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The Dragon
15 Sep 14 20:46
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Date Joined: 12 Mar 05
| Topic/replies: 35,830 | Blogger: The Dragon's blog
Hi guys

This thread will start this weekend.

4th year of stats and analysis now . so should be good!!!
Will post Top rated and Value tips with analysis for the selections 8-) . Lets hope it goes well
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Report Aspro January 8, 2019 10:15 PM GMT
You know it makes sense backing us Dragon Wink
Report Rugbyleaguer January 8, 2019 11:22 PM GMT
Aye well done Dragon too, weird game, Spurs seemed to be in first gear and Chelsea's usual problem up front cost's them again
Report The Dragon January 9, 2019 9:56 PM GMT
yup i think the prem is pretty easy to back in at the highest lebvel but its very hard to get any value
Report The Dragon January 9, 2019 9:57 PM GMT
spuds a good team asp i hope they give the manager some money and he doesnt bugger off to the devils
Report Aspro January 9, 2019 9:59 PM GMT
Can't see him going anywhere myself. Media hot air imo
Report The Dragon January 9, 2019 10:02 PM GMT
hope your right but not so sure if yutd double his money and offer him a transfer pot i reckon he could jump
Report Aspro January 9, 2019 10:04 PM GMT
Is there a market on it, because I would back a wedge on him staying?
Report The Dragon January 9, 2019 10:05 PM GMT
not sure why you so confident hell stay. last press conference he was very gaurded
Report The Dragon January 9, 2019 10:07 PM GMT
just looked on here on next manure manager your guy is 50/1 and ole is 1.02Surprised got to lay ole at that price surely
Report Aspro January 9, 2019 10:08 PM GMT
Said only in last few days he'd like to stay 20 years. He's been building up the kids on his philosophies so that as they come through the ranks they are all singing the same tune. New stadium and a lucrative contract with the club... he can make it his own for a long time to come. I'm very confident he'll stay tbh
Report The Dragon January 9, 2019 10:08 PM GMT
just chcked again market for next season has potch at 3.2
Report Aspro January 9, 2019 10:09 PM GMT
on here?
Report The Dragon January 9, 2019 10:10 PM GMT
money talks - hes said they wont win anything unless they invest and cannot compete with the big spenders. i reckon he could be off for the right price and take harry with him. levy has a lot to answer for if that happens
Report The Dragon January 9, 2019 10:10 PM GMT
yup on here
Report Aspro January 9, 2019 10:11 PM GMT
Just seen it; not enough equity but definitely will be keeping my eye on that one
Report The Dragon January 9, 2019 10:11 PM GMT
solskar 2.12 , poch 3.2 specials man uts next manager 2019/20
Report Aspro January 9, 2019 10:12 PM GMT
yeah, got it here... even money £100? Wink
Report The Dragon January 9, 2019 10:12 PM GMT
equity will come in time i reckion
Report Aspro January 9, 2019 10:14 PM GMT
wow, even money already taken.. missed that boat
Report The Dragon January 9, 2019 10:16 PM GMT
mmm cant see them appoiting ole long term   lay bet for me  spuds will bring them back to reality at the weekensdWink
Report Aspro January 9, 2019 10:20 PM GMT
They need it... sick of the press after winning what should be winnable games for any manager
Report The Dragon January 9, 2019 10:23 PM GMT
indeed ,,, i hope you tear them a new one!!!!!
Report Aspro January 9, 2019 10:24 PM GMT
More than ever mate! Anyway, if the price on Poch drops much more I will be diving in on it, I kid you not. Very confident he will not be at Utd for next season.
Report The Dragon January 9, 2019 10:24 PM GMT
7/6 spuds
Report Aspro January 9, 2019 10:25 PM GMT
Poch could do a Redknapp on this market. Got caned on that one
Report The Dragon January 9, 2019 10:25 PM GMT
ok will watch the price and may be tempted by your confidence.and hope its not rose coloured specs
Report The Dragon January 9, 2019 10:26 PM GMT
up at 5 .30 am so off to bed!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Report Aspro January 9, 2019 10:27 PM GMT
OK mate, take it easy
Report morpteh mackem January 10, 2019 5:04 PM GMT
sorry, but rther a long short list this weekend, these are teams have got me eyes on- burnley, cardiff, hull, forest, villa, peterborough, fleetwood, grimsby, lincoln, and edinburgh.
going to compose a treble from that Sad
Report The Dragon January 10, 2019 7:58 PM GMT
evening all

