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The Dragon
15 Sep 14 20:46
Joined:
Date Joined: 12 Mar 05
| Topic/replies: 834 | Blogger: The Dragon's blog
Hi guys

This thread will start this weekend.

4th year of stats and analysis now . so should be good!!!
Will post Top rated and Value tips with analysis for the selections 8-) . Lets hope it goes well
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Report morpteh mackem April 3, 2018 6:18 PM BST
can see a plunge on millwall this weekendMischief
Report The Dragon April 3, 2018 9:09 PM BST
rochdale 0-2 happy days
Report Whisperingdeath April 4, 2018 11:38 AM BST
Getting closer!

Two six folds last both with WolvesCry! I edged the acca as it was a six fold and got something like 25-1 on each!

Winners last night Fulham, Villa, Aberdeen, Hibs, Fylde ( popular on the forum ) and Bayern. I took Rochdale on the second six fold instead of Fylde. A little frustrating although because it was edged I got my money back.

Nailed a treble with Bayern, Fulham and Aberdeen. Also went ahead with some singles last night Aberdeen in play at 2.8, Hibs 2.08, Bayern 2.24 and got the draw on Wolves.

Not looked at this weekend games yet.
Report The Dragon April 5, 2018 5:17 PM BST
small margins is the name o the game!
Report morpteh mackem April 5, 2018 10:36 PM BST
treble for saturday, brighton, millwall, alloa
Report The Dragon April 6, 2018 9:53 AM BST
morning guys and gals

only 2 teams come up on my system this week and they are FLEETWOOD at 9/2 to beat an out of form Mansfirels and Tranmere at 2/5 to beat a woeful chester team

Two singles and adouble on them

this timev of year throws up some funny results and 3 away teams in div 2 look worth an interest at decent prices and they are:

Exeter 3/1, Chesterfield at 5/2 and Crewe at 7/2 all teams are in decent form against teams that are not and are defo wort a punt . ive done them in a patent for a very nice reyturn!!! Heres hoping
Report Lady Margaret April 6, 2018 11:21 AM BST
Great thread this but Fleetwood are in a different league to Mansfield literally!

They're away to an out of form Rotherham on Saturday - not sure they will win but can see a draw so may back on the double chance

League One looks trappy tomorrow but probably the two best value bets are my lot Charlton at Bristol City and the thread favourites Plymouth home to Posh at 9/5
Report The Dragon April 6, 2018 2:25 PM BST
sorry meant rotherham!!!!!!
Report clacton April 6, 2018 4:49 PM BST
Cant see Charlton winning at Bristol City. They might win at Bristol Rovers though.
Report The Dragon April 6, 2018 4:50 PM BST
lol confusion reighns on whose playing whoLaugh
Report Lady Margaret April 6, 2018 4:59 PM BST
ha ha!

Millwall may well beat City at odds against though - they seem unstoppable at the moment unfortunately
Report flukes April 6, 2018 5:04 PM BST
Wouldn't describe drawing to Ipswich as unstoppable
Report gibmark April 7, 2018 9:12 AM BST
Millwall undefeated in 14 games , undefeated in last 12 home games , Bristol City failed to win in last 7 away games , Millwall joint top of current form last 8 games , 20pts , City 14th 9 points
Report gibmark April 7, 2018 9:13 AM BST
just stats though
Report The Dragon April 7, 2018 10:57 AM BST
yup im on
Report bristol county caravans April 7, 2018 11:35 AM BST
Injuries galore for the blue half of Bristol im going in hope and expecting nowt.
Charlton abit of a jonah side and I remember Lookman last year was outstanding.
Raz de Maree and Ryan Day for the snooks WC singles and doubles. Praying for bottomless ground at Aintree.
GL.
Report onthehoy April 7, 2018 12:57 PM BST
I am short of time today so only going for a double on Millwall & Brentford

and an over 2.5 goals treble on
Hull v QPR
Wigan v MK Dons
Plymouth v Peterborough



and 1 horse
3:35 Kelso Donnas Diamond
Report The Dragon April 7, 2018 1:07 PM BST
yup im on donnas diamond also
Report badjoe April 7, 2018 1:42 PM BST
Treble for me today, 2 homes and an away. kilmarnock have to lose sometime, but I am hoping it's not to basement bum boys Partick. The 2 homes are the so called nailed on bankers.

