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Cardinal Scott
21 Dec 17 08:09
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Date Joined: 18 Jul 08
| Topic/replies: 19,144 | Blogger: Cardinal Scott's blog
Hobart Hurricanes look to have the worst squad in the whole tourney!

Renegades insert Hurricanes and I'm on them at 1.68  ...I want the World T20 Gun Sunil Narine Pinch Hitting later after all this is where that role started for him.  Let's Do This!
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Report Cardinal Scott December 21, 2017 8:11 AM GMT
I didn't do my research Sunil not playing....he's probably in New Zealand though he never played that 1 dayer
Report tomtimtum December 21, 2017 8:15 AM GMT
Hobart Hurricanes: D'Arcy Short, Alex Doolan, Ben McDermott, Matthew Wade (wk), George Bailey (c), Dan Christian, Jofra Archer, Cameron Boyce, Clive Rose, Tymal Mills, Aaron Summers
Report tomtimtum December 21, 2017 8:16 AM GMT
Melbourne Renegades: Aaron Finch (c), Marcus Harris, Cameron White, Brad Hodge, Dwayne Bravo, Tim Ludeman (wk), Jack Wildermuth, Tom Cooper, Mohammad Nabi, Kane Richardson, Brad Hogg
Report tomtimtum December 21, 2017 8:16 AM GMT
7.00 pm Melbourne Rengades have won the toss and will bowl
Report Cardinal Scott December 21, 2017 8:16 AM GMT
Change of plan, now on Hurricanes!
Report Charlie December 21, 2017 8:30 AM GMT
Easy to see why Hobart are outsiders on outright winner market but don't fancy Renegades. either (if they win today I'll lay them on that market but there's not much liquidity). Risking a few quid on Hobart regardless.
Report Puzzman December 21, 2017 8:35 AM GMT
Narine pulled out for personal reasons, although the general lack of info around the BBL is what holds it back betting wise for me. Case in point why isn't Tim Paine playing?
Report Joel December 21, 2017 8:36 AM GMT
Because he's in the Australian Test Squad?
Report TerryHurlock December 21, 2017 8:46 AM GMT
,
Report TerryHurlock December 21, 2017 8:46 AM GMT
dowe have a runway?
Report TerryHurlock December 21, 2017 8:47 AM GMT
4444444
Report TerryHurlock December 21, 2017 8:48 AM GMT
,
Report TerryHurlock December 21, 2017 8:48 AM GMT
,
Report TerryHurlock December 21, 2017 8:48 AM GMT
,
Report Cardinal Scott December 21, 2017 8:49 AM GMT
So far changing my mind has worked out!
Report TerryHurlock December 21, 2017 8:50 AM GMT
chaarge
Report TerryHurlock December 21, 2017 8:50 AM GMT
f'ing thread
Report tomtimtum December 21, 2017 8:53 AM GMT
what a RUNWAY
Report tomtimtum December 21, 2017 8:53 AM GMT
some strong market love for renegades
Report BJT December 21, 2017 9:01 AM GMT
Just pulled out my old T20 spreadsheet.  It is telling me, they will get 193 from here..... 

Have to have a look and see what the hell I did to make it think that.....  See how we go.
Report Cardinal Scott December 21, 2017 9:02 AM GMT
I'm guessing this thad is buggered!
Report Cardinal Scott December 21, 2017 9:04 AM GMT
^thread

Renegades don't look that strong this year and Hogg at some point must fall of a cliff with his bowling
Report TerryHurlock December 21, 2017 9:05 AM GMT
.
Report tomtimtum December 21, 2017 9:08 AM GMT
Have to think Hobart need to post 200+ to go favs
Report BJT December 21, 2017 9:11 AM GMT
What was the line here?
Report BJT December 21, 2017 9:13 AM GMT
Midas touch.
Report BJT December 21, 2017 9:16 AM GMT
Over    Total   ExpectedTotal
5    48    193
6    53    176
7    61    178
8    66    173
Report Charlie December 21, 2017 9:16 AM GMT
Anyone doing any good I'm borderline red.
Report TerryHurlock December 21, 2017 9:16 AM GMT
,
Report BJT December 21, 2017 9:19 AM GMT
My posts are just making noise by the way.  Certainly not making any claims.  Spready was a work in progress, just get bored so putting it out.  Not betting to it or trying to get anybody else to.....
Report Cardinal Scott December 21, 2017 9:25 AM GMT
Bails or Bust!
Report Charlie December 21, 2017 9:25 AM GMT
Always glad to see ideas like that BJ. Are the totals the same regardless of teams and how about wickets down?
Report Cardinal Scott December 21, 2017 9:26 AM GMT
or Mcdermott!
Report Cardinal Scott December 21, 2017 9:28 AM GMT

Dec 21, 2017 -- 9:16AM, Charlie wrote:


Anyone doing any good I'm borderline red.


