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Charlie
07 Jan 18 07:50
Joined:
Date Joined: 01 Dec 01
| Topic/replies: 25,661 | Blogger: Charlie's blog
Adelaide Strikers (Playing XI): Jake Weatherald, Alex Carey(w), Travis Head(c), Colin Ingram, Jonathan Wells, Jake Lehmann, Michael Neser, Rashid Khan, Peter Siddle, Ben Laughlin, Billy Stanlake

Sydney Thunder (Playing XI): Kurtis Patterson, Jos Buttler(w), Shane Watson(c), Callum Ferguson, Ben Rohrer, Ryan Gibson, Arjun Nair, Chris Green, Mitchell McClenaghan, Gurinder Sandhu, Fawad Ahmed

Adelaide Strikers have won the toss and have opted to bat
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Report Joel January 7, 2018 8:10 AM GMT
Should be a cracking game
Report BJT January 7, 2018 8:10 AM GMT
Line, predictably just an average, around 167.
ST 2.34
AS 1.73

For documentation purposes.
Report Cardinal Scott January 7, 2018 8:15 AM GMT
I already prepared a thread but folk prefer this one, so this one it is.

Watching and waiting!
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 8:16 AM GMT
Sorry CS. I did check but didn't see one.
Report Cardinal Scott January 7, 2018 8:18 AM GMT
No worries^

Layed Stikers at 1.56
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 8:18 AM GMT
I've got a lay up 1.5.
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 8:19 AM GMT
Which has been taken.
Report BJT January 7, 2018 8:20 AM GMT

Jan 7, 2018 -- 8:15AM, Cardinal Scott wrote:


I already prepared a thread but folk prefer this one, so this one it is.Watching and waiting!


Me also, saw one as I was about to post one, so jumped in and here we are.  At least we have another option if this goes to siht.

I have nothing happening yet.

Report Charlie January 7, 2018 8:25 AM GMT
Shouldn't you two be asleep?
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 8:26 AM GMT
Matched my lay by backing at 1.7.
Report Cardinal Scott January 7, 2018 8:27 AM GMT
Greened at 1.7 Excited
Report Cardinal Scott January 7, 2018 8:29 AM GMT

Jan 7, 2018 -- 8:25AM, Charlie wrote:


Shouldn't you two be asleep?


I woke up after midnight, so I can do this and all day of the Saffer test.

Report Charlie January 7, 2018 8:29 AM GMT
You back working yet KOD?
Report BJT January 7, 2018 8:31 AM GMT
2 overs for 4 for the spinner.  Says a bit.
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 8:31 AM GMT
LaughLaugh
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 8:32 AM GMT
Full-time poker pro.
Report BJT January 7, 2018 8:44 AM GMT
OK.  Laid the Thunder at 1.88
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 8:44 AM GMT
Backed at 2.2 but not sure why.
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 8:45 AM GMT
Strikers that is.
Report BJT January 7, 2018 8:47 AM GMT
Ouch.  Hadn't gotten out.  Was just trying to get my bets off lol....
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 8:47 AM GMT
Just went to back Thunder and missed by a whisker.
Report Cardinal Scott January 7, 2018 8:53 AM GMT
Got on the Thunder at 2.14
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 8:53 AM GMT
Have backed Thunder at 2.2 now.
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 8:53 AM GMT
Laugh
Report Cardinal Scott January 7, 2018 8:53 AM GMT
Which is annoying as they are so much bigger seconds later.
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 8:59 AM GMT

Jan 7, 2018 -- 8:49AM, King of Dubai wrote:


I thought of a good responsible gambling idea earlier. Your stake should be tethered to your balance - so the min deposit would be 100 sovs and you can't

Report Charlie January 7, 2018 9:00 AM GMT
Double spaced me! A good idea KOD but might encourage people to deposit more money than they normally would.
Report BJT January 7, 2018 9:03 AM GMT
A good idea would be people start taking responsibility for their own actions and stop playing the victim for a while.
Report Cardinal Scott January 7, 2018 9:08 AM GMT
Levelled up again!
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 9:13 AM GMT
Wouldn't mind backing either team at around 2.4
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 9:17 AM GMT
Need BJ's half-time report for this one.
Report BJT January 7, 2018 9:20 AM GMT
Laid Thunder for a bit at 1.91.  Tee off time.  Comes off, or it doesn't.  Flip that coin.
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 9:22 AM GMT
Went other way and laid Strikers at 1.78.
Report BJT January 7, 2018 9:23 AM GMT

Jan 7, 2018 -- 9:22AM, Charlie wrote:


Went other way and laid Strikers at 1.78.


