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crunchyfrog
05 May 09 21:04
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Date Joined: 04 Nov 05
| Topic/replies: 2,007 | Blogger: crunchyfrog's blog
Following on from the great ***Smeagol v Bigjoe: 1 Year,All Test Matches,Official Thread***, it's time to continue the quest to find the best test match strategy.
One £100 bet at SP (before the toss), back or lay the favourite (fav), second favourite (2fav) or outsider (dog), with laydraw and backdraw included (the draw obviously being favourite, 2nd favourite or the dog).
After 44 test matches, the standings were as follows
back2fav... +£652
layfav........ +£606
laydraw..... +£112
backdraw... +£73
backdog.... -£215
laydog....... -£280
lay2fav...... -£521
backfav..... -£1196

Test 45, ENG v WI at Lords starts tomorrow ... :-)
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Replies: 917
By:
anyother
When: 05 May 09 21:07
nice one crunchy ;)
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 09 May 09 10:50
Match 45: Victory for ENG at 2.2, draw was 2.44, WI were 7.2.
back2fav... +£552
layfav........ +£506
laydraw..... +£181
backdraw... -£27
backdog.... -£315
laydog....... -£264
lay2fav...... -£452
backfav..... -£1076
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 14 May 09 08:20
Test 46, ENG v WI at Chester-le-Street ...
ENG 2.12; draw 2.4; WI 8.4
Will it be back2fav or backfav ??? :-)
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 18 May 09 21:51
Match 46: Victory for backfav, laydraw, lay2fav and laydog.
back2fav... +£452
layfav........ +£406
laydraw..... +£252
backdraw... -£127
laydog....... -£251
lay2fav...... -£381
backdog.... -£415
backfav..... -£964
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 03 Jul 09 17:46
Test 47, SRI v PAK at Galle ...
SRI 3.05; draw 1.99; PAK 6.0 :-)
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 07 Jul 09 08:02
Match 47: Shocking defeat for the dog :-( back2fav wins :-)
back2fav... +£657
layfav........ +£507
laydraw..... +£353
backdraw... -£227
laydog....... -£231
lay2fav...... -£481
backdog.... -£515
backfav..... -£1064
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 08 Jul 09 07:08
Test 48, The Ashes; first test, at Cardiff ...
ENG 3.65; draw 2.46; AUS 3.1
Come on England :-)
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 09 Jul 09 19:12
Test 49, WI reserves v BAN; first test, at Kingstown ...
WI 3.05; draw 3.35; BAN 2.6
I'm assuming that this series will count! :-)
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 12 Jul 09 20:37
Test 50, SRI v PAK; second test, at Colombo ...
SRI 2.8; draw 2.5; PAK 4.3
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 13 Jul 09 07:37
Match 48: backfav wins for a change :-)
back2fav... +£557
layfav........ +£407
laydraw..... +£253
backdraw... -£81
laydog....... -£194
lay2fav...... -£434
backdog.... -£615
backfav..... -£918
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 14 Jul 09 07:41
Match 49: backfav wins again :-)
back2fav... +£457
layfav........ +£307
laydraw..... +£295
laydog....... -£152
backdraw... -£181
lay2fav...... -£386
backdog.... -£715
backfav..... -£758
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 14 Jul 09 11:43
Match 50: back2fav this time :-)
back2fav... +£637
layfav........ +£373
laydraw..... +£361
laydog....... -£122
backdraw... -£281
lay2fav...... -£486
backdog.... -£815
backfav..... -£858
By:
Innocent Bystander
When: 14 Jul 09 11:44
settled faster than betfair :0
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 14 Jul 09 11:45
;-)
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 16 Jul 09 07:31
Test 51, The Ashes; second test, at Lords ...
ENG 5.8; draw 2.16; AUS 2.72
How much rain this time? :-)
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 17 Jul 09 13:45
Test 52, WI reserves v BAN; second test, at St George's
WI 2.88; draw 3.3; BAN 3.1
Not sure why Ban aren't favourites ;-)
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 20 Jul 09 08:04
Test 53, SRI v PAK; third test, at Colombo ...
