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Charlie
08 Jan 18 06:55
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Date Joined: 01 Dec 01
| Topic/replies: 51,924 | Blogger: Charlie's blog
Sydney Sixers (Playing XI): Jason Roy, Daniel Hughes, Nic Maddinson, Jordan Silk, Sam Billings, Johan Botha(c), Sean Abbott, Peter Nevill(w), Ben Dwarshuis, Daniel Sams, Jackson Bird

Hobart Hurricanes (Playing XI): Alex Doolan, DArcy Short, Ben McDermott, George Bailey(c), Daniel Christian, Matthew Wade(w), Simon Milenko, Jofra Archer, Cameron Boyce, Clive Rose, Tymal Mills

Hobart Hurricanes have won the toss and have opted to bat
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Report Charlie January 8, 2018 8:32 AM GMT
Traded out at 1.77.
Report jucel69 January 8, 2018 8:40 AM GMT
Amla out already
Report Charlie January 8, 2018 8:40 AM GMT
I'd fancy a normal team to chase this but don't trust Sixers.
Report Charlie January 8, 2018 8:40 AM GMT
Watching it Juce. Bad news for me!
Report jucel69 January 8, 2018 8:41 AM GMT

Jan 8, 2018 -- 8:40AM, Charlie wrote:


I'd fancy a normal team to chase this but don't trust Sixers.


Yeh the pitch looks good enough to chase 170. However, I don't trust these fookers

Report jucel69 January 8, 2018 8:42 AM GMT

Jan 8, 2018 -- 8:40AM, Charlie wrote:


Watching it Juce. Bad news for me!


Can't see India chasing down 300

Report Charlie January 8, 2018 8:42 AM GMT
Nor me but they have to get the runs first.
Report Charlie January 8, 2018 8:47 AM GMT
I'm also worried because Steyn is out.
Report BJT January 8, 2018 8:50 AM GMT
OverRuns    Frequency        PercentageOFOvers
           
1    20        100.00%
2    19        95.00%
3    19        95.00%
4    19        95.00%
5    17        85.00%
6    14        70.00%
7    11        55.00%
8    11        55.00%
9    8        40.00%
10    8        40.00%
11    6        30.00%
12    5        25.00%
13    5        25.00%
14    4        20.00%
15    3        15.00%


Bowlers, Sams stands out.  4 overs for 49.  Worst after that was Bird.  Econ rates of 7.75, 7.5, 7.25, 6.75, with 1 bowler going at 12.25 which is out of the ordinary here.

Bird, went for 16 in the 3rd over, and 15 across his other 3 overs.

40% of the overs went at 10 or more runs in the over.  55% went at 8 or more.

Couple of bowlers they can target, and a couple that should hold it up.

All in all, it was a very consistent performance with the bat that suggests runs are not too hard to get here.  102 runs in boundaries, majority on ground.

Purely based on numbers, would say around 1.70 to chase this.  Given they were 2.20 SP, that converts to about 1.90 SS.

Game that it will be pretty easy to be right.  They don't chase it, because it is the Sixers.  Do, because of the pitch.

Won't be going into this innings with a position.  Will try to gather some more information before getting involved again.
Report Charlie January 8, 2018 8:52 AM GMT
Thanks BJ. I'm sticking where I am as well.
Report Charlie January 8, 2018 8:56 AM GMT
Rabada playing and missing every ball.
Report Charlie January 8, 2018 8:58 AM GMT
And is out.
Report jucel69 January 8, 2018 9:07 AM GMT
Archer looking potent again
Report Charlie January 8, 2018 9:10 AM GMT
Could go for a lot of dosh in IPL.
Report BJT January 8, 2018 9:11 AM GMT
Just a little silly.  No need.
Report BJT January 8, 2018 9:13 AM GMT
On Sixers for a bit here while they rebuild
Report Charlie January 8, 2018 9:15 AM GMT
Brave call.
Report BJT January 8, 2018 9:15 AM GMT
Has there been a wicket this game that wasn't from an attacking shot?  Think the batsmen have all got themselves out essentially?
Report Charlie January 8, 2018 9:17 AM GMT
Can't think of one, all wickets have been caught.
Report BJT January 8, 2018 9:18 AM GMT
Yeah, so that is the plan.  While they aren't playing big shots, unlikely to get out on this pitch.

In theory anyway. Blush
Report Charlie January 8, 2018 9:55 AM GMT
How you doing BJ?
Report BJT January 8, 2018 9:56 AM GMT
No position at the moment.  Green without too much stress or fanfare.
Report Charlie January 8, 2018 9:57 AM GMT
Good.
Report Charlie January 8, 2018 9:58 AM GMT
My decision to swap to SA has backfired horridly.
Report BJT January 8, 2018 10:01 AM GMT
Ouch.  7/107.  Without seeing a ball, India can't be chasing 200 on that pitch, surely?
Report Charlie January 8, 2018 10:03 AM GMT
Be tough but Steyn can't bowl.
Report BJT January 8, 2018 10:17 AM GMT
Double Header.

