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pxb
09 Nov 15 05:35
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Date Joined: 07 Jun 10
| Topic/replies: 8,019 | Blogger: pxb's blog
Been cool in Perth last couple of weeks, although it will heat up this week. Pitch might be a bit greener than usual. No rain in forecast.

Aus sub 1.4 on here in a still thin market. Can't see any result except an Aus win, but too short currently for me. I'll just trade the draw for now, until I hear about the pitch.
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Report BJT November 17, 2015 3:10 AM GMT
Think regardless, worth a tickle lay.  Regardless, I think NZ would come out with a win in mind.  That and wickets would shoot the draw price out before they shut up shop, should that happen.
Report jucel69 November 17, 2015 3:11 AM GMT
yeh I wrote that before Marsh got out. Aus could fold from here in the next 30 overs
Report jucel69 November 17, 2015 3:13 AM GMT
new ball around the corner too
Report BJT November 17, 2015 3:14 AM GMT
Yeah, but you are of course right.  Just that I am not somebody that likes short odds for backing.  Might be big odds if that were true for a pure bet. 
I am treading carefully for a while.  Still enough batting to tie up plenty of overs should that be the goal.  All good suggesting that NZ would shut up shop leading to a draw, but no reason Aus can't do that too.

New ball doubt is taken given what the ball is doing at the moment.
Report jucel69 November 17, 2015 3:14 AM GMT
you've talked me into it
Report jucel69 November 17, 2015 3:15 AM GMT
Would be good for the test if it comes down to a 50 over shoot out
Report pxb November 17, 2015 3:24 AM GMT
Draw dropping like a stone.
Report pxb November 17, 2015 3:58 AM GMT
Winviz has draw 90%, NZ 0.2%
Report jucel69 November 17, 2015 4:05 AM GMT
game back on
Report pxb November 17, 2015 4:07 AM GMT
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDR703.loop.shtml
Report jucel69 November 17, 2015 4:09 AM GMT
They can always add an hour for any showers. Bad light isn't a problem in Perth
Report jucel69 November 17, 2015 4:22 AM GMT
Don't think it's going to matter btw
Report BJT November 17, 2015 4:45 AM GMT
4.6 RRR if declare now. 
4 overs, chase 285, 5.28 an over.

I suspect we see 6 overs, target 300, leaving 301 to chase in 52 overs, at 5.788 runs an over.

Think McCullum would need to open to get a big move on the draw.  The others are a little more sensible.  BM would need to open to set the theme of the chase, otherwise probably a set up to get closer to attempt a chase down the track.


We have seen the right armers targetting the cracks, and getting decent results, but ultimately too wide to need to play.  The left armers could well come around the wicket giving them a much better angle at the cracks, and could be a minefield. 

Not convinced this will be a draw, but obviously most likely result.
Report pxb November 17, 2015 4:46 AM GMT
I expect Aus to bat at least another 10 overs. NZ could always implode, but I'd say that's pretty unlikely.
Report BJT November 17, 2015 5:39 AM GMT
Question now becomes Johnson 50 in last innings.
Report BJT November 17, 2015 5:46 AM GMT
And, answered
Report the whizz kids November 17, 2015 5:47 AM GMT
Smith might be young and fresh but to win tests you have to be fearless and have some Nuts. ????
Report BJT November 17, 2015 5:54 AM GMT
Rain coming, but won't last longer than 20 minutes...  Can make that up.  Doubt we lose any overs.
Report BJT November 17, 2015 5:55 AM GMT
Smith strapping up.  Can't see anybody padded up.
Report the whizz kids November 17, 2015 5:57 AM GMT
Wake me up at some point. I do have a little interest in Aus but I need the dec. Whats the point of turning up if you don't want the win??????. Boring boring Aus. How times have changed.
Report the whizz kids November 17, 2015 5:57 AM GMT
Wake me up at some point. I do have a little interest in Aus but I need the dec. Whats the point of turning up if you don't want the win??????. Boring boring Aus. How times have changed.
Report BJT November 17, 2015 5:58 AM GMT
6.2 an over required.  FFS.  Declare
Report BJT November 17, 2015 6:00 AM GMT
Another padded up.  Maybe just for show?  Can't believe they would send another in.  Surely not.
Report jucel69 November 17, 2015 6:02 AM GMT
Kwhaja is padded up too
Report the whizz kids November 17, 2015 6:03 AM GMT
What is the point in this???
Report BJT November 17, 2015 6:03 AM GMT
Must be for show then.  Khawaja won't bat...

And there it is.
Report jucel69 November 17, 2015 6:04 AM GMT
joking
Report BJT November 17, 2015 6:07 AM GMT
Dumped out of my draw lay.  Although may get back in.  Rain should be for about 15 minutes, will have a bit in it.  May coincide with the teabreak though with any luck.  Don't want to get caught on a draw lay when it rains, although surely it is already factored in.

NZ haven't had a draw in 12 months.  2 in 18 months.  I believe they will come out with intent.  May be able to at least sneak a 1.1 to 1.25 lay in .
Report pxb November 17, 2015 6:10 AM GMT
Rain 2:40pm
Report BJT November 17, 2015 6:12 AM GMT
Yeah, but sweeping through at about 40km/h so only about 10 minutes of rain in it.  By the looks.

