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pxb
11 Mar 17 22:54
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Date Joined: 07 Jun 10
| Topic/replies: 7,762 | Blogger: pxb's blog
First Test at this ground. Cummins in for an injured Starc.

Groundsman says Test will go 5 days, and if you can't trust an Indian groundsman, who can you trust? Also MS Dhoni and the BCCI have been sticking their oars in.

In ODIs the pitch has been a relatively low scoring turner. Should be an Indian win.
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Pause Switch to Standard View 3rd Test: India v Australia at Ranchi
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Report jucel69 March 19, 2017 8:24 AM GMT
Back to back test matches too. Aus will have no bowlers left!
Report Fatslogger March 19, 2017 8:28 AM GMT

Mar 19, 2017 -- 3:08AM, pxb wrote:


Looking very much like a draw.


We'll see when Australia bats but I'm surprised that the batsmen have not only made no attempts to up the rate but also not even scored as quickly as earlier in the partnership. It's very negative with a game there to be won.

Report jucel69 March 19, 2017 8:41 AM GMT
sun's out again now . Maybe India will go deep after tea?
Report detraveller March 19, 2017 8:49 AM GMT
They should. Finish about 150 ahead and bowl at Aus tomorrow? I think they won't need more than 50 overs to bowl out the aussies.
Report Fatslogger March 19, 2017 8:53 AM GMT

Mar 19, 2017 -- 3:41AM, jucel69 wrote:


sun's out again now . Maybe India will go deep after tea?


Whatever they do they should do it quickly. Don't see Pujara taking the long handle but he should. Think Saha will be aggressive once he's got his hundred.

Report VardonVoo. March 19, 2017 10:16 AM GMT
They should just declare here - with a lead of 130 and a little over ten overs left, Aus surviving those and then say another session-and-a-half going at 4-an-over would leave India chasing 110 in about 45 overs. That would set up an exciting finish, methinx. Aus probably won't last that long though.
Report DAN1974 March 19, 2017 10:26 AM GMT
what is the point in sending Sharma out to block ?
Report betfairchat March 19, 2017 10:27 AM GMT
pointless
Report DAN1974 March 19, 2017 10:27 AM GMT
One day we might get a brave Captain who doesn't conform to this bullsh1t.
Report detraveller March 19, 2017 10:27 AM GMT
to scare the aussies maybe
Report detraveller March 19, 2017 10:30 AM GMT
210 overs in the field!
Report pxb March 19, 2017 10:31 AM GMT
Draw looks massive.
Report VardonVoo. March 19, 2017 10:34 AM GMT
What does WinViz predict from here?
Report Fatslogger March 19, 2017 10:39 AM GMT

Mar 19, 2017 -- 5:31AM, pxb wrote:


Draw looks massive.


I've got these prices about right. Australia won't get enough runs ahead to make a chase difficult without batting out most of the overs. I think they ought to but Jadeja and Ashwin bowling into that rough outside the lefties off stumps may be quite a challenge.

Report VardonVoo. March 19, 2017 10:41 AM GMT
Market flip-flop if Aus lose a wicket tonight and a nuclear meltdown if they lose two.
Report Fatslogger March 19, 2017 10:43 AM GMT

Mar 19, 2017 -- 5:34AM, VardonVoo. wrote:


What does WinViz predict from here?


India 57%. I'm happy with that as almost £5k green there and only £1.6k draw. I may equalise if there are two or three early wickets though.

Report pxb March 19, 2017 10:45 AM GMT
Winviz says india win.
Report GRANTCKING March 19, 2017 10:56 AM GMT
cant see any possible way india get10 wickets in a day on this runway
Report GRANTCKING March 19, 2017 10:57 AM GMT
LaughLaugh TIMBERRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR
Report DAN1974 March 19, 2017 10:57 AM GMT
Laugh
Report GRANTCKING March 19, 2017 10:57 AM GMT
davie warner goes, aus in all kinds now!
Report betfairchat March 19, 2017 10:58 AM GMT
India favs now def
Report betfairchat March 19, 2017 11:01 AM GMT
even night watchman almost out
Report GRANTCKING March 19, 2017 11:05 AM GMT
Grin TIMBER
Report DAN1974 March 19, 2017 11:05 AM GMT
carnage
Report detraveller March 19, 2017 11:07 AM GMT
Grant, draw is free money
Report VardonVoo. March 19, 2017 11:09 AM GMT
If going with a nightwatchman was such a great strategy in the first place then logically you'd use two of them, surely?
Report detraveller March 19, 2017 11:11 AM GMT
India once again gonna win after conceding 400+ in the first innings. Those aussie lefties will be clueless tomorrow against Jadeja. Who knows he gets all 10 wickets :D
Report betfairchat March 19, 2017 11:13 AM GMT
Can only see an Indian victory now
Report Fatslogger March 19, 2017 11:30 AM GMT