Main bet this weekend is BRISTOL ROIVERS at 9/4 to win at Accrington. Accerington are in poor form with 6 losses in 8 games and are bottom of the 8 game forl league table and lost 3 out of 4 home league games. Brisytol Rovers are going well with 3 wins and a draw in the last 4 games they have won away at walasall and oxford in the last 2 away games and should be too good for accrongton at a very decent 9/4,

I have done 4 teams in an acca based on my form system and they are : Bristol City 3/5, Doncaster 5/4, Mansfield 1/2 and Portsmouth at 3/5.

My new system has given :

Homes : Fleetewood 7/5, Crewe 13/10 and Stevenage 11/8. Barnsley 9/20

Aways :Lincoln 14/9, Carlilse 28/13, Forest at 6/5

done them in Lucky 15 and patent

Good luck all
Report chewy11 January 11, 2019 9:14 AM GMT
Villa & Doncaster 4/1 double. Good luck everyone.
Report morpteh mackem January 11, 2019 12:21 PM GMT
forest one might be one to swerve perhaps after karanka leaving.
Report The Dragon January 11, 2019 12:58 PM GMT
cardiff look big at 13/10 at home to woeful huddersfield
Report bigmo January 11, 2019 3:24 PM GMT
A small bet on Benfica to beat Santa Clara. Santa Clara have lost 4 of their last 5 home games only beating Chaves who are bottom of the league. Benfica have won 3 of their last 5 away games losing at Belenenses (7th) and Portimonense (8th)
Report gibmark January 11, 2019 4:49 PM GMT
Wellington ....playing well and up against Central Coast who haven't got a point in ages
Cardiff -- who can score goals against a team that cant
Bristol City  - playing poor preforming Bolton
Pompey - to beat Blackpool
Mansfield -
Hull City
and 3 Scottish
Arbroath ,
Petersfield
Clyde
Report twizzle22 January 11, 2019 6:45 PM GMT
Scratching my head to see how the compilers make Bradford a 6/1 poke to defeat Barnsley at Oakwell.The bantams have only lost once in the league since the 27nd November and that defeat to Sunderland was marred by controversy after Bradford had a perfectly good goal ruled out in the closing minutes and by all accounts were the better side on the day.They have scored 11 goals in their last four games conceding only once and are currently 2nd in the Div 1 form table.Admittedly Barnsley are a decent outfit and it wont be easy but at the prices the away side rate as a five star bet for mine.
Report twizzle22 January 11, 2019 6:55 PM GMT
Also think Gillingham  should be backed at 4/1 to turn over Burton who must surely will be feeling the effects of Weds drubbing by city.On current form the home side only better the Gills by a solitary point .Hull city(top of the form table in the championship) will do for me at odds against and Doncaster (also top of the div 1 form table) should roll over a pitiful Wycombe side who have only picked up 4 points out of a possible 18 in their last 6.
Report sizezero January 11, 2019 7:00 PM GMT
Got a lesson last week so hopefully back on track with these 3 this weekend PORTSMOUTH MANSFIELD & ARBROATH which pays about 9/4

also like the look of DUNDEE UTD at home to the pars pays at 5/4 which is just to big to ignore in my book

Gl all
Report bigmo January 11, 2019 8:55 PM GMT
Benfica win.Happy
Report Rugbyleaguer January 12, 2019 12:17 AM GMT
With you twizzle on both and already laid Barnsley at 1.54 and backed Bradford with a goal start on the spreads

Also laid Burton and backed Gillingham on the spreads

I am a Huddersfield fan and would have Cardiff at evens at worse tomorrow. We can't score and mooy our best player still out, so backed Cardiff at 2.36 and 1-0, 2-0

Another bet is a lay of Arsenal at 2.06, not been great away recently and a tough place to go, would have them nearer level in price

Good luck all
Report bigmo January 12, 2019 7:59 AM GMT
Bristol City
Hull
Villa
Portsmouth

