whisperingdeath August 14, 2018 9:43 PM BST
trying to avoid degeneracy and betting on League cup!

Didn't realise Conference was playing. Chesterfield would have been my bet. Keep an eye on them but now I fear the word is out and prices will be a little short!
Report colupaul August 14, 2018 9:53 PM BST
Blank night for me... Colchester fought back from 2 down with two late goals to take the game to pens... Senior missing the vital kick... Devil
Report The Dragon August 14, 2018 9:56 PM BST
yup looking good at one stage only wrexam paying a return in the end . late goals in most games did for meCry
Report The Dragon August 16, 2018 9:44 AM BST
ok had a look at weekend fixtures and backed SWANSEAat 8/5 to beat Birmingham on Friday evening to give me some nice funds for the weekend!

In terms of Saturday I have 4 Teams that look solid homes and backed them in a yankee as follows :

Leeds 4/9, WBA, 4/6 Barnsley 4/6 and Halifax 4/6.

My away day Treble is Lincoln at Evens, Doncaster 12/5 and Gateshead 12/5 pays around 22/1 .

Single and mauin bets are:

Portsmouth to beat Oxford at 10/11 and Posh to beat Luton at a very nice 29/20

Early days so no form system pics just my ideas og some good bets for the weekend.

Will look at Sunday after Saturday.

Good luck all and I may pop down to Crewe on Saturday to see how they do against MKDONS currently available at 11/5 for the home team!
Report colupaul August 16, 2018 8:43 PM BST
I reckon Peter Wright is worth a punt in the Brisbane Masters this weekend... won in Melbourne last weekend beating MVG along the way... opposite half of the draw to Anderson and MVG... 8/1 on Sportsbook...
Report Rugbyleaguer August 16, 2018 11:51 PM BST
Really like Everton around Evens against Southampton. Was against Southampton last week at home to Burnley and think Burnley deserved to win. I just don't rate manager and find them dull and limited. I was pretty impressed with Everton last week at wolves securing a draw with 10 men.

A treble I like is Leeds, Barnsley and man city to win to nil. Trust me we will park the bus at city and will rarely get out of our own half, I will be also having a single on city to win to nil and covering 3-0 and 4-0

I think Millwall around 6/4 are also a great bet, not impressed with Derby so far and Millwall are v strong at home

Another at a decent price I like is Cheltenham at home to Carlisle

Good luck all
Report The Dragon August 17, 2018 7:53 AM BST
Hi Rl

I like Everton too and added them in two singles and a double with Chelsea at 4/5 who i think will be too good for what looks like a poor arsenal team
Report Whisperingdeath August 17, 2018 5:21 PM BST
I said I wouldn't but here is my first Friday Night Foursome

Notts County
Lyon
Lorentz
Paris
Report The Dragon August 17, 2018 6:56 PM BST
gl wdCool
Report dr . atkins August 17, 2018 6:59 PM BST
my bet of the weekend is millwall at 6t4 to beat derby the lions very strong at home plus i don't think derby very good
Report The Dragon August 17, 2018 7:02 PM BST
cheers dr. what you think of chelsea . i think 5/6 is a steal to smash a poor arsenal?
Report trilby22 August 17, 2018 7:44 PM BST
Ayr @ 4/1 away to Dundee in the Scottish League Cup could be worth keeping an eye on.
Report morpteh mackem August 17, 2018 7:45 PM BST
treble for me, everton, west ham, exeter.
Report dr . atkins August 17, 2018 8:12 PM BST
don't like our defence accident waiting to happen the dragon
Report Rugbyleaguer August 17, 2018 10:26 PM BST
Not sure on Chelsea Dragon, hard to asses Arsenal after one game against City. Will it be the old Arsenal who folded against the top 6 or will they show more grit under the new regime?

One ill leave alone but good luck
Report onthehoy August 18, 2018 8:36 AM BST
A massive 0.14pts LSP profit for my selections last week, hopefully I can improve on that today :-)

Newcastle 2.45
Everton 1.9
WBA 1.61
Leeds 1.4
Portsmouth 1.86

Coventry 2.1
Fleetwood 2.62
Barnsley 1.55


Everton / Newcastle @ 4.66
WBA / Portsmouth @ 3.0
Leeds / Everton @ 2.66
Coventry / Fleetwood @ 5.50
WBA / Barnsley @ 2.50


WBA / Portsmouth / Everton @ 5.69
WBA / Barnsley / Everton @ 4.74
Fleetwood / newcastle / Leeds @ 8.99
Report gut feeling August 18, 2018 9:12 AM BST
Hull
Peterborough
Shrewsbury
Lincoln 28/1 my pics for today good luck all.
Report woundedknee August 18, 2018 9:23 AM BST
Boro
Lincoln
Sutton

trixie
btts win treble
Report morpteh mackem August 18, 2018 9:41 AM BST

Aug 18, 2018 -- 9:12AM, gut feeling wrote:


HullPeterborough Shrewsbury Lincoln 28/1 my pics for today good luck all.