Mar 19, 2017 -- 6:13AM, betfairchat wrote:


Can only see an Indian victory now


Saw the Warner wicket just before going out and immediately thought I'd be piling a lot of beans on India at evens if not already very heavily into the home team. Smith is obviously a beast of a batsman but I think India has every chance of winning just by ripping through the rest of them now, even if he gets a score and incredibly hard to see Australia holding out if he doesn't. The loss of Warner matters a lot, because his free scoring could easily have put Australia far enough ahead that he'd have been effectively taking extra time out of the game. Now you'd think Australia will need to bat well past two sessions tomorrow, probably even into the last hour to be safe. Even scoring at 3s, which I very much doubt they'll do, 75 overs only puts them 100 ahead. India chasing that off 15 overs might be quite fun. Other thing to bear in mind is that India will get through the overs very quickly indeed with the spinners in tandem: if looking feasible to win I wouldn't be surprised to see 80+ overs bowled with an hour of play left.

Report pxb March 19, 2017 11:42 AM GMT
Even scoring at 3s, which I very much doubt they'll do, 75 overs only puts them 100 ahead.

Yeh, Aus need to bat out almost the whole day for the draw. Winviz says they will almost, but not quite, do it.

Which makes the draw quite attractive. But last day, currently green on India and the draw. You (I) know what makes sense. Especially with a juicy weather play in the offing.
Report Fatslogger March 19, 2017 11:51 AM GMT
I've got a huge India green to play with but I don't fancy the draw very much. It's an option as a trade and will try to fiddle with it a bit overnight, because it will plummet if a pair of batsmen get set, as long as one of them is Smith and the other is Renshaw or Marsh. I don't like trading on the last day though, or at least I know that I shouldn't.
Report Steam March 19, 2017 7:42 PM GMT
The way Jadeja was turning it from the rough , Aussies might be in a lot of difficulties tomorrow. Continuing with my draw lay hope India makes a quick work of the aussies.
Report pxb March 19, 2017 10:09 PM GMT
Warner hasn't done much in this series and his wicket isn't a big loss. As I said yesterday, it will probably depend on Smith. Could be a nail biter finish.
Report Cardinal Scott March 19, 2017 10:54 PM GMT
Prices are very stable, not much to be gained by tick nicking here!...1 hour before play resumes there will prob be movement but I'll prob be asleep then.
Report Cardinal Scott March 19, 2017 10:56 PM GMT
My guess is India will shorten rather than the draw in the hour before resumption.
Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 3:41 AM GMT
Aus will do well to bat 70 overs. Even if they do & are 100 runs ahead with 20 overs to go, India will still be about 1.1/1.2
Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 3:43 AM GMT
Smith must be jaded, he's been on the field virtually the whole game & has had to concentrate for the whole time too.
If there is an early wicket I can see an innings defeat.
Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 3:47 AM GMT
India flying in now
Report Cardinal Scott March 20, 2017 3:47 AM GMT
While waiting for this thought I would make some easy money on NBA ...bad mistake.   but THX to Lebron & Kyrie no harm done! 

India could become layable as the move on them takes place, not there yet!
Report tyco161 March 20, 2017 4:22 AM GMT
Might be time to back the draw now... :)
Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 4:25 AM GMT

Mar 19, 2017 -- 11:22PM, tyco161 wrote:


Might be time to back the draw now... :)


I'm the worst last day trader in the world. I'd be a millionaire if I never bet on day 5Cry

Report tyco161 March 20, 2017 4:26 AM GMT
haha thats why i tend not to do it either.... but for a trade, the draw at 1.97 was looking like it could move quickly... nibble no more.
Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 4:28 AM GMT

Mar 19, 2017 -- 11:26PM, tyco161 wrote:


haha thats why i tend not to do it either.... but for a trade, the draw at 1.97 was looking like it could move quickly... nibble no more.


Easy to get sucked in thinking it looks easy & then bang, bang, game over!