PS 2.1
MR 1.9

Line 166.
Report BJT January 8, 2018 10:18 AM GMT
Was in the slot too.  lol....  Wowee..
Report Charlie January 8, 2018 10:29 AM GMT
Melbourne Renegades (Playing XI): Marcus Harris, Aaron Finch(c), Cameron White, Brad Hodge, Tom Cooper, Dwayne Bravo, Mohammad Nabi, Tim Ludeman(w), Kane Richardson, Jack Wildermuth, Brad Hogg

Perth Scorchers (Playing XI): Michael Klinger, Hilton Cartwright, Ashton Turner, Adam Voges(c), Tim David, Ashton Agar, David Willey, Josh Inglis(w), Andrew Tye, Jhye Richardson, Mitchell Johnson
Report BJT January 8, 2018 10:48 AM GMT
Did you guys cop the rubbish about the renegades last game?
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 10:54 AM GMT
Grin hi guyz
Report BJT January 8, 2018 10:55 AM GMT
LoveLove
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 10:55 AM GMT
scorchers really need this geezer harris out fast!
Report pauliow January 8, 2018 10:59 AM GMT
I layed the Scorchers at 1.64 earlier. The next ball Mitchell got Finch! Oh sh1t! I expected a nasty red to appear on my screen, but no, a nice green appeared. On checking, I'd layed the Renegades by mistakeLaughLaugh I greened and took a shower so am now a bit more awakeGrin Sometimes the luck is with you!
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 11:01 AM GMT
Grin
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 11:01 AM GMT
massive score coming here!
Report BJT January 8, 2018 11:02 AM GMT
Collapso IMO
Report BJT January 8, 2018 11:02 AM GMT
ConfusedLaughWhoops
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 11:03 AM GMT
Laugh
Report Cardinal Scott January 8, 2018 11:03 AM GMT
Consumed with SA India I've missed all the fun here.....Sad
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 11:04 AM GMT
BJT knew!!!
Report BJT January 8, 2018 11:04 AM GMT
LoveLove
Report TerryHurlock January 8, 2018 11:08 AM GMT
you on the runline KING?
Report BJT January 8, 2018 11:09 AM GMT
CrazyCrazyCrazy
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 11:09 AM GMT
Laugh hold on what was that Laugh
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 11:09 AM GMT

Jan 8, 2018 -- 11:08AM, TerryHurlock wrote:


you on the runline KING?


over 164.5 Grin

Report BJT January 8, 2018 11:10 AM GMT
I was nearly right ffs......
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 11:10 AM GMT
how can u miss the ball clean with gloves on?? thats very untalented
Report TerryHurlock January 8, 2018 11:10 AM GMT
FIX
GL G
Report peckerdunne January 8, 2018 11:10 AM GMT
holy shi t..........Laugh
Report jucel69 January 8, 2018 11:10 AM GMT
AngryAngryAngryAngryAngry
Report BJT January 8, 2018 11:11 AM GMT
Still happening.  8/160 IMO...   Blush
Report peckerdunne January 8, 2018 11:11 AM GMT
india favs............
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 11:12 AM GMT
india doing it easy, toms lost his bedsit!!
Report peckerdunne January 8, 2018 11:16 AM GMT
1.59 BANKER BET FROM TOM.............

Tom the modern day AYT...............
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 11:16 AM GMT
LaughLaughLaugh
Report peckerdunne January 8, 2018 11:16 AM GMT
well done Tom.........easy peasy........ure a ledge...LaughLaugh
Report jucel69 January 8, 2018 11:19 AM GMT
mel jones almost looks fcukable with her new look
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 11:19 AM GMT

Jan 8, 2018 -- 11:19AM, jucel69 wrote:


mel jones almost looks fcukable with her new look


LaughLaugh

Report peckerdunne January 8, 2018 11:30 AM GMT
Definitely no need to worry about fishy fanny there!.......Laugh
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 11:30 AM GMT
this umpire is on crack, hes calling wides when theyre inside the line
Report peckerdunne January 8, 2018 11:32 AM GMT
lines of crack, dont touch dis.........Laugh
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 11:37 AM GMT
Laugh camerman
Report jucel69 January 8, 2018 11:37 AM GMT
Richardson and the umps have cost me here
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 11:37 AM GMT
Laugh my typing, im on crack
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 11:37 AM GMT
unders juc?
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 11:38 AM GMT
what a pie that was
Report BJT January 8, 2018 11:39 AM GMT
Think they likely have enough already...
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 11:41 AM GMT
yeh scorchers light on batting for sure
Report jucel69 January 8, 2018 11:42 AM GMT

Jan 8, 2018 -- 11:37AM, GRANTCKING wrote:


unders juc?


yeh

Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 11:49 AM GMT
Laugh this is the worst bowling ive ever seen
Report jucel69 January 8, 2018 11:52 AM GMT
how have they got over 180 on a bouncy wicket?
They were really lucky early doors and then some utter filth at the end
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 11:54 AM GMT
there must have been atleasy 6 full tosses there in the last 3 overs, pie chucking contest
Report BJT January 8, 2018 11:56 AM GMT
Not sure I want to do the numbers here because it will tell me that Renegades are probably unders, even though it looks like they have 40 too many lol...

