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The Dragon
15 Sep 14 20:46
Joined:
Date Joined: 12 Mar 05
| Topic/replies: 31,838 | Blogger: The Dragon's blog
Hi guys

This thread will start this weekend.

4th year of stats and analysis now . so should be good!!!
Will post Top rated and Value tips with analysis for the selections 8-) . Lets hope it goes well
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Report terry mccann April 8, 2018 11:39 AM BST
Dragon,very sorry about Chester,it gone wrong big time for them last few years,poor Hugh LLoyd must be spinning, anyway the good news is "the only way is up baby"
Report The Dragon April 9, 2018 5:25 PM BST
aye barnet struggling also m8Crythought they wd be a play off hope this season fat chanceSad
Report GLASGOWCALLING April 9, 2018 7:01 PM BST
CHESTER look doomed, what do make of plymouth - pompey game dragon, could be a 6 pointer for the play offs ? , pompey too hard

to predict, but they were playing better away from home earlier in the season. ?
Report The Dragon April 10, 2018 9:45 AM BST
morning GC yes chester all but gobne plymouth v portsmouth a tough call with both teams on 4.1.1 so in good form doesnt look a good betting prspective to me but plymourtths home form is very impressive , Bookiescant seperater them and neither can i si no bet for me. will watch the score with interst though.

a few fixtures to night and my systems has picked out 4 away teams who on form are inwith a shout .

Thet are in order of strength:

Blackburn 7/10
millwall 21/20
Hull 11/10
Fleetwood 2/1

Will put them in a combo of bets for some interet though nothing heavy
Report The Dragon April 10, 2018 9:48 AM BST
should have added that cardiff at vill a may be wrth an interest at 5/2!!!
Report The Dragon April 10, 2018 9:49 AM BST
vwd again badjoe -going well m8
Report onthehoy April 10, 2018 2:18 PM BST
After a canny profit on Saturday, it is only the one double for me tonight

Fulham/Bristol City
  @ 2.6
Report gibmark April 10, 2018 5:55 PM BST
millwall , Fulham , Wigan and Blackpool , £50 pays £444
Report The Dragon April 10, 2018 6:05 PM BST
god luck guys
Report terry mccann April 10, 2018 6:52 PM BST
Barnet need a minor miracle but while there is still hope
Report Analyst April 10, 2018 7:47 PM BST
A few random bets

LAY BTTS Forest/Brentford @ 2.42 50% chance one will not score to me

Ipswich 9/5 at home to Barnsley - odds say bley are much better team.

Northampton @6.4 sacked their manager after long struggle

Mansfield bouce back at Stevenage @ 2.80
Report FOYLESWAR April 10, 2018 8:06 PM BST
good luck anylyst !
Report The Dragon April 10, 2018 8:47 PM BST
yours are going well gibmark

i goy hiull and millwall winning other two both 0-0
Report terry mccann April 10, 2018 8:51 PM BST
chesterfield 0-2Happy
Report terry mccann April 10, 2018 9:19 PM BST
2-2 Shocked
Report terry mccann April 10, 2018 9:19 PM BST
2-2 Shocked
Report The Dragon April 10, 2018 9:39 PM BST
hull fleetwood andmillwall all look good cant believe blackburn let me down for all 4. had a fiver on livepool so that was nice
Report Whisperingdeath April 10, 2018 9:48 PM BST
Bristol City, Hull, Fulham, Wigan, Millwall, 19-1 but ACCA Edged down to 14-1. Well done Forum and thanks, took your Hull, Millwall and Bristol picks or at least they motivated me to back!

Been quite a day. Think I would have banged in some doubles and trebles with the same teams but won well on the IPL with 17 off the final over needed! Decided I had enough excitement as I ate 4 Mini Rolls. Finding it hard to get excited about £25 at 14's pays out £380! Also got Blackburn Wigan double small bet but that was purely down to Forum!

I am hoping you guys did good tonight, well done!
Report Whisperingdeath April 10, 2018 9:50 PM BST
Oh man, I should have told you not to bet against Gillingham ( Blackburn! )when they are expected to lose!
Report FOYLESWAR April 10, 2018 9:52 PM BST
well done whispering bad luck dragon !
Report Analyst April 10, 2018 10:11 PM BST
Forest 0-1 so I was winner as BTTS did not occur - 2.42 winner

Ipswich won 1-0 a 9/5 winner

Mansfield was 1-1 so 2.80 loser

Northampton lost at Blackpool at 6.40

I tend to bet to similar winnings  level so long shots have small stakes.

