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diman
30 Jul 11 16:45
Joined:
Date Joined: 09 Jun 09
| Topic/replies: 28 | Blogger: diman's blog
Made a simulation in Excel (5000 games of cyberace), and the odds for getting a total of 10 or above are 3,56.

There are 3 rounds of numbers being rolled for each color (blue and red). All I did in Excel was rolling 3 numbers randomly between 1 and 4 (3 numbers representing the blue side and another 3 representing the red side). Sum the 3 outcomes for each color, and then, using the "if" formula, counted how many times sum 10 or more came in at least one side.

The results were:
1405 wins in 5000 tries = 28,1% probability = 3,56 fair odd

Betfair pays 8 for getting a "Ten". Thinking this was a valuable move (betting always on "Ten"), decided to play it in Fun mode.

Starting with a bankroll of 1000€ play money, ended my experience with 300€ play money... (I have been doing this experience, one entire morning... Shocked), always betting 5€ play money in "Ten"...!

If i lost play money doing this and the odds indicated this was a value bet, so something is wrong in arcade games...!! Devil
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Pause Switch to Standard View Cyberace is ****!! Excel proves it!!
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