Everybody a winner on Betfair..  :)

Report Charlie January 7, 2018 9:27 AM GMT
And backed Thunder at 2.42.
Report BJT January 7, 2018 9:29 AM GMT
Without trying to be a dcik.  Why are you backing Thunder at 2.42, and laying Strikers at 1.78?
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 9:30 AM GMT
Why not?
Report BJT January 7, 2018 9:31 AM GMT
Not sure?  Maybe I am just a little more simple and need to concentrate on 1.

But if you are laying at 1.78 Strikers.  They come into 1.70.  Why aren't you just laying them again?
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 9:32 AM GMT
Backed Strikers at 2.06.
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 9:35 AM GMT

Jan 7, 2018 -- 9:31AM, BJT wrote:


Not sure?  Maybe I am just a little more simple and need to concentrate on 1.But if you are laying at 1.78 Strikers.  They come into 1.70.  Why aren't you just laying them again?


Backing at 2.42 is slightly better than laying at 1.7. But I tend to back or lay for no good reason.

Report Charlie January 7, 2018 9:36 AM GMT
Sometimes it depends on queue size.
Report tomtimtum January 7, 2018 9:37 AM GMT
Wouldnt back this thunder team to chase anything!
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 9:37 AM GMT
In fact not certain that backing at 2.42 is better I just thought it was.
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 9:38 AM GMT
And I did already have the back up waiting to be take. But as I said before no good reason.
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 9:40 AM GMT
I'm just talking bollocks really!
Report tomtimtum January 7, 2018 9:42 AM GMT
If you ever sit down and think about it Charlie, you'll realise its easier to trade exclusively on the fav Laugh
Report tomtimtum January 7, 2018 9:42 AM GMT
but we've had this convo before!
Report BJT January 7, 2018 9:42 AM GMT
LaughLaugh

Look, I wasn't trying to be a dcik, just didn't know how to pose the question.

Guess I just usually concentrate on the one team.  All my bets were Thunder for the first innings.  Probably switch to the Strikers now, but that is more just to keep my mind working on the same level.  Lay and back the batting team.

Was just interesting to me, and noticed the other day you did similar, backing and laying both teams.
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 9:44 AM GMT
I virtually always back and lay both teams.
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 9:46 AM GMT
But today I haven't laid Thunder. Averages backed Thunder at 2.38, backed Strikers 1.83 laid 1.70.
Report Hamlin January 7, 2018 9:47 AM GMT
Missed the entire innings, whats the wicket like?
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 9:48 AM GMT
I'm waiting for BJ to tell me! Looked tricky to me.
Report BJT January 7, 2018 9:53 AM GMT
I agree, looked tricky.  Wasn't really any big overs.  16 was the biggest.

Looked pretty consistent though on numbers.

Green best bowler, other bowlers lots of spin, but all between 7-9.5RR.

OverRuns    Frequency        PercentageOFOvers
           
1    20        100.00%
2    20        100.00%
3    18        90.00%
4    17        85.00%
5    16        80.00%
6    14        70.00%
7    13        65.00%
8    11        55.00%
9    11        55.00%
10    6        30.00%
11    4        20.00%
12    3        15.00%
13    2        10.00%
14    1        5.00%
15    1        5.00%



The killer for me that means I tread carefully, is the fact that 55% of the overs went at 9 or more per over.

I think what happened, based on these numbers, is they didn't go big enough on the big overs, and it looks like they are way under par.


It did look tricky, however the numbers show a good pitch, and a below par score.
Report BJT January 7, 2018 9:54 AM GMT
If I was a betting man, I would be all over the Thunder at those odds.
Report tomtimtum January 7, 2018 9:54 AM GMT
Problem for Thunder is their batting is woeful!
Report tomtimtum January 7, 2018 9:55 AM GMT
Jos + Watto, thats it
Report BJT January 7, 2018 9:57 AM GMT
Ferguson, Rohrer can both go.

Patterson too.
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 9:59 AM GMT
Thanks BJ backed at 2.4.
Report BJT January 7, 2018 10:00 AM GMT
If I was to give an opinion without looking at the numbers, it would be Strikers have enough as it looked tough.  But the numbers say what they say.  Just how to interpret them, and that is how I did.
Report BJT January 7, 2018 10:01 AM GMT
lol.  That can't be real?  Stanlake with the price tag on his shirt?
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 10:01 AM GMT
I thought it was tough and they probably have enough but with Jos batting I like their odds.
Report tomtimtum January 7, 2018 10:03 AM GMT
Tactical drop
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 10:04 AM GMT
Odds all over the place.
Report BJT January 7, 2018 10:06 AM GMT

Jan 7, 2018 -- 10:01AM, Charlie wrote:


I thought it was tough and they probably have enough but with Jos batting I like their odds.