This gave me a 35pt profit tonight Happy
Report FOYLESWAR April 10, 2018 10:14 PM BST
wd analyst ,could do with your input on the mug acca thread at the weekend ! just one strong value selection .
Report The Dragon April 12, 2018 9:21 AM BST
had a look at teams for the weekend and not much picking im afraid

mian bets are shrewsbury  13/10(on Friday) to beat a poor run Bradford team and AFC Fylde (7/5) to beat maidstone . Two singles and a double

Lincoln are of interest at 13/10 to win at Port Vale

Home Bankers look like Wigan, Man utd and Cheltenham

Crewe look way too big at 6/1 at Luton so will have a small interest bet on that

Good luck all
Report morpteh mackem April 12, 2018 9:57 AM BST
short list of palace, derby, hull, accrington and clyde for me.
plumped for derby, accrington and clyde trble
Report morpteh mackem April 12, 2018 9:57 AM BST
dragon, bradford -shrews is tonight btw
Report The Dragon April 12, 2018 12:16 PM BST
thanks mm thought it was fridayBlush
Report The Dragon April 12, 2018 12:17 PM BST
figaro gives clyde, axccrington and Derby , whats the price for the treb mm?
Report The Dragon April 12, 2018 12:19 PM BST
like hull also mm at evens in good form but when i looked at it sheff wed s form was pretty decent

apparaently sheff wed are seroiosly depleted and have avery poor record v Hull
Report morpteh mackem April 12, 2018 1:12 PM BST
got 4/6, 4,5 and 13/8. derby are getting backed in, were 10/11 on wednesday ( probably cut after burtons capitulation  at home to hull )
Report The Dragon April 12, 2018 1:58 PM BST
cheers lets see how shrews go tonight might folow you in if a get a result tonighyt
Report onthehoy April 12, 2018 4:49 PM BST
After a winning midweek double I will try a risky goals bet tonight

Over 2.5 goals double @ 5.51

Bradford v Shrewsbury
FC Halifax Town v Gateshead
Report morpteh mackem April 12, 2018 7:45 PM BST
risky oth, have you seen bradford play recently ? toothless up front . gl though.
Report onthehoy April 14, 2018 12:00 PM BST
My risky bet lost (I thought Shrewsbury might have hammered Bradford!)

For starters today in an early k.o game, I have gone for Millwall on Asian Handicap for a profit win or draw
and gone for a double
Millwall/QPR @ 10.64
Report onthehoy April 14, 2018 12:58 PM BST
I have a few selections today and have gone for the following bets(also singles on all home selections):


Doubles

Millwall/QPR @ 10.64
Peterborough/Charlton 6.43
Barnsley/QPR 5.23
Northampton/Barnsley 6.16

Trebles
Millwall/QPR/Charlton 24.69
Barnsley/QPR/Peterborough 13.74
Barnsley/QPR/Barnet 17.27
Cardiff/Barnet/Northampton 28.58

4Folds

Millwall/QPR/Charlton/peterborough 64.82
Barnsley/QPR/Peterborough/Barnet 45.34
Report The Dragon April 14, 2018 2:03 PM BST
yes shrewsbury were dissapointing lets hope todays beter fylde are my main bet and now available at 13/10
Report everyone's a winner April 14, 2018 2:05 PM BST
i'm backing fylde as well, gl
Report The Dragon April 14, 2018 2:17 PM BST
all aboard the fylde sky lark!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Report onthehoy April 14, 2018 2:17 PM BST
I have just added a Fylde/Charlton double @ 5.62
Report badjoe April 14, 2018 2:24 PM BST
Found it difficult to pick winners today, no point in forcing it, so looked at BTTS options. Done this 4-fold.

Plymouth BTTS
Charlton BTTS
Hamilton BTTS
Montrose Home Win

Pays a smidge under 9/1 With Hills

GL all.
Report Analyst April 14, 2018 2:58 PM BST
Crawley/Coventry BTTS looks value at 21/20 with WH
Report Analyst April 14, 2018 5:56 PM BST
The BTTS bet won after just 15 minutes!

Profitable day overall.
Report FOYLESWAR April 14, 2018 6:15 PM BST
wd analyst
Report FOYLESWAR April 14, 2018 6:16 PM BST
had 5 from 6 on the btts coupon 2nd time in 3 weeks one let me doon !
Report onthehoy April 14, 2018 6:36 PM BST
only 2 of my(away)selections won, so no returns off my doubles or trebles.