Singles. Good luck all.
Report onthehoy January 12, 2019 8:05 AM GMT
No returns for me from only a handful of bets last weekend, hoping for a few returns today.

singles
Cardiff @ 2.3
Fleetwood @ 2.5
Peterborough @ 2.0
Sunderland @ 2.3
Barnsley @ 1.5

doubles
Fleetwood/Peterborough @ 5.0
Sunderland/Cardiff @ 5.29
Barnsley/ Bristol City @ 2.33
WBA/Southend @ 4.41
Portsmouth/ Hull @ 3.2

trebles
Fleetwood/Peterborough/Sunderland @ 11.5
Barnsley/ Bristol City/Portsmouth @ 3.72
Cardiff/Portsmouth/Peterborough @ 7.36
Hull/Preston/Nottm F. @ 10.08

Good Luck all
Report trilby22 January 12, 2019 8:13 AM GMT

Jan 11, 2019 -- 10:49AM, gibmark wrote:


Wellington ....playing well and up against Central Coast who haven't got a point in ages Cardiff -- who can score goals against a team that cant Bristol City  - playing poor preforming Bolton Pompey - to beat Blackpool Mansfield -Hull City and 3 Scottish Arbroath ,PetersfieldClyde


Amazing turnaround Down Under just now, Gib! ExcitedCool

Report trilby22 January 12, 2019 8:20 AM GMT
3-3 Shocked

5 mins to go ...
Report trilby22 January 12, 2019 8:21 AM GMT
VARed 3-2 still.  I'm out!
Report trilby22 January 12, 2019 8:22 AM GMT
Great comms on Betfair vid … "Ah, f off" LaughLaughLaugh
Report kingscrewed January 12, 2019 9:00 AM GMT
Morning all fancy Forest Green away to Oldham @3.2 also think there will be goals in the game with overs @2.02. Haven't decided yet weather to back Crewe @2.4.
Good luck all.
Report twoquidew January 12, 2019 10:23 AM GMT
Morning all, here are my pics for today, opposing one or 2 selections above , all singles with a view to trade in play particularly if the 'wrong' team scores first and early.

Accrington good performance in cup and expect form to improve

Cardiff

Brentford score plenty at home

Blackburn fancy us to get something at the den

Hull

Burnley I know, but I think they will grind out a 1-0

Bradford

Gillingham a strange side

Coventry

Doncaster

Bury form side and I don't like mkd

Good luck all
Report The Dragon January 12, 2019 12:07 PM GMT
cheers guys had a dip on Bradford and Gills based on the above two singles and a double gl allCool
Report The Dragon January 12, 2019 12:07 PM GMT
having said that Gills are a real bogey team for meCrazy
Report trilby22 January 12, 2019 12:13 PM GMT
As crap as Ipswich currently are, I'll have them at 6/4 agin Rotherham who have only amassed four draws in thirteen away games, having scored eight and conceded 24.

The Tractor Boys have to turn the corner soon, don't they?
Report Aspro January 12, 2019 12:20 PM GMT
Right forum muppet Laugh
Report Aspro January 12, 2019 12:23 PM GMT

Jan 12, 2019 -- 6:07AM, The Dragon wrote:


cheers guys had a dip on Bradford and Gills based on the above two singles and a double gl all


Will follow you in on this one Dragon/Twizzle

Report The Dragon January 12, 2019 12:52 PM GMT
god luck to us all aspWink
Report trilby22 January 12, 2019 12:58 PM GMT

Jan 12, 2019 -- 6:20AM, Aspro wrote:


Right forum muppet


Grin

GLA!

Report badjoe January 12, 2019 1:58 PM GMT
You can get 4/1 (BV) on Falkirk away to Partick Thistle today. Falkirk brought in half a new team recently and promptly beat Ayr, a far better team than Partick, away from home @ 7/1. These are the bottom two teams, Falkirk are 1 point better off than Partick, but are much better away from home, In addition they have just got their top striker Zak Rudden back in on loan from Sevco.

Fancy the Managerial bounce for Stoke as well, at a very average 18th placed Brentford, hope this Nathan Jones can get a tune out of those players. Stoke are best priced 11/5.