Cool.
I certainly don't bet big on the stats I post on here so like to make sure I put the disclaimer up in regards to that.

Report Charlie January 7, 2018 10:08 AM GMT
I topped up a little at 2.5 but still only just red on Strikers and can afford to go down to around 1.3 before I go properly red.
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 10:10 AM GMT
Looking to back Strikers at 2.04 to remove red on them.
Report BJT January 7, 2018 10:11 AM GMT
I am out for the moment.  This 40 year old man child seems to have the midas touch so will watch him out for now.  Hopefully get back on Thunder at far lower odds shortly.
Report BJT January 7, 2018 10:11 AM GMT
Far bigger odds sorry.
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 10:12 AM GMT
That was taken which surprised me with him bowling.
Report BJT January 7, 2018 10:13 AM GMT
Is an interesting over really.

2 runs off 4 balls, 2.04 to 1.90.  4 to 1.71.  4 to 1.61.


Woweeeee
Report tomtimtum January 7, 2018 10:13 AM GMT
Wow, thats a bonus over
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 10:13 AM GMT
Market fell in love with Thunder.
Report tomtimtum January 7, 2018 10:13 AM GMT
Runs scored off some bowlers are more valuable than others!
Report BJT January 7, 2018 10:14 AM GMT

Jan 7, 2018 -- 10:13AM, tomtimtum wrote:


Runs scored off some bowlers are more valuable than others!


Yes, well he was the specific reason I traded out.

Report tomtimtum January 7, 2018 10:14 AM GMT
Getting 10 runs off Rashid is massive
Report BJT January 7, 2018 10:15 AM GMT
Yep.  Just confused why 2 runs off 4 balls still bought it in 2.04 to 1.90.....  Oh well.  More opportunity soon.
Report BJT January 7, 2018 10:16 AM GMT
And a maiden here, 10 runs off 2 overs, 2.04 into 1.75.....   lol

Bit of market correction I think.  Too many people reading our posts, not enough contributing...    LoveLoveCoolCool
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 10:16 AM GMT
Backed Strikers at 2.4 which evens things out nicely.
Report BJT January 7, 2018 10:20 AM GMT
VWD Charlie.  Hope you got them for plenty...
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 10:21 AM GMT
Thanks BJ not complaining.
Report BJT January 7, 2018 10:21 AM GMT
2 behind on comparison.  Danger bowler halfway through.  Think a small Striker lay on the cards....
Report DStyle January 7, 2018 10:28 AM GMT
small lay?

this is a mental price on the thunder now rashid only has one left.
Report tomtimtum January 7, 2018 10:32 AM GMT
Problem is Thunder have no batting! Watto or bust
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 10:33 AM GMT
I'm not betting but wouldn't lay Strikers.
Report BJT January 7, 2018 10:34 AM GMT
Little more.
Report tomtimtum January 7, 2018 10:35 AM GMT
Need to retire Patterson
Report BJT January 7, 2018 10:36 AM GMT
Last one.  Little more..  :)
Report tomtimtum January 7, 2018 10:37 AM GMT
Good wicket for Thunder
Report BJT January 7, 2018 10:41 AM GMT
Just need 1 good over please...
Report BJT January 7, 2018 10:43 AM GMT
3/12 overs above the run rate.  Just ridiculous....
Report tomtimtum January 7, 2018 10:45 AM GMT
fsm
Report BJT January 7, 2018 10:48 AM GMT
Certainly not looking good for Thunder...
Report BJT January 7, 2018 10:49 AM GMT
Can't hit the ball, need to hit it over the fence.  Hmmmm  lol
Report Cardinal Scott January 7, 2018 10:50 AM GMT
This is one of the worst run chases I have ever seen considering the conditions and the target.   Look at those strike rates.
Report BJT January 7, 2018 10:50 AM GMT
Yep, looks like just no intent at all...
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 10:51 AM GMT
Nice of the test match people to wait until this game has finished.
Report BJT January 7, 2018 11:01 AM GMT
Given the tourney I have had, I am calling this a legitimate green result.  Gave up all bar 39 cents, but is 39 cents green, so claiming it.  BlushBlush

Not entirely sure what to make of this chase.  Think it comes down to intent.  Perhaps the first innings stats would show a lot of working into the gaps? 

Fortunately, didn't go too hard and had green to work with so getting it massively wrong just means a zero result.  Probably leave here thinking Thunder got it more wrong than me, but whatever.
Report Charlie January 7, 2018 11:04 AM GMT
A win's a win!
Report tomtimtum January 7, 2018 11:05 AM GMT
Patterson played his usual game and put the rest of the batting line up under pressure.
This batting line up is pretty poor
Report tomtimtum January 7, 2018 11:09 AM GMT
raining 6s Laugh
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