I will blame my poor performance today on the distraction of the nationalLaugh
Report Analyst April 14, 2018 11:47 PM BST
Foyle

Why don't you perm your selections say 5 from 6. A perm keeps interest levels up in bets?
Report Analyst April 14, 2018 11:59 PM BST
What do you do if you have just won promotion  to the Premiership and you are a young man. Iyt will not be having an early night with a dossier to read on the opposition!

Laid Wolves @1.52

btw well to Wolves on their promotion.
Report The Dragon April 15, 2018 9:07 AM BST
yes dreadful from me here nationals faultLaugh
Report FOYLESWAR April 15, 2018 5:16 PM BST
good idea anylyst will give it a try , cue 3 outta 5 or 2 from 4 from now on ,seriously tho will give it a bash !
Report Analyst April 16, 2018 2:32 PM BST
Gary Monk team let me down on Sunday, should have known better. Fellow Boro fans were saying he had improved Birmingham, did not appear so.
Report onthehoy April 17, 2018 4:27 PM BST
Tonight's bets

Doubles

Accrington/Doncaster
@ 2.27
Accrington/Portsmouth @ 3.6

Treble
Accrington/Doncaster with over 2.5 goals Rochdale v Oldham  @ 4.78

I will also go for Gillingham on the Asian handicap(+0.25/+0.5 goals) to cover the home win and a draw
Report Whisperingdeath April 17, 2018 5:30 PM BST
Good shout on Gillingham, they never win when expected and also often don't lose when expected either!

I like Accrington Doncaster. Have not been following Pompey but they look bang in form unlike Bradford!
Report Analyst April 17, 2018 7:22 PM BST
Little dabble on Lincoln at 7/5
Report badjoe April 17, 2018 7:34 PM BST
Cheeky double for me tonight @ 3.72 WHills

Exeter HW
Lincoln v Wycombe BTTS


GL all
Report Analyst April 18, 2018 4:23 PM BST
Unfortunately Lincoln drew.
Report Lady Margaret April 20, 2018 9:14 PM BST
Few I fancy in the lower leagues tomorrow. Exeter again along with Notts Co, Mansfield and Lincoln look good home bankers.

And like AFC, Plymouth and Southend at odds against in the Championship
Report morpteh mackem April 20, 2018 9:36 PM BST
treble for me, palace, sheff wed, lincoln.
Report Dav_vin03 April 21, 2018 7:43 AM BST
watford, bristol city, Leeds - 17/1 treble
Report The Dragon April 21, 2018 8:35 AM BST
weekend off for me guys amd gals

good luck with your bets

cmon accrington!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Report onthehoy April 21, 2018 12:51 PM BST
Dragon, just seen the other post about redundancy!!

hope it hasn't come at a bad time and you can enjoy an early retirement (like me Cool)

I have had some bad results with my last couple of posts and need some (a lot!!) winners this weekend to get into profit for the month.

I only have one single on at the moment, Doncaster. trying to decide on another couple to put on, Bristol City, Swindon? possibly

Doubles
Swindon/Doncaster @ 3.8
Doncaster/Birmingham @ 6.82
Swindon/Bristol city  @ 2.85
Scunthorpe/Bristol City @ 3.71

trebles

Swindon/Doncaster/Bristol city @ 8.55
Scunthorpe/Doncaster/Swindon @ 6.27
Crystal palace/Derby/Birmingham @ 20.34

My Asian Handicap bets on teams I reckon could get at least a point are
Burton (away to Sunderland) +0.75 goals
Birmingham +0.25 goals
Report Analyst April 21, 2018 1:15 PM BST
Laid Sunderland at 1.83 price for Sunderland has gone even lower!

BTTS BETFRED BONUS
Watford
Rotherham
Cambridge
Crewe
Exeter

Any 4 from 5 gives 9/1 on any of the five lines.

WHill super odds 11/2 on Wolves/Wigan/Villa is value - bet is limited to £10.
Report The Dragon April 21, 2018 3:40 PM BST
accrington 2 upCool
Report Analyst April 21, 2018 6:02 PM BST
Laid Sunderland - Won up 27pts (bad day at the office for Mackems however its happened before and you will be back)

BTTS 4 folds - Lost - 40pts

W Hill treble winner - 55pts
Report The Dragon April 21, 2018 6:29 PM BST
nice treb analyCool
Report onthehoy April 22, 2018 7:38 AM BST
Another bad day for my doubles and trebles but at least Birmingham & Burton won to give me returns on my Asian Handicap bets.
Still down on the month though, but plenty time to turn it around
Report Analyst April 22, 2018 11:27 AM BST
On the hoy - I am down for the season about 0.1%, but this is below my season target of 2% up - to make it worth the effort worth it.