Partick Thistle v Kilmarnock
Blackburn v Southend
Monaco v Nantes

3 fold @ 4.82

GL All
Report badjoe April 7, 2018 1:45 PM BST
Gonna add Plymouth to it for an additional wee punt 4-fold @ 12.62 SB, but will post it on mug acca thread Plain
Report BARNEY15C April 7, 2018 2:49 PM BST
Millwall/ Tranmere/ Middlesboro / Wigan
Accrington / Millwall / Portsmouth
Barnet / Walsall / Plymouth / Cheltenham
Swansea / Bournmouth / Burnley

Good Luck all!! Grin
Report The Dragon April 7, 2018 3:10 PM BST
fleetwood and crewe winningCool
Report The Dragon April 7, 2018 3:13 PM BST
crewe 2 up Cool
Report The Dragon April 7, 2018 3:14 PM BST
morning guys and gals

only 2 teams come up on my system this week and they are FLEETWOOD at 9/2 to beat an out of form Mansfirels and Tranmere at 2/5 to beat a woeful chester team

Two singles and adouble on them

this timev of year throws up some funny results and 3 away teams in div 2 look worth an interest at decent prices and they are:

Exeter 3/1, Chesterfield at 5/2 and Crewe at 7/2 Excitedall teams are in decent form against teams that are not and are defo wort a punt . ive done them in a patent for a very nice reyturn!!! Heres hoping
Report The Dragon April 7, 2018 3:14 PM BST
hope mary is on
Report The Dragon April 7, 2018 3:15 PM BST
millwall winning
Report The Dragon April 7, 2018 3:32 PM BST
crewe have 4
Report marychain1 April 7, 2018 3:38 PM BST
Cool
Report The Dragon April 7, 2018 3:54 PM BST
tranmere winning
Report BARNEY15C April 7, 2018 3:54 PM BST
Millwall/ Tranmere/ Middlesboro / Wigan all winning Grin
Report GLASGOWCALLING April 7, 2018 4:19 PM BST
layed 1-1 in stoke game.... good luck.  Happy
Report GLASGOWCALLING April 7, 2018 4:21 PM BST
LaughLaugh

    BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM.

   1-2
Report badjoe April 7, 2018 6:10 PM BST
badjoe 07 Apr 18 13:42 Joined: 17 Jul 10 | Topic/replies: 2,411 | Blogger: badjoe's blog
Treble for me today, 2 homes and an away. kilmarnock have to lose sometime, but I am hoping it's not to basement bum boys Partick. The 2 homes are the so called nailed on bankers.

Partick Thistle v Kilmarnock
Blackburn v Southend
Monaco v Nantes

3 fold @ 4.82

GL All


Report terry mccann April 8, 2018 11:39 AM BST
Dragon,very sorry about Chester,it gone wrong big time for them last few years,poor Hugh LLoyd must be spinning, anyway the good news is "the only way is up baby"
Report The Dragon April 9, 2018 5:25 PM BST
aye barnet struggling also m8Crythought they wd be a play off hope this season fat chanceSad
Report GLASGOWCALLING April 9, 2018 7:01 PM BST
CHESTER look doomed, what do make of plymouth - pompey game dragon, could be a 6 pointer for the play offs ? , pompey too hard

to predict, but they were playing better away from home earlier in the season. ?
Report The Dragon April 10, 2018 9:45 AM BST
morning GC yes chester all but gobne plymouth v portsmouth a tough call with both teams on 4.1.1 so in good form doesnt look a good betting prspective to me but plymourtths home form is very impressive , Bookiescant seperater them and neither can i si no bet for me. will watch the score with interst though.

a few fixtures to night and my systems has picked out 4 away teams who on form are inwith a shout .