Yeah I'm doing OK!

Report Charlie December 21, 2017 9:30 AM GMT
My position has improved but a wicket would put me around even I reckon.
Report BJT December 21, 2017 9:33 AM GMT
It appears to be a pretty simplified average of percentage of total score historically.  Got plenty more happening on the sheet, like odds, however that is much further away from reality and would just be a waste of space putting it on.

Obviously it all changes every ball, but from memory, did use it a bit when i was doing plenty of cricket betting, more so for a rough idea.  Most of my betting is done by feel nowadays, but never give up the stats, got some doozy spreadsheets that make me plenty, so will forever be searching for the cricket holy grail.  Fair way off now, but if you aren't thinking about it, you aren't progressing.

Always look to adapt, evolve, survive....  :)
Report peckerdunne December 21, 2017 9:40 AM GMT
millionaire mind
Report tomtimtum December 21, 2017 9:42 AM GMT
Hobart look well short here
Report tomtimtum December 21, 2017 9:43 AM GMT
Gades got plenty of batting
Report Cardinal Scott December 21, 2017 9:45 AM GMT
No longer doing well in fact I'm flat........why didn't I level up when it flipped? GREED! Sad
Report BJT December 21, 2017 9:45 AM GMT
Yeah, 180 looks well short on this pitch....

I laid at the top, but they are trading higher than this shortly...
Report peckerdunne December 21, 2017 9:46 AM GMT
get archer in u mugs, m wade Cry
Report Cardinal Scott December 21, 2017 9:49 AM GMT
Dan the man can take me back to a happy place!
Report BJT December 21, 2017 9:51 AM GMT
Ovr  Tot  ExpectTot  AverageLast5ExpTot
10    80    170    173
11    102    197    177
12    106    188    179
13    112    182    181
14    116    174    182
15    123    172    183
16    127    165    176
17    139    168    172
Report peckerdunne December 21, 2017 9:52 AM GMT
CS

If you had a happy place you'd flip it for a crappy place..........Grin
Report tomtimtum December 21, 2017 9:57 AM GMT
Gades looking a juicy price here
Report tomtimtum December 21, 2017 9:58 AM GMT
Surprised the price is holding up so well
Report BJT December 21, 2017 10:02 AM GMT
Gee they have held some good catches.  Those high balls aren't cool.
Report tomtimtum December 21, 2017 10:03 AM GMT
Prices a bit more accurate now
Report BJT December 21, 2017 10:04 AM GMT
Not sure Renegades trades much higher than this.  Hobart well short, and looks a new ball scoring wicket.  Wouldn't be laying them at that price.  Maybe sub 1.20 after a few overs for a tickle...
Report Cardinal Scott December 21, 2017 10:07 AM GMT
Finchy could nick off early and then its very flippable from there.
Report jucel69 December 21, 2017 10:19 AM GMT
Just come home from another Pre Christmas pissup. Am I safe to lump on the Rens?
Report tomtimtum December 21, 2017 10:21 AM GMT
yes juce
Report tomtimtum December 21, 2017 10:22 AM GMT
Rose is a poor player, how does he keep getting picked
Report tomtimtum December 21, 2017 10:22 AM GMT
oh my timber!
Report BJT December 21, 2017 10:23 AM GMT
Well that was a little silly.
Report Cardinal Scott December 21, 2017 10:24 AM GMT
Very flippable as I said earlier if they nab Finchy!
Report jucel69 December 21, 2017 10:24 AM GMT
Cry
Report Cardinal Scott December 21, 2017 10:32 AM GMT
Market in a holding pattern. waiting for something to happen.
Report BJT December 21, 2017 10:36 AM GMT
Big market spike?  2.64 taken HH
Report Cardinal Scott December 21, 2017 10:36 AM GMT
market went to 1.65 Renegades.
Report tomtimtum December 21, 2017 10:36 AM GMT
Archer is some player, won't be long before England steal him
Report Charlie December 21, 2017 10:37 AM GMT
Just been on the bloody phone for half-an-hour so no been able to do anything. Not that I would have known what to do anyway. Another wicket would be nice.
Report Cardinal Scott December 21, 2017 10:38 AM GMT
That looks silly short to me on Renegades.
Report tomtimtum December 21, 2017 10:39 AM GMT
Pace of these 2 causing problems
Report tomtimtum December 21, 2017 10:39 AM GMT
Fancy a wicket soon
Report tomtimtum December 21, 2017 10:41 AM GMT
Rose is back, ATTACK!
Report BJT December 21, 2017 10:41 AM GMT
Spready says they are 1.3 runs in front of where they need to be at this stage.  whatever the fcuk that means...  lol
Report Cardinal Scott December 21, 2017 10:42 AM GMT
I'm not calling this one well at all!
Report tomtimtum December 21, 2017 10:44 AM GMT
Rose is just easy pickings
Report BJT December 21, 2017 10:45 AM GMT
Got them on track for 185, 5.27 runs in front of where they need to be.  My odds need work though, but in my head, feel 1.27 pretty big.
Report tomtimtum December 21, 2017 10:47 AM GMT
Good wheels from Geoffrey
Report jucel69 December 21, 2017 10:48 AM GMT