Report Cardinal Scott March 20, 2017 4:29 AM GMT
Seems Safe as Houses so far day 5........not threatening at all! ....Roller effect last about an hour I suppose.
Report Cardinal Scott March 20, 2017 4:30 AM GMT
I'm also reluctant day 5 trader, because if you get in a hole on day 5 you usually stay in a hole.   I like plenty of time to dig myself out!
Report tyco161 March 20, 2017 4:31 AM GMT
yeah Smith goes and then boom all the pressure back on the batters and balls will start to spit.
Report betfairchat March 20, 2017 4:37 AM GMT
roller effect already wearing off
Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 4:41 AM GMT
money piling into India again
Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 4:41 AM GMT
Over rate is rapid again!
Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 4:42 AM GMT
12 overs in 40mins
Report betfairchat March 20, 2017 4:42 AM GMT
80% gone in on India since early hours
Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 4:43 AM GMT

Mar 19, 2017 -- 11:30PM, Cardinal Scott wrote:


I'm also reluctant day 5 trader, because if you get in a hole on day 5 you usually stay in a hole.

Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 4:45 AM GMT
Starting to look dodgy for Aus. No runs and the bowlers looking dangerous.
Report tyco161 March 20, 2017 4:47 AM GMT
time to lay the draw again?
Report VardonVoo. March 20, 2017 5:20 AM GMT
Aus scoring so slowly that they might bat the day yet still lose me my overs @ 200 :-(
Seemed like a good idea at the time to hedge my India back with the bonus of a reasonable chance of getting paid on both bets.
Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 5:22 AM GMT

Mar 20, 2017 -- 12:20AM, VardonVoo. wrote:


Aus scoring so slowly that they might bat the day yet still lose me my overs @ 200 :-(Seemed like a good idea at the time to hedge my India back with the bonus of a reasonable chance of getting paid on both bets.


If they lose wickets they will start playing a few more shots to get past the Indian total.

Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 5:27 AM GMT
out!
Report VardonVoo. March 20, 2017 5:28 AM GMT
I'm banking on Aus preferring to set a total than block out the whole day, simply cos of the "runs counting double" effect after reaching parity.
Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 5:29 AM GMT

Mar 20, 2017 -- 12:28AM, VardonVoo. wrote:


I'm banking on Aus preferring to set a total than block out the whole day, simply cos of the "runs counting double" effect after reaching parity.


Handscombe and Monkey magic won't die wondering

Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 5:32 AM GMT
Laugh
Report betfairchat March 20, 2017 5:32 AM GMT
GAME OVER
Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 5:33 AM GMT
Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 5:34 AM GMT

Mar 19, 2017 -- 11:28PM, jucel69 wrote:


Mar 20, 2017 --  4:26AM, tyco161 wrote:haha thats why i tend not to do it either.... but for a trade, the draw at 1.97 was looking like it could move quickly... nibble no more.Easy to get sucked in thinking it looks easy & then bang, bang, game over!


Happens again! On the right side this timeHappy

Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 5:51 AM GMT
Got to be a massive lay of Aus for the next test. They won't have any bowlers left after this game.
Report VardonVoo. March 20, 2017 6:53 AM GMT
What do you predict for India's SP for the next Test. 1.4?
Report pxb March 20, 2017 7:12 AM GMT
If India win this they only need a draw for the series, so should prepare a decent pitch. However, if this is drawn, they will need a result and a turner is in prospect.
Report crete March 20, 2017 7:22 AM GMT
if they get to parity only 4 or 5 down, there's still a decent chance of a draw
Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 7:23 AM GMT
Dreadful DRS reviewCrazy
Report ayt March 20, 2017 7:39 AM GMT
Final call Jucel?
Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 7:41 AM GMT

Mar 20, 2017 -- 2:39AM, ayt wrote:


Final call Jucel?


draw

Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 7:43 AM GMT
Aus are really only 3 down as Lyon doesn't count!
Still need to bat another 40 overs though!
Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 7:47 AM GMT
Could get to a scenario where India need 30 off 3 overs or something like that.
The market would combust if that sort of scenario transpires!
Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 7:57 AM GMT
Massive over for Aus - 14 off
Report VardonVoo. March 20, 2017 7:58 AM GMT
Laid some more draw here, hoping for a wicket soon.
Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 8:43 AM GMT
Once the ball got soft, there was hardly any bite.
11 overs to the newie, could be too late by then. We shall see
Report VardonVoo. March 20, 2017 9:08 AM GMT
Bl00dy hell!!
Report VardonVoo. March 20, 2017 9:25 AM GMT
And now all three live streams have got stuck.  Same for everyone, or is it just me?
Report VardonVoo. March 20, 2017 10:14 AM GMT
Hoping they play some shots so I at least get my overs paid. Messed up a good position by trying to box clever instead of just greening out of my India back after that fourth wicket. Lesson learned (again!).

