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21 Dec 17
08:09
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Date Joined:
18 Jul 08
Hobart Hurricanes look to have the worst squad in the whole tourney!
Renegades insert Hurricanes and I'm on them at 1.68 ...I want the World T20 Gun Sunil Narine Pinch Hitting later after all this is where that role started for him. Let's Do This!
Renegades insert Hurricanes and I'm on them at 1.68 ...I want the World T20 Gun Sunil Narine Pinch Hitting later after all this is where that role started for him. Let's Do This!
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I didn't do my research Sunil not playing....he's probably in New Zealand though he never played that 1 dayer
Hobart Hurricanes: D'Arcy Short, Alex Doolan, Ben McDermott, Matthew Wade (wk), George Bailey (c), Dan Christian, Jofra Archer, Cameron Boyce, Clive Rose, Tymal Mills, Aaron Summers
Melbourne Renegades: Aaron Finch (c), Marcus Harris, Cameron White, Brad Hodge, Dwayne Bravo, Tim Ludeman (wk), Jack Wildermuth, Tom Cooper, Mohammad Nabi, Kane Richardson, Brad Hogg
7.00 pm Melbourne Rengades have won the toss and will bowl
Easy to see why Hobart are outsiders on outright winner market but don't fancy Renegades. either (if they win today I'll lay them on that market but there's not much liquidity). Risking a few quid on Hobart regardless.
Narine pulled out for personal reasons, although the general lack of info around the BBL is what holds it back betting wise for me. Case in point why isn't Tim Paine playing?
Just pulled out my old T20 spreadsheet. It is telling me, they will get 193 from here.....
Have to have a look and see what the hell I did to make it think that..... See how we go.
Have to have a look and see what the hell I did to make it think that..... See how we go.
^thread
Renegades don't look that strong this year and Hogg at some point must fall of a cliff with his bowling
Renegades don't look that strong this year and Hogg at some point must fall of a cliff with his bowling
My posts are just making noise by the way. Certainly not making any claims. Spready was a work in progress, just get bored so putting it out. Not betting to it or trying to get anybody else to.....
Always glad to see ideas like that BJ. Are the totals the same regardless of teams and how about wickets down?
Dec 21, 2017 -- 9:16AM, Charlie wrote:
Anyone doing any good I'm borderline red.
Yeah I'm doing OK!
My position has improved but a wicket would put me around even I reckon.
It appears to be a pretty simplified average of percentage of total score historically. Got plenty more happening on the sheet, like odds, however that is much further away from reality and would just be a waste of space putting it on.
Obviously it all changes every ball, but from memory, did use it a bit when i was doing plenty of cricket betting, more so for a rough idea. Most of my betting is done by feel nowadays, but never give up the stats, got some doozy spreadsheets that make me plenty, so will forever be searching for the cricket holy grail. Fair way off now, but if you aren't thinking about it, you aren't progressing.
Always look to adapt, evolve, survive.... :)
Obviously it all changes every ball, but from memory, did use it a bit when i was doing plenty of cricket betting, more so for a rough idea. Most of my betting is done by feel nowadays, but never give up the stats, got some doozy spreadsheets that make me plenty, so will forever be searching for the cricket holy grail. Fair way off now, but if you aren't thinking about it, you aren't progressing.
Always look to adapt, evolve, survive.... :)
No longer doing well in fact I'm flat........why didn't I level up when it flipped? GREED! 
Yeah, 180 looks well short on this pitch....
I laid at the top, but they are trading higher than this shortly...
I laid at the top, but they are trading higher than this shortly...
Dan the man can take me back to a happy place!
Ovr Tot ExpectTot AverageLast5ExpTot
10 80 170 173
11 102 197 177
12 106 188 179
13 112 182 181
14 116 174 182
15 123 172 183
16 127 165 176
17 139 168 172
10 80 170 173
11 102 197 177
12 106 188 179
13 112 182 181
14 116 174 182
15 123 172 183
16 127 165 176
17 139 168 172
CS
If you had a happy place you'd flip it for a crappy place..........
If you had a happy place you'd flip it for a crappy place..........
Gee they have held some good catches. Those high balls aren't cool.
Not sure Renegades trades much higher than this. Hobart well short, and looks a new ball scoring wicket. Wouldn't be laying them at that price. Maybe sub 1.20 after a few overs for a tickle...
Finchy could nick off early and then its very flippable from there.
Just come home from another Pre Christmas pissup. Am I safe to lump on the Rens?
Rose is a poor player, how does he keep getting picked
Very flippable as I said earlier if they nab Finchy!
Market in a holding pattern. waiting for something to happen.
Archer is some player, won't be long before England steal him
Just been on the bloody phone for half-an-hour so no been able to do anything. Not that I would have known what to do anyway. Another wicket would be nice.
Spready says they are 1.3 runs in front of where they need to be at this stage. whatever the fcuk that means... lol
Got them on track for 185, 5.27 runs in front of where they need to be. My odds need work though, but in my head, feel 1.27 pretty big.
Dec 21, 2017 -- 10:36AM, tomtimtum wrote:
Archer is some player, won't be long before England steal him
Don't tell KOD he'll have a seizure
Dec 21, 2017 -- 10:37AM, Charlie wrote:
Just been on the bloody phone for half-an-hour so no been able to do anything. Not that I would have known what to do anyway. Another wicket would be nice.
Sounds like an expensive w@nk Charlie
Dec 21, 2017 -- 10:49AM, jucel69 wrote:
Dec 21, 2017 -- 10:37AM, Charlie wrote:Just been on the bloody phone for half-an-hour so no been able to do anything. Not that I would have known what to do anyway. Another wicket would be nice.Sounds like an expensive w@nk Charlie
HH scored 7 overs above the run rate. After 9 overs, MR have already scored 6 overs above.
Says the pitch is way better, and HH are no fcuking hope.
Says the pitch is way better, and HH are no fcuking hope.
198, 16.03 runs in front. Big red on HH, but can't trade out all. Green down to 1.50 HH. Couple dollars short of 4 figures green MR. Get back some of what I lost yesterday hopefully...
Unless there's a dramatic collapse I should be ok but if there is I'll be a bit fcked.
Gades bat down to 8/9, will have to be something amazing for HH to win
2nd game where my original pick does the business.
Hope this is not a tale of woe average odds: backed HH at 2.73 laid 16, backed MR 1.16 laid 1.61.
Had to give a bit back to reduce risk just in case. Very nice green, although only 75% back for what I lost last night. Happy with what I am up though over the 3 games considering. Had a fantastic week with 1 massive hiccup.
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