Dec 21, 2017 -- 10:36AM, tomtimtum wrote:


Archer is some player, won't be long before England steal him


Don't tell KOD he'll have a seizure

Report jucel69 December 21, 2017 10:49 AM GMT

Dec 21, 2017 -- 10:37AM, Charlie wrote:


Just been on the bloody phone for half-an-hour so no been able to do anything. Not that I would have known what to do anyway. Another wicket would be nice.


Sounds like an expensive w@nk Charlie

Report Charlie December 21, 2017 10:50 AM GMT
LaughLaugh
Report BJT December 21, 2017 10:51 AM GMT
ExcitedExcited
Report tomtimtum December 21, 2017 10:52 AM GMT

Dec 21, 2017 -- 10:49AM, jucel69 wrote:


Dec 21, 2017 -- 10:37AM, Charlie wrote:Just been on the bloody phone for half-an-hour so no been able to do anything. Not that I would have known what to do anyway. Another wicket would be nice.Sounds like an expensive w@nk Charlie


LaughLaugh

Report tomtimtum December 21, 2017 10:53 AM GMT
This hobart attack has some pace
Report BJT December 21, 2017 10:58 AM GMT
188, 9.26 runs in front...
Report Charlie December 21, 2017 11:03 AM GMT
Now red both but tiny on Rgds.
Report BJT December 21, 2017 11:04 AM GMT
HH scored 7 overs above the run rate.  After 9 overs, MR have already scored 6 overs above.

Says the pitch is way better, and HH are no fcuking hope.
Report BJT December 21, 2017 11:08 AM GMT
198, 16.03 runs in front.  Big red on HH, but can't trade out all.  Green down to 1.50 HH.  Couple dollars short of 4 figures green MR.  Get back some of what I lost yesterday hopefully...
Report Charlie December 21, 2017 11:15 AM GMT
Unless there's a dramatic collapse I should be ok but if there is I'll be a bit fcked.
Report tomtimtum December 21, 2017 11:18 AM GMT
punish this filth from Rose!
Report tomtimtum December 21, 2017 11:19 AM GMT
Gades bat down to 8/9, will have to be something amazing for HH to win
Report Cardinal Scott December 21, 2017 11:19 AM GMT
What a Vile Train but is there a twist?
Report Cardinal Scott December 21, 2017 11:20 AM GMT
Lay the 1.02 maybe!
Report Cardinal Scott December 21, 2017 11:20 AM GMT
Lay the 1.02 maybe!
Report Cardinal Scott December 21, 2017 11:21 AM GMT
2nd game where my original pick  does the business.
Report tomtimtum December 21, 2017 11:23 AM GMT
Roz is a shocking interviewer
Report Charlie December 21, 2017 11:24 AM GMT
Hope this is not a tale of woe average odds: backed HH at 2.73 laid 16, backed MR 1.16 laid 1.61.
Report Cardinal Scott December 21, 2017 11:26 AM GMT
I'm redless!
Report Charlie December 21, 2017 11:33 AM GMT
Out for nowt which I can count as being very lucky!
Report BJT December 21, 2017 11:36 AM GMT
Had to give a bit back to reduce risk just in case.  Very nice green, although only 75% back for what I lost last night.  Happy with what I am up though over the 3 games considering.  Had a fantastic week with 1 massive hiccup.
Report peckerdunne December 21, 2017 11:43 AM GMT
too much pace in this side
Report BJT December 21, 2017 11:48 AM GMT
Not 10 dot balls please....
Report BJT December 21, 2017 11:49 AM GMT
:))))))))))))))
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