India where rather unlucky with two very marginal umpire's calls that could have gone the other way. It's a pity that umpires don't have a remit that if in doubt go with the decision that favours the most exciting finish.
Report Esox March 20, 2017 10:26 AM GMT
cricinfo SE Marsh c Vijay b Jadeja 53 (197b 7x4 0x6) SR: 26.90
Report VardonVoo. March 20, 2017 10:35 AM GMT
It's official - backing overs is for masochists.
Report Esox March 20, 2017 10:38 AM GMT
Oh dear Maxwell gone now.
Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 10:50 AM GMT
200 layers must be spitting feathers!!
Report VardonVoo. March 20, 2017 10:50 AM GMT
200! Phew!
Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 10:50 AM GMT

Mar 20, 2017 -- 5:50AM, VardonVoo. wrote:


200! Phew!


Grin

Report Esox March 20, 2017 10:50 AM GMT
Grin
Report VardonVoo. March 20, 2017 10:53 AM GMT
Now if they can just very nicely please put on another fifty, I'll actually end up in profit!
Report VardonVoo. March 20, 2017 10:55 AM GMT
Oh well! I guess I should be very grateful to escape the jaws of death at the eleventh nanosecond.
Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 10:57 AM GMT

Mar 20, 2017 -- 5:55AM, VardonVoo. wrote:


Oh well! I guess I should be very grateful to escape the jaws of death at the eleventh nanosecond.


I would say you've had a result. They could have gone off several overs ago.

Report VardonVoo. March 20, 2017 11:07 AM GMT
I really have, haven't I!! I'm still beating myself up for letting the green-eyed monster interfere with my trading of a very good earlier position built by day 4 from a disastrous start. #senseofentitlementkillsgoodjudgment
Report jucel69 March 20, 2017 11:20 AM GMT
I had a really good day 5 (for once). Laid the draw right before the two wickets and then laid India at lunch.
Had a final speccy on India at 100s up to 1000s but hardly damaged a very tidy profitHappy
Report VardonVoo. March 20, 2017 11:31 AM GMT
Overall I've come out ahead over this week's three Tests, despite some bad trades and even after dozing off on occasion with uncancelled bets that I later woke to find matched at hairshirt o'clock prices.
Report GRANTCKING March 20, 2017 12:22 PM GMT
oh my, what a thai
Report peckerdunne March 20, 2017 1:25 PM GMT
Hope everybody made a Handscombe profit.......Grin
Report Fatslogger March 20, 2017 5:30 PM GMT
Would have preferred the Indian win as that would have been £2k more but still a £2.4k win to go with £1.1k in SL Bangladesh (should have done better but not a bad show) more than making up for taking a chainsaw to my solid position in NZ SA.
Report JustWinBaby March 21, 2017 12:19 PM GMT
This has been a cracking test series, one of the best in recent memory both on and off the field. Let's hope the decider lives up to the last 3 tests.
Report Whisperingdeath March 21, 2017 7:30 PM GMT
I have been very impressed by Australia's performance, preparation and planning. I think England had better batting resources to deal with India but they were clearly undone by a lack of plan.

I am disappointed with India and the pitches prepared. I am not saying India have no right to choose what to prepare I mean how many Test Matches are won by the spinners at Trent Bridge?!

I would like to see faster pitches. I think the slowness of the wickets may have actually been to India's detriment as clearly they have the better spinners but the Aussie tweakers did really well when there was help. India have been saved by some wonderful batting performances from a couple of Individuals. KL Rahul and Pujara in general and then an innings from Rahane and Saha saved them from losing the last two tests and series!

Rahul has been playing better Test cricket. I was really losing the plot after watching him play a couple of white ball type innings, probably goaded by the experience of Pujara. Why on earth would you drop your most effective batsman because he doesn't score quickly? It was madness. India have such a depth of batting I would like to see them do this abroad.

Well done Aussies.......someone get me a glass of water before I choke!
Report Try My Best March 21, 2017 8:56 PM GMT
Well done Detraveller. You've really got this game by the boll*cks lmfao.
Report mafeking March 21, 2017 10:05 PM GMT
can't imagine india are very happy with the pitch prepared in ranchi. surely the last game won't be on a slow turner ? draw's no good to india. better off taking their chances on a raging bunsen
Report pxb March 21, 2017 10:15 PM GMT
4th Test thread up
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