Thet are in order of strength:

Blackburn 7/10
millwall 21/20
Hull 11/10
Fleetwood 2/1

Will put them in a combo of bets for some interet though nothing heavy
Report The Dragon April 10, 2018 9:48 AM BST
should have added that cardiff at vill a may be wrth an interest at 5/2!!!
Report The Dragon April 10, 2018 9:49 AM BST
vwd again badjoe -going well m8
Report onthehoy April 10, 2018 2:18 PM BST
After a canny profit on Saturday, it is only the one double for me tonight

Fulham/Bristol City
  @ 2.6
Report gibmark April 10, 2018 5:55 PM BST
millwall , Fulham , Wigan and Blackpool , £50 pays £444
Report The Dragon April 10, 2018 6:05 PM BST
god luck guys
Report terry mccann April 10, 2018 6:52 PM BST
Barnet need a minor miracle but while there is still hope
Report Analyst April 10, 2018 7:47 PM BST
A few random bets

LAY BTTS Forest/Brentford @ 2.42 50% chance one will not score to me

Ipswich 9/5 at home to Barnsley - odds say bley are much better team.

Northampton @6.4 sacked their manager after long struggle

Mansfield bouce back at Stevenage @ 2.80
Report FOYLESWAR April 10, 2018 8:06 PM BST
good luck anylyst !
Report The Dragon April 10, 2018 8:47 PM BST
yours are going well gibmark

i goy hiull and millwall winning other two both 0-0
Report terry mccann April 10, 2018 8:51 PM BST
chesterfield 0-2Happy
Report terry mccann April 10, 2018 9:19 PM BST
2-2 Shocked
Report terry mccann April 10, 2018 9:19 PM BST
2-2 Shocked
Report The Dragon April 10, 2018 9:39 PM BST
hull fleetwood andmillwall all look good cant believe blackburn let me down for all 4. had a fiver on livepool so that was nice
Report Whisperingdeath April 10, 2018 9:48 PM BST
Bristol City, Hull, Fulham, Wigan, Millwall, 19-1 but ACCA Edged down to 14-1. Well done Forum and thanks, took your Hull, Millwall and Bristol picks or at least they motivated me to back!

Been quite a day. Think I would have banged in some doubles and trebles with the same teams but won well on the IPL with 17 off the final over needed! Decided I had enough excitement as I ate 4 Mini Rolls. Finding it hard to get excited about £25 at 14's pays out £380! Also got Blackburn Wigan double small bet but that was purely down to Forum!

I am hoping you guys did good tonight, well done!
Report Whisperingdeath April 10, 2018 9:50 PM BST
Oh man, I should have told you not to bet against Gillingham ( Blackburn! )when they are expected to lose!
Report FOYLESWAR April 10, 2018 9:52 PM BST
well done whispering bad luck dragon !
Report Analyst April 10, 2018 10:11 PM BST
Forest 0-1 so I was winner as BTTS did not occur - 2.42 winner

Ipswich won 1-0 a 9/5 winner

Mansfield was 1-1 so 2.80 loser

Northampton lost at Blackpool at 6.40

I tend to bet to similar winnings  level so long shots have small stakes.

This gave me a 35pt profit tonight Happy
Report FOYLESWAR April 10, 2018 10:14 PM BST
wd analyst ,could do with your input on the mug acca thread at the weekend ! just one strong value selection .
Report The Dragon April 12, 2018 9:21 AM BST
had a look at teams for the weekend and not much picking im afraid

mian bets are shrewsbury  13/10(on Friday) to beat a poor run Bradford team and AFC Fylde (7/5) to beat maidstone . Two singles and a double

Lincoln are of interest at 13/10 to win at Port Vale

Home Bankers look like Wigan, Man utd and Cheltenham

Crewe look way too big at 6/1 at Luton so will have a small interest bet on that

Good luck all
Report morpteh mackem April 12, 2018 9:57 AM BST
short list of palace, derby, hull, accrington and clyde for me.
plumped for derby, accrington and clyde trble
Report morpteh mackem April 12, 2018 9:57 AM BST
dragon, bradford -shrews is tonight btw
Report The Dragon April 12, 2018 12:16 PM BST
thanks mm thought it was fridayBlush
Report The Dragon April 12, 2018 12:17 PM BST
figaro gives clyde, axccrington and Derby , whats the price for the treb mm?
Report The Dragon April 12, 2018 12:19 PM BST
like hull also mm at evens in good form but when i looked at it sheff wed s form was pretty decent

apparaently sheff wed are seroiosly depleted and have avery poor record v Hull
Report morpteh mackem April 12, 2018 1:12 PM BST
got 4/6, 4,5 and 13/8. derby are getting backed in, were 10/11 on wednesday ( probably cut after burtons capitulation  at home to hull )
Report The Dragon April 12, 2018 1:58 PM BST
cheers lets see how shrews go tonight might folow you in if a get a result tonighyt
Report onthehoy April 12, 2018 4:49 PM BST
After a winning midweek double I will try a risky goals bet tonight