remember lincoln, early ko

Report trilby22 August 18, 2018 9:48 AM BST
Bristol City
Grimsby
Solihull Moors

trixie
btts win treble, for me Wink
Report trilby22 August 18, 2018 9:49 AM BST
Whoops, win?  Cancel that!  Just the btts treble Blush
Report guernseyw August 18, 2018 10:25 AM BST
Villa
Portsmouth
Bury
Exeter
Aldershot

4 folds & accy
Report The Dragon August 18, 2018 11:32 AM BST
no luck with swansea last night

had a small interst on macc at 3/1 at Oldham. They were very good away from home last season and were very unluckt to lose away first game conceding 2 pens in the 94 th and 96th mins

Price is worth a go in my vho
Report kingscrewed August 18, 2018 12:33 PM BST
Hi the Dragon hope life treating you well. Sorry site not let me post for months. Just quick note on my side the rams as most posters have said recently best to go against them for the foreseeable future. Although I think we will be 1 of them sides who out of nowhere win when least expected at a reasonable price. I think we've managed to get a couple of decent players in especially the 2 lads from Chelsea. Mason Mount looks like he could hold his own in the prem and is only going to get better definitely 1 to look for in the goalscorer markets. I think if Frank is given time we will be pushing for the play off spots despite last weeks mauling by Leeds.

Good luck for the season to all posters, will put my thoughts up as and when I can.
Report colupaul August 18, 2018 1:04 PM BST
BTTS: Mansfield, Crewe, Sheff Utd & Leicester... over 2.5 Peterborough... pays 19/1, bottled it and edged for 15/1...
Report dr . atkins August 18, 2018 1:28 PM BST
gamble of the day barrow hmm
Report trilby22 August 18, 2018 1:53 PM BST
1 up to Grimsby @ h/t
Report guernseyw August 18, 2018 1:55 PM BST
Keep eye on J Hindle for FGS (barrow) Wink
Report The Dragon August 18, 2018 2:38 PM BST
hey kings

great to hear from you m8. all good here hope likewise for you m8

could be another tough year for your teamSad serial under achievers
Report The Dragon August 18, 2018 2:39 PM BST
1-1 lincolnCool
Report trilby22 August 18, 2018 2:40 PM BST
There's one in - c'mon Lincoln!
Report The Dragon August 18, 2018 2:49 PM BST
yup
Report The Dragon August 18, 2018 2:53 PM BST
on c note in the big handicap at newburyCool
Report The Dragon August 18, 2018 3:12 PM BST
millwall winningCool
Report The Dragon August 18, 2018 3:20 PM BST
charlton amd posh both winningCool macc losingSad
Report The Dragon August 18, 2018 3:26 PM BST
posh and millwall both 2 upCool
Report The Dragon August 18, 2018 3:28 PM BST
exeter winningCool
Report The Dragon August 18, 2018 3:29 PM BST
portsmouth miss a penCry
Report The Dragon August 18, 2018 3:29 PM BST
wba 1 up
Report The Dragon August 18, 2018 3:31 PM BST
halifax winingCool
Report The Dragon August 18, 2018 3:32 PM BST
salford qwinning Cry
Report The Dragon August 18, 2018 3:33 PM BST
librsa breeze in the nextCool
Report The Dragon August 18, 2018 3:50 PM BST
monet for double reflectionCool
Report The Dragon August 18, 2018 3:54 PM BST
ffsCry
Report trilby22 August 18, 2018 5:40 PM BST

Aug 17, 2018 -- 6:59PM, dr . atkins wrote:


my bet of the weekend is millwall at 6t4 to beat derby the lions very strong at home plus i don't think derby very good


CoolLove

Report pushkin99 August 18, 2018 5:59 PM BST

Aug 17, 2018 -- 7:44PM, trilby22 wrote:


Ayr @ 4/1 away to Dundee in the Scottish League Cup could be worth keeping an eye on.


great tipping by u AS WELL trilby. Thank you. I Would never have looked at this game if it were not for u.................

Report ufcdan August 18, 2018 6:26 PM BST
I took docs advice, made it my main bet. Cashed out at 2-0 Cool
Report trilby22 August 18, 2018 6:50 PM BST
Good on ye, Push Happy
Report colupaul August 18, 2018 6:58 PM BST
Yeah great shout with Ayr trilbs... keep 'em coming...
Report colupaul August 18, 2018 7:10 PM BST
Couple of plays in the League Two outrights... Yeovil 100/1 each-way 4 places with Slybet... they can't be that bad winning 4-0 at Notts County... Forest Green for promotion @ 8/1... decent start to the season, reckon they'll be overpriced for the next few weeks at least...
Report colupaul August 18, 2018 7:20 PM BST
Horse running tonight which might outrun its price if anyone is interested... Presenting Streak in the last at Rasen... bit of 33/1 still about... trainer had a winner earlier on the card... speculative each-way punt...
Report colupaul August 18, 2018 8:07 PM BST
Read that one wrong... Plain
Report The Dragon August 19, 2018 9:29 AM BST
not a bad day for me Barnsley let me down for foutrimer

good win on chelsea and Everton

Millwall nice result and Posh and portsmouth both won

Happy days
Report colupaul August 19, 2018 12:02 PM BST
Wright undone by 73% checkout by Rob Cross in Oz... Colchester v Crewe Tuesday night... battle of two promotion wannabees...
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