Looking for a couple of quick wickets, or quick runs.
Report BJT November 17, 2015 6:17 AM GMT
And breaking up a little even by the looks.
Report jucel69 November 17, 2015 6:19 AM GMT
pakis got 300 off 60 on a turning deck
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 6:22 AM GMT
I'm of the opinion no have a better chance of winning this than Australia. I too think they will show intent in this chase. But if they get to 4-5 down they may shut down shop
Report BJT November 17, 2015 6:25 AM GMT
Already starting to be beyond them.  Going to have to write this one off soon.  Near end the game where I started.  As per usual.  Need to just walk the last day.
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 6:26 AM GMT
444444444444
Report BJT November 17, 2015 6:26 AM GMT
6.9 an over
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 6:28 AM GMT
NZ need 311 off 270
Report BJT November 17, 2015 6:29 AM GMT
Question becomes now, can Aus bowl them out in 45 overs.

2 most attacking teams in cricket, have been 1 big fizz.....
Report BJT November 17, 2015 6:29 AM GMT
Way down leg
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 6:31 AM GMT
couple of big overs will send the draw market in a frenzy
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 6:31 AM GMT
maiden over
Report BJT November 17, 2015 6:32 AM GMT
Showing zero intent.  Outside of the bowler bowling wides and no balls, NZ are no hope here.  Looking at a very sick book ffs.
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 6:32 AM GMT
444444444 HERE COMES THE NZ charge
Report BJT November 17, 2015 6:32 AM GMT
lol
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 6:33 AM GMT
i should be a comedian
Report Fatslogger November 17, 2015 6:33 AM GMT
Don't think this was ever on. Like an ODI chase that looks too high, the rate just keeps climbing and unlike ODI, very hard to make it up later on.
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 6:33 AM GMT
and again 4444444444444444444
Report BJT November 17, 2015 6:33 AM GMT
3333333333
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 6:35 AM GMT
And another one 4444444
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 6:35 AM GMT
another 444444444
Report BJT November 17, 2015 6:36 AM GMT
Thick edge lol
Report BJT November 17, 2015 6:36 AM GMT
17 off.  Draw comes in.
Report BJT November 17, 2015 6:37 AM GMT
Rain 5 minutes away.
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 6:37 AM GMT
NZ need 294 off 258
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 6:38 AM GMT
it looks like just a passing shower.
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 6:38 AM GMT
maybe not seems like a lot of dark clouds
Report BJT November 17, 2015 6:39 AM GMT
radar shows different.
Report BJT November 17, 2015 6:40 AM GMT
Not much in it, but will rain.  Can't really lay draw til its gone.  And probably can't anyway. 

Looking for my hail mary play.
Report BJT November 17, 2015 6:43 AM GMT
Knowing it won't last, they may well play through it.
Report BJT November 17, 2015 6:45 AM GMT
7.15 an over.
Report Fatslogger November 17, 2015 6:49 AM GMT
Went for a frivolous £20 on the NZ win hoping another couple of big overs might bring them in from 80s but there's not been even an attempted run scoring stroke since. Oh well, I did say myself it wasn't on.
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 6:49 AM GMT
And their off
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 6:51 AM GMT
think they will get back on he ground at some stage
Report Gimpida November 17, 2015 7:40 AM GMT
Invisible pixels again?
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:17 AM GMT
4pm The final session is scheduled to start at 4:20pm with 38 overs remaining in the day.
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:18 AM GMT
293 off 38 overs is what NZ need
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:19 AM GMT
req run rate off around 7.71
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:19 AM GMT
4444444444444444444444444444
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:19 AM GMT
here we go NZ on the attack again
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:19 AM GMT
Peter Nevill won't be happy about that
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:20 AM GMT
NZ should change the batting line up, bring up the pinch hitters to give it a bit of a whack
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:21 AM GMT
NZ Need 289 off 37 overs
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:21 AM GMT
Its only 2 good hits an over
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:23 AM GMT
Lights on at the WACA
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:27 AM GMT
OUT
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:28 AM GMT
Kane Williamson batting now
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:36 AM GMT
286 needed off 34 overs
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:36 AM GMT
req run rate is 8.41 runs per over
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:37 AM GMT
4444444444444444444444444444444
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:38 AM GMT
last 2 shots maybe indicates Black caps might be still interested here
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:47 AM GMT
OUT
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:47 AM GMT
Mitchell Johnson with his 2nd wicket
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:48 AM GMT
31.1 overs to get 8 wickets
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:52 AM GMT
44444444444444444444444444 Taylor
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:53 AM GMT
New Zealand require another 267 runs off 30 overs with 8 wickets remaining
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:53 AM GMT
its only 9 an over
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:54 AM GMT
NZ still playing their expansive aggressive shots here
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:54 AM GMT
Why shut down shop when you only have to negotiate 30 overs?
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:57 AM GMT
44444444444444444444444444444 12 off
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 8:58 AM GMT
New Zealand require another 255 runs off 29 overs with 8 wickets remaining
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 9:00 AM GMT
New Zealand require another 254 runs off 29 overs with 8 wickets remaining
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 9:00 AM GMT
correction
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 9:00 AM GMT
New Zealand require another 254 runs off 28 overs with 8 wickets remaining
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 9:20 AM GMT
CommBank Viewers Selectors Poll: Who replaces Johnson in Adelaide? Pattinson 34% Siddle 41% Fawd 6% Faulkner 9% Behrendorff 10%
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 9:35 AM GMT
NZ Need 223 off 19.4 overs
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 9:35 AM GMT
NZ should treat it like a mini T20 game now Wink
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 9:41 AM GMT
its a Draw
Report West Coast Eagles November 17, 2015 9:42 AM GMT
Great career Mitch Johnson
Report jucel69 November 17, 2015 10:43 AM GMT
That was disappointing did 50% of my green in on the draw lay in the latter part of the game
Report wondersobright November 17, 2015 12:14 PM GMT
wd draw backers/traders

sad to say the WACA won't be missed if tests like this 1 are the future
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