Single Falkirk @ 4/1 BV

Double Falkirk/Stoke @ 15/1 BV


GL all.
Report dr . atkins January 12, 2019 2:01 PM GMT
my bets today hull single and hull and lincoln double
Report Rugbyleaguer January 12, 2019 2:45 PM GMT
Nice start to the day, think the Arsenal bubble has burst and they have gone back to type
Report Aspro January 12, 2019 3:24 PM GMT
Gillingham 1 up
Report Rugbyleaguer January 12, 2019 3:24 PM GMT
Go Gillingham
Report BARNEY15C January 12, 2019 3:28 PM GMT
yep Burton was always going to be iffy after such a bad defeat
Report Aspro January 12, 2019 3:31 PM GMT
Bradford not so good 1-0 Barnsley
Report Aspro January 12, 2019 3:41 PM GMT
Make that 2-0 Sad
Report Aspro January 12, 2019 3:51 PM GMT
2-0 Gillingham… could it be 9?
Report BARNEY15C January 12, 2019 3:59 PM GMT
certainly 4 or 5 nil
Report bigmo January 12, 2019 5:23 PM GMT
A tiny loss for me. Hope others did better.
Report BARNEY15C January 12, 2019 5:26 PM GMT
about £30 up, had to work for it thoughCrazy
Report Aspro January 12, 2019 5:31 PM GMT
On a loss today; really needed a Cardiff goal. Another goal at PSG would soften the blow though. Good shout on Gillingham; nicked a small profit on that.. thanks
Report BARNEY15C January 12, 2019 5:41 PM GMT
yes  a treble reliant on a cardiff goal too, knew i should have done Southampton
Report Whisperingdeath January 13, 2019 8:34 AM GMT
Gillingham were 7-1 on Sportsbook to win and both teams to score. I put them in an Acca but should have had a punt as a single too. Not thinking clearly!
Report twoquidew January 13, 2019 11:52 AM GMT
Gills came good for me too, also bury came through eventually. Looking at a small loss but then rovers at Millwall put me into nice profit, both teams concede late on so I'm glad it wasn't us.dont know if I'll night with today's games but fancy cherries to get something at goodison
Report kingscrewed January 13, 2019 12:11 PM GMT
Morning all Forest Green couldn't find the net yesterday ended up going half stakes with Crewe so loss on the day. Today I fancy a couple of aways both at 5.00pm The first 1 is Extramadura away to Lugo @approx 3.75 in the spanish Segunda and Varzim at Academica in the Portugese second tier @ approx 4.6. Prices may change a bit as currently not much liquidity especially in Portugal.
Good luck all.
Report morpteh mackem January 13, 2019 12:16 PM GMT
forgot to post what me eventual treble was, settled for fleetwood, peterborough and lincolnSad. bit frustrating as the 2 who let me down were winning 2-0 ( lincoln didn't help themselves by being down to 9 men ) . Grin
Report The Dragon January 13, 2019 4:00 PM GMT
fancy spuds today to beat manure
Report morpteh mackem January 17, 2019 3:34 PM GMT
shortlist for weekend- qpr, leeds, bradford, portsmouth, motherwell, stirling.
aware of snow forecast  in scotland so stirling could be a problem. bradford in particular seem large price, ranging from 5/4 to 7/5.
Report The Dragon January 17, 2019 4:46 PM GMT
evening all,

Funny set of fixturesthis weekend with my system not given any clear indicators of value bets,

However having said that i have placed my bets earlier in the week as follows :

I think HULL are overpriced at Villa at 3/1 and have backed accordingly. Hull are the form team of the division with 6 wins on the bounce and creditable recent away wins at Leeds , QPR and Preston Villa on the othedr hand are in poor form with a solitary win in the last 7 games. They were beaten 3-0 at lowly wigan last week and dumped out of the FA Cup by the same scoreline by at home by Swansea.

3/1 is a great price and i am on.

Exeter at 19/20 are also of interest when they visit Newport. The welsh side are bottom of the form league table with 5 losses in six and 1 draw Exeter are going ok with 4 wins in six. there away form againcxt bottom half teams is particuraly good with no defeats against any team below 10th position and have won their last 2 away games.

I have backed them in two singles and a double.

I wiil be backing WBA on Monday 5/6 and think both Bristol clubs City and Rovers) could win at decent value.