28 runs over the keepers head would probably keep me from getting involved as they are bonus runs really, that wouldn't have happened with normal cricket shots. 

Will do the numbers anyway though...
Report BJT January 8, 2018 12:06 PM GMT
Ok.  Only 3 wickets.  2 batsmen didn't face more than 3 balls, so rule them out.

The rest, scored easily SR 123.63, 167.64, 171.42, 48 minimum score.

Bowlers.  2 bookends.  Johnson 5.75, Richardson 13.75.  The rest, 12 overs, between 8 and 9.

The scoring.
OverRuns    Frequency        PercentageOFOvers
           
1    20        100.00%
2    19        95.00%
3    19        95.00%
4    19        95.00%
5    15        75.00%
6    12        60.00%
7    11        55.00%
8    11        55.00%
9    7        35.00%
10    7        35.00%
11    7        35.00%
12    7        35.00%
13    7        35.00%
14    4        20.00%
15    4        20.00%

7/20 overs, they scored more than 13 runs.  Only scored less than 4 in an over once.  11 overs or 55% at 8 or more.  4 overs over 15 runs.

Those numbers suggest that batting is easy, consistently, and if you are busy at the crease this is well chaseable.

When I called for a collapse, I did so based on the run rate at the time being flattered by 2 out of ordinary overs of 13 and 22.  The overs outside them, 6 overs, couldn't score above 6.

Slightly over 9 an over needed.  The base figure I look for is 9 an over, and 40%.  It is 35% here, but that holds true all the way to 13.  It is a very basic method.

I personally think they have 40 too many.  But these numbers are telling me that you see out the new ball, get your eye in, and runs are there for the taking.

They keep wickets in hand, might get in for a decent lay to back on the Renegades at some point.  If it is a new ball wicket, have a few overs up our sleeves before the odds should rise anyway.

Slight green.  No position.  Watching, and starting again.
Report BJT January 8, 2018 12:10 PM GMT
Defo clipped it.  Golden quacker...
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 12:33 PM GMT
not the best powerplay ive ever seen chasing 10 an over Laugh
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 12:55 PM GMT
the fielding in this has been absymal, what a dolly dropped
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 1:03 PM GMT
regenades are gonna somehow lose this, mug outfit
Report BJT January 8, 2018 1:07 PM GMT
Love
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 1:14 PM GMT
strange spot fixing there Laugh
Report jucel69 January 8, 2018 1:15 PM GMT
made what I lost on inns runs laying rens at 1.27 & trading out at 1.4
Report jucel69 January 8, 2018 1:16 PM GMT

Jan 8, 2018 -- 1:15PM, jucel69 wrote:


made what I lost on inns runs laying rens at 1.27 & trading out at 1.4


1.4 on the scorchers

Report BJT January 8, 2018 1:23 PM GMT
CoolCool  Is a nice trade range there...
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 1:25 PM GMT
777777777777777777
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 1:25 PM GMT
777777777777777777
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 1:25 PM GMT
FOURTEEN!!!
Report TerryHurlock January 8, 2018 1:28 PM GMT
great bang from turner
Report GRANTCKING January 8, 2018 1:30 PM GMT
scorchers trying to lose Laugh
Report peckerdunne January 8, 2018 1:33 PM GMT
A A
Report Cardinal Scott January 8, 2018 1:37 PM GMT
Anothe C***ing Big Bash loss for me. Cry
Report tomtimtum January 8, 2018 1:38 PM GMT
dot dot !
Report tomtimtum January 8, 2018 1:38 PM GMT
SINGLE
OH MY
Report TerryHurlock January 8, 2018 1:38 PM GMT
thai
Report BJT January 8, 2018 1:38 PM GMT
No Thai please ffs.
Report TerryHurlock January 8, 2018 1:39 PM GMT
Grin
Report tomtimtum January 8, 2018 1:39 PM GMT
CAN A THAI SAVE PECKERS RED BOOK
Report tomtimtum January 8, 2018 1:39 PM GMT
UNLUCKY PECKER
Report TerryHurlock January 8, 2018 1:40 PM GMT
great chase
Report BJT January 8, 2018 1:43 PM GMT
Good result.  Green Day. LoveLove
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