Over 2.5 goals double @ 5.51

Bradford v Shrewsbury
FC Halifax Town v Gateshead
Report morpteh mackem April 12, 2018 7:45 PM BST
risky oth, have you seen bradford play recently ? toothless up front . gl though.
Report onthehoy April 14, 2018 12:00 PM BST
My risky bet lost (I thought Shrewsbury might have hammered Bradford!)

For starters today in an early k.o game, I have gone for Millwall on Asian Handicap for a profit win or draw
and gone for a double
Millwall/QPR @ 10.64
Report onthehoy April 14, 2018 12:58 PM BST
I have a few selections today and have gone for the following bets(also singles on all home selections):


Doubles

Millwall/QPR @ 10.64
Peterborough/Charlton 6.43
Barnsley/QPR 5.23
Northampton/Barnsley 6.16

Trebles
Millwall/QPR/Charlton 24.69
Barnsley/QPR/Peterborough 13.74
Barnsley/QPR/Barnet 17.27
Cardiff/Barnet/Northampton 28.58

4Folds

Millwall/QPR/Charlton/peterborough 64.82
Barnsley/QPR/Peterborough/Barnet 45.34
Report The Dragon April 14, 2018 2:03 PM BST
yes shrewsbury were dissapointing lets hope todays beter fylde are my main bet and now available at 13/10
Report everyone's a winner April 14, 2018 2:05 PM BST
i'm backing fylde as well, gl
Report The Dragon April 14, 2018 2:17 PM BST
all aboard the fylde sky lark!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Report onthehoy April 14, 2018 2:17 PM BST
I have just added a Fylde/Charlton double @ 5.62
Report badjoe April 14, 2018 2:24 PM BST
Found it difficult to pick winners today, no point in forcing it, so looked at BTTS options. Done this 4-fold.

Plymouth BTTS
Charlton BTTS
Hamilton BTTS
Montrose Home Win

Pays a smidge under 9/1 With Hills

GL all.
Report Analyst April 14, 2018 2:58 PM BST
Crawley/Coventry BTTS looks value at 21/20 with WH
Report Analyst April 14, 2018 5:56 PM BST
The BTTS bet won after just 15 minutes!

Profitable day overall.
Report FOYLESWAR April 14, 2018 6:15 PM BST
wd analyst
Report FOYLESWAR April 14, 2018 6:16 PM BST
had 5 from 6 on the btts coupon 2nd time in 3 weeks one let me doon !
Report onthehoy April 14, 2018 6:36 PM BST
only 2 of my(away)selections won, so no returns off my doubles or trebles.

I will blame my poor performance today on the distraction of the nationalLaugh
Report Analyst April 14, 2018 11:47 PM BST
Foyle

Why don't you perm your selections say 5 from 6. A perm keeps interest levels up in bets?
Report Analyst April 14, 2018 11:59 PM BST
What do you do if you have just won promotion  to the Premiership and you are a young man. Iyt will not be having an early night with a dossier to read on the opposition!

Laid Wolves @1.52

btw well to Wolves on their promotion.
Report The Dragon April 15, 2018 9:07 AM BST
yes dreadful from me here nationals faultLaugh
Report FOYLESWAR April 15, 2018 5:16 PM BST
good idea anylyst will give it a try , cue 3 outta 5 or 2 from 4 from now on ,seriously tho will give it a bash !
Report Analyst April 16, 2018 2:32 PM BST
Gary Monk team let me down on Sunday, should have known better. Fellow Boro fans were saying he had improved Birmingham, did not appear so.
Report onthehoy April 17, 2018 4:27 PM BST
Tonight's bets

Doubles

Accrington/Doncaster
@ 2.27
Accrington/Portsmouth @ 3.6

Treble
Accrington/Doncaster with over 2.5 goals Rochdale v Oldham  @ 4.78

I will also go for Gillingham on the Asian handicap(+0.25/+0.5 goals) to cover the home win and a draw
Report Whisperingdeath April 17, 2018 5:30 PM BST
Good shout on Gillingham, they never win when expected and also often don't lose when expected either!

I like Accrington Doncaster. Have not been following Pompey but they look bang in form unlike Bradford!
Report Analyst April 17, 2018 7:22 PM BST
Little dabble on Lincoln at 7/5
Report badjoe April 17, 2018 7:34 PM BST
Cheeky double for me tonight @ 3.72 WHills

Exeter HW
Lincoln v Wycombe BTTS


GL all
Report Analyst April 18, 2018 4:23 PM BST
Unfortunately Lincoln drew.
Report Lady Margaret April 20, 2018 9:14 PM BST
Few I fancy in the lower leagues tomorrow. Exeter again along with Notts Co, Mansfield and Lincoln look good home bankers.

And like AFC, Plymouth and Southend at odds against in the Championship
Report morpteh mackem April 20, 2018 9:36 PM BST
treble for me, palace, sheff wed, lincoln.
Report Dav_vin03 April 21, 2018 7:43 AM BST
watford, bristol city, Leeds - 17/1 treble
Report The Dragon April 21, 2018 8:35 AM BST
weekend off for me guys amd gals

good luck with your bets

cmon accrington!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Report onthehoy April 21, 2018 12:51 PM BST
Dragon, just seen the other post about redundancy!!

hope it hasn't come at a bad time and you can enjoy an early retirement (like me Cool)

I have had some bad results with my last couple of posts and need some (a lot!!) winners this weekend to get into profit for the month.

I only have one single on at the moment, Doncaster. trying to decide on another couple to put on, Bristol City, Swindon? possibly

Doubles
Swindon/Doncaster @ 3.8
Doncaster/Birmingham @ 6.82
Swindon/Bristol city  @ 2.85
Scunthorpe/Bristol City @ 3.71

trebles

Swindon/Doncaster/Bristol city @ 8.55
Scunthorpe/Doncaster/Swindon @ 6.27
Crystal palace/Derby/Birmingham @ 20.34

My Asian Handicap bets on teams I reckon could get at least a point are
Burton (away to Sunderland) +0.75 goals
Birmingham +0.25 goals
Report Analyst April 21, 2018 1:15 PM BST
Laid Sunderland at 1.83 price for Sunderland has gone even lower!

BTTS BETFRED BONUS
Watford
Rotherham
Cambridge
Crewe
Exeter

Any 4 from 5 gives 9/1 on any of the five lines.

WHill super odds 11/2 on Wolves/Wigan/Villa is value - bet is limited to £10.
Report The Dragon April 21, 2018 3:40 PM BST
accrington 2 upCool
Report Analyst April 21, 2018 6:02 PM BST
Laid Sunderland - Won up 27pts (bad day at the office for Mackems however its happened before and you will be back)

BTTS 4 folds - Lost - 40pts

W Hill treble winner - 55pts
Report The Dragon April 21, 2018 6:29 PM BST
nice treb analyCool
Report onthehoy April 22, 2018 7:38 AM BST
Another bad day for my doubles and trebles but at least Birmingham & Burton won to give me returns on my Asian Handicap bets.
Still down on the month though, but plenty time to turn it around
Report Analyst April 22, 2018 11:27 AM BST
On the hoy - I am down for the season about 0.1%, but this is below my season target of 2% up - to make it worth the effort worth it.

I felt there would be alot of goals yesterday as pitches dry out. And there was in the Championship, but not so much in the other divisions.
Report onthehoy April 22, 2018 12:56 PM BST
Analyst, hopefully my bad run ends soon, I am on my worst/longest losing run this year
but, April has not ended yet, so a few bets today could bring in the cash

I will go for a Chelsea/Arsenal double @ 2.12 to start off today’s betting
Report Whisperingdeath April 22, 2018 7:01 PM BST
I think most of us are struggling. It is not just that our picking is bad. There have been so many freak results every week. I quite enjoy winning in an acca but am losing money on it it his season so may hang up my wallet so to speak and concentrate on areas where I am winning money! I don;t mind being close and losing a few bob occasionally but no point in winning money on the exchange and giving it to sportsbook!

Nil desperandum, We will be back!
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