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The Dragon
15 Sep 14 20:46
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Date Joined: 12 Mar 05
| Topic/replies: 18,563 | Blogger: The Dragon's blog
Hi guys

This thread will start this weekend.

4th year of stats and analysis now . so should be good!!!
Will post Top rated and Value tips with analysis for the selections 8-) . Lets hope it goes well
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Report trilby22 February 17, 2018 6:09 PM GMT
Congrats Foyles.  VWD!  Rugbyleaguer too.
Report FOYLESWAR February 17, 2018 6:10 PM GMT
cheers trilby good luck wi yours !
Report FOYLESWAR February 17, 2018 6:13 PM GMT
plymouth the forum  cash machines !
Report Des Pond February 17, 2018 6:29 PM GMT
Well done those who won. Happy
Report onthehoy February 17, 2018 6:48 PM GMT
well done the winners

3 winners (and a goals bet) for me with 3 teams drawing so no jackpot for me, maybe next week Grin
Report morpteh mackem February 17, 2018 7:41 PM GMT
oth there's midweek fixtures champ league, championship and nat league.
Report Analyst February 19, 2018 3:10 AM GMT
I like the look of Sheff United at (10/11) and Bolton (6/4) both are currently better than the teams they are playing. I have put them in double.

QPR are poor travellers and had the benefit of playing 10 men for nearly half the game on Saturday. Sheff U have had another day to recover and are better at home

Sunderland are not improving with a new manager and their name is affecting prices. Bolton are improving from a poor start to the season.

The tables now are reflecting teams real quality.
Report Whisperingdeath February 19, 2018 1:33 PM GMT
Took a real pasting at the weekend but not too dispirited. I would have thought that Accrington would win at Barnet and that would have given me all my money back plus some and I would have hoped either Rovers or Colchester could have won. That would have but me ahead bigly.

All in all I think it was worth the risk, the odds and form were there. Maybe I relied too much on away teams. I am still down from the weekend but not by huge amounts so live to fight another day. Some good opportunities Tuesday and Wednesday.

Keep the faith!

Blackburn at home tonight
Report FOYLESWAR February 20, 2018 10:28 AM GMT
gillinham at shrewsbury look big at  4s billys   ,shrews top o the table but there to be shot at and the pressure has started to show in the last few games , and the gills could take advantage  .
Report FOYLESWAR February 20, 2018 11:24 AM GMT
3/1 billys shops now gills ^^
Report FOYLESWAR February 20, 2018 11:41 AM GMT
in the faint hope that lightning strikes twice i have gone in again with a" mug acca"

burton 5/2
bolton 6/5
gillinham 3/1
millwall draw 11/5
cambridge 7/4
pays £2,710 for an ayrton senna if all oblige(we can dream ) at laddies ! good luck all
Report onthehoy February 20, 2018 12:27 PM GMT
I have gone for:
Brentford 1.66
Boro 1.8
Sheff Utd 1.8

I will stick with Burton, but this time go for draw/away at 1.9
Report Whisperingdeath February 20, 2018 12:51 PM GMT
9th minute of extra time winner for Sporting last nightWink!

Anyway I feel good about tonight so going to throw the dice again . Also fancy a bit of Barca as a single once I see the team sheet.

So tonight perms are from

Aways
Top v bottom, aways but decent odds, doubles and trebles

Wrexham 2.5
Sutton United 2.3
Fylde 1.75
Aldershot 1.9

Homes
3,4 and 5 folds

Aston Villa 2.3
Middlesborough 1.8
Shrewesbury 1.9
Boreham Wood 1.7
Aldershot 1.90
Millwall 2.0

also thrown in Portsmouth 2.5, Exeter 2.6 and Notts County 2.6 for some long shot and variations with Aldershot, Villa and Borough. A tenner on that 6 pays £422 but again I have gone for some 3'4 and 5's with those. Half chips half rice!

I think it is a bit Russian Roulette but I just quite fancy it at the moment. I don't mind a gamble if it is kept under control and not eating into a bank that is getting primed for cricket.

The usual warning for Gillingham. We are 6 points from the playoffs. Hopes are high. We thought we would be relegation candidates. Cue a reality check tonight but then they can just as easy win and as I am not touching them with a barge pole I say good luck to all of you and that is all I have to say on that!
Report morpteh mackem February 20, 2018 2:17 PM GMT
wouldn't put anyone off bolton tonight, was at sunderland on saturday, abysmal doesn't come close. freefalling into div 1.
Report Lady Margaret February 20, 2018 3:09 PM GMT
Villa, Brentford, Sheff U, Boro and Shrews for me tonight.

