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BJT
30 Dec 17 07:55
Joined:
Date Joined: 30 Oct 04
| Topic/replies: 25,249 | Blogger: BJT's blog
Sydney Thunder: Shane Watson (c), Ben Rohrer, Callum Ferguson, Ryan Gibson, Jos Buttler (wk), Chris Green, Arjun Nair, Fawad Ahmed, Mitchell McClenaghan, Gurinder Sandhu, Kurtis Patterson


Hobart Hurricanes: George Bailey (c), D'Arcy Short, Alex Doolan, Ben McDermott, Matthew Wade, Daniel Christian, Jofra Archer, Tom Rogers, Cameron Boyce, Clive Rose, Tymal Mills


6:37pm Hobart Hurricanes have won the toss and elected to bowl.

Line again around 166
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Report Charlie December 30, 2017 8:06 AM GMT
Small bet on Thunder to start.
Report Charlie December 30, 2017 8:13 AM GMT
My brain just had a little melt down. I've get several tabs open and clicked on one and I'd laid Perth but there were three results including the draw. For a few seconds I couldn't work out what was going on. Finally dawned on me it was the footy match Sydney v Perth.
Report Charlie December 30, 2017 8:22 AM GMT
Topped up a little.
Report BJT December 30, 2017 8:42 AM GMT
Sometimes that is the best strategy, bet on the wrong market.  Did pretty well on the NFL one day, and realised I was betting on the wrong team.  Still pretty good green..  :)

Inactive for me at the moment.  Damage control.  Got them looking on track to get around 160 at the moment.
Report BJT December 30, 2017 8:46 AM GMT
My "feel" at the moment, is 160 would be a pretty handy score, and "feel" like this might drop off a bit toward the end. 
Numbers show 162+.  Feel says
Report BJT December 30, 2017 8:47 AM GMT
Less than ahh, bloody forum.

Feel says less than 150.

Sticking to my cans for now.
Report Charlie December 30, 2017 8:50 AM GMT
Didn't really want to get involved yet as going out shopping for about an hour. Looking for a quick cashout but doesn't seem to be happening.
Report BJT December 30, 2017 8:51 AM GMT
Yeah, market unusually stagnant. People still asleep from the test match....
Report BJT December 30, 2017 8:51 AM GMT
Got them on 156 atm....
Report Charlie December 30, 2017 8:53 AM GMT
Seems about right but I'm waiting for one or both of these to start launching it.
Report BJT December 30, 2017 8:54 AM GMT
Starting with a small lay of Thunder.
Report BJT December 30, 2017 8:56 AM GMT
WTF?  Pretty sure the bowler can do what they like can't they?  If they are too slow to get through the overs, they get fined.  If he wants to pull out of a ball to a left hander that changes to right hander, go to town.  No?
Report Charlie December 30, 2017 8:57 AM GMT
I have no idea.
Report BJT December 30, 2017 8:57 AM GMT
Here you go.  Having a crack now for you....
Report Charlie December 30, 2017 8:57 AM GMT
Waited for you to lay them!
Report BJT December 30, 2017 8:59 AM GMT
Yeah, I went very small though as I didn't have a strong opinion.  Just doubled up, and still treading lightly so all good.  Can still celebrate with you if you win without too much damage here...  :)
Report BJT December 30, 2017 9:01 AM GMT
Although, who the fcuk is this goose...
Report Charlie December 30, 2017 9:01 AM GMT
I'm virtually out now. Leaving a small red but can't see it being a problem. I'll be back in about an hour. GL.
Report BJT December 30, 2017 9:02 AM GMT
WD.  Laters
Report BJT December 30, 2017 9:13 AM GMT
This looks like bad bowling see you later to me.
Report BJT December 30, 2017 9:41 AM GMT
Ok. 
So, since nobody watching, I can be outrageous.

Hobart currently 1.93.  Should be 4.00. 

11 overs out of 20, there was a score of 5 runs or less.
6 out of 20, 4 runs or less.

Of the 4 over bowlers.

Economy.
5, 5,5, 8, 8.

The other 4 overs, 3 bowled at 16.66, 50 runs off, and the other for 10.

Spin, 8 overs for 52 runs.

Of the batsmen, looking at around 115 strike rate.  The difference, Buttler, at 163, who copped Rogers hitting 28 off an over.

Outside of that, I will claim this isn't that easy to bat on.  Any decent sort of bowling performance here sees Thunder winning this by 25 runs.


Not going to claim to walk away if I am wrong, but no part of me thinks anything other than Thunder massively overachieved on this pitch.

