Aug 13, 2012 -- 10:17AM, AndrewMat wrote:
Darlo, it is chasing, but every chase should be controlled. For example, you decide, that you will spent a part of your bank for this strategy and nothing more. You will count all your profit and if there is need to red out all the stakes, you will do it, trying to balance the profit/loss delta in your favour. Risk is always there with betting, no matter what strategy you use, it is a question of controlled risk.
I agree. Unfortunately I've put similar principles into place - controlled yes - but if your control also goes wrong you back yourself into a corner that takes a longer time to recover from.
If the strategy works with even staking, then I'd simply red out for the loss you incur.
Aug 13, 2012 -- 10:31AM, Darlo Bantam wrote:
If you're picking teams who don't tend to score much, then the unders price will be lower and won't drop that much in five minutes. I like the idea of it but think it needs some paper testing first.
This. The market doesn't move at a linear rate, especially the first 5 mins of a half can often see no movement. And when you spot a game on form that looks like it won't have many goals, the odds can be very slim at best. I much prefer watching a match/looking at the stats of games in-play and betting according to them. I've made some nice profits backing unders on games when it appears it will be high scoring on the form coming in, but the match stats have actually shown it to be very cagey.
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