I felt there would be alot of goals yesterday as pitches dry out. And there was in the Championship, but not so much in the other divisions.
Report onthehoy April 22, 2018 12:56 PM BST
Analyst, hopefully my bad run ends soon, I am on my worst/longest losing run this year
but, April has not ended yet, so a few bets today could bring in the cash

I will go for a Chelsea/Arsenal double @ 2.12 to start off today’s betting
Report Whisperingdeath April 22, 2018 7:01 PM BST
I think most of us are struggling. It is not just that our picking is bad. There have been so many freak results every week. I quite enjoy winning in an acca but am losing money on it it his season so may hang up my wallet so to speak and concentrate on areas where I am winning money! I don;t mind being close and losing a few bob occasionally but no point in winning money on the exchange and giving it to sportsbook!

Nil desperandum, We will be back!
Report 36DD April 24, 2018 3:43 AM BST
Bradford 3-1 MK Dons @ 16/1 will do for me
Report The Dragon April 27, 2018 4:06 PM BST
yes wd form betting has definatley got dodgy over the last 2 seasons as my system hjas proved. i am just sitting back and waiting for it to change which it will, and get back to winning ways!!!

leys see what next season brings
Report morpteh mackem April 27, 2018 7:26 PM BST
everyone on blackpool tomorrow ?
Report onthehoy April 28, 2018 6:59 AM BST
mm,not 100% sure about Blackpool so will give them a miss today

but, at odds of about 1.9, Newcastle have got to be worth a decent single, surely? (or is that just the Toon supporter in me speaking?)

DOUBLES
Norwich/Peterborough @ 3.33
Newcastle/Peterborough @ 3.53
Newcastle/Reading @ 3.62

some more risky doubles at smaller stakes
Burton/Northampton @ 8.5
Bradford/Scunthorpe @ 4.4
Notts County/Norwich @ 4.32

TREBLES
Norwich/Peterborough/Newcastle @ 6.35
Newcastle/Reading/Burton @ 9.06
Notts Co/Northampton/Bradford @ 17.95
Report morpteh mackem April 28, 2018 9:57 AM BST
treble for me, burnley, backpool, peterborough.
Report The Dragon April 28, 2018 10:02 AM BST
accringron , rochdale and notts county for me today
Report bigH April 28, 2018 10:37 AM BST
Fortuna Dusseldorf 2.85 away at Dynamo Dresden

if they win today they can seal promotion

their remaining 2 games are against the teams in 2nd and 3rd

lose those last 2 games and they may miss out if other results go against them hence plenty of incentive to win todays game
Report The Dragon April 28, 2018 1:36 PM BST
stormey island 4.25 at Punchestown is my main horsey bet today 3/1
Report badjoe April 28, 2018 2:54 PM BST
Burnley v Brighton BTTS  +
Crystal Palace v Leicester BTTS


B/Fred doing this double @ 3/1, So have taken that.

Also done Vardy and Zaha both to score @ 5/1 SlyBet.
Report Analyst April 28, 2018 3:02 PM BST
Bad joe 3/1 BTTS Double 15pt

Soton/Newcastle/Palace - WHill enhanced at 7/1 8pt

Trebles 1pt

Burnley 29/20
QPR 2/1
Barnsley 29/10
MK Dons 17/5
Accrington 4/1
Kilmarnock 4/1
St Johnstone 6/4
Peterhead 2/9
Report Des Pond April 28, 2018 3:05 PM BST
Unders looks big in South Coast derby
Report Des Pond April 28, 2018 4:15 PM BST
Well, it was for long enough
Report Analyst April 29, 2018 10:58 AM BST
Betfred double BTTS lost 15pts

WHill treble let down by odds on Newcastle! - lost 8pts

The trebles from 8 games - 4 came in so almost broke even - lost 3pts - Accrington odds were 6/4 not 4/1 - typo by me

overall 26pt loss - poor
Report onthehoy April 29, 2018 5:19 PM BST
Only 1 double up yesterday
Newcastle let me down for another double and a treble (also had a single bet on them)

Going for Barcelona with -2goals (1.96) on Asian Handicap tonight
Report morpteh mackem May 4, 2018 6:05 PM BST
nice treble from div2 tomorrow- crewe, forest green, barnet.

just a point to note, 9 out of 12 games in div2 last fixtures last season saw 9 out of 12 games come in at over 2.5

having said this, careful on coventry- morecambe game, draw suits both.
Report onthehoy May 5, 2018 6:53 AM BST
mm, I am reckoning on a few goals in today's games and will place several overs bets later.