SRI 3.05; draw 2.16; PAK 4.3
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 20 Jul 09 12:39
Match 51: a stonking victory for backdog :-)
back2fav... +£537
layfav........ +£459
laydraw..... +£447
laydog....... -£222
backdog.... -£335
backdraw... -£381
lay2fav...... -£428
backfav..... -£958
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 21 Jul 09 07:32
Match 52: a well deserved victory for back2fav :-)
back2fav... +£747
layfav........ +£512
laydraw..... +£490
laydog....... -£179
backdog.... -£435
backdraw... -£481
lay2fav...... -£528
backfav..... -£1058
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 24 Jul 09 13:20
Match 53: backfav and backdraw :-)
back2fav... +£647
layfav........ +£412
laydraw..... +£390
laydog....... -£149
backdraw... -£365
lay2fav...... -£480
backdog.... -£535
backfav..... -£942
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 30 Jul 09 12:15
Test 54, The Ashes; third test, at Edgbaston ...
ENG 5.8; draw 1.78; AUS 3.7
I'm using the odds from earlier this morning.
Stupid rain :-(
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 04 Aug 09 09:31
Match 54: backfav and backdraw again :-)
back2fav... +£547
layfav........ +£312
laydraw..... +£290
laydog....... -£129
backdraw... -£287
lay2fav...... -£443
backdog.... -£635
backfav..... -£864
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 07 Aug 09 08:50
Test 55, The Ashes; fourth test, at Headingley ...
ENG 4.7; draw 2.56; AUS 2.52
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 07 Aug 09 09:21
Test 55, The Ashes; fourth test, at Headingley ...
ENG 4.6; draw 2.7; AUS 2.4
Lets make it nice round numbers :-)
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 10 Aug 09 07:37
Match 55: backfav :-(
back2fav... +£447
laydraw..... +£352
layfav........ +£212
laydog....... -£102
lay2fav...... -£381
backdraw... -£387
backfav..... -£714
backdog.... -£735
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 14 Aug 09 08:12
Test 56, SRI v NZ; first test, at Colombo ...
SRI 1.95; draw 2.9; NZ 7
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 14 Aug 09 08:13
Test 57, The Ashes; fifth test, at the Oval ...
ENG 5.6; draw 2.3; AUS 2.58
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 24 Aug 09 12:42
Match 56: backfav fourth time in a row!
laydraw..... +£404
back2fav... +£347
layfav........ +£112
laydog....... -£86
lay2fav...... -£329
backdraw... -£487
backfav..... -£619
backdog.... -£835
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 24 Aug 09 12:45
Match 57: backdog :-)
laydraw..... +£480
back2fav... +£247
layfav........ +£188
laydog....... -£186
lay2fav...... -£266
backdog.... -£375
backdraw... -£587
backfav..... -£719
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 25 Aug 09 20:20
Test 58, SRI v NZ; second test, at Colombo ...
SRI 1.93; draw 2.56; NZ 10
By:
Innocent Bystander
When: 31 Aug 09 20:10
ttt
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 03 Sep 09 20:20
Match 58: backfav (5 out of the last 6)
laydraw..... +£544
back2fav... +£147
layfav........ +£88
laydog....... -£175
lay2fav...... -£202
backdog.... -£475
backfav..... -£626
backdraw... -£687

Well, that's it until Brisbane at the end of November :-(
By:
anyother
When: 03 Sep 09 23:14
well done lé crunch . ;)
By:
anyother
When: 03 Sep 09 23:15
those bottom two sure do give a massive clue to it all eh
By:
Tom Petty is God
When: 03 Sep 09 23:44
very interesting this
By:
blackcap
When: 04 Sep 09 06:52
Interesting yes, but is there any statistical significance?
By:
TwoTonTed
When: 04 Sep 09 07:42
a sample of 58 is not bad imo
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 15 Nov 09 20:37
Test 59, IND v SRI; first test, in Ahmedabad ...
IND 2.62; draw 2.32; SRI 5.2 :-)
By:
LuisGarcia
When: 16 Nov 09 19:36
can someone bump the thread with the first 44 matches on please ?
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