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sixtwosix
10 Apr 18 19:42
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Date Joined: 23 Jan 06
| Topic/replies: 16,818 | Blogger: sixtwosix's blog
Probable - BAIE DES ILES WARRIORS TALE ALPHA DES OBEAUX THE LAST SAMURAI
Possible - MINELLO ROCCO BLAKLION PLEASANT COMPANY ANIBALE FLY MILANSBAR
              VIRGILIO VALSEUR LIDO TOTAL RECALL VINCENTE REGAL ENCORE
              CHASE THE SPUD CAPTAIN REDBEARD FINAL NUDGE
Unlikely - BLESS THE WINGS SEEYOUATMIDNIGHT GAS LINE BOY PENDRA
              CHILDRENS LIST TIGER ROLL THE DUTCHMAN PERFECT CANDIDATE
              GOLD PRESENT CARLINGFORD LOUGH RAZ DE MAREE BUYWISE
              I JUST KNOW HOUBLON DES OBEAUX SHANTOU FLYER BEEVES
              VIEUX LION ROUGE UCELLO CONTI
No Chance -MAGGIO  DOUBLE ROSS SAINT ARE TENOR NIVERNAIS LORD WINDERMERE

Cool
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Report Bindaree April 10, 2018 8:05 PM BST
Would love to know how you put horses in Probables and Possibles (Baie Des Iles, The Last Samurai, Captain Redbeard, Final Nudge etc) and yet horses that have beat them out of sight you put in as unlikely !!
Report dyno-layer April 10, 2018 8:33 PM BST
Unlikely.....Anything carrying 11st or over....That narrows it down a tad Cool
Report sewter lives again April 10, 2018 8:38 PM BST
Oh no I've only got 1 probable, 1 possible and 4 unlikelies
Report Bindaree April 10, 2018 8:39 PM BST
Would have to agree with that under the likely conditions.
Report dunlaying April 12, 2018 3:48 PM BST
Unlikely

Anibale Fly - he was staying on when Might Bite and Native River were both cooked . Far too short a price .
Blaklion - doesn't stay , has too much weight .
Vieux Lion Rouge - doesn't stay
Double Ross - doesn't stay .
Seeyouatmidnight - would they have sold him if he was flying at home?
Report Bindaree April 12, 2018 4:58 PM BST
Dunlaying, good logical assessment.
Report Facts April 13, 2018 3:34 AM BST
A revisit to this thread, post race, will be interesting !
Report Bindaree April 13, 2018 9:50 AM BST
Facts, that's why it's best not to stick your neck out too far !! lol. Best to say none of them have a chance then you're only wrong once and have a 97.5% success rate..
Report sixtwosix April 13, 2018 6:49 PM BST
Probable - BAIE DES ILES WARRIORS TALE ALPHA DES OBEAUX THE LAST SAMURAI
Possible - DELUSIONSOFGRANDEUR BLAKLION PLEASANT COMPANY ANIBALE FLY MILANSBAR
              VIRGILIO VALSEUR LIDO TOTAL RECALL  REGAL ENCORE
              CHASE THE SPUD CAPTAIN REDBEARD FINAL NUDGE
Unlikely - BLESS THE WINGS SEEYOUATMIDNIGHT GAS LINE BOY PENDRA
              CHILDRENS LIST TIGER ROLL THE DUTCHMAN PERFECT CANDIDATE
              ROAD TO RICHES CARLINGFORD LOUGH RAZ DE MAREE BUYWISE
              I JUST KNOW HOUBLON DES OBEAUX SHANTOU FLYER BEEVES
              VIEUX LION ROUGE UCELLO CONTI
No Chance -MAGGIO  DOUBLE ROSS SAINT ARE TENOR NIVERNAIS LORD WINDERMERE
           THUNDER AND ROSES

At least I can't be accused of aftertiming or fencesitting

Cool
Report Bindaree April 13, 2018 8:27 PM BST
You might get a lot of stick though !! Not from me BTW because you're brave putting your opinion out front and if you're wrong, well we all know how horses can run below the level we can reasonably expect them to.
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