Let down by Accrington for a big-priced acca on Saturday (included CAFC and Southend) so hoping for better luck ce sour
Report Analyst February 20, 2018 3:13 PM GMT
Just a word of warning on picking my own team (Boro). We are struggling to score - only 2 goals in total in our last 5 home games!
Report morpteh mackem February 20, 2018 3:21 PM GMT
sure that will improve on saturday.
Report prepared83 February 20, 2018 3:34 PM GMT
my lot villa likely to be without grealish and adomah again tonight so tread carefully as 2 of our main players
Report The Dragon February 20, 2018 4:45 PM GMT
nothing has come up from mysystem for tonights games so have gone for achampionsip home treble of Villa, Middlesborough and Bolton

Just an interst bet
Report Rugbyleaguer February 20, 2018 4:46 PM GMT
My bets are Bolton, very good at home and going in the right direction, Sunderland seem to be getting worse, shocker at the prices, would have had Bolton much shorter.

Laying Villa, as stated below both main players out and it showed at the weekend, up against a very decent and under rated Preston side, so ill take Preston and the draw at around 10/11

Good luck all
Report The Dragon February 20, 2018 4:51 PM GMT
sorry just ran the conference games through the system and gone for a double of Fylde and Boreham wood
Report prepared83 February 20, 2018 8:36 PM GMT
dragon when you run your system does it include missing vital players? not arguing just asking?
Report Lady Margaret February 20, 2018 9:02 PM GMT
Looks like Prepared and RugbyL called it right on Villa. Going to cost me a tidy packet by the looks of things too
Report Lady Margaret February 20, 2018 9:02 PM GMT
Looks like Prepared and RugbyL called it right on Villa. Going to cost me a tidy packet by the looks of things too
Report Lady Margaret February 20, 2018 9:02 PM GMT
Looks like Prepared and RugbyL called it right on Villa. Going to cost me a tidy packet by the looks of things too
Report Lady Margaret February 20, 2018 9:02 PM GMT
Looks like Prepared and RugbyL called it right on Villa. Going to cost me a tidy packet by the looks of things too
Report Rugbyleaguer February 20, 2018 10:17 PM GMT
Both in, hit a real purple patch this month, ill enjoy it while it lasts
Report Des Pond February 20, 2018 10:20 PM GMT
Nice one. Happy
Report Analyst February 20, 2018 10:25 PM GMT
Sheff U/Bolton double came in for me - at 4.77 for 37pt profit

On the Hoy did even better as he added Brentford and Burton to my 2.
Report onthehoy February 21, 2018 5:08 AM GMT
I have just woke up to find all my bets came in last night
Like Rugybyleaguer, I am on a canny run at the moment and February has been a good month(so far!!) for me, even my few horse racing bets are showing a healthy profit.
Report FOYLESWAR February 21, 2018 7:55 AM GMT
well done all winners good to see some good  wins  being shared around ,keep em coming !
Report Whisperingdeath February 21, 2018 8:55 AM GMT
Would have taken a real hammering but backed the draw in some of the matches where my picks fell behind like Villa, Barca and Aldershot. Fylde was a bad result for me. A win for them and I think I would have been ahead. 5 home wins in the Championship, which, I gotCool but not all togetherCry.

Tonight I am going for singles from the Championship and Champions League. Top is Derby then Wolves, Fulham and maybe Cardiff. Manure and maybe Roma. Will look at teams closer to the games.
Report Whisperingdeath February 21, 2018 9:00 AM GMT
Sheffield Utd and Bolton were good calls by the forum and scratched me some money back too, thanks dudes!
Report Analyst February 21, 2018 2:34 PM GMT
A small bet on Norwich tonight at 7.4 see against the odds thread.
Report onthehoy February 21, 2018 3:32 PM GMT
Only 1 bet for me tonight
DERBY @ 1.93
Report trilby22 February 21, 2018 4:21 PM GMT
Wolves
Fulham
Cardiff
ManU
Roma 60/1 accy edge on SB.  No surrender!
Report trilby22 February 21, 2018 4:22 PM GMT
No, not Cardiff sorry.  I meant Bristols.
Report morpteh mackem February 22, 2018 3:10 PM GMT
just out the lab and short list for saturday

qpr, peterborough, plymouth, rotherham, macclesfield, eastleigh

on another note, interesting to note corresponding fixtures in second leg of last 32 in europa last season  saw plethora of goals, over 2.5/3.5 fest may be on tonight.be rude not to.Mischief
Report The Dragon February 22, 2018 5:05 PM GMT
wd guys sorry not been on busy at work in answer to your question prepared the answer is no its simply based on past form irrespective of the players . you ghave to make that as ajudgement call when you see the teams

mauybe i should think of refining it to include it somehow but dont have the time at the moment.