So far today, for my 1X2 bets I have gone for Everton at 3.1

and a Newcastle/Everton double at 9.85

I have also gone for a few small stakes trebles/4folds/5fold on:
newcastle 3.1
charlton 3.5
northampton 3.8
gillingham 3.0
coventry 2.1


i put this on yesterday,before i saw your post mm, so I hope coventry still go for the win!
Report stewardsenquirey May 5, 2018 6:58 AM BST
I was rather keen on my double of Southend and Coventry,but now I'm not so sure with you saying both teams just need a draw Whoops
Report marychain1 May 5, 2018 9:13 AM BST
*Caution*

Crewe are to play a full team of academy graduates against Cheltenham Town today.

Garratt;
Ng, Pickering, Ray, Sass-Davies;
Wintle, Jones, Lowery;
Kirk, Miller, Ainley.

Sass-Davies is a young, highly-rated centre half, but this will only be his second full start. The rest of the team are regulars, but it does mean we will be leaving out Sterry (RB), Nolan (CD), Green (CM) and Bowery (CF) who have all been among our better players this season but none of them came through the academy. As the news has broken over the last 24 hours the price on Crewe has drifted from about 6/4 to 2/1 in places. Whilst I couldn't completely rule us out, after all we beat Walsall 2-0 in 2012 the last time we fielded a full academy graduate XI, but the price is a bit short. Cheltenham are a decent side, and they won't have any issues with kicking some of these lads up in the air.
Report morpteh mackem May 5, 2018 9:15 AM BST
remember coventry have history of doing this , remember the debacle of 1977 .Angry
Report morpteh mackem May 5, 2018 9:43 AM BST
cheers mc, will return to betting lab and have a rethinkGrin
Report The Dragon May 5, 2018 4:37 PM BST
no bets for me today

backed the favs at newmarket

happy daysCool
Report The Dragon May 5, 2018 4:37 PM BST
footy bets rhat is
Report stewardsenquirey May 5, 2018 5:02 PM BST
Looks like you were right about Coventry,disgusting that they reach an agreement before kick off.I look forward to them being knocked out of the play off's.
Report morpteh mackem May 5, 2018 5:31 PM BST
didi it back in 1977 sunderland fans never forget.
Report terry mccann May 5, 2018 10:28 PM BST
Nobody more peed off than me being a Barnet fan,but we got ourselves in this mess in the first place.
Teams cheating to get a result aint new,but I hope Coventry enjoy their trip up to Morecombe on a cold wet windy Tuesday night next season
Report Analyst May 6, 2018 11:33 AM BST
A few games I fancy today that I have now placed or being matched

Brentford 5/6 (being playing well)
Leeds Evens (I wish I had bet earlier at better odds - Team will want to send large number of home fans happy for the Summer after poor season - QPR erratic away)
Double


Sheff Wed 7/4 - odds look big for home side - singles

Chelsea 2.30 (Liverpools massive game in Rome must have an effect)
Report Analyst May 6, 2018 10:20 PM BST
All winners in my post today on this thread, except Brentford (1-1). So the double went down, but the 2 singles won at 7/4 and 2.30 giving a decent profit on the 3 bets.
Report marychain1 May 12, 2018 8:45 AM BST
Bet of the day today

Ireland 3.0 top 5 finish in Eurovision. It's a song about two gay lovers, and has been banned by China so expect huge solidarity from the gay vote.
Report The Dragon May 12, 2018 3:31 PM BST
ok im on!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Report bigH May 12, 2018 3:46 PM BST
I am already on - didn't know about the gay angle!
Report The Dragon May 12, 2018 8:14 PM BST
layed cyprus at 2.28
Report The Dragon May 18, 2018 2:24 PM BST
won on on the lay of cyprus , ireland bet was gashLaugh
Report The Dragon May 18, 2018 2:27 PM BST
had a few bets on the ipl which ahs been great to watch this year

Backed at the start Mumbi Indians who still might win it

had a few outside bets on KKKR and RR so hoping they may get to play offs

roll on the Autumn for jumpers and the Footy.

Rest from betting for me in the maib now but will have afew bets on the big flat races over the Summer
Backing Brazil for world cup

have liverpool and RM in bets so will win on that one but liverpool win would be amazing

anyone any views for summer betting?
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