See, I can say these things, because nobody is watching.  :))))

Just can't see it.  Feel, and numbers, say Thunder are home unless they choose to throw it.
Report Cardinal Scott December 30, 2017 9:47 AM GMT
I just woke after a few hours shut eye to be staggered by scorecard ........Jos actually doing something with the bat. Excited

Small recreational punt on Thunder to defend.
Report BJT December 30, 2017 9:55 AM GMT
Terrible bowling so far ffs
Report Cardinal Scott December 30, 2017 10:01 AM GMT
I got out a few ticks to the good thx to the kiwi.
Report BJT December 30, 2017 10:03 AM GMT
As long as they don't keep flying early, the shine off the ball will mimic the scoring.

*BJT's wallet...
Report Cardinal Scott December 30, 2017 10:06 AM GMT
Might go back in when I can see where this is going!
Report BJT December 30, 2017 10:07 AM GMT
2 spinners to come on in soon which will fcuk HH over IMO
Report BJT December 30, 2017 10:07 AM GMT
That helps...
Report Cardinal Scott December 30, 2017 10:08 AM GMT
Jos on fire! Grin
Report Charlie December 30, 2017 10:15 AM GMT
Not too unpleasant for me. Green both with emphasis on Thunder.
Report BJT December 30, 2017 10:16 AM GMT
Decider right here with the spin spin....
Report Charlie December 30, 2017 10:19 AM GMT
Tough chase and not keen on HH's batsmen.
Report BJT December 30, 2017 10:22 AM GMT
Get the fcuk inBlushLoveLoveLoveLaughLaugh
Report Charlie December 30, 2017 10:23 AM GMT
You on Thunder now BJ?
Report BJT December 30, 2017 10:24 AM GMT

Dec 30, 2017 -- 3:41AM, BJT wrote:


Ok.  So, since nobody watching, I can be outrageous.Hobart currently 1.93.  Should be 4.00.  11 overs out of 20, there was a score of 5 runs or less.6 out of 20, 4 runs or less.Of the 4 over bowlers.Economy.5, 5,5, 8, 8.The other 4 overs, 3 bowled at 16.66, 50 runs off, and the other for 10.Spin, 8 overs for 52 runs.Of the batsmen, looking at around 115 strike rate.  The difference, Buttler, at 163, who copped Rogers hitting 28 off an over.Outside of that, I will claim this isn't that easy to bat on.  Any decent sort of bowling performance here sees Thunder winning this by 25 runs.Not going to claim to walk away if I am wrong, but no part of me thinks anything other than Thunder massively overachieved on this pitch.See, I can say these things, because nobody is watching.  :))))Just can't see it.  Feel, and numbers, say Thunder are home unless they choose to throw it.


Yep.  On Thunder...  :)

Report pxb December 30, 2017 10:24 AM GMT
Hobart look toast.
Report Charlie December 30, 2017 10:25 AM GMT
Good summary. Very well done.
Report BJT December 30, 2017 10:27 AM GMT
LoveLoveLove
Report Hamlin December 30, 2017 10:32 AM GMT
Great work in the thread, convinced me to flip at the break. Logged on here just to say well done.
Report BJT December 30, 2017 10:32 AM GMT
LoveLoveLove
Report BJT December 30, 2017 10:42 AM GMT
Air swing lol
Report Charlie December 30, 2017 10:44 AM GMT
This Nair is a good young player looks to have a bright future.
Report Charlie December 30, 2017 10:46 AM GMT
These two teams meet again on Monday.
Report Cardinal Scott December 30, 2017 10:55 AM GMT
Just seen that daddy 6 from Jos earlier..............some hit!

Jofra Archer future Eng gun? a bit tawdry how we seem to have nicked him off the Windies.
Report Charlie December 30, 2017 11:00 AM GMT
Near certainty and would you want to play for Windies?
Report BJT December 30, 2017 11:01 AM GMT
Great to know I can still read the game.  Just need to stop that finger from triggering early most of the time.
Grinding back.  You guys are stuck with me i think..  :)
Report Charlie December 30, 2017 11:01 AM GMT
HappyHappy
Report Cardinal Scott December 30, 2017 11:03 AM GMT

Dec 30, 2017 -- 5:00AM, Charlie wrote:


Near certainty and would you want to play for Windies?


If I was born there yes? Not blaming him blaming Eng cricket authorities.

Report Charlie December 30, 2017 11:06 AM GMT
At least he'll get paid by England.
Report Charlie December 30, 2017 11:13 AM GMT
BJ needs to get his act together; winning by 25. Miles out!
Report jucel69 December 30, 2017 11:30 AM GMT
bjt been on the razzle but checked into the forum and saw your analysis. Lumped on and made quite a few quid. Many thanks!!!
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