when i retire maybe a can give it some more thought
Report The Dragon February 22, 2018 5:06 PM GMT
mm maybe look at total nos of goals scored in all the games . i am sure some bookies will be offering odds on that market
Report trilby22 February 22, 2018 5:24 PM GMT
Hi TD.  48+ goals currently evens.

https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/football/market/1.140378709
Report trilby22 February 22, 2018 5:25 PM GMT
46+, sorry.
Report The Dragon February 22, 2018 5:42 PM GMT
cheers trilb seems a lot to me that? what do you think?
Report The Dragon February 22, 2018 5:43 PM GMT
14 games at an average of over 3 in every game
Report trilby22 February 22, 2018 5:44 PM GMT
one's already in play. 1-0 wi 10 mins left
Report trilby22 February 22, 2018 5:44 PM GMT
Could be a late one there.
Report trilby22 February 22, 2018 5:47 PM GMT
I'd bet evens with an average of 3 goals per game overall.
Report trilby22 February 22, 2018 5:47 PM GMT
so I'd want 43+
Report The Dragon February 22, 2018 5:48 PM GMT
had a go give me some interest in a non interesting competition
Report trilby22 February 22, 2018 5:49 PM GMT
Someone's put up a red / pen in the Lazio game.  I agree wi that.
Report The Dragon February 22, 2018 5:52 PM GMT
46 for me !!!
Report trilby22 February 22, 2018 5:53 PM GMT
GL bud!  I'm away to catch the Zenit Celtic game.  Home win looks good, imo.
Report The Dragon February 22, 2018 5:56 PM GMT
good luck trilb enjoy the match
Report The Dragon February 22, 2018 6:15 PM GMT
5 so far
Report Whisperingdeath February 22, 2018 6:34 PM GMT
Scaling back ambitions at the weekend and going for mainly doubles and trebles with the odd acca thrown in. Putting some money up though.

Mansfield
Rotherham
Monaco

Peterborough
Plymouth
Portsmouth

Lincoln
Luton
Mansfield
( +Wycombe )

Swindon,
Crawley
Mansfield
( + Accrington )

Luton
Macclesfield

Gillingham
Monaco
Report Whisperingdeath February 22, 2018 6:37 PM GMT
Al Nasr Cairo went up to 16-1 during this match, started at 10-1 and are 1-0 up. Thought about a cheeky tenner on them before the match.

There you go 1-1 after 32 mins. Zamalek went up to 2.06

Would have been great to have some inside info!
Report The Dragon February 22, 2018 6:47 PM GMT
10 so far
Report The Dragon February 22, 2018 6:52 PM GMT
teams from my system for the wweekend ar in ranking order

Plymouth to beat Bradford at 6/4
Wycombe to beat morecombe at 11/17
Rotherham to beat Doncaster at 4/5
Brentford to beat leeds at 9/5
Exeter to beat Grimsby ar 2/1


Combo of bets
Report The Dragon February 22, 2018 7:14 PM GMT
12 goal;s in
Report The Dragon February 22, 2018 7:21 PM GMT
14 goals so far 6 games still to ko not looking good 3 games at 0-0Cry
Report The Dragon February 22, 2018 7:31 PM GMT
16 in 8 games so need to up the average to win this!
Report morpteh mackem February 22, 2018 7:37 PM GMT
another one gone in, astonished at villareal game being 0-0
Report morpteh mackem February 22, 2018 7:38 PM GMT
and another
Report The Dragon February 22, 2018 7:42 PM GMT
19 still not half way
Report morpteh mackem February 22, 2018 7:43 PM GMT
aye lyon scored
Report The Dragon February 22, 2018 7:52 PM GMT
20
Report The Dragon February 22, 2018 7:53 PM GMT
21
Report trilby22 February 22, 2018 7:53 PM GMT
22
Report trilby22 February 22, 2018 7:53 PM GMT
Cool
Report The Dragon February 22, 2018 7:56 PM GMT
21 with 6 games to go

25 needed at just over 4 a game highly unlikely i reckon. maybe arsenal can do me a favour and smask a load in!!!!
Report The Dragon February 22, 2018 7:59 PM GMT
sorry miscount 22 in 9 games

24 needed in 6
Report The Dragon February 22, 2018 8:00 PM GMT
22 scored in ist fixtures so they need to go some
Report The Dragon February 22, 2018 8:17 PM GMT
26
Report Whisperingdeath February 22, 2018 8:30 PM GMT
2 from Ostersunds against ArsenalLaugh
Report The Dragon February 22, 2018 8:32 PM GMT
29
Report The Dragon February 22, 2018 8:33 PM GMT
30
Report The Dragon February 22, 2018 8:38 PM GMT
31
Report The Dragon February 22, 2018 8:56 PM GMT
33
Report trilby22 February 23, 2018 5:57 AM GMT
Poor return of goals in the 2nd batch of games last night, TD.  I think the second usually provides more.
Report trilby22 February 23, 2018 5:57 AM GMT
^ leg
Report The Dragon February 23, 2018 4:35 PM GMT
yes i think too many games were dead rubbers following easy wins in the first leg. hey ho
Report The Dragon February 23, 2018 4:53 PM GMT
done emperors choice at 20/1 in devon national
Report The Dragon February 23, 2018 5:00 PM GMT
faller
Report prepared83 February 23, 2018 6:58 PM GMT
dont bother with my lot villa again this week lads as looks like same players injured again plus a few more. So unless potato head changes
tactics(he won't) we'll be toothless again
Report morpteh mackem February 23, 2018 7:33 PM GMT
and back boro tomorrow at sunderland, gestede being injured even more incentive.
Report morpteh mackem February 23, 2018 9:50 PM GMT
treble for me, apr, plymouth, rotherham.
Report Rugbyleaguer February 23, 2018 10:33 PM GMT
Can the cash cow moooooooo again, Plymouth main bet

Laying Oldham against Southend and backing Colchester, Mansfield and  Northampton
Report Analyst February 23, 2018 11:36 PM GMT
MM

You matched Bolton on attempts at goal in midweek. You were not the worse team I have seen this season. In the league game at the Riverside this season you didn't look a relegation team neither. 2.10 is too skinny for the Boro imo. I laid my team at 2.02 for a small amount earlier in the week.
Report gut feeling February 23, 2018 11:57 PM GMT
Wycombe
Peterborough
Montrose
Blyth Spartans looks solid enough good luck all on your selections
Report morpteh mackem February 24, 2018 8:53 AM GMT
analyst, we've deteriorated since then, its the worst sunderland side i've seen and  been going since 1972. appreciate lack of ability but lack of heart and fight are disgraceful. get what you mean about boro price being too low, perhaps under is the call.
Report FOYLESWAR February 24, 2018 9:29 AM GMT
plymouth
kilmarnock
tranmere
crawley
yeovil

are my short list so far will have the" mug  acca " and throw away a tenner , but ya never know when the betting gods will smile on ya. will have that lot in trebles and 4 folds as well .  may be going to the well to often with plymouth but they keep delivering at decent odds .good luck today lads .
Report The Dragon February 24, 2018 9:30 AM GMT
how about an acting ew double today

Third act 4,50 at chepstow 8/1 and fourth act 11/2 4.10 at Kempton both have good chances and should be placed

good luck all today off out with Mrs dragon and the dog for a long walk and a spot of lunch

catch up later in the day

backed ballykan in the eider at 14/1

if you fancy an acting treble add Acting lass 4/1 in the eider to the above two!!!!
Report The Dragon February 24, 2018 9:33 AM GMT
sorry not the eider the **** handicap chase 3.35 at kempton
Report trilby22 February 24, 2018 10:05 AM GMT
Montrose & Peterhead away double @ 2.6 in Scottish Leaque 2.
Report trilby22 February 24, 2018 10:11 AM GMT
^ add Ayr & St Mirren for a 4.3 quad.
Report twoquidew February 24, 2018 2:51 PM GMT
[b]My bets today

Sheffield Wednesday
Accrington Stanley
Burnley
Plymouth
Charlton
Mansfield


Doubling up on Charlton

Gl all
Report The Dragon February 24, 2018 3:38 PM GMT
plymouth winning
Report The Dragon February 24, 2018 3:46 PM GMT
others not so good ballycan 2nd!!
Report Rugbyleaguer February 24, 2018 7:46 PM GMT
Thank you AGAIN Plymouth, needed that after others let me down, frustrating on Mansfield, 1-0 up and against 10 men.
Report Analyst February 24, 2018 11:45 PM GMT
Unfortunately I got the Boro lay correct - last minute job for the Mackems
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