Not sure why QPR are odds on  at 6/5 v a poor preston so have backed them also.

Good luck to all and as always interested in your views and comments.
Report The Dragon January 17, 2019 4:47 PM GMT
sory exeter price is 19/10!!!
Report bigmo January 18, 2019 2:00 PM GMT
Bradford City to beat Southend Utd.

Bradford City has won their last 4 home games while Southend has lost 4 times out of their last 5 away.

2.45.

Good luck.
Report The Dragon January 18, 2019 3:42 PM GMT
fair shout bigmo if you look at their respective home and away form they are exactly equal. same asmorc v Stevenage .

Only 2 fixtures this weekend that have that statConfused
Report onthehoy January 18, 2019 3:47 PM GMT
Last week my bets were looking ok at half time, but at the final whistle I only ended up with 2 singles and a double up and a loss on the day.

I fancy Norwich tonight so I have stuck a couple of doubles and a treble on to start my weekends betting off

Norwich/Derby @ 3.14
Norwich/QPR @ 3.88

Norwich/Derby/QPR @ 6.6

I reckon Blackburn look worth backing at around 1.7 to beat Ipswich also Sheff Wed at home to Wigan @ 2.5

Sheff Wed have lost only 1 of last 5 league games, this includes taking 5pts in 3 games against 4th, 5th & 8th placed teams and their 3 home defeats this season have come against top 6 teams, with their home games against teams below 7th place resulting in W4 D4, whereas, Wigan have lost 10 of 13 away games this season.
Report kingscrewed January 18, 2019 6:13 PM GMT
Evening all fancy Troyes away at Beziers tonight @2.2
Good luck all
Report twizzle22 January 18, 2019 7:56 PM GMT
Also liking Hull to turn over Villa although the price is collapsing.However my value bet for the weekend is Scunthorpe @ 16/5 to take care of the Black Cats.Scunny are in good form having won their last 4 on the bounce and are currently 2nd in the divisions form table whereas Sunderland are halfway down the table and recent form has been sketchy.Sunderland priced up at just over evens on reputation only and now's a good time to oppose the Mackems.

Preston at QPR are another team i want on my side.By all accounts they played Swansea off the park last Saturday and were unlucky only to manage a draw.New signing from Exeter, centre forward, Jayden Stockley was man of the match without scoring and he is going to be a thorn in the side for many teams in the championship and the 13/5 with Betway to score anytime should be taken.
Report Rugbyleaguer January 19, 2019 12:52 AM GMT
I am also on Hull tomorrow, another game priced up on name and not form

I also think Bradford are a cracking price at home to Southend and have been mustard at home in recent weeks, scoring for fun and letting none in at the other end.

Like plenty of teams tomorrow

I have also done Blackburn at home at 1.8, Ipswich are a terrible team and were battered at home v Rotherham last week but they somehow kept them out.

Also like WBA away at Bolton, the circus seems to be getting worse at Bolton and wages are not being paid, can't see them getting anything out of this.

Other bets are Charlton at Home to Accrington, Charlton seem to be going under the radar this year and can beat an out of form Accrington side

Portsmouth away at a struggling Oxford at 2.38

Crawely are a great price too at home to Port vale, Crawley are a far better side at home and Port vale have been awful recently and their top scorer Pop will not be playing, do like this one at the prices.

Last but not least is Fleetwood away to Rochdale, seems a lot wrong at Rochdale at the minute and they have taken some real tankings in the last few weeks.

Last.but not least, think Gillingham are overpriced at 2.6 v Walsall

Sorry for short write-ups, it's late. Could be a v expensive day or a really good one with all those on, will see.

Good luck all
Report sizezero January 19, 2019 2:00 AM GMT
Not been in the winners enclosure for a few weeks so hopefully back in it with my 3 this weekend, CHARLTON LUTON & MK DONS pays about 5's

Also like the look of FLEETWOOD away to Rochdale at 2/1 who are in freefall at the moment, going to put them in a double with the forum fancies BRADFORD

Gl all
Report onthehoy January 19, 2019 5:12 AM GMT
A good start to the weekend for me with Norwich winning last night, so all 3 of my bets posted last night are still in with a chance, fingers crossed.
I have also gone for the following bets:

Singles
Blackburn @ 1.7
Sheff Wed. @ 2.5
Bradford @ 2.3
Charlton @ 1.9

Doubles
Blackburn/Middlesbrough @ 3.14
Sheff Wed/Bradford @ 5.62
Charlton/Blackburn @ 3.23
Gillingham/Carlisle @ 4.5

Trebles
Blackburn/Middlesbrough/Charlton @ 5.97
Sheff Wed/Bradford/Carlisle @ 10.12
Blackburn/Charlton/Newcastle @ 6.46
Hull/Bristol C./Brentford @ 22.32
Gillingham/Carlisle/Charlton @ 8.55

Good Luck
Report The Dragon January 19, 2019 8:31 AM GMT
some good pointers there and based on the above have had a trixie on Blackburn, Scunny and the Gills
Report twoquidew January 19, 2019 8:58 AM GMT
I m with you dragon and oth on the below, though I think rovers, my team, may be a bit short after the unfortunate cup exit, derby in a similar situation although they managed it pens.ipswich are poor,but rovers have this dreadful record of struggling to kill off these lower teams, whilst punching above their weight against the promo chasers. I hope they thrash them but I'm wary.tempted to lay derby too.
Hull,  Leeds the spymasters ,bury and Oldham are proving resilient , as are Norwich , so l am looking to put a the 2quid on these today.. like hull, Preston and Blackpool also .
Report kingscrewed January 19, 2019 9:24 AM GMT
Morning all no joy last night, quiet a few selections today with a trip all over europe.

Oldham @ 2.26
Toulose @ 4.2
Nice @ 4.1
Parma @ 4.2
Cittadella @ 3.15
Perugia @ 2.40
Guimaraes B @ 3.7
Zaragoza @ 3.05

Will be looking  to trade where possible as always but am at Pride Park this afternoon where Reading are a bogey side for us.

Good luck all
Report twizzle22 January 19, 2019 9:35 AM GMT
Forgot to mention Blackpool who managed to screw up a few acca's last week by taking all 3 points at Fratton park.Manager Terry Mcphillips has a selection problem today when they take on Shrewsbury ( thumped at home last week 3-0 by Charlton).A couple of first team regulars are available and the dilemma for Mcphillips is does he change a wining side?.Anyway all things considered i will be taking the 8/5 with Betfred to do the business against a team who languish a full 8 places behind the Seasiders in Div 1.
Report twizzle22 January 19, 2019 9:38 AM GMT
Forgot to mention Blackpool who managed to screw up a few acca's last week by taking all 3 points at Fratton park.Manager Terry Mcphillips has a selection problem today when they take on Shrewsbury ( thumped at home last week 3-0 by Charlton).A couple of first team regulars are available and the dilemma for Mcphillips is does he change a wining side?.Anyway all things considered i will be taking the 8/5 with Betfred to do the business against a team who languish a full 8 places behind the Seasiders in Div 1.
Report twizzle22 January 19, 2019 9:39 AM GMT
This forum is seriously slow.
Report The Dragon January 19, 2019 11:14 AM GMT
had a little look at the national league this morning and BARNET and DAGENHAM look good for a nice away day Double!!!
Report chewy11 January 19, 2019 1:50 PM GMT
Telford's 11/10 at home to Kidderminster.
Mr Medic 3.00 ascot.
Report The Dragon January 19, 2019 2:09 PM GMT
hi chewy feeling a bit more confident on my ante post bet on Stockport Cool
Report dr . atkins January 19, 2019 2:52 PM GMT
have bet hull at 3t1 and derby and luton double
Report bigmo January 19, 2019 3:36 PM GMT
Taxi for me.
Report The Dragon January 19, 2019 3:38 PM GMT
hull 0-2Love
Report Aspro January 19, 2019 3:41 PM GMT
Got that in my acca Dragon, thanks to you guys. Hull, Derby, Blackburn and Boro; the latter losing Sad
Report The Dragon January 19, 2019 3:47 PM GMT
1-2Angry
Report The Dragon January 19, 2019 5:12 PM GMT
grim day glad i cashed out on hull at 0-2 otherwise pretty grim  just as well horses did ok

some strange results today
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