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SwingingPick
07 Jul 17 08:47
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Date Joined: 11 Jul 11
| Topic/replies: 5,587 | Blogger: SwingingPick's blog
The forecast is for the temperature to increase throughout the day, there is also some wind around, although it would need to get up a bit more to make things interesting with the possibility of echelons across the exposed areas of road. Not convinced that will happen with great effect, but need to be watchful for it, in any case.

Expecting a similar stage to yesterday's for the most part -- bunch sprint scenario on the finish -- about the same number of riders involved in the break; they'll be frying all day over a similar long distance, so don't expect many volunteers for that brand of torture, probably a couple involved from the PCT teams looking to give their team some media exposure or claim the Combatative Award.

In a bunch sprint, the only way Kittel gets beaten is if he -- or his team -- make a massive mistake with their positioning. Looking at the finishing road it looks to be quite wide and fast, although the pics I've seen have a lot of road furniture, so am not sure they have been taken out for the Tour's passage, they'd need to be but am not sure. If they have then there should be enough room for sprint trains to organise without too much difficulty, but it looks quite regional so it won't be that wide avenue they got yesterday.

Closest to Kittel in the sprint is Demare without a doubt, constantly so, and he might be close again today. Some value for him, was 11/4 at SP and has remained firm, better on here and likely to find some support. Kittel opened at odds-on as predicted, 83/100 in fact, and has shortened further, now into 4/5.
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Report SwingingPick July 7, 2017 11:48 AM BST
Live pics here already.

One rider more in the break than yesterday, the composition is:

Manuele Mori UAD
Maxime Bouet FVC
Yohann Gene DEN
Dylan van Baarle CDT

Interesting news coming out, there are reports that there are crosswinds increasing in the final 15-20kms.
Report SwingingPick July 7, 2017 12:04 PM BST
Van Baarle is the youngest and he was in the break on stage 5, the others are cleanskins; also WGG DS told his riders not to get involved in the break as did Marc Sergeant (DS for LTS) to De Gendt. De Gendt trying to do too much apparently, getting in the breaks and leading out the sprint for Gorilla. That makes sense as to why he is looking so flat, on the other hand he loves to work, which is how he gains form too, so we'll see how he goes tomorrow, but I'd expect him to be in the breakaway.
Report SwingingPick July 7, 2017 12:36 PM BST
Wow, a lot of liquidity for Kittel, he presently represents approx 70% of all matched bets on this event. Traders entering the market looking to short him.
Report 1st time poster July 7, 2017 1:30 PM BST
would you flunk it another 4 sacrificial lambs giving a few quid to give the illusion of a meaningful race for 5 hrs,when everyone no,s only the last 300yds and 30 seconds that count, makes Jackie palo v giant haystacks look genuine
Report SwingingPick July 7, 2017 1:45 PM BST
-- CROSSWINDS ALERT!
60 KMS TO-GO -- ALERT!
50 KMS TO-GO -- HIGH POSSIBILITY FOR CHAOS TO BREAK OUT AS ECHELONS MAY FORM!
Report SwingingPick July 7, 2017 1:56 PM BST
Just on the issue of the road: Indeed, a wide and largely straight road, slightest curve, very good and smooth surface. Tail wind also expected, high speeds then.
Report xmoneyx July 7, 2017 2:25 PM BST
Former tour cyclist Robert Millar reveals new identity as Philippa York
Report SwingingPick July 7, 2017 3:32 PM BST
42.5KMS to-go and we may see some influence on this race with crosswinds -- finally some excitement!
Report SwingingPick July 7, 2017 3:41 PM BST
...becomes a headwind after some 18kms of riding so no team willing to attempt a split, and it looks to have eased off a little, also.
Report SwingingPick July 7, 2017 3:59 PM BST
DDD are going with EBH for the sprint even though he was in the break on stage 5 and Renshaw is a far better sprinter -- idiots!
Report SwingingPick July 7, 2017 4:06 PM BST
Amazing effort by the break keeping this gap!
Report SwingingPick July 7, 2017 4:11 PM BST
Wind abated...
Report SwingingPick July 7, 2017 4:19 PM BST
Break over!
Report 1st time poster July 7, 2017 4:24 PM BST
last 2 days 10 hrs 400 k of racing moszt excitement was a 100 yd sprint,someone stopping for a piddle and someone changing a wheel.only another 9 hrs 55 mins to account for
Report johnnythebull July 7, 2017 4:31 PM BST
misuse of the whip there
stewards will overturn the result!
Report SwingingPick July 7, 2017 4:31 PM BST
Well maybe DDD are not that big idiots -- is that the closest finish in modern Tour history!?
Report monarch July 7, 2017 4:33 PM BST
How in the hell did they split that !!
Report SwingingPick July 7, 2017 4:34 PM BST
I could not believe that the information coming out from DDD was all about EBH, and instead of backing him at huge odds, I just thought it was a big mistake not to go with Renshaw. As it turns out, it looks like Kittel with have it.
Report SwingingPick July 7, 2017 4:35 PM BST
One frame back, monarch.
Report monarch July 7, 2017 4:38 PM BST
Cheers SP. Was on Matthews either ways Cry
Report johnnythebull July 7, 2017 4:38 PM BST
has to be one thousandth of a sec there..like to see a blow-up print
Report SwingingPick July 7, 2017 4:40 PM BST
...one single pixel under high-resolution.
Report SwingingPick July 7, 2017 4:44 PM BST
Was expecting Kittel to go much much earlier, carve out his own space out wide and rip into it like yesterday, but he chose to delay and it nearly cost him.
Report johnnythebull July 7, 2017 4:47 PM BST
seemed to me a little bit that he didn't quite have the legs he had y'day
these guys aren't machines
so testament to his inner reserves he was able to nick it
Report padlock July 7, 2017 5:11 PM BST
Tbh its been a dreary tour so far,hopefully few exciting stages sat and sunday, Kittel is a machine
Report 1st time poster July 7, 2017 6:48 PM BST
these men arnt machines,as you can name the 6 involved in a sprint finish and 6 involved in a mountain finish in 99% of cases out of a field of a 160 I,d say machines are exsctly what they are.the 5 hrs preamble before a finish is just for the sponsors and tourisim boards
Report marychain1 July 7, 2017 8:12 PM BST
Alright chaps?
Report marychain1 July 7, 2017 8:15 PM BST
Pinot 33/1 & Gesink 66/1 for me tommorrow Stage 8
Report sixtwosix July 7, 2017 8:41 PM BST
One week gone ...... one kilometre of racing up a climb , and lots of sprinting .....this could be as dull as the Wiggins race
Report SwingingPick July 8, 2017 4:53 AM BST
About bloody time MC. Love
Now we can start to make some money. Cool
I haven't put up one